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Joseph Coccia | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer

Talking Trade: Week 9
Trade Bait & Buy-Low Candidates
11/4/16

Week 8 Review

Let’s start out by quickly taking a look at last week’s results before diving head first into the previous seven weeks combined…

Hits:

(Sell) LeGarrette Blount: 18 for 41 yards (2.27 YPC)? OK Ė so he salvaged a TD and ~9 points. Dion Lewis is back high-stepping in practice and the Patriots donít get another good matchup until Week 11 @ San Francisco. Blount is better off on someone elseís roster, and you most likely cashed in on a stud. I landed Tyler Eifert and Kelvin Benjamin for Blount and Travis Kelce and laughed my way to the bank.

(Buy) Tyler Eifert: Heís baaaack! After being limited to a dozen or so snaps last week, Eifert played most of the game and road his increased usage into 9-for-102 and a score on 12 targets. I bought into him in three leagues over the last three weeks, and it could end up making my playoffs.

Undecided:

(Buy) Doug Baldwin: Even with playing Arizonaís stout pass defense, Baldwin led the team in targets (9), receptions (6), and yard (66). As these numbers arenít very eye popping outside of targets, Iíll hold my judgment until after this week when they face New Orleans.

(Buy) Kenneth Dixon: The Ravens love Dixon. The only problem is they donít show it on game day as he only has 6 carries in three games. Is he still recovering? Iím going to hold judgment until we get to see him fresh off a bye in Week 9 against Pittsburgh at home.

(Buy) Philip Rivers: No surprises here. I called his bad game against Denver, and now we get to see him against Tennessee this week. I think we all know where heís moving on my list next week. Trade for him now while you still can.

(Buy) Jarvis Landry: Like Rivers, Landry will put up serious numbers this week. Heís coming off a bye week and gets the very burnable Jets defense that will most likely be stacking the box against only the fourth person in NFL history to rush for back-to-back 200-yard games (see Jay Ajayi). Buy away and donít look back (especially in PPR).

(Buy) Mike Wallace: I could see Wallace going either way this week against Pittsburgh. Steve Smith is still not close to returning, and Wallace could see increased targets until he returns. If he blows up again, I will be forced to take the loss here.

Misses:

(Buy) Jamaal Charles: No one (even Dr. Andrewís) knows whatís going on with Charles. He had a clear path to recovery and the lead role ripped away by an apparent re-injury of some sort, and now is most likely lost for at least the rest of the fantasy season. I didnít invest myself in him as I only offered scraps and hopefully you did the same.

(Buy) DeAndre Washington: Latavius is back and is the ďlead dogĒ yet again. I donít understand it. Iím still holding Washington in my deeper leagues, but I canít keep holding him in ďundecidedĒ as heís not making any case to be rostered.

(Sell) Jamison Crowder: If DeSean Jackson doesnít get hurt (twice) last week, then I have a hit here. He did, and Crowder parlayed his targets into 9-for-107 and a score. You can’t predict this stuff folks.

And finally, the…

Hits (24) Comment Grade
Eli Rogers (Sell) 1 week of production and nothing since A
Marvin Jones (Buy) 1st game was weak, but blew up and continues to be WR1 A
Mark Ingram (Buy) Few weeks of solid production; could be in a committee B-
Charles Sims (Sell) Few weeks of decent production and IR A
Theo Riddick (Sell) Great production early, injured, and now great production again C-
Dontrelle Inman (Sell) 1 week of great production and spotty at best since A
Cameron Artis-Payne (Sell) 1 week of great production and nothing since A
Ryan Mathews (Sell) 2 weeks of decent production; committee A
Lamar Miller (Buy) Slow start, 1 elite game, solid since B
Alshon Jeffery (Buy) Extremely slow start but scored first TD against top defense C+
Kelvin Benjamin (Buy) Fast start, dipped in production, gets a cake schedule moving forward B-
Darren Sproles / Wendell Smallwood (Buy) Flashes of great ability and low buy-in for potential high upside C+
Cam Newton (Buy) Up and down start; team on upward trend since C
John Brown (Sell) Up and down season overall (more down than up) B+
Adam Thielen (Sell) 1 elite game; the rest completely forgettable A
Kendall Wright (Sell) 2 great games, 3 awful ones B
Trevor Siemian (Sell) 1 elite game, the rest completely forgettable A
Kenny Britt (Sell) 1 elite game, the rest completely forgettable A
James White / Dion Lewis (Buy) 1 elite game, 1 decent game; Upside when Lewis is back is sky high B
LeGarrette Blount (Sell) Leads league in TDs but looks to be trending downward B-
Tyler Eifert (Buy) Elite production in 2nd game back; Elite TE1 already A
Golden Tate (Buy) Barely involved first 6 games, since has been solid PPR flex play A
Zach Miller (Sell) 3 TDs in 2 games early, has been average since C+
Isaiah Crowell (Sell) Best games early, leveled off since B


Misses (15) Comment Grade
Gary Barnidge (Buy) Moderate play all year; McCown could change that C-
DeMarco Murray (Sell) Elite RB1 all year F
Tajae Sharpe (Buy) Barely visible C-
Melvin Gordon (Sell) RB1 with low YPC but high TD upside C+
Carson Palmer (Buy) Up and down all year B-
Matt Ryan (Sell) Rock solid most of the season and surefire QB1 C-
Hunter Henry (Sell) 3 weeks of TE1 production, decent since B-
Jordan Matthews (Buy) 2 elite games as target leader, decent the rest C+
Spencer Ware (Sell) Up and down and now injured B
Eddie Lacy (Buy) Did nothing all season, landed on IR F
Jay Ajayi (Sell) Last 2 games elite RB1, locked in workhorse role F
Allen Robinson (Buy) Extremely underwhelming play by Blake Bortles, bad OC playcalling F
Jamaal Charles (Buy) Never got fully healthy, landed on IR F
Julian Edelman (Buy) Hasn't done much out side of 1 TD; High upside PPR with Brady C+
DeAndre Washington (Buy) High upside but hasn't capitalized on injury C-

I tried to be my own worst critic here and believe I did a decent job at doing so.

I have fielded many questions over the last eight weeks and have aided in a ton of trades. Some were blockbusters. Some were low-key.
Overall I would say I’m giving C+ to B- advice to date and aim to raise the bar even more going into the trade deadline which varies for all leagues.

I won’t be posting “trade bait and buy-low candidates” this week so feel free to use the analysis I put into this article to steer you towards the right trade moves this week As always, hit me up on twitter, the comments section, and/or email for advice.



Follow me on twitter @ZeroRBJoe for any questions about trades, lineups, or anything fantasy football related.