Prediction: Saints 24, Panthers 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
New Orleans Saints |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 4 |
Drew Brees |
Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 4 |
Mark Ingram |
Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
RB 26 |
Travaris Cadet |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 4-35, 0 |
WR 24 |
Marques Colston |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
WR 38 |
Brandin Cooks |
Rec: 5-55, 0 TD |
WR 58 |
Kenny Stills |
Rec: 3-35, 0 TD |
TE 4 |
Jimmy Graham |
Rec: 6-65, 1 TD |
K 18 |
Shayne Graham |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 12 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
Carolina Panthers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 7 |
Cam Newton |
Pass: 255, 2 TD Rush: 25, 0 |
RB 27 |
DeAngelo Williams |
Rush: 45, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 29 |
Jonathan Stewart |
Rush: 35, 0 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
WR 6 |
Kelvin Benjamin |
Rec: 6-85, 1 TD |
WR 48 |
Jerricho Cotchery |
Rec: 4-45, 0 TD |
WR 64 |
Jason Avant |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 3 |
Greg Olsen |
Rec: 6-65, 1 TD |
K 14 |
Graham Gano |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 16 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
Saints In past 5 meetings, QB Drew Brees has 3 games w/ 4+ TD passes. In those 3, has 1,098 yards (366 per game), 13 TDs, 2 INTs & 129.8 rating. Since joining NO in 2006, leads NFL with 40,960 pass yards & 297 TD passes... RB Mark Ingram rushed for 172 yards & TD last week. Has rush TD in 2 of past 3 at Car... TE Jimmy Graham aims for 6th in row vs. Car. with TD. Has 6 TDs in past 5 meetings. Since 2011, leads NFL TEs with 309 catches, 3,942 yards & 40 TDs. WR Marques Colston has 6 TDs in past 5 meetings, incl. 3 games with 2 TDs. Rookie WR Brandin Cooks had rush (4 yards) & rec. (50) TD last week... LB Junior Galette has 4 sacks in past 2 meetings. DE Cameron Jordan has 5 sacks in past 5 vs. Car. Had 2 sacks last week & has 15.5 sacks in past 22. LB Curtis Lofton had sack in last game at Car.
Panthers QB Cam Newton has won 3 of past 4 starts vs. NO. Has won 9 of past 11 starts at home... In past 9 vs. NO, RB DeAngelo Williams has rushed for 979 yards (108.8 per game) & 8 TDs. Has 2 of 3 best rush days vs. NO: 210 yards (12/30/12) & 178 yards (12/28/08). RB Jonathan Stewart has 6 TDs (4 rush, 2 rec.) in 10 meetings... TE Greg Olsen has 3 TDs in past 3 at home. Leads team with 5 rec. TDs, his 7th consecutive season with 5+ TDs. WR Kelvin Benjamin leads NFC rookies with 571 rec. yards & 5 rec. TDs. WR Jerricho Cotchery aims for 3rd in row vs. NO with 70+ rec. yards... In last meeting, LB Luke Kuechly had career-high 24 tackles & INT. In past 3 meetings, has 48 tackles (16 per game). Since entering NFL in 2012, leads league with 409 tackles. LB Thomas Davis had 14 tackles & INT in last game vs. NO. DE Charles Johnson has 2.5 sacks in past 3 meetings. S Roman Harper played 8 seasons with NO (2006-2013) & had 17 sacks & 7 INTs.
Results and Schedule
New Orleans Saints |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
ATL |
A |
L 34-37 |
-3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
CLE |
A |
L 24-26 |
-2 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
MIN |
H |
W 20-9 |
+11 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
DAL |
A |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
TB |
H |
W 37-31 |
+6 |
6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
DET |
A |
L 23-24 |
-1 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
GB |
H |
W 44-23 |
+21 |
9 |
2014-10-30 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
SF |
H |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-24 |
BAL |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-15 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
TB |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
Carolina Panthers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
TB |
A |
W 20-14 |
+6 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
DET |
H |
W 24-7 |
+17 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
PIT |
H |
L 19-37 |
-18 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
BAL |
A |
L 10-38 |
-28 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
CHI |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
CIN |
A |
T 37-37 |
0 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
GB |
A |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
SEA |
H |
L 9-13 |
-4 |
9 |
2014-10-30 |
NO |
H |
|
|
10 |
2014-11-10 |
PHI |
A |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
12 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
MIN |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
NO |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
TB |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
ATL |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
NO Offense |
CAR Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
26.7 |
19.3 |
23.9 |
NO |
Rushing yards |
117.3 |
94.8 |
110.4 |
NO |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.90 |
3.71 |
4.12 |
NO |
Completion % |
70.0% |
60.4% |
63.4% |
NO |
Passing yards |
323.7 |
246.5 |
249.4 |
NO |
Passing yards per completion |
10.94 |
11.03 |
11.16 |
CAR |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.65 |
6.66 |
7.08 |
NO |
Interceptions |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
NO |
Fumbles lost |
0.7 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
NO |
Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
NO |
3rd down conversions |
48.3% |
42.3% |
41.3% |
NO |
4th down conversions |
40.0% |
66.7% |
45.6% |
CAR |
Time of possession |
30:54 |
29:22 |
30:14 |
NO |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
NO Defense |
CAR Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
26.0 |
34.0 |
23.9 |
NO |
Rushing yards |
71.3 |
140.3 |
110.4 |
NO |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.83 |
5.26 |
4.12 |
NO |
Completion % |
66.7% |
73.6% |
63.4% |
NO |
Passing yards |
262.7 |
253.5 |
249.4 |
CAR |
Passing yards per completion |
12.09 |
10.56 |
11.16 |
CAR |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.06 |
7.77 |
7.08 |
CAR |
INT return |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
NO |
Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
CAR |
Sacks |
2.0 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
NO |
3rd down conversions |
41.7% |
48.0% |
41.3% |
NO |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
50.0% |
45.6% |
- |
Time of possession |
29:18 |
31:50 |
30:14 |
NO |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
NO |
CAR |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
5.4 |
11.2 |
8.6 |
CAR |
Yards per kick return |
22.0 |
24.8 |
23.9 |
CAR |
Yards allowed per punt return |
4.4 |
11.4 |
8.6 |
NO |
Yards allowed per kick return |
27.2 |
36.1 |
23.9 |
NO |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
NO |
CAR |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
4.7 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
NO |
Penalty yards |
38.3 |
54.8 |
57.5 |
NO |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 3 to 8 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 3 to 8 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
7 |
2000-10-15 |
CAR |
NO |
6-24 |
NO |
2000 |
11 |
2000-11-12 |
NO |
CAR |
20-10 |
NO |
2001 |
5 |
2001-10-14 |
NO |
CAR |
27-25 |
NO |
2001 |
12 |
2001-12-02 |
CAR |
NO |
23-27 |
NO |
2002 |
10 |
2002-11-10 |
NO |
CAR |
34-24 |
NO |
2002 |
17 |
2002-12-29 |
CAR |
NO |
10-6 |
CAR |
2003 |
5 |
2003-10-05 |
NO |
CAR |
13-19 |
CAR |
2003 |
8 |
2003-10-26 |
CAR |
NO |
23-20 |
CAR |
2004 |
13 |
2004-12-05 |
CAR |
NO |
32-21 |
CAR |
2004 |
17 |
2005-01-02 |
NO |
CAR |
21-18 |
NO |
2005 |
1 |
2005-09-11 |
NO |
CAR |
23-20 |
NO |
2005 |
15 |
2005-12-18 |
CAR |
NO |
27-10 |
CAR |
2006 |
4 |
2006-10-01 |
NO |
CAR |
18-21 |
CAR |
2006 |
17 |
2006-12-31 |
CAR |
NO |
31-21 |
CAR |
2007 |
5 |
2007-10-07 |
CAR |
NO |
16-13 |
CAR |
2007 |
12 |
2007-11-25 |
NO |
CAR |
31-6 |
NO |
2008 |
7 |
2008-10-19 |
NO |
CAR |
7-30 |
CAR |
2008 |
17 |
2008-12-28 |
CAR |
NO |
33-31 |
CAR |
2009 |
9 |
2009-11-08 |
CAR |
NO |
20-30 |
NO |
2009 |
17 |
2010-01-03 |
NO |
CAR |
10-23 |
CAR |
2010 |
4 |
2010-10-03 |
CAR |
NO |
14-16 |
NO |
2010 |
9 |
2010-11-07 |
NO |
CAR |
34-3 |
NO |
2011 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
NO |
CAR |
30-27 |
NO |
2011 |
17 |
2012-01-01 |
CAR |
NO |
17-45 |
NO |
2012 |
2 |
2012-09-16 |
NO |
CAR |
27-35 |
CAR |
2012 |
17 |
2012-12-30 |
CAR |
NO |
44-38 |
CAR |
2013 |
14 |
2013-12-08 |
CAR |
NO |
13-31 |
NO |
2013 |
16 |
2013-12-22 |
NO |
CAR |
13-17 |
CAR |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
|