Game Preview - Divisional Playoffs: San Diego Chargers at Indianapolis Colts

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Divisional Playoffs

Regular Season:	Week 1 \| 2 \| 3 \| 4 \| 5 \| 6 \| 7 \| 8 \| 9 \| 10 \| 11 \| 12 \| 13 \| 14 \| 15 \| 16 \| 17
Playoffs:	Wild-Card \| Divisional Playoffs \| Conference Championships \| Super Bowl

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42

20
31

28
24

21
17

Game Preview
Mike Krueger

Predicted Score: Colts 28, Chargers 13

Indianapolis: Thanks to the Patriots perfect regular season, the defending Super Bowl champs are flying under the radar with little pressure to repeat their championship season… a great spot to be in. Another great spot to be in is playing the Chargers at home with payback on your mind. One of the Colts' three loses this season came against San Diego (21-23) in an odd game that featured six interceptions by Peyton Manning and a 29-yd field goal miss by Adam Vinatieri all with Marvin Harrison, Dallas Clark, and Anthony Gonzalez on the sideline. Indianapolis has overcome significant injury problems this season including losing defensive end Dwight Freeney but the return of Marvin Harrison this week will be a boost for Peyton Manning and just one more problem for the Chargers to loose sleep over. And don't forget about the Colts defense, which gave up the fewest points in the league (16.4 points per game) and only two rushing touchdowns at home this season. Paybacks are a #@#@.

Start: QB Peyton Manning, RB Joseph Addai, WR Reggie Wayne, TE Dallas Clark
Consider: WR Anthony Gonzalez
Sit: WR Marvin Harrison

San Diego: Sure the Chargers beat the Colts this season but that aberration coupled with the struggle to beat an injury-riddled Titans team last week doesn't impress me much. Throw in the fact that Antonio Gates will likely miss this game with a dislocated big toe and the word "blowout" comes to mind real quick. The Chargers are putting on a happy face saying Gates "is making progress" in rehab but don't be shocked when Brandon Manumaleuna trots out on the field for San Diego's first offensive possession. With Gates on the sidelines, more pressure will be heaped on LaDainian Tomlinson who the Colts will surely key on, meaning Philip Rivers will have to make plays with Chris Chambers and Vincent Jackson to keep this game respectable. A tough task consider Indianapolis has one of the best pass defenses in the league (172.8 yds/game) never allowing a quarterback to throw for more than 260 yards in any game.

Start: RB LaDainian Tomlinson, WR Chris Chambers,
Consider: QB Philip Rivers, WR Vincent Jackson
Sit: TE Antonio Gates, WR Craig Davis, Chargers D/ST

Krueger's Rankings/Projections

San Diego Chargers
Rank	Player	Projections
QB 8	Philip Rivers	Pass: 220, 1 Rush: 0, 0
RB 3	LaDainian Tomlinson	Rush: 75, 0 Rec: 5-35, 0
WR 5	Chris Chambers	Rec: 6-90, 1
WR 19	Vincent Jackson	Rec: 3-45, 0
TE 6	Brandon Manumaleuna	Rec: 3-30, 0

Indianapolis Colts
Rank	Player	Projections
QB 2	Peyton Manning	Pass: 265, 2 Rush: 0, 0
RB 1	Joseph Addai	Rush: 95, 1 Rec: 4-25, 0
WR 3	Reggie Wayne	Rec: 8-100, 1
WR 15	Marvin Harrison	Rec: 4-50, 0
WR 21	Anthony Gonzalez	Rec: 3-35, 0
TE 2	Dallas Clark	Rec: 4-45, 1

View all Divisional Playoffs Rankings or Projections

Past Results and Remaining Schedule

San Diego Chargers
Week	Date	Opp	H/A	Score	Dif
1	2007-09-09	CHI	H	W 14-3	+11
2	2007-09-16	NE	A	L 14-38	-24
3	2007-09-23	GB	A	L 24-31	-7
4	2007-09-30	KC	H	L 16-30	-14
5	2007-10-07	DEN	A	W 41-3	+38
6	2007-10-14	OAK	H	W 28-14	+14
7		Bye
8	2007-10-28	HOU	H	W 35-10	+25
9	2007-11-04	MIN	A	L 17-35	-18
10	2007-11-11	IND	H	W 23-21	+2
11	2007-11-18	JAC	A	L 17-24	-7
12	2007-11-25	BAL	H	W 32-14	+18
13	2007-12-02	KC	A	W 24-10	+14
14	2007-12-09	TEN	A	W 23-17	+6
15	2007-12-16	DET	H	W 51-14	+37
16	2007-12-24	DEN	H	W 23-3	+20
17	2007-12-30	OAK	A	W 30-17	+13
WC	2008-01-06	TEN	H	W 17-6	+11
DP	2008-01-13	IND	A	W 28-24	+4
CC	2008-01-20	NE	A

Indianapolis Colts
Week	Date	Opp	H/A	Score	Dif
1	2007-09-06	NO	H	W 41-10	+31
2	2007-09-16	TEN	A	W 22-20	+2
3	2007-09-23	HOU	A	W 30-24	+6
4	2007-09-30	DEN	H	W 38-20	+18
5	2007-10-07	TB	H	W 33-14	+19
6		Bye
7	2007-10-22	JAC	A	W 29-7	+22
8	2007-10-28	CAR	A	W 31-7	+24
9	2007-11-04	NE	H	L 20-24	-4
10	2007-11-11	SD	A	L 21-23	-2
11	2007-11-18	KC	H	W 13-10	+3
12	2007-11-22	ATL	A	W 31-13	+18
13	2007-12-02	JAC	H	W 28-25	+3
14	2007-12-09	BAL	A	W 44-20	+24
15	2007-12-16	OAK	A	W 21-14	+7
16	2007-12-23	HOU	H	W 38-15	+23
17	2007-12-30	TEN	H	L 10-16	-6
WC		Bye
DP	2008-01-13	SD	H	L 24-28	-4

Offense Stats Comparison

	SD Offense	IND Offense	NFL Average
Points for	27.3	29.5	22.4
Rushing yards	151.5	74.5	113.4
Rushing yards per attempt	4.46	3.31	4.13
Completion %	58.9%	67.3%	60.0%
Passing yards	165.3	266.3	210.8
Passing yards per completion	10.13	11.40	10.44
Passing yards per attempt	5.96	7.68	6.27
Interceptions	0.3	0.5	1.1
Fumbles lost	0.3	0.3	0.7
Sacked	1.5	1.8	2.1

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2007 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.

Defense Stats Comparison

	SD Defense	IND Defense	NFL Average
Points against	13.8	16.3	22.4
Rushing yards	89.5	114.3	113.4
Rushing yards per attempt	3.71	3.64	4.13
Completion %	57.5%	65.4%	60.0%
Passing yards	165.3	189.8	210.8
Passing yards per completion	9.01	9.26	10.44
Passing yards per attempt	5.18	6.06	6.27
INT return	2.0	1.5	1.1
Fumble recoveries	1.3	0.8	0.7
Sacks	3.5	1.5	2.1

Weather

Dome stadium

Team vs. Team History

San Diego Chargers vs. Indianapolis Colts
Season	Week	Date	Vis	Home	Score	Winner
2004	16	2004-12-26	SD	IND	31-34	IND
2005	15	2005-12-18	SD	IND	26-17	SD
2007	10	2007-11-11	IND	SD	21-23	SD

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2006 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.

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