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Denver Broncos at New England Patriots - Week 5
Game Preview

Fantasy | Game Notes | Results & Schedule | Injury Report | Stat Comparisons | Weather | Team vs. Team History

ARI
STL		 3
 17
PrePost
PHI
PIT		 14
 16
PrePost
MIA
CIN		 17
 13
PrePost
GB
IND		 27
 30
PrePost
CLE
NYG		 27
 41
PrePost
BAL
KC		 9
 6
PrePost
ATL
WAS		 24
 17
PrePost
TEN
MIN		 7
 30
PrePost
CHI
JAC		 41
 3
PrePost
SEA
CAR		 16
 12
PrePost
DEN
NE		 21
 31
PrePost
BUF
SF		 3
 45
PrePost
SD
NO		 24
 31
PrePost
HOU
NYJ		 23
 17
PrePost
    

Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17
Playoffs: Wild-Card | Divisional Playoffs | Conference Championships | Super Bowl

Final Score Prediction

Patriots 37, Broncos 30

Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger
Denver Broncos
Rank  Player Projections
QB 8 Peyton Manning Pass: 310, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 20 Willis McGahee Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 7 Demaryius Thomas Rec: 7-100, 1 TD
WR 15 Eric Decker Rec: 7-90, 1 TD
WR 56 Brandon Stokley Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 18 Jacob Tamme Rec: 4-40, 0 TD
TE 27 Joel Dreessen Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
K 4 Matt Prater FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3
DEF 28 Defense / ST  
View all Week 5 Rankings or Projections
  
New England Patriots
Rank  Player Projections
QB 5 Tom Brady Pass: 290, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 13 Stevan Ridley Rush: 90, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 44 Danny Woodhead Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
RB 48 Brandon Bolden Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 6 Brandon Lloyd Rec: 7-100, 1 TD
WR 14 Wes Welker Rec: 8-90, 1 TD
TE 2 Rob Gronkowski Rec: 5-70, 1 TD
K 1 Stephen Gostkowski FG: 3/3 XP: 4/4
DEF 23 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Broncos Have won 5 of past 7 at NE... QB Peyton Manning has 4 TDs in each of past 2 vs. NE. Registered 65th career game with 300+ passing yards (338) last week, most in NFL history. In past 2, Manning has 668 passing yards with 5 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 103.4 rating... RB Willis McGahee averages 90.7 rush yards per game on road as Bronco (816 yards in 9 gms). Posted 32nd career 100-yard rush game (112) last week, most among active players... WR Demaryius Thomas had 7 catches for 116 yards (16.6 avg.) in only reg. season meeting vs. NE. Recorded 4th 100-yard receiving game of career last week. In past 2, WR Eric Decker is averaging 107.5 rec. yards per game (215 total)... TE Joel Dreessen aims for 3rd straight game with TD catch. In last game vs. NE (w/ Hou. on 1/3/10), had 6 catches for 81 yards (13.5 avg.) with 1 TD... LB Elvis Dumervil has 2.5 sacks in past 2... S Mike Adams leads team with 8 passes defensed.

Patriots In past 3 wins vs. Den. (incl. playoffs), NE averaged 42.3 points per game (41, 41, 45)... QB Tom Brady has thrown TD pass in 36 consecutive games, tied with BRETT FAVRE (2002-04) for 3rd-longest streak in NFL history. Brady (48) needs 300-yard passing game to tie HOFer WARREN MOON (49) for 7th-most in NFL history. In past 2 vs. Den. (incl. playoffs), Brady has 10 TDs vs. 1 INT & 137.6 rating... NE became 2nd team in NFL history with 300-yard passer (Brady, 340 yards), 2 100-yard rushers (Brandon Bolden, 137 & Stevan Ridley, 106) & 2 100-yard receivers (Wes Welker, 129 & Rob Gronkowski, 104) last week... WR Wes Welker aims for 3rd straight game with 8+ rec. & 100+ yards. Since '07, Welker leads NFL with 579 rec. WR Brandon Lloyd had career-best in rec. (77) & rec. yards (1,448) w/Den in '10... TE Rob Gronkowski recorded 30th TD catch in 36th game last week, fewest in NFL history by TE to 30... CB Devin McCourty tied career-high with 2 INTs last week. S Tavon Wilson leads NFL rookies with 2 INTs... LB Rob Ninkovich has 3.5 sacks in 3 career games vs. Den. (incl. postseason).


Results and Schedule
Denver Broncos
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2012-09-09 PIT H W 31-19 +12
2 2012-09-17 ATL A L 21-27 -6
3 2012-09-23 HOU H L 25-31 -6
4 2012-09-30 OAK H W 37-6 +31
5 2012-10-07 NE A L 21-31 -10
6 2012-10-15 SD A    
7   Bye      
8 2012-10-28 NO H    
9 2012-11-04 CIN A    
10 2012-11-11 CAR A    
11 2012-11-18 SD H    
12 2012-11-25 KC A    
13 2012-12-02 TB H    
14 2012-12-06 OAK A    
15 2012-12-16 BAL A    
16 2012-12-23 CLE H    
17 2012-12-30 KC H    
   
New England Patriots
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2012-09-09 TEN A W 34-13 +21
2 2012-09-16 ARI H L 18-20 -2
3 2012-09-23 BAL A L 30-31 -1
4 2012-09-30 BUF A W 52-28 +24
5 2012-10-07 DEN H W 31-21 +10
6 2012-10-14 SEA A    
7 2012-10-21 NYJ H    
8 2012-10-28 STL A    
9   Bye      
10 2012-11-11 BUF H    
11 2012-11-18 IND H    
12 2012-11-22 NYJ A    
13 2012-12-02 MIA A    
14 2012-12-10 HOU H    
15 2012-12-16 SF H    
16 2012-12-23 JAC A    
17 2012-12-30 MIA H    

Injury Report
Denver Broncos
Probable  MLB Nate Irving (concussion)
 CB Tracy Porter (shoulder)
 WR Matt Willis (hamstring)
IR  SS Quinton Carter (knee, 9/29)
 DE Jason Hunter (triceps, 8/27)
 DT Ty Warren (triceps, 9/11)
   
New England Patriots
Out  WR Julian Edelman (hand)
 FS Steve Gregory (hip)
Questionable  RB Brandon Bolden (knee)
 DE Brandon Deaderick (ankle)
 TE Rob Gronkowski (hip)
 TE Aaron Hernandez (ankle)
 OLB Dont'a Hightower (hamstring)
 TE Michael Hoomanawanui (concussion)
 RB Shane Vereen (foot)
Probable  QB Tom Brady (shoulder)
 DT Kyle Love (knee)
IR  CB Will Allen (undisclosed, 8/27)
 SS Josh Barrett (undisclosed, 8/27)
 MLB Dane Fletcher (knee, 8/15)
 FB Spencer Larsen (undisclosed, 8/27)
 TE Visanthe Shiancoe (hamstring, 9/5)
PUP  DT Myron Pryor (shoulder)

Offense Stats Comparison
  DEN
 Offense 		 NE
 Offense 		 NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Points for 28.5 33.5 23.7 NE
Rushing yards 109.0 144.0 109.9 NE
Rushing yards per attempt 3.86 4.20 4.09 NE
Completion % 64.3% 65.6% 62.2% NE
Passing yards 278.0 294.3 243.5 NE
Passing yards per completion 11.23 11.65 11.06 NE
Passing yards per attempt 7.22 7.64 6.88 NE
Interceptions 0.8 0.3 0.9 NE
Fumbles lost 1.0 0.5 0.7 NE
Sacks allowed 2.0 2.0 2.3 -
3rd down conversions 46.3% 41.5% 37.9% DEN
4th down conversions 66.7% 0.0% 60.9% DEN
Time of possession 29:30 31:08 30:18 NE
  Defense Stats Comparison
  DEN
 Defense 		 NE
 Defense 		 NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Points against 20.8 23.0 23.7 DEN
Rushing yards 87.5 86.0 109.9 NE
Rushing yards per attempt 3.37 3.37 4.09 -
Completion % 58.6% 63.5% 62.2% DEN
Passing yards 220.5 281.5 243.5 DEN
Passing yards per completion 10.76 11.98 11.06 DEN
Passing yards per attempt 6.30 7.61 6.88 DEN
INT return 0.5 1.5 0.9 NE
Fumble recoveries 0.3 1.3 0.7 NE
Sacks 2.5 1.5 2.3 DEN
3rd down conversions 41.4% 41.2% 37.9% NE
4th down conversions 50.0% 33.3% 60.9% NE
Time of possession 30:30 28:52 30:18 NE

Special Teams Stats Comparison
   DEN   NE  NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Yards per punt return 7.4 11.0 10.6 NE
Yards per kick return 21.0 22.8 24.7 NE
Yards allowed per punt return 5.7 7.3 10.6 DEN
Yards allowed per kick return 18.5 23.2 24.7 DEN
  Misc Stats Comparison
   DEN   NE  NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Penalties 6.8 5.5 6.5 NE
Penalty yards 62.5 43.3 57.5 NE

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 1 to 4 of the 2012 season with no adjustment. Once more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 weeks results and deduct the best and worst value from the data set.

Weather

Team vs. Team History
Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 5 2000-10-01 NE DEN 28-19 NE
2001 7 2001-10-28 NE DEN 20-31 DEN
2002 8 2002-10-27 DEN NE 24-16 DEN
2003 9 2003-11-03 NE DEN 30-26 NE
2005 6 2005-10-16 NE DEN 20-28 DEN
2005 DP 2006-01-14 NE DEN 13-27 DEN
2006 3 2006-09-24 DEN NE 17-7 DEN
2008 7 2008-10-20 DEN NE 7-41 NE
2009 5 2009-10-11 NE DEN 17-20 DEN
2011 15 2011-12-18 NE DEN 41-23 NE
2011 DP 2012-01-14 DEN NE 10-45 NE

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff