Are the Cardinals serious about pulling
the plug on Josh Rosen and drafting Kyler Murray No.1 overall?
1. Arizona Cardinals - Nick Bosa,
DE, Ohio State
Nick Bosa is the obvious pick, but that doesn’t always seem to
happen in the NFL. The Cardinals are a team filled with holes,
meaning they can take the best overall prospect. They have one
solid defensive end in Chandler
Jones with an opening on the other side. Bosa features an
NFL body with the ability to utilize speed or power moves to rush
the quarterback. There have been reports that he’s better at this
point than his older brother, Joey
Bosa, who has quickly become a premiere defensive player in
the NFL. In 2017, Nick recorded 8.5 sacks and 16.0 tackles for
a loss at Ohio State. He displayed elite potential in 2018 as
well, recording 4.0 sacks and 6.0 tackles for a loss before suffering
an injury and shutting down his season to train for the NFL Combine.
There are multiple spots Arizona could go with this pick, but
Bosa is the safe choice.
I don’t fully buy into the Kyler Murray talk, as there were
also reports that Arizona refused to listen to offers for Josh
Rosen. This may change in one of the next two mocks I do before
the NFL Draft, but I’m sticking with the best player in
the draft for now.
Previous Pick: Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State
2. San Francisco 49ers - Quinnen Williams,
DE, Alabama
Williams is a versatile player, who has the potential to play
either defensive end or slide inside to tackle for the 49ers.
It simply depends on whether or not San Francisco wants Solomon
Thomas to slide inside or Williams to fill that role. Williams
played only one full season at Alabama, recording 8.0 sacks and
19.5 tackles for a loss in 15 games in 2018. He’s a quick defensive
lineman for his size, but also comes with bullrush potential.
Williams is slightly better against the run, but far from a liability
against the pass. As a bonus, I’m willing to predict that San
Francisco keeps him inside, making up one of the best defensive
tackle combinations in the NFL between Williams and DeForest
Buckner.
Previous Pick: Quinnen Williams, DE, Alabama
3. New York Jets - Josh Allen, EDGE,
Kentucky
The Oakland Raiders are dying for potential pass rushers after
trading Khalil
Mack, meaning they could potential unload draft capital to
trade up to this spot for Josh Allen. If they don’t, he’ll likely
be the next New York Jet. He has progressively gotten better throughout
his collegiate career, breaking out as a senior. In 2018, Allen
recorded 17.0 sacks and 21.5 tackles for a loss in 13 games. He
has elite burst off the edge, although he struggles at times with
hand placement. His athleticism has been enough to get by, but
the addition of finesse/power moves will only make him that much
more dangerous. While Allen is known for his pass rushing abilities,
he is more than capable of dropping into zone when needed. There
are some scouts that believe Allen has the potential to slide
over a position to middle linebacker, while others say he can
add weight to become a 4-3 defensive end if needed. The most likely
scenario is Allen stays standing as an edge rusher, but the versatility
can’t hurt his stock.
Previous Pick: Josh Allen, EDGE, Kentucky
4. Oakland Raiders - Rashan Gary,
DE, Michigan
As mentioned above, the Raiders are in dire need of someone to
get pressure on the quarterback. Gary is far from a safe prospect,
but he comes with tremendous upside as a pass rusher. Jon Gruden
and company have proven time and time again that they don’t care
about media critique as long as they are getting what they believe
will help their team. They have holes all across the defensive
line, and Gary enters the NFL with the ability to potentially
play inside or out. He’s a smart player, who totaled 9.0 sacks
and 18.0 tackles for a loss over his last 22 games at Michigan.
He has the potential to become a high level run defender, but
this is a pick based around his length, versatility, and ability
to rush the passer. Similarly to everything Gruden has done since
joining Oakland, he’ll take a chance on a high upside player,
who comes with a bit more risk than some would like this high
in the NFL Draft.
Previous Pick: Rashan Gary, DE, Michigan
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Devin White, LB, LSU
It’s rare that teams will look at middle linebackers this
early in the draft, but White has the potential to be special.
He’s is a sure tackler, who owns sideline-to-sideline speed.
White also comes with strong play recognition and a good first
step. He is an average defender in man coverage, while finding
significantly more success in zone. Over the last two seasons,
White owns 256 tackles, 7.5 sacks, and 25.5 tackles for a loss
at LSU. The Buccaneers have plenty of holes throughout their team,
but middle linebacker is one of the most glaring. They could reach
a bit on White here, but he can hold down their defense for the
next decade.
Previous Pick: Ed Oliver, DT, Houston
6. New York Giants - Dwayne Haskins,
QB, Ohio State
Personal feelings aside, this is likely the right pick for the
Giants. They have rode a terrible Eli
Manning for years now, and they need to find his successor.
Haskins has only started one season at the collegiate level, but
he found plenty of success, throwing for 4,831 yards and 50 touchdowns,
while recording only eight interceptions. He also completed 70%
of his passes in 14 games. He’s a pocket passer with a solid combination
of accuracy and arm strength. Haskins is also a solid decision-maker
when throwing from a clean pocket. That may be an issue with New
York, as they are in desperate need of help along the offensive
line. Jonah Williams would be my first pick here, but New York
will likely overdraft a quarterback after selecting a running
back over a potential franchise quarterback with the second pick
of last season’s draft.
There have been reports that the Giants aren’t even looking
into Haskins, which seem like a smokescreen to stop other teams
from jumping them. Similarly to the Murray situation, only time
will tell.
Previous Pick: Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
7. Jacksonville Jaguars - T.J. Hockenson,
TE, Iowa
The Jaguars are one of the more complete teams picking early in
this draft. They recently signed Nick
Foles, and will need to upgrade at tight end. Hockenson surpassed
Noah Fant in the pass game at Iowa this season, as he totaled
49 receptions for 760 yards and six touchdowns. He’s a sure-handed
player, who will help Foles in the intermediate passing game.
Most importantly, Hockenson is an elite run blocker. The Jaguars
are likely looking to get back to their defensive strengths, while
controlling the clock with Leonard
Fournette. Hockenson can immediately help turn around the
Jaguars, who are only one year removed from the playoffs.
Previous Pick: Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson
8. Detroit Lions - Greedy Williams,
CB, LSU
Williams has all the makings of an elite CB1 if he hits his ceiling.
He’s an athletic corner with plenty of size. He has flashed tremendous
press potential, while also displaying the ability to play off
of his receiver. His only true knock is his effort in run support,
which could change in time. Williams seemingly has the potential
to shadow opposing teams WR1’s, which is relatively rare for cornerbacks
coming out of college. The Lions need plenty of cornerback help
outside of Darius
Slay, and even he struggled at times in 2018. Williams is
a potential playmaker, who would immediately add value to a position
that should be at the top of Detroit’s list in this draft.
Previous Pick: Greedy Williams, CB, LSU
9. Buffalo Bills - Jonah Williams,
OT, Alabama
The Bills selected their franchise quarterback (Josh Allen) last
year, and now they need to protect their investment. They have
multiple holes along the offensive line, and Williams is a player
that can play either tackle or guard. He’ll immediately slot into
the starting lineup and likely upgrade any position he takes over.
He’s an extremely technical tackle, who has quick and impressive
hands. Williams has also shown the ability to get to the second
level, while potentially moving on to other players after his
initial block. Williams has some of the most uncertain value in
this draft, but it’s likely he works his way into the top-10 on
draft night.
There are some people that would argue OT Jawaan Taylor would
be the best pick here, and I may be one of them, but the versatility
of Williams could be what Buffalo is looking for.
Previous Pick: Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
10. Denver Broncos - Drew Lock, QB,
Missouri
Lock is a big quarterback, who owns a cannon for an arm and has
no business being selected in the top-10 of this draft. That’s
the exact reason John Elway will pull the trigger on him. Elway
loves quarterbacks with size and powerful arms. He tends to ignore
the red flags, such as a career 56.9% completion percentage at
Missouri. The Broncos recently traded for Joe
Flacco, but he simply isn’t the long term answer. While he
may be a one or two year starter to allow Denver to wait until
a better quarterback class, that seems somewhat unlikely. Quarterbacks
are generally overdrafted, even in weak classes. Lock has the
exact profile Elway tends to look for in a quarterback, and there
have already been reports that this pick is a near “lock.” Keep
in mind, even though Lock comes with substantial risk, he also
comes with quite a bit of upside if he can reach his ceiling.
Previous Pick: Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
11. Cincinnati Bengals - Devin Bush,
LB, Michigan
As noted in my last mock, the
Bengals need help at middle linebacker. I mocked Devin White to
them, but he has since moved up in value. Bush is another athletic
middle linebacker, who can play from sideline-to-sideline. He
has a few similarities to White, making this pick rather easy.
In two full seasons with Michigan, Bush posted 161 tackles, including
10.0 sacks and 18.5 tackles for a loss. Bush likely won’t
end up being the difference maker that White will be, but he can
be a solid starter for years to come.
Previous Pick: Devin White, LB, LSU
12. Green Bay Packers - Montez Sweat,
DE, Mississippi State
The Packers have made multiple signings this offseason, but they
are still in need of a pass rusher of the future. Sweat was known
for his acceleration and athleticism prior to the NFL Combine,
but teams are now drooling over his measurables after testing
out at an elite level. He’s a player that knows how to use
his length well, while also utilizing multiple pass rushing moves.
Over his final two seasons at Mississippi State, Sweat recorded
30.0 tackles for a loss and 22.5 sacks. Sweat could potentially
be a top-five pick because of his measurables, but he reported
has a minor heart condition that could bump him down boards a
bit.
Previous Pick: Jachai Polite, DE, Florida
13. Miami Dolphins - Kyler Murray,
QB, Oklahoma
This is the sexy pick across the industry, and it makes quite
a bit of sense. Ryan
Tannehill is on his way out and Miami will need to find a
replacement. There have been talks that the Dolphins are interested
in tanking to find their quarterback of the future in the next
draft or two, but that’s a bold proposition for any head coach.
Murray started 14 games for Oklahoma this season, throwing for
4,361 yards, 42 touchdowns, and only seven interceptions. He also
ran for 1,001 yards and 12 touchdowns on 140 rush attempts. He
has game-changer potential, and the NFL is seemingly moving towards
dual-threat quarterbacks. Murray could have potentially been the
first quarterback taken if he had committed strictly to playing
in the NFL sooner or with more conviction, but Miami is a losing
franchise that will take a chance on a boom or bust prospect.
I would like to note that I don’t truly believe Murray goes
in this exact slot, as Miami will have to trade up, but I’m
not projecting trades in this draft.
Previous Pick: Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
14. Atlanta Falcons - Ed Oliver, DT,
Houston
The Falcons are a team that has a clear need along the interior
defense line. Ed Oliver arguably has the talent to be a top-five
draft pick, but that may not happen after an injury-riddled season.
Through 32 career games, Oliver posted 13.5 sacks and 53.0 tackles
for a loss. He’s a small defensive tackle, but uses his
speed and athleticism to make up for his lack of size. He also
owns an elite motor, displaying the ability to chase plays down
from the back side. Through his time at Houston, Oliver flashed
the ability to be a difference-maker in both the run and pass
game. If he isn’t getting to the quarterback, he’s
getting his hands in the passing lanes. We’ve seen undersized
defensive tackles find success in the NFL before, and Oliver could
be next.
Previous Pick: Christian Wilkins, DT, Clemson
15. Washington Redskins - D.K. Metcalf,
WR, Ole Miss
This pick assumes that Metcalf’s medical checks out, as is expected.
He missed part of last season with a neck injury, and only played
in 19 total games since 2017. In those games, he recorded 65 receptions
for 1,215 yards and 14 touchdowns, although he was never truly
the WR1 on his team. Metcalf is a player that projects well in
the NFL as he features a WR1 body with speed and solid hands.
He’ll continue to work on route running as he progresses as a
player, but he comes with more upside than any receiver in this
draft, including his former teammate, A.J. Brown. This upside
was on full display at the NFL Combine, as he posted unbelievable
numbers, similar to players like Julio
Jones. It doesn’t seem like NFL teams are overly worried
with his medicals, as well. That’s exactly what the Washington
Redskins need as they have been without a true WR1 for quite some
time.
Thompson isn’t the safest prospect on the board, but he fills
a glaring hole in the Panthers defense. They will be forced to
address the safety position this offseason, and drafting the best
one in the class is far from a bad idea. He has versatility at
the position, as he can play center field or move into the box.
He also displayed good ball skills, recording two interceptions
and six deflections last season. Thompson is a willing tackler,
but needs to find more consistency in that department. While he
may not be everyone’s favorite pick here, it makes sense for Carolina
to address this position with this selection.
Previous Pick: Deionte Thompson, S, Alabama
17. New York Giants - Jawaan Taylor,
OT, Florida
The Giants have been working on their offensive line, adding Nate
Solder, Will Hernandez, and Kevin Zeiter since last offseason.
They still need to add a right tackle, although they could upgrade
Solder, who underperformed last season. Some believe that Jawaan
Taylor is the best tackle in this draft, as he displayed dominant
traits during his time at Florida. He has solid hands with quick
burst, and has flashed the ability to play left tackle in the
NFL. Regardless of whether he finds himself on the left or right
side of the Giants line, he can help protect their franchise quarterback
for years to come, while also helping Saquon
Barkley in the run game.
Previous Pick: Dre’Mont Jones, DT, Ohio State (Cleveland
Browns)
18. Minnesota Vikings - Greg Little,
OT, Ole Miss
The Vikings were considered one of the favorites to win the Super
Bowl prior to the start of last season, but a struggling offensive
line quickly ended their hopes. They have a relatively complete
roster, but will need to upgrade their offensive line if they
want to make a run this season. Little is a versatile player,
who has the potential to play their tackle position, while also
being able to kick into guard. He has the quickness to keep up
with speed rushers, while he has enough power to slow down bull-rushers,
although he has struggled more with the latter. Little will likely
slide into the left tackle position for Minnesota, giving Kirk
Cousins a bit more blindside protection.
Previous Pick: Greg Little, OT, Ole Miss
19. Tennessee Titans - Clelin Ferrell,
DE, Clemson
Ferrell is a player that is seemingly dropping down draft boards
because of question marks about his athletic abilities. He was
recently seen as a top-10 pick though, and this would be a relatively
large drop off. He was a major part of Clemson’s national
championship teams, while recording 21.0 sacks and 38.0 tackles
for a loss over his last 29 games. He has displayed multiple pass
rush moves throughout his career, specifically using great acceleration.
Ferrell will need to continue to develop as a run stopper, but
he can take over as a 3-4 OLB for the Tennessee Titans.
Previous Pick: Montez Sweat, DE, Mississippi State
Is this a reach? Most likely. Does it make sense? Absolutely.
Wilson found plenty of success in 14 games at Alabama last season,
totaling 65 tackles, 4.5 tackles for a loss, and 1.0 sack. He
also recorded two interceptions with five deflections. He’s a
three-down linebacker that has sideline-to-sideline ability. Wilson
should be able to find success in both the pass and run game,
as he diagnoses plays well, and trusts his instincts. He’s a safe
option for a team that needs inside linebacker help, but doesn’t
truly come with the upside of some other players available. Regardless,
a safe option that will fill a void makes sense over potential
upside at this part of the draft.
Previous Pick: Mack Wilson, ILB, Alabama
21. Seattle Seahawks - Byron Murphy,
CB, Washington
The Seahawks featured one of the worst secondaries in the NFL
last season, and they’re going to need to address the position
in this draft. With Greedy Williams off the board, they will have
their pick between Byron Murphy and Deandre Baker. Murphy is a
versatile cornerback, who has the ability to play outside or in
the slot. He has flashed the ability to press or play off, as
well. Furthermore, Murphy has found plenty of success in both
man and zone at Washington. In his final collegiate season, he
recorded four interceptions and 13 pass deflections. Murphy’s
ceiling is a CB1, who can shadow opposing WR1s, but his size could
be an issue against larger receivers in the NFL.
Previous Pick: Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
22. Baltimore Ravens - Kelvin Harmon,
WR, NC State
The Ravens are expected to select a receiver with this pick, but
there are a multitude of options for them to consider. N’Keal
Harry and A.J. Brown may be the two most likely with D.K. Metcalf
off the board, but I’m slotting Harmon into this spot. He has
been climbing up the draft boards throughout the season, totaling
81 receptions for 1,186 yards and seven touchdowns in 12 games
at North Carolina State. He has a WR1 body with tremendous hands.
He won’t necessarily take the top off of defenses every play,
but he does come with some deep threat potential. He’ll more or
less be a safe intermediate receiver for Lamar
Jackson to continue to develop. While Harry and Brown both
come with more upside than Harmon, he’s the safer pick, who will
immediately add to this offense.
Previous Pick: Kelvin Harmon, WR, NC State
23. Houston Texans - Cody Ford, OG,
Oklahoma
Deshaun Watson was under pressure as much as any quarterback in
the NFL last season, and the Texans are going to need to address
that in this draft. Ford is a player that seemingly brings a high
floor and an even higher ceiling into the equation. He can immediately
slide into their starting lineup as a guard, while cross-training
his skills as a tackle. He doesn’t necessarily have elite size
for the outside, but he owns a great first step combined with
tremendous power. Ford also uses his hands extremely well, which
is why he projects to play tackle in the long run. He also features
the athleticism that can help him get down the field to the second
level after his initial blocks. This isn’t necessarily a sexy
pick, but it’s the most logical for Houston.
Previous Pick: Cody Ford, OG, Oklahoma
24. Oakland Raiders - Noah Fant, TE,
Iowa
The Raiders are a team looking to ooze upside. They also need
help at the tight end position, as Jared
Cook looks primed to sign with the New Orleans Saints. Oakland
has added multiple pass catchers for Derek
Carr, and adding a tight end is the next step for their offense.
He needed only 39 receptions last season at Iowa to post seven
touchdowns, and he can immediately make a difference in the red
zone for Oakland. Fant will also create mismatches for a team
that has Antonio
Brown to draw double-coverage. Fant needs to improve in the
run game, but Oakland will likely be leaning heavily on the pass
this season.
Previous Pick: A.J. Brown, WR, Ole Miss
25. Philadelphia Eagles - Andre Dillard,
OT, Washington State
Dillard is a player that has as many pass blocking reps as anyone
in the draft class. He played for a pass heavy Washington State
offense, which has allowed him to nearly perfect his craft. He’s
arguably the best pass blocker in this class, but he’ll
need coaching to improve on his run blocking. Still, Dillard has
all of the makings of a left tackle, and Philadelphia could be
the perfect situation. He could sit behind Jason Peters and Lane
Johnson at both tackle positions, learning from two of the best
in the NFL. Peters is nearing the end of his career, and this
would allow Philly to slide in someone that feels comfortable
in their offense.
Previous Pick: Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson
26. Indianapolis Colts - Christian
Wilkins, DT, Clemson
The Colts aren’t a team that has a ton of needs, but the
interior defensive line is one of them. Clemson’s players
were three of the biggest “losers” in my new mock
draft, as they fell quite a bit. Wilkins is a massive, NFL-ready
player, who can slide into the starting line on day one. Some
believe he can slide to defensive end if need be, but he’ll
likely stay at defensive tackle for Indianapolis. Over his last
three seasons, Wilkins has totaled 36.0 tackles for a loss and
14.0 sacks. He isn’t a sexy player, but he’ll make
everyone along the defensive line better for the Colts.
Previous Pick: N’Keal Harry, WR, Arizona State
27. Oakland Raiders - Deandre Baker,
CB, Georgia
This hasn’t been the Oakland Raiders M.O. in this draft, but with
three picks, they don’t have to stick to one plan. Deandre Baker
isn’t seen as a high upside prospect, but he is seen as one of
the safest in this draft. He comes with relatively average size,
and tremendous speed. He has the ability to play at the line or
off coverage, but he has looked significantly better in man. That
doesn’t necessarily mean he can’t play zone, though. He simply
uses his speed better in man, which may end up with him generally
guarding receivers that are looking to take the top off of defenses.
Baker likely will never turn into a shadow cornerback, but he’ll
be a starter in the NFL for years to come, which is something
Oakland needs at this point.
Previous Pick: Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia
28. Los Angeles Chargers - Nasir Adderley,
S, Delaware
Adderley is a smaller school prospect, who comes with tremendous
upside. He’s a safety that has the ability to play center field,
taking away opposing deep threats with his ball-hawking potential.
He can also move up in the box and help with run support. As if
that isn’t enough, Adderley has the potential to slide over to
corner with very little issues. The Chargers could certainly use
another safety to lean on, and Adderley makes their elite secondary
that much better. This is a defense filled with chess pieces,
and Adderley will fit right in a potential game-changing role.
Previous Pick: Nasir Adderley, S, Delaware
29. Kansas City Chiefs - Jeffery
Simmons, DE, Mississippi State
Simmons was a lock to be selected inside the top-15 of this draft,
but off-field issues, including a confrontation with a woman and
a recent injury have hurt his stock. He was an elite player over
his final 26 games at Mississippi State, totaling 30.0 tackles
for a loss and 7.0 sacks over that span. He also added five pass
deflections and three forced fumbles in those games for good measure.
He’s a potential difference-maker on the defensive line, and the
Chiefs are a team that need defensive help. They’re also a team
that is focused heavily on offense, and will be willing to wait
for Simmons to get healthy to incorporate him in their defense.
They have also proven that they’re willing to take chances on
players with shaky pasts, and Simmons is a steal at this pick
from a talent perspective.
Previous Pick: Jeffery Simmons, DE, Mississippi State
30. Green Bay Packers - N’Keal
Harry, WR, Arizona State
The Packers drafted three wide receivers one year ago, and they
have flashed some promise. None were high picks though, meaning
they don’t need to force them into the starting lineup. They have
a much larger need at tight end, but with Hockenson and Fant off
the board, they may have to settle for a play-maker elsewhere.
N’Keal Harry is arguably the best receiver in this class because
of his ball skills. He doesn’t create elite separation, but generally
comes down with contested catches. He needs a confident quarterback
like Aaron Rodgers,
who will throw him the ball in tight spaces and let him make a
play. This pick reminds me a bit of Jordy
Nelson, who often times utilized strong hands to come down
with receptions. Harry has also posted 155 receptions for 2,230
yards and 17 touchdowns over his last two season at Arizona State,
and he could bring that production in the NFL in his first season.
Previous Pick: T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
31. Los Angeles Rams - Dre’Mont
Jones, DT, Ohio State
The Rams added to their pass rush by signing Clay
Matthews this offseason, but now they need to address the
hole Ndamukong
Suh is leaving at defensive tackle. Dre’Mont is an undersized
prospect, who wins with athleticism and hustle. Some have compared
him to a lesser version of Aaron
Donald, and allowing him to learn from the best in the NFL
would only help his future ceiling. In his final season at Ohio
State, Jones recorded 13.0 tackles for a loss and 8.5 sacks. It
may not work having two “undersized” defensive tackles on the
field, but imagine two Aaron Donald’s staring at your quarterback.
Previous Pick: Brian Burns, EDGE, Florida State
32. New England Patriots - A.J. Brown,
WR, Ole Miss
The Patriots have a need at tight end now that Rob
Gronkowski has decided to retire for the time being but with
Hockenson and Fant off the board, they can fill a different void.
While they tend to make due, New England certainly has a need
at wide receiver. A.J. Brown was seen as the best receiver in
this class by some, but he has seemingly slipped down boards a
bit. Over his last 23 games, he owns 160 receptions for 2,572
yards and 17 touchdowns. He is an NFL-sized receiver, who utilizes
agility and power in his routes and after the catch. He also owns
tremendous hands, while flashing the potential to play either
in the slot or outside. Brown is another dominant chess piece
that New England would be able to create multiple mismatches with.