Prediction: Falcons 27, Buccaneers 23
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Atlanta Falcons |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 6 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 285, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 18 |
Steven Jackson |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
| RB 38 |
Antone Smith  |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 1-15, 0 |
| RB 49 |
Devonta Freeman |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 56 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 4 |
Julio Jones  |
Rec: 7-95, 1 TD |
| WR 21 |
Roddy White |
Rec: 6-70, 1 TD |
| WR 60 |
Harry Douglas |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| TE 25 |
Levine Toilolo |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
| K 16 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 19 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 24 |
Josh McCown |
Pass: 245, 1 TD Rush: 5, 0 |
| RB 11 |
Bobby Rainey |
Rush: 75, 1 TD Rec: 3-25, 0 |
| RB 48 |
Charles Sims |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 26 |
Mike Evans |
Rec: 6-65, 1 TD |
| WR 29 |
Vincent Jackson |
Rec: 5-65, 0 TD |
| WR 59 |
Louis Murphy |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| TE 16 |
Austin Seferian-Jenkins |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| K 15 |
Patrick Murray |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 22 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Falcons QB Matt Ryan has won 9 of past 12 vs. TB. In past 6 meetings, Ryan has 113.4 rating. In last meeting, had 87.5 comp. pct., 286 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs & 155.9 rating. When he starts & has 100+ rating, team is 36-3 (.923)... RB Steven Jackson has rushed for 100+ yards or TD in 4 of past 5 meetings. RB Antone Smith aims for 3rd in row vs. TB with TD run (50 & 38 yards). Rookie RB Devonta Freeman had 1st career TD catch in Week 8... In last meeting, WR Julio Jones had 9 catches for 161 yards & 2 TDs. In 5 meetings, has 28 catches for 555 yards (111 per game) & 5 TDs. WR Roddy White had TD in last game at TB. WR Harry Douglas aims for 5th in row vs. TB with TD. WR-PR Devin Hester had 62-yard PR-TD & 20-yard rush TD in last meeting. Hester & Douglas (11/23/08) are only 2 in team history with PR & rush TD in same game... S Kemal Ishmael had INT-TD in last meeting. CB Robert Alford has 3 INTs in past 2. DE Osi Umenyiora had 2 sacks in last game at TB.
 Buccaneers In only home start vs. Atl., QB Mike Glennon completed 20 of 23 (87 pct.) for 231 yards with 2 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 137.5 rating... RB Doug Martin has 3 rush TDs in past 3 meetings. In last home game vs. Atl., RB Bobby Rainey rushed for 163 yards & scored 3 TDs (2 rush, 1 rec.). Had 121 scrimmage yards (87 rush, 34 rec.) last week... Rookie WR Mike Evans had career-high 7 catches, 124 yards & 2 TDs last week. Has 4 TDs in past 4. WR Vincent Jackson aims for 4th in row vs. Atl. with TD catch. In past 3 vs. TB, has 22 catches for 318 yards (106 per game) & 4 TDs. Had 10 catches for 165 yards & TD in last home meeting. Among active players (min. 400 catches), has NFL-best 17.2 rec. avg... DT Gerald McCoy had career-high 3 sacks in last home game vs. Atl. Has 3 sacks in past 2 & 12 sacks in past 15. Since 2013, LB Lavonte David is only player in NFL with 200+ tackles (233), 5+ sacks (7) & 5+ INTs (5). LB Danny Lansanah had 27-yard INT-TD in last meeting. LB Mason Foster had 37-yard INT-TD in last home game vs. Atl.
Results and Schedule
| Atlanta Falcons |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
NO |
H |
W 37-34 |
+3 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
CIN |
A |
L 10-24 |
-14 |
| 3 |
2014-09-18 |
TB |
H |
W 56-14 |
+42 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
MIN |
A |
L 28-41 |
-13 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
NYG |
A |
L 20-30 |
-10 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
CHI |
H |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
BAL |
A |
L 7-29 |
-22 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
DET |
H |
L 21-22 |
-1 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
TB |
A |
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
ARI |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-08 |
GB |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
NO |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
CAR |
H |
L 14-20 |
-6 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
STL |
H |
L 17-19 |
-2 |
| 3 |
2014-09-18 |
ATL |
A |
L 14-56 |
-42 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
PIT |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
NO |
A |
L 31-37 |
-6 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
BAL |
H |
L 17-48 |
-31 |
| 7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
MIN |
H |
L 13-19 |
-6 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
CLE |
A |
L 17-22 |
-5 |
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
WAS |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
DET |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
GB |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
NO |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
ATL
Offense |
TB
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
18.0 |
20.3 |
24.0 |
TB |
| Rushing yards |
78.7 |
73.0 |
109.3 |
ATL |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.09 |
3.66 |
4.12 |
ATL |
| Completion % |
62.9% |
55.6% |
62.5% |
ATL |
| Passing yards |
248.7 |
259.0 |
248.8 |
TB |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.16 |
12.23 |
11.20 |
TB |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.39 |
6.79 |
7.00 |
TB |
| Interceptions |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
- |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
- |
| Sacks allowed |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
ATL |
| 3rd down conversions |
37.5% |
29.3% |
40.7% |
ATL |
| 4th down conversions |
28.6% |
33.3% |
46.4% |
TB |
| Time of possession |
27:21 |
28:17 |
30:12 |
TB |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
ATL
Defense |
TB
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
28.7 |
27.7 |
24.0 |
TB |
| Rushing yards |
119.0 |
107.3 |
109.3 |
TB |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.99 |
3.84 |
4.12 |
TB |
| Completion % |
61.2% |
64.5% |
62.5% |
ATL |
| Passing yards |
296.7 |
297.0 |
248.8 |
ATL |
| Passing yards per completion |
13.95 |
11.43 |
11.20 |
TB |
| Passing yards per attempt |
8.54 |
7.37 |
7.00 |
TB |
| INT return |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
TB |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
- |
| Sacks |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
TB |
| 3rd down conversions |
49.3% |
43.5% |
40.7% |
TB |
| 4th down conversions |
100.0% |
66.7% |
46.4% |
TB |
| Time of possession |
32:39 |
32:21 |
30:12 |
TB |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
ATL |
TB |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
10.6 |
10.7 |
9.1 |
TB |
| Yards per kick return |
18.3 |
24.1 |
24.0 |
TB |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
7.0 |
5.0 |
9.1 |
TB |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
23.6 |
26.8 |
24.0 |
ATL |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
ATL |
TB |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
6.0 |
7.3 |
6.8 |
ATL |
| Penalty yards |
59.3 |
48.3 |
56.0 |
TB |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 4 to 9 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 4 to 9 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
10 |
2000-11-05 |
TB |
ATL |
27-14 |
TB |
| 2002 |
5 |
2002-10-06 |
TB |
ATL |
20-6 |
TB |
| 2002 |
14 |
2002-12-08 |
ATL |
TB |
10-34 |
TB |
| 2003 |
3 |
2003-09-21 |
TB |
ATL |
31-10 |
TB |
| 2003 |
16 |
2003-12-20 |
ATL |
TB |
30-28 |
ATL |
| 2004 |
10 |
2004-11-14 |
TB |
ATL |
14-24 |
ATL |
| 2004 |
13 |
2004-12-05 |
ATL |
TB |
0-27 |
TB |
| 2005 |
11 |
2005-11-20 |
TB |
ATL |
30-27 |
TB |
| 2005 |
16 |
2005-12-24 |
ATL |
TB |
24-27 |
TB |
| 2006 |
2 |
2006-09-17 |
TB |
ATL |
3-14 |
ATL |
| 2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
ATL |
TB |
17-6 |
ATL |
| 2007 |
11 |
2007-11-18 |
TB |
ATL |
31-7 |
TB |
| 2007 |
15 |
2007-12-16 |
ATL |
TB |
3-37 |
TB |
| 2008 |
2 |
2008-09-14 |
ATL |
TB |
9-24 |
TB |
| 2008 |
15 |
2008-12-14 |
TB |
ATL |
10-13 |
ATL |
| 2009 |
12 |
2009-11-29 |
TB |
ATL |
17-20 |
ATL |
| 2009 |
17 |
2010-01-03 |
ATL |
TB |
20-10 |
ATL |
| 2010 |
9 |
2010-11-07 |
TB |
ATL |
21-27 |
ATL |
| 2010 |
13 |
2010-12-05 |
ATL |
TB |
28-24 |
ATL |
| 2011 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
ATL |
TB |
13-16 |
TB |
| 2011 |
17 |
2012-01-01 |
TB |
ATL |
24-45 |
ATL |
| 2012 |
12 |
2012-11-25 |
ATL |
TB |
24-23 |
ATL |
| 2012 |
17 |
2012-12-30 |
TB |
ATL |
22-17 |
TB |
| 2013 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
TB |
ATL |
23-31 |
ATL |
| 2013 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
ATL |
TB |
28-41 |
TB |
| 2014 |
3 |
2014-09-18 |
TB |
ATL |
14-56 |
ATL |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
|
