Outlook: A year ago, the question was how high to select Murray (knee) in fantasy drafts. This year, it's whether to select him at all. While Murray was far from great last season, passing for 2,368 yards, rushing for 418, and accounting for 17 combined touchdowns (14 passing, 3 rushing), the issue is his recovery timeline from a torn ACL suffered on Dec. 12.

Details about his recovery have been sparse, and they'll likely continue to be so until training camp begins when we'll get regular access to the coaching staff. It's been suggested that Murray could be back before midseason, but that seems overly optimistic, and it gives rise to the big question: would Arizona even bring Murray back if the team is hopelessly out of playoff contention?

Right now, Arizona is projected by oddsmakers to have the NFL's worst record, which would get them a shot at USC's Caleb Williams -- at that point they could draft him and move Murray or look to flip the pick for a boatload of capital like Chicago did. It's hard to envision a scenario where the Cardinals push Murray to get back on the field quickly. If you can nab him late and stash him in an IR slot, or your QB1 is a reliable top-tier play, Murray could be worth it. Otherwise, it's an unnecessary risk.

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Outlook: The Carolina Panthers selected Alabama quarterback Bryce Young with the first overall pick in the NFL Draft, hoping to find a new leader. Young won the Heisman Trophy in 2021, recording 4,872 passing yards and 47 touchdowns. He slightly digressed the following year due to a subpar (for Alabama) receiving corps, but still put up some of the best numbers in college football.

Unfortunately, Young will have to get used to subpar receivers on the Panthers as they don't have a true WR1. However, he has plenty of assets to turn things around in Carolina: pocket awareness, mobility, durability and, best of all, he's as clutch as they come. Alabama teammate and current Detroit Lions receiver Jameson Williams discussed Young's abilities when the lights are brightest. "If you were watching the game vs. Auburn, we were down 10-3, 40 seconds left," Williams said. "I would never say I've seen him rattled or intimidated by anything. I feel like he has the mindset that he knows he is going to get the job done."

Because he's a rookie, Young's fantasy football ranking is in the mid-20s among quarterbacks. This is a fair assessment due to the talent he has around him. However, his skills may not only make him stand out in Carolina, but may improve the receivers' reputation as well. Until then, Young won't be selected in redraft leagues, unless he's taken in the last round.

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Outlook: When former Tennessee Titans wide receiver A.J. Brown was traded to the Eagles during the 2022 NFL Draft, the NFL community sensed that Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill would have no receivers to throw to, even though they acquired first-round receiver Treylon Burks in the deal. As it turns out, the NFL community was right.

Tannehill played in 12 games in 2022 (multiple injuries), recording 212 completions for 2,356 yards, 13 touchdowns and six interceptions. He ranked 27th among quarterbacks in fantasy points with 200.6 overall and 16.7 per game. The lack of receivers was truly detrimental to his season, as the Titans went 6-6 when he was in the lineup compared to their 12-5 record the year before.

Unfortunately, the Titans didn't make any impactful changes to their receiving room this offseason, so Tannehill, who is nearly 35-years-old, is likely to perform similarly to 2022 (assuming he plays 12-17 games). In fantasy football terms, he won't be drafted and unless his receivers make tremendous strides, he won't come off the waiver wire either. Rookie QB Will Levis is waiting in the wings.

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Outlook: The Texans' air attack was subpar in 2022 as quarterback Davis Mills threw 17 touchdowns and 15 interceptions -- tied for the most in the NFL. Houston aided their passing game in the offseason, by selecting Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud No. 2 overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. Stroud is known for his strong arm and accuracy at all three levels of the gridiron.

Stroud, who finished fourth in Heisman Trophy voting in 2021 and third in 2022, threw for 8,123 yards, 85 touchdowns and just 12 interceptions during his two years as the Buckeyes' starter. However, he's going from one of the best receiving corps in college football to one of, if not the worst group of pass catchers in the NFL.

If Stroud could find a way to alter his receivers' reputation, he may be recognized for more than just the offensive rookie of the year award. Until then, he'll start the season as a late-round to undrafted quarterback in fantasy football drafts. However, should he succeed with his strong arm and accuracy, the 21-year-old may be able to offers some spot starts for your fantasy team late in the season.

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Outlook: At this point, Washington is a perennial "not-quite-good-enough to be contender / not-quite-bad-enough to have a high draft pick" franchise, and that, along with some ancillary personnel decisions, has really hurt the team's ability to land a true difference-making quarterback. The Commanders' 2022 quarterback situation was all over the place, with three different quarterbacks starting games, two of whom are no longer with the franchise after the team moved on from Carson Wentz and Taylor Heinicke.

Now heading into his second professional season, Sam Howell appears most likely to be the Commanders' Week 1 starter despite having only started one game as a rookie in 2022. Howell threw for 169 yards, a touchdown, and an interception in that start, a Week 18 victory over the Cowboys who were headed to the playoffs. Notably, Howell also added 35 yards on the ground, which is certainly in line with how he played during his final season at North Carolina prior to being drafted, in which he rushed for 828 yards and 11 touchdowns. That season, however, was a far stretch from what we saw from him as the Tar Heels' starter in both his freshman and sophomore seasons, which saw him rush for a total of just 181 yards and six scores in those two seasons combined.

Howell should be in line to start this season, but head coach Ron Rivera has seemingly taken steps back in declaring Howell as the official starter despite the fact that he is operating as the team's QB1 thus far. Rivera has stated that it is an open competition and that he would be comfortable if veteran Jacoby Brissett came out on top. We've seen this situation play out many times throughout recent history and teams almost always end up going with the younger, higher upside option as long as it's not a complete landslide victory in the veteran's favor, but fantasy managers should beware that the Commanders have shown a propensity to move on from their quarterbacks - even young ones - if they're not performing at a satisfactory level. That could mean a shorter-than-expected leash for Howell if things don't go well out of the gate.

On a positive note, Howell does step into an offense that is better than many casual fans believe, with some truly impressive pass-catchers at just about every level. His under-the-radar rushing upside makes him an interesting late-round dart throw in two-QB and SuperFlex leagues. He's unlikely to deliver high-end fantasy production, but a campaign like Daniel Jones' 2022 season is not out of the question.

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Outlook: After being a top-10 offense for practically Tom Brady's entire run in New England, the Patriots have taken a step back in recent seasons and it's tough to not put a good bit of the blame on the coaching staff and team management. The front office just has not put the team in the position to succeed on a consistent basis. Some of that has been addressed this offseason with the Patriots moving on from the bizarre Matt Patricia offense they had in 2022 and going toward a more traditional offense coached by former Texans head coach Bill O'Brien. This switch alone can really only mean improvement, but there still seems to be a serious lack of care being put into the pass-catching weapons in this offense.

The team's leading receiver in each of the past three seasons, Jakobi Meyers, left this off-season and signed a fairly similar deal with the Raiders to the one the Patriots eventually gave to JuJu Smith-Schuster. This was particularly surprising because while Smith-Schuster has a longer history of success, he's historically played a similar role to the one that Meyers had already been successful with in-house for the Patriots. Additionally, the team brought in veterans like Kendrick Bourne and tight end Mike Gesicki, but there still seems to be a serious lack of explosive weapons for this roster. Without big-time playmakers, it's hard to imagine a world where Mac Jones is anything other than a replacement-level QB2 for fantasy purposes.

In fact, one could argue that Jones has been less than a QB2 thus far throughout his relatively short career. While he finished as the 22nd-highest-scoring quarterback, he actually was only the 36th-best QB in fantasy points per game. That's slightly better than Andy Dalton and Jacoby Brissett, and only a bit better than what his teammate Bailey Zappe delivered in his four games started in 2022.

With so many higher-upside options available in later rounds, it's just not worthwhile to draft Jones in anything other than 2QB and SuperFlex leagues.

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Outlook: After Matt Ryan was traded to the Indianapolis Colts for a third-round pick, the Falcons signed free agent Marcus Mariota one month later. Unsure if Mariota was going to be their future starter, the Falcons drafted Cincinnati quarterback Desmond Ridder with the pick the Colts traded to them.

Mariota ended up being the starter, recording a 5-8 record before suffering an injury. Ridder played the final four games, throwing 73 completions out of 115 attempts (63.5 percent) for 708 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions.

Ridder doesn't have very high expectations going into his second season due to his lack of production (even though it was limited) and the crowded, but talented running back room. Because of this, and head coach Arthur Smith's run-heavy scheme, Ridder isn't likely to be drafted in most 1QB leagues. However, the extremely underrated talent around him could give him a boost and potentially get him off the waiver wire at some point in the season.

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Outlook: In 2020, quarterback Baker Mayfield led the Cleveland Browns to their first winning season since 2007, throwing for 3,563 yards, 26 touchdowns and eight interceptions. However, he's only declined since then. The 2018 first overall pick was traded to the Carolina Panthers last offseason for a day three selection, but they'd release him on Dec. 5.

The Los Angeles Rams picked him up on a one-year deal, but he chose to become a free agent after the season ended. He finished the 2022 season with 201 completions for 2,163 yards, 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions in 12 games, ranking as the 29th-best quarterback in fantasy football, averaging just 13.6 points per week.

The Buccaneers were in desperate need of a quarterback with experience due to Tom Brady retiring, so they signed Mayfield as a bridge quarterback to ... ?. Assuming he wins the starting job out of camp over Kyle Trask, Mayfield will have the benefit of playing with Pro Bowl caliber receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Even so, the team is projected to struggle with a weak offensive line and a new system led by new offensive coordinator Dave Canales. A couple of spike weeks can be expected but overall, there's no juice to drafting Mayfield toward the back-end of your draft. He'll likely be an afterthought in most 1QB redraft leagues.

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