Anyone who has played in a PPR (Point Per Reception) league knows
your draft strategy and weekly lineup decisions can be quite a bit
different when compared to a standard scoring league. In this piece
I would like to highlight some players that PPR owners should take
note of as guys who can change your draft strategy and players that
you should perhaps target earlier than you would in a standard scoring
league. I have the players broken down into four categories; stars,
specialists, sleepers, and slackers.
Stars – established players
that have solid value in both standard and PPR leagues but are
even more valuable in PPR leagues.
Specialists – players that
normally do not have standard scoring league appeal, but in a
PPR league they become solid contributors and in some cases, stars.
Sleepers – players that are
normally available late in drafts that could potentially become
extremely valuable players in a PPR scoring league.
Slackers – players that may
be solid picks in standard scoring leagues but whose value takes
a hit in PPR scoring leagues.
Note: Current
ADP’s based on 12 team PPR scoring leagues
Stars:
Antonio Brown has 239 catches over the
last 2 years.
Antonio
Brown (ADP 1.04): I recently took Brown first overall
in a PPR league and while I probably would not do it every time,
I’m confident that he is one of the very safest, highest upside
picks in the format. After registering a 110-catch season in 2013
Brown solidified his status as a PPR stud in 2014 with a remarkable
129 catches last season. While most people would tend to believe
he has nowhere to go but down, I actually think Brown could duplicate
his 2014 season and possibly slightly improve. The Steelers defense
is going to be bad this year and they are going to be involved
in a lot of shootouts. As the favorite target of Ben Roethlisberger,
Brown will be targeted early and often. With the emergence of
Martavis Bryant and the threat of Le’Veon Bell in the backfield,
the Steelers have just enough weapons to take some defensive attention
off Brown, but not too much for someone else to totally steal
the show. If you are struggling as to which RB to take at or near
the top of your PPR draft, make it easy on yourself and don’t
take a RB at all, take Brown and rest easy you have a PPR monster
on your team.
Jordan
Matthews (ADP 4.01): I realize a guy being drafted
in the 4th round who only caught 67 balls last year being called
a PPR star might make some of you laugh, but hear me out. Matthews
was a rookie last year and did not hit his stride until Week 10,
where he was a top 12 wide receiver from that point on. With Jeremy
Maclin (the Eagles No.1 WR last season) gone to Kansas City, Matthews
should, and has (from all off-season reports) grabbed the lead
role among receivers and should easily see an additional 40-plus
targets this season. With positive reports coming out about Sam
Bradford’s health, Matthews should have more consistent quarterback
play, and we all know the Eagles offense is one of the most fantasy-friendly
in the league. As an athletic possession type receiver in this
system I look for Matthews to flirt with 100 catches this year,
making him a fairly solid WR1 in PPR leagues, while being drafted
as a WR2.
Specialists:
Julian
Edelman (ADP 4.05): His size (or lack thereof), his
role, and the presence of better red-zone options (namely Rob
Gronkowski) severely limit Edelman as a touchdown threat,
and therefore, also limit his standard scoring league appeal.
Make no mistake though; Edelman is very valuable player in PPR
leagues as a consistent 10-plus target a game player and back-to-back
top 20 WR fantasy seasons on his resume in PPR leagues. As one
of Tom Brady’s favorite targets, Edelman should also produce under
Jimmy Garoppolo, (if needed) as a safety-valve in the short and
intermediate part of the field. With solid quickness, great hands,
and above-average route running prowess, Edelman is the definition
of a PPR specialist in an offensive role that means lots of volume
and steady production. He may not be a sexy pick but you could
do much worse for your No.2 WR in PPR leagues.
Jarvis
Landry (ADP 5.02): In a great year for rookie receivers
Jarvis Landry was somewhat lost in the mix but actually finished
second in catches among rookies. While Landry only scored 5 touchdowns
all year and never recorded a 100-plus-yard game, he did secure
84 catches on 111 targets. Although the Dolphins drafted another
rookie wideout this season (DeVante
Parker), Landry should remain Ryan Tannehill’s favorite target
as the slot receiver in an offense that likes to throw short and
intermediate passes. Reports out of Dolphins camp have been very
positive on Landry, as he looked to improve his speed and explosion
during the offseason, hopefully increasing his yards per catch
(9.0) which was fairly low last season. With better red-zone targets
around him and lacking as a deep threat, Landry certainly has
a cap on his upside and is not a sexy pick in standard leagues.
In PPR though, I love having a guy like Landry that you can count
on each week to put solid points on the board, allowing you to
choose boom or bust options in other positions in your starting
lineup. Landry makes for a very solid WR2 in PPR leagues and should
be high on your draft board after the mid 4th round.
Sleepers:
Eddie
Royal (ADP 12.07): Am I the only one that feels like
Eddie Royal has been around forever? Royal has taken a strange
road during his seven year career, recording his best season in
his very first and then fading into the background until last
season when he put up respectable numbers in San Diego, registering
62 catches and 7 touchdowns. Now reunited with his rookie-year
quarterback (Jay Cutler) in Chicago, Royal looks to be the slot
receiver in an offense guided by offensive coordinator Adam Gase,
who most recently helped coordinate Peyton Manning in Denver.
There has been some solid buzz around Bears camp, with Royal reportedly
re-forming great chemistry with Cutler in practice. With Brandon
Marshall now in New York and rookie Kevin
White injured, Royal has the chance to be the Bears second-most
targeted player behind Alshon
Jeffery. With solid players around him (Jeffery, Matt Forte,
Martellus Bennett) to draw defensive attention, Royal should find
some nice holes in the defense and be able to rack his share of
catches on an offense that should still throw a good amount. I
look for Royal to easily catch 75+ balls with the potential for
more. Royal is not going to outright win you your league but I
can see him contributing solid numbers as an every-week WR3 in
PPR leagues, which is extremely good value for a guy being drafted
as a WR5 right now.
Michael
Crabtree (ADP 12.02): Qhy hasn't Crabtree ever put
it all together? Supremely talented coming out of Texas Tech,
Crabtree had one nice season in 2012 but has been a disappointment
most of his six year career, battling injuries and just being
inconsistent. Could going to the Raiders actually revive his career?
Hold your jokes till the end please, as I actually think the answer
is yes! First, he’s playing on a one-year contract looking to
score a big payday during the (at least age-wise) peak of his
career. Second, he is now two years removed from a torn Achilles
tendon that seemed to visibly slow him down last season. Third,
his quarterback situation might be an improvement with second-year
pro Derek Carr. Finally, with little else around him, Crabtree
could easily be second on the team in targets (behind Amari
Cooper), on a team that should be forced to throw more often
than not. With very positive reports coming out of Raiders camp
(the word “star” has been thrown around), Crabtree is in a now-or-never
season and should not lack for motivation. I am predicting 80-plus
catches for Crabtree this season, and while his yardage and scoring
numbers might not be huge (850 and 5?), in a PPR league Crabtree
presents great value as a WR3 who is (like Royal) being drafted
like a WR5.
Slackers:
Martavis
Bryant (ADP 5.08): Bryant has garnished a lot of hype
this offseason after catching 8 touchdowns in limited action in
2014. Now going into his second year, Bryant is presumably in
line for a much bigger role in an offense that should be high-powered.
I like Bryant in standard leagues this year as a week-to-week
boom or bust WR2/3 that can win a week for you by himself if he
goes off for a couple big plays. In PPR leagues, I am much more
cautious and prefer him as a low-end risky WR3 who is just as
likely to score 2 or 3 points as he is 23. Bryant has the size
and the speed to eventually become a major playmaker but he is
not built for PPR success. With target-hog Antonio Brown already
getting most of the looks in the passing game and Le’Veon Bell
getting a ton of work as well, Bryant may go long stretches without
getting his hands on the pigskin at all. Add this to the fact
that Markus
Wheaton is technically still ahead of Bryant on the depth
chart, and you have yourself a PPR quandary where you are not
going to be comfortable starting Bryant every week. As much as
his upside is tempting, I would actually look to avoid Bryant
in PPR leagues unless he really takes a free-fall in your draft.
Mike
Evans (ADP 3.02): First, I’m not recommending avoiding
Mike Evans in PPR drafts, so do not get worried. What I am cautioning
however, is that Evans, while he should be a standard scoring
stud, could be inconsistent in PPR leagues this season. With a
rookie QB at the helm there is sure to be some bumps along the
way, especially with Winston being a risk taker with the ball.
Despite his upside as a touchdown-scoring machine, Evans takes
a bit of a hit in PPR leagues, where he finished just 29th among
receivers in receptions last season (he’s being drafted as the
12th WR in PPR leagues). With a possible resurgence of Doug Martin
and the run game (if pre-season reports are accurate), a still
effective Vincent
Jackson, and a huge TE target in Austin Seferian-Jenkins,
there are still other mouths to feed in this offense. While there
is no doubt Evans is the No.1 WR on this team, it might not always
be pretty for this unit. While I would have no problem drafting
Evans in a PPR league, I would not reach for him in round 3 and
I would surround him with other receivers who are more consistent
week-to-week in PPR, like a Julian Edelman or a Jarvis Landry.
Make no mistake, Evans is a fantasy stud, but in this scoring
format expect a bit of a roller coaster ride this season.