Prediction: Packers 30, Patriots 27
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 4 |
Tom Brady  |
Pass: 320, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 22 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 45, 0 TD Rec: 6-40, 0 |
| RB 23 |
LeGarrette Blount |
Rush: 35, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 21 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 7-75, 0 TD |
| WR 25 |
Brandon LaFell |
Rec: 5-75, 1 TD |
| WR 88 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
| TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 8-75, 1 TD |
| TE 24 |
Tim Wright |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
| K 4 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 27 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Green Bay Packers |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 3 |
Aaron Rodgers |
Pass: 295, 3 TD Rush: 15, 0 |
| RB 15 |
Eddie Lacy |
Rush: 80, 0 TD Rec: 4-25, 0 |
| RB 62 |
James Starks |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
| WR 6 |
Jordy Nelson |
Rec: 7-95, 1 TD |
| WR 13 |
Randall Cobb |
Rec: 7-80, 1 TD |
| WR 59 |
Davante Adams |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| TE 35 |
Andrew Quarless |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| TE 36 |
Richard Rodgers |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| K 1 |
Mason Crosby |
FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 20 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Patriots 1 of 6 NFL teams with 14+ consecutive winning seasons & 1st since 49ers (1983-98). Aim for 8th win in row... During 7-game win streak, QB Tom Brady has 2,207 pass yards (315.3/game) with 22 TDs vs. 4 INTs for 111.7 rating. In past 2 vs. GB, has passed for 407 yards & 6 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 122.3 rating... In 1st game since re-joining NE, RB LeGarrette Blount led team with 78 rush yards & 2 TDs. In past 5 with Pats (incl. playoffs), has rushed for 515 yards & 10 TDs... In past 7, TE Rob Gronkowski has 45 catches for 665 yards & 6 TDs. Has 5 TDs in past 4. Since entering NFL in 2010, leads NFL with 51 rec. TD. WR Julian Edelman led team with season-high 11 catches for 89 yards last week. TE Tim Wright has 6 TDs in past 7, incl. career-high 2 last week vs. Lions... LB Akeem Ayers has sack in 3 of past 4 since joining NE in Week 8. In past 6, LB Rob Ninkovich has 5 sacks, INT & FR. S Logan Ryan had INT last week & has INT in 2 of past 3 vs. NFC.
 Packers Aim for 3rd in row at home with 50+ points... QB Aaron Rodgers has 322 consecutive att. & 29 TDs in row w/out INT at home, both longest streaks in NFL history. In past 9 at home (min. 10 att.), has 29 TDs, 0 INTs & 133.2 rating (GB is 9-0). Aims for 5th win in row vs. AFC & has 103.6 rating (10 TDs, 1 INT) in past 4... RB Eddie Lacy aims for 3rd in row with 100+ scrimmage yards, rush TD & rec. TD. In past 12 at home, has 1,275 scrimmage yards (106.3 per game) & 12 TDs (10 rush, 2 rec.)... WR Jordy Nelson aims for 7th in row at home with TD (incl. playoffs). At home in 2014, has 24 catches for 616 yards (123.2 per game) & 6 TDs. In past 2 vs. AFC, has 18 catches for 316 yards (158 per game) & 2 TDs. Has 11 TDs in past 13 vs. AFC (incl. SB). WR Randall Cobb has 5 TDs in 5 at home. Rookie WR Davante Adams has TD in 3 of past 4 at home... LB Clay Matthews has 4 sacks & 3 FFs in past 5 vs. AFC. LB Julius Peppers is only player in NFL history with 100+ sacks (123.5) & 10+ INTs (11). In past 4 at home, CB Casey Hayward has 2 INTs, 2 FRs & 2 TDs (INT-TD, FR-TD).
Results and Schedule
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
MIA |
A |
L 20-33 |
-13 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIN |
A |
W 30-7 |
+23 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
OAK |
H |
W 16-9 |
+7 |
| 4 |
2014-09-29 |
KC |
A |
L 14-41 |
-27 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
CIN |
H |
W 43-17 |
+26 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
BUF |
A |
W 37-22 |
+15 |
| 7 |
2014-10-16 |
NYJ |
H |
W 27-25 |
+2 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
CHI |
H |
W 51-23 |
+28 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
DEN |
H |
W 43-21 |
+22 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
IND |
A |
W 42-20 |
+22 |
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
DET |
H |
W 34-9 |
+25 |
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
GB |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
SD |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Green Bay Packers |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-04 |
SEA |
A |
L 16-36 |
-20 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
NYJ |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
DET |
A |
L 7-19 |
-12 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
CHI |
A |
W 38-17 |
+21 |
| 5 |
2014-10-02 |
MIN |
H |
W 42-10 |
+32 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
MIA |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
CAR |
H |
W 38-17 |
+21 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
NO |
A |
L 23-44 |
-21 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
CHI |
H |
W 55-14 |
+41 |
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
PHI |
H |
W 53-20 |
+33 |
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
MIN |
A |
W 24-21 |
+3 |
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
NE |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-08 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
TB |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
DET |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Offense |
GB
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
39.7 |
38.3 |
22.5 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
92.7 |
121.3 |
109.0 |
GB |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.32 |
4.41 |
4.09 |
GB |
| Completion % |
67.8% |
67.5% |
62.4% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
313.7 |
308.3 |
237.8 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.93 |
13.95 |
10.84 |
GB |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.41 |
9.41 |
6.76 |
GB |
| Interceptions |
0.7 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
GB |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks allowed |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
52.3% |
44.6% |
39.8% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
100.0% |
75.0% |
50.6% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
30:29 |
30:26 |
30:06 |
NE |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Defense |
GB
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
21.3 |
19.3 |
22.5 |
GB |
| Rushing yards |
95.7 |
109.7 |
109.0 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.09 |
4.24 |
4.09 |
NE |
| Completion % |
55.0% |
62.0% |
62.4% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
259.3 |
260.3 |
237.8 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
12.17 |
10.90 |
10.84 |
GB |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.69 |
6.76 |
6.76 |
NE |
| INT return |
1.0 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
GB |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
GB |
| Sacks |
2.0 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
GB |
| 3rd down conversions |
38.2% |
37.1% |
39.8% |
GB |
| 4th down conversions |
30.8% |
30.0% |
50.6% |
GB |
| Time of possession |
29:31 |
29:34 |
30:06 |
NE |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
GB |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
13.8 |
16.9 |
8.7 |
GB |
| Yards per kick return |
32.7 |
14.2 |
24.0 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
5.3 |
7.5 |
8.7 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
20.9 |
26.6 |
24.0 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
GB |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
8.3 |
6.0 |
6.4 |
GB |
| Penalty yards |
62.7 |
59.0 |
53.4 |
GB |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 7 to 12 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 7 to 12 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| New England Patriots vs. Green Bay Packers |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2002 |
6 |
2002-10-13 |
GB |
NE |
28-10 |
GB |
| 2006 |
11 |
2006-11-19 |
NE |
GB |
35-0 |
NE |
| 2010 |
15 |
2010-12-19 |
GB |
NE |
27-31 |
NE |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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