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Regular Season, Updated: 9/7/2020

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Legend:   Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk   ADP = Average Draft Position
FF Today Standard Scoring: Review Scoring
 Josh Allen, BUF (Bye: 11)
8
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 233   DOB: 1996-05-21   Age: 24
College: Wyoming   Draft: 2018 Round 1 (7) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018BUF12169 320 2,074 10 12 89 631 8 254.8 21.2
2019BUF16271 461 3,089 20 9 109 510 9 339.5 21.2
2020 (Projected)BUF 310 517 3,622 22 11 105 535 7 364.6  

Outlook: Allen avoided the proverbial sophomore slump in 2019 by improving on his passing efficiency by six percentage points while throwing three fewer interceptions despite nearly 100 more pass attempts. Although his passing touchdown total of 20 was tied with Kyler Murray for the fewest for quarterbacks who played 16 games. His nine rushing touchdowns were the most at the position, and his 510 rushing yards helped compensate for the lack of passing production.

Very few fantasy quarterbacks carry as much hype as Allen as he enters his third year. A continued incremental in pass efficiency to a most 62% and a volume increase to just over 500 pass attempts would put him in line for a top-5 season, assuming he continues to run and be among the league leaders in rushing touchdowns.

Another thing to like about Allen is the addition of Stefon Diggs to the receiving corps of John Brown and Cole Beasley. Diggs is one of the most polished route runners in the NFL and should give Allen a valuable weapon to lean on outside.

Based on total fantasy points scored, Allen already entered the top-10 at the position, scoring more points than Jared Goff, Aaron Rodgers, Philip Rivers, and Tom Brady. If he can continue to improve his efficiency while adding a similar level of production on the ground, he should be in line for at least a top 10 finish this season with top 5 upside.


 Matt Barkley, BUF (Bye: 11)
53
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 230   DOB: 1990-09-08   Age: 30
College: Southern California   Draft: 2013 Round 4 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018BUF115 25 232 2 0 3 -2 0 19.4 19.4
2019BUF227 51 359 0 3 2 -4 0 17.6 8.8
2020 (Projected)BUF 13 20 141 1 1 1 1 0 11.2  

 Tom Brady, TB (Bye: 13)
14
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 225   DOB: 1977-08-03   Age: 43
College: Michigan   Draft: 2000 Round 6 (33) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017NE16385 581 4,576 32 8 25 28 0 359.6 22.5
2018NE16375 570 4,355 29 11 23 35 2 349.3 21.8
2019NE16373 613 4,057 24 8 26 34 3 320.3 20.0
2020 (Projected)TB 366 564 4,170 27 10 24 33 1 325.8  

Outlook: Two things are true about Tom Brady: he is one of the greatest to ever play quarterback, and he is getting old. One does not negate the other. The fact that he is indeed aging, in the process losing some of his velocity and his ability to throw deep, should in no way affect his legacy as perhaps the greatest of all time. Father Time comes for us all.

His decline last season was minor, and therefore easy to miss. But you can see it on film when you watch him throw deep. The ball arcs up high, with receivers having to wait underneath it, rather than getting there with any zip. You can see it in the stat line. While some will point to his poor surrounding cast, he had his lowest completion percentage since 2003 (60.8%) and his lowest yards per attempt since 2006 (6.8 ypa). He also had only 24 passing touchdowns, his fewest since 2003. He is still a coach on the field, and is generally going to make the right decisions, as seen by his excellent 1.3% interception rate. But much of his zip is gone, limiting his statistical upside.

So what should we expect out of Brady this season, in his first chance to play away from New England and without Bill Belichick as his coach? It is incredibly difficult to predict. What we do know is that his supporting cast is vastly improved. He has two of the best wide receivers in the game, and also has his favorite tight end Rob Gronkowski back. Those players around him could seriously boost his numbers, regardless of any physical decline. He is unlikely to throw many passes over 30 yards downfield, as that's not his game anymore. While that will limit the upside of Mike Evans in particular, Brady has shown he can put up great stats by focusing on finding open receivers in the short and intermediate areas of the field.

Learning a new offensive system and getting on the same page as his new teammates could cause some frustration early on, but he should figure all of that out relatively quickly. Therefore, I anticipate we will see Brady pass for over 30 touchdowns and around 4,500 yards. He makes for a nice upside pick in fantasy drafts in the 10th or 11th round.


 Drew Brees, NO (Bye: 6)
11
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 209   DOB: 1979-01-15   Age: 41
College: Purdue   Draft: 2001 Round 2 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017NO16387 537 4,338 23 8 33 12 2 322.1 20.1
2018NO15364 489 3,992 32 5 31 22 4 353.8 23.6
2019NO11281 378 2,979 27 4 9 -4 1 262.6 23.9
2020 (Projected)NO 378 517 4,138 32 8 29 23 1 343.2  

Outlook: Brees was actually the 6th-ranked quarterback in 2019 according to fantasy points scored per game (23.9) tied with Russell Wilson. His rank was pushed down because of time missed due to a broken hand. He was remarkably efficient, completing 74.3% of his passes (after completing 74.4% in 2018). He also had an impressive 7.1% touchdown rate and continued to avoid interceptions, throwing only 4 in 378 attempts.

Brees may not have as big of an arm at 41 years old as he did when he was younger, but that has not stopped him from being effective. He had the Saints within a whisper of the Super Bowl, and with an overall great roster and the coaching staff intact, they have another good shot to get there this season.

The Saints' offensive line has been a strength, and they drafted Cesar Ruiz in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft. Ruiz could start at center or guard and likely replace Larry Warford in the starting lineup, who was released this offseason. The unit does a good job of keeping Brees from getting hit. In addition to that potential upgrade, the receiving corps added Emmanuel Sanders, who could be the long-needed second option at the position. This should help Brees not depend so heavily on Michael Thomas and simply find the open man - which could lead to an even better 2020 season.

The biggest red flag when it comes to Brees is his age, and all indications are that this is his final season under center. If his body breaks down, or if the Saints decide to use Taysom Hill more in 2020, that could hurt Brees statistically. But in all likelihood, he will be a steady, reliable option once again.


 Teddy Bridgewater, CAR (Bye: 13)
26
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 214   DOB: 1992-11-10   Age: 27
College: Louisville   Draft: 2014 Round 1 (32) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017MIN10 2 0 0 1 3 -3 0 -0.3 -0.3
2018NO514 23 118 1 1 11 5 0 10.4 2.1
2019NO9133 196 1,384 9 2 28 31 0 108.3 12.0
2020 (Projected)CAR 338 528 3,751 22 15 34 85 1 290.1  

Outlook: Last season Bridgewater got a chance to start a few games for the first time since 2015, when he started for the Vikings. After being drafted by Minnesota to be their quarterback of the future, he suffered a serious knee injury. That injury cost him the entire 2016 season and he continued to sit all through the 2017 season. Some thought he might not play again, but he landed with the Saints as a back-up in 2018, and spent most of the past two seasons sitting behind Drew Brees.

It looks like his time off, and his time under Brees, grew him as a player. In his starts last season when Brees broke his hand, Bridgewater was very efficient. He posted a 68% completion percentage, and threw 9 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. He looked accurate and confident.

He entered free agency this offseason with a great opportunity to land a starting job, having shown he has what it takes to be a successful starter. The Panthers signed him as they transition to a new era, away from longtime coach Ron Rivera and longtime quarterback Cam Newton. Bridgewater gets the opportunity to take over an exciting new offense which new head coach Matt Rhule and new offensive coordinator Joe Brady plan to implement.

He is not very mobile, so he does not add any upside as a rusher, which can be a key element in fantasy football success for a quarterback. But he gets the opportunity to be a distributor in an offense that should be fast-paced and dynamic, and he is surrounded by one of the better young skill-position groups in the NFL. He will likely be throwing a ton of short and intermediate passes to Christian McCaffrey, D.J. Moore, Curtis Samuel, and Ian Thomas - and that should lead to a lot of passing yardage being racked up. Those players are fantastic in the open field and are very dynamic, which should lead to a lot of "easy" stats for Bridgewater.

He is basically free in fantasy drafts, lasting until the very late rounds. So for those who want to wait on quarterback, or stream the position, Bridgewater is an excellent late-round option.


 Joe Burrow, CIN (Bye: 9)
19
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 221   DOB: 1996-12-10   Age: 23
College: Louisiana State   Draft: 2020 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2020 (Projected)CIN 321 518 3,727 23 17 66 259 2 316.3  

Outlook: I have fond memories of playing NCAA Football on my Playstation in the late 90's. It was a blast going through a season and seeing what kind of silly stats you could put up with your Heisman winning player. It's taken the better part of two decades, but someone finally came along and put even my best NCAA season to shame. 60-6 touchdown to interception ratio, 76% completion percentage, over 5,600 yards passing; while they seem video game-like, these are actual stats Burrow put up in likely the most impressive season by any quarterback in NCAA history. Those are just the surface numbers though. Dig deeper into things like accuracy under pressure or out of the pocket, against the backdrop of playing in the best conference in the country, and Burrow's season is one for the ages.

We know that numbers in college don't always correlate to success in the NFL. Having to learn an offense remotely with mostly informal work with teammates isn't going to help Burrow's transition to the NFL. While he possesses elite physical gifts, and maturity and poise beyond his years, there are question marks about the coaching that is tasked with his development at the next level. Zac Taylor, he of the withering branches of the McVay coaching tree, and offensive coordinator Brian Callahan didn't exactly inspire confidence in their two-win rookie season. The positive is that both guys are very young, and thus are more likely to be flexible with the scheme they put Burrow in.

With solid talent at the skill positions, an average offensive line, and a bottom tier defense, Burrow should have plenty of opportunity to compile stats in his rookie year. If his accuracy and decision making can make the jump, and he continues to be an efficient runner (368 yards and 5 touchdowns last season), Burrow's floor should be Daniel Jones from last year and it's not inconceivable he be an asset down the stretch, and a possible QB1 by season's end.


 Derek Carr, LV (Bye: 6)
28
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 214   DOB: 1991-03-28   Age: 29
College: Fresno State   Draft: 2014 Round 2 (4) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017LV15323 515 3,496 22 13 23 66 0 269.4 18.0
2018LV16381 553 4,049 19 10 24 47 1 289.2 18.1
2019LV16361 513 4,054 21 8 27 82 2 306.9 19.2
2020 (Projected)LV 308 481 3,559 20 10 26 65 1 270.5  

Outlook: There was some belief that the Raiders would move on from long-time quarterback Derek Carr this offseason, but the team seems to be prepared to give him at least one more chance to prove himself as the team itself makes the move to Las Vegas.

He may not be the most exciting option, but it's worth noting that Carr did actually have the second-best season of his professional career in 2019, as he used a dink-and-dunk approach to exceed a 70-percent completion percentage for the first time, along with exceeding 4,000 passing yards for the second straight season. He did this despite having what had to be considered one of the least-talented wide receiver groups in the league, a rookie running back who was not known for being a great pass catcher, and a starting tight end who had never caught more than 10 passes in an NFL season. All things considered, Carr's 2019 season was actually fairly impressive despite him throwing just 21 touchdowns.

One of the most risk-averse quarterbacks in the league, Carr is in an odd spot for fantasy purposes heading into 2020. Only Teddy Bridgewater has a lower average target distance than Carr over the past two seasons. This gives Carr a higher weekly floor than some of his more careless competitors at the quarterback position, but it doesn't often lead to many high ceiling performances. The Raiders did add two playmaking wide receivers in the first and third rounds with Henry Ruggs III and Bryan Edwards, but it seems like this type of personnel is tipping the team's hand a bit, as they may be ready to move on from Carr if he doesn't have a breakout season here in 2020.

Carr finished as the QB17 in 2019 and that's probably about where he'll finish in 2020. He's being drafted in the low-20s among QBs so he'll almost certainly outproduce that, but the chances of him breaking into the top 12 at the position are rather low.


 Kirk Cousins, MIN (Bye: 7)
24
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 214   DOB: 1988-08-19   Age: 32
College: Michigan State   Draft: 2012 Round 4 (7) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017WAS16347 540 4,093 27 13 49 179 4 354.6 22.2
2018MIN16425 606 4,298 30 10 44 123 1 353.2 22.1
2019MIN15307 444 3,603 26 6 31 63 1 296.5 19.8
2020 (Projected)MIN 348 520 3,845 25 9 28 74 1 305.7  

Outlook: After years of making a fantasy living off of high passing volume, Cousins' numbers plummeted across the board last year as the Vikings committed to running the ball more and Adam Thielen missed six games with a hamstring injury. His attempts, yardage and touchdown totals were the fewest since he became a full-time starter in 2015.

A clear QB2 for most of the year last year, the bottom really fell out for Cousins from Week 14 on. He barely scraped together double digit points, and in a loss to the 49ers in the Divisional Round he could barely complete a pass past the line of scrimmage, rolling up a sad 6-yards-per-attempt. So while the lower passing numbers got the Vikings to the second round of the playoffs, they still fell short of a conference final, and Kirk's fantasy value went into the toilet. Can we expect a repeat or rebound in 2020?

This funky offseason should be manageable for the Viking offense. NFL lifer Gary Kubiak enters his 25th season in the League, and was the Minnesota Assistant Head Coach and Offensive Advisor last season so you know he had a big hand in crafting the offense. Now built around the legs of Dalvin Cook (more on him later), Cousins and the Vikings do have a gaping hole at receiver with Pro Bowler Stefon Diggs shipped off to Buffalo and replaced by rookie Justin Jefferson. How quickly Cousins and Jefferson can develop chemistry with little work prior to training camp will be big. Diggs was a deep home run threat, while Jefferson is more of a surgical slot receiver, so Cousins is sure to miss the nearly 18 yards per reception Diggs gave him last year. Another factor throwing a wrench into any analysis for Cousins in the status of Dalvin Cook. Currently threatening a hold-out unless he gets a new deal, the entire offense gets a downgrade if he misses games.

There are simply too many moving parts for me to trust Cousins as a QB1 this year. With Diggs and former coordinator Kevin Stefanski both gone, and a rookie being counted on for a big role, it's hard for me to envision Cousins greatly surpassing his 2019 numbers. Short of Cook holding out for the season, or injuries ravaging the backs, I think 450 passing attempts is right where Head Coach Mike Zimmer wants to be.


 Andy Dalton, DAL (Bye: 10)
58
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 220   DOB: 1987-10-29   Age: 32
College: -   Draft: 2011 Round 2 (3) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017CIN16297 496 3,320 25 12 38 99 0 275.9 17.2
2018CIN11226 365 2,566 21 11 16 99 0 222.2 20.2
2019CIN13314 528 3,494 16 14 32 73 4 270.0 20.8
2020 (Projected)DAL 9 14 103 0 0 0 1 0 5.3  

 Chase Daniel, DET (Bye: 5)
57
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 225   DOB: 1986-10-07   Age: 33
College: Missouri   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017NO10 0 0 0 0 3 -2 0 -0.2 -0.2
2018CHI553 76 515 3 2 13 3 0 38.1 7.6
2019CHI345 64 435 3 2 6 6 0 34.4 11.5
2020 (Projected)DET 11 19 136 0 0 1 4 0 7.2  

 Sam Darnold, NYJ (Bye: 11)
27
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 221   DOB: 1997-06-05   Age: 23
College: Southern California   Draft: 2018 Round 1 (3) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018NYJ13239 414 2,865 17 15 44 138 1 231.1 17.8
2019NYJ13273 441 3,024 19 13 33 62 2 245.4 18.9
2020 (Projected)NYJ 298 497 3,482 22 14 47 117 1 279.8  

Outlook: Mononucleosis derailed the sophomore season for quarterback Sam Darnold and the entire New York Jets offense. The former first round pick from USC was limited to just 13 contests, and we do not know for sure how long the illness affected him in the games he did manage to play.

Despite missing Weeks 2 through 5, Darnold did improve on his completion percentage from his rookie season, threw two more touchdowns, and two fewer interceptions, leading the team to wins in six of their final eight games.

The Jets used significant draft capital to address deficiencies on the offensive line while adding a big-bodied wide receiver on the outside in rookie Denzel Mims from Baylor. The team also added free agent WR Breshad Perriman to help fill the vacuum left with the departure of Robby Anderson to the Panthers in free agency.

For fantasy purposes, Darnold projects to be no more than a streaming option in standard one-quarterback leagues, as the position is deep, and Darnold has yet to top 20 passing touchdowns in his career. He will have value in Super Flex leagues, but a rough schedule to start the season of games against the Bills and the 49ers should give owners pause on drafting Darnold this year.


 Jeff Driskel, DEN (Bye: 8)
45
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 234   DOB: 1993-04-23   Age: 27
College: Louisiana Tech   Draft: 2016 Round 6 (32) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018CIN9105 176 1,003 6 2 25 130 2 99.2 11.0
2019DET362 105 685 4 4 22 151 1 71.4 23.8
2020 (Projected)DEN 25 40 265 1 2 1 6 0 17.9