Outlook: Tyreek Hill's 2023 season was nothing short of historic. Leading all pass-catchers with 1,799 receiving yards, he also tied with Mike Evans for the league-best 13 receiving touchdowns. Hill's average of 15.1 yards per reception was the highest among the top-six leaders in total receiving yards, even outpacing Dallas' CeeDee Lamb by over two yards per reception.

Hill turned 30 during the offseason, a milestone that often raises concerns about potential decline. However, Hill showed no signs of slowing down. Despite missing one game due to injury, he returned with a nine-reception, 99-yard performance against the Cowboys the very next week and consistently caught at least five passes in each subsequent game, including the Dolphins' playoff matchup against the Chiefs where he was the only Dolphin to score a touchdown.

Hill's draft position reflects his elite status, as he is being selected in the top five in nearly all drafts. Although he's not a cheap acquisition, Hill's potential for record-breaking performance in 2024 makes him worth the investment. The Dolphins' offense looks poised to sustain or even improve, and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa could make further strides with another offseason under his belt. Hill's ceiling is incredibly high, and he remains one of the safest picks in the league as the Dolphins consistently find creative ways to get the ball in Hill's hands, even when defenses are focused on stopping him.

Tyreek Hill's exceptional 2023 season and the Dolphins' lack of schematic changes position him as a premier fantasy asset for 2024. His proven ability to perform at an elite level, combined with an improving Dolphins' offense, makes him a reliably elite option for fantasy managers.

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Outlook: CeeDee Lamb's performance in the 2023 season was nothing short of spectacular, securing him as a top-tier fantasy wide receiver. Although it is uncertain whether he would have maintained his overall WR1 status had Tyreek Hill not been hindered by a late-season injury, Lamb exceeded all expectations for those who drafted him. He led the NFL in targets with 181 and receptions with 135, finishing second in receiving yards and just one touchdown behind league leaders Mike Evans and Tyreek Hill. This impressive combination of talent and opportunity demonstrated Lamb's undeniable status as a cornerstone fantasy stud.

Now entering his fifth season, Lamb is poised to remain among the league leaders in all of the major receiving statistics. The Cowboys' offense has seen minimal changes from the previous year, and there hasn't been any significant change to his target competition. Despite ongoing contract negotiations with the front office, there is also no indication that this situation will impact Lamb's ability to get on the field and perform in 2024. In fact, he may be motivated to have an even bigger season to strengthen his case for becoming the highest-paid wide receiver ever next offseason.

Lamb's substantial target share in the high-powered Cowboys offense makes him one of the safest and most valuable picks in fantasy drafts. His potential to deliver a league-winning season has solidified his position as a top-three pick in nearly every draft. The combination of consistent performance, opportunity, and the drive to secure a lucrative contract ensures that Lamb will be a focal point of the Cowboys' offense and a key player for fantasy managers in 2024.

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Outlook: Although a serious lower body injury cost him 7 games last season, Jefferson remained on a Hall of Fame trajectory. His 68-1074-5 line in only 10 games still had him on an elite pace. He was able to parlay his historic early career start into the highest non-quarterback salary in league history (110 million guaranteed) as he becomes not only the centerpiece of the offense, but the true face of the franchise. Hopefully lugging around all that cash bulks him up as he prepares to carry the offense on his shoulders. With a quarterback room filled with a cast-off and a raw rookie, Jefferson will be counted on more than ever. Since taking over in 2022, Coach O'Connell has dialed up the 3rd and 6th most passing attempts in the NFL, but I have a hard time seeing that happen this season. Darnold has proven to be turnover prone in his career, and McCarthy isn't ready to sling it 40 times a game. With a more balanced attack, and Jordan Addison in his 2nd year, I just don't see a situation where Jefferson approaches 170+ targets unless things go wildly off the rails for the Vikings. Even with fewer looks, Jefferson remains one of the best we've seen to play the position, and should be a top-5 finisher in all formats.

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Outlook: Though he remains an elite top-5 talent at the position, Chase and this Bengal offense has had to change their stripes the last few seasons. With defenses keeping the lid on with Cover-2 looks, Chase's yards per reception dipped to 12-yards per reception these past two years after being over 18 in his rookie season. This certainly could be more of the same in 2024, as the Bengals could scheme him the ball closer to the line of scrimmage as a supplement to their meek run game. With Higgins and Burrow back healthy, Chase should have more room to operate, and while the downfield plays might be fewer, Chase should vie for the league lead in targets and receptions. One of the best bets at the receiver position, especially in PPR leagues, there are few receivers with a better floor or ceiling.

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Outlook: With a monster extension this offseason, St. Brown has officially transitioned from cute underdog story into bonafide superstar. His 2023 line of 119-1515-10 shattered his previous career highs as he led Detroit on a deep playoff run. The heartbeat of this team, "Sun God" not only produced elite numbers in every measurable metric, but also outside the box score. His toughness, work ethic, and leadership exemplify what this Lion team wants to be about. He has been able to dominate the short and intermediate areas with a lethal combination of quickness and route running. His average depth of target (7.8) was lowest among the top 20 targeted receivers, but made up for the lack of downfield plays by being 2nd in the NFL in yards after the catch (668). With 21 career receiving touchdowns, St. Brown has a nose for the endzone, and as the continued alpha in this creative, versatile offense, there is no reason to think he can't continue to produce as a slam dunk WR1 in all formats.

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Outlook: With nearly 3,000 receiving yards and 18 touchdowns on over 300 targets over his two seasons with the Eagles, A.J. Brown has elevated himself to being a mid-to-late-first-round pick in fantasy drafts this season. Brown has now gone over 1,000 receiving yards in four of his five professional seasons, including 42 touchdown receptions. Despite playing with some questionable quarterbacks at times, Brown has established himself as a top-end wide receiver who is extremely versatile and thus extremely safe for fantasy here in 2024.

While Brown's 2023 season was excellent, it's notable that he only managed to score seven touchdowns on nearly 1,500 receiving yards and 106 total catches. If he ends up positively regressing back to a more normalized rate, or even an elevated rate as he's done multiple times before 2023, Brown could easily return truly game-breaking fantasy numbers this season.

The Eagles have multiple quality passing game options, but Brown is the clear alpha and Jalen Hurts' favorite target. Don't expect that to change this season.

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Outlook: An unheralded fifth-round draft pick, Nacua went from roughly zero percent ownership in fantasy leagues to 100 following the first two games of 2023 during which he caught 25 passes for 266 yards. While he clearly couldn't maintain such a monstrous pace, he still finished with 105 receptions, 1,486 yards, and six touchdowns -- good enough to finish in the top-10 in both catches and yards. Most years that'd be sufficient to capture the NFL Rookie of the Year award, but Nacua had to settle for second behind Texans QB C.J. Stroud.

There'll be no surprises with Nacua in Year 2, but there's no reason to doubt his performance as he functioned as the No.1 target for much of the season while Kupp battled injuries. The BYU alum has shown he can get open, work underneath or downfield, and make contested catches with regularity. If he can up his game in the red zone, Nacua could push toward the top of the receiver rankings. Even now, he belongs in the top 10 of fantasy wideouts.

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Outlook: In 2023, Garrett Wilson saw substantial volume in a struggling Jets offense but lacked the efficiency to make a significant impact. He finished fourth in the league with 168 targets, accounting for over 30 percent of the team's target share. While he accumulated a high number of total air yards due to his volume of targets, his average target distance ranked outside the top 60, leading to poor per-target efficiency. Additionally, the Jets' quarterbacks struggled with accuracy, further contributing to Wilson's inefficiency.

Despite playing in all 34 games over his two professional seasons, Wilson has finished as WR24 and WR21. The Jets' quarterback situation has been one of the worst in the league during Wilson's tenure, so the arrival of Aaron Rodgers should be a significant improvement. However, Wilson's projected breakout as a WR1 is already being factored into his draft position, as he is often selected near the beginning of the second round in most drafts, making him an expected top-12 player at his position despite not having achieved such numbers previously.

Wilson has demonstrated excellent skills early in his career, but he remains a somewhat risky draft pick. The uncertainty lies in not knowing which version of Aaron Rodgers will be on the field or whether he and Wilson will develop an immediate connection.

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Outlook: It seems that Mike Evans will never slow down. In 2023, he extended his 1000-yard streak to 10-straight years and had one of his best seasons at 30 years old. This came in a season where Evans had plenty of doubters due to his age and uncertain quarterback situation. Evans had elite fantasy production and looked the part on the field as well. Nothing from his season seemed flukey and he proved to still be an elite receiver.

The fantasy community seems more than willing to bet on Evans heading into his age 31 season. He comes off the board as the WR17, a price that seems to bake in the fact that he may not be able to reproduce his 13 touchdowns from a year ago.

Similar to Mayfield, we can expect 2024 to be more of the same from a usage and production standpoint for Evans. He should see a high number of targets with a deep aDOT that can lead to big plays and spike weeks. With Mayfield proving to be capable of supporting this offense and Evans showing no signs of slowing down, he seems to be a reliable pick in fantasy drafts this season.

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Outlook: If there's one player that has been adversely affected by the arrival of McCaffrey, it's Samuel. Rewind the clock to 2021 and the South Carolina alum was probably the focal point of the offense. He caught 77 passes for 1,405 yards and 6 TDs, and he added 365 yards and 8 TDs on 59 carries. Over the last two years, his numbers have dipped, averaging 762 yards and 4.5 TDs as a receiver and 229 yards and 4 TDs as a runner. While those aren't bad numbers, his Swiss Army Knife appeal was lessened by the arrival of a player with an equally rare combination of skills.

For a time this offseason, it appeared the 49ers were ready to move on from Samuel with trade rumors aplenty leading up to (and even during) the draft. He remains on the roster, though, and there's no reason to think he'll be moved in-season. Given the state of his contract, the team's salary cap, and ongoing questions about Brandon Aiyuk's future, it's certainly possible he's entering his final season by the Bay. Whether that adds any extra motivation is unknown, but it's something to consider.

Samuel has had some issues staying healthy, due in part to his ultra physical style of play, having never played every game in a season during his five-year career. It's not enough to devalue him much, though, and even with declining production he's a possible low-end No. 2 fantasy wideout.

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Outlook: Through two seasons, Chris Olave has displayed the traits and had the peripheral metrics of someone who can be an elite fantasy option. Unfortunately, Olave hasn't been able to put all the pieces together thus far.

Last season, he proved to be a target earner and saw the high-value targets that lead to fantasy production. He ranked 17th in target share, 12th in total targets, 6th in air yards, and 4th in deep targets.

There is hope that Olave will be in line to see a larger number of "layup targets" that bump his catch rate in Kubiak's offense. Easy receptions are likely the key to unlocking Olave and pushing him into the upper tier of fantasy receivers along with more trips to the endzone. Olave has just 9 TDs over his first two seasons.

Given his age, performance through two seasons, and position as the clear top option in New Orleans, betting on Olave to put it all together in year three is a good idea. He's a solid WR2 in most formats with WR1 upside.

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Outlook: Few players have been more heavily covered than Aiyuk during the offseason thanks to his ongoing contract situation with the club. The 49ers exercised their fifth-year option on the talented wideout, meaning he's set to earn north of $14M in 2024, but his future beyond that is cloudy. He's said that the team doesn't want him back, yet also noted that he'd "for sure" like to return. It could all be posturing, though like with Samuel, the team was reportedly open for business on trade talks.

While Samuel has seen his production wane, Aiyuk has seen his rise year on year, breaking the 1,000-yard mark for the first time in 2022 and then following that up with a 75-1342-7 season last year as he emerged as Purdy's go-to guy -- his 17.9 yards per catch was second among qualified pass catchers behind Pittsburgh's George Pickens (18.1). He's powerfully built, makes big plays and has been highly durable during his four NFL campaigns.

Under the current CBA, a holdout is extremely unlikely once training camp starts. Yes, given that the 49ers used their top pick on WR Ricky Pearsall, the odds are either Aiyuk or Samuel will be gone in 2025. That shouldn't matter to fantasy owners, and Aiyuk has earned his spot as a top-20 fantasy receiver and a superior option to Samuel.

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