Matty Ice is coming off his fourth straight season with at least
4100 passing yards but his touchdown totals continue to suppress
his fantasy value. In 2012, Ryan needed over 600 passing attempts
to post over 30 passing touchdowns and finished as the fifth best
fantasy passer that year. The new regime in Atlanta isn’t
likely to allow their prized franchise quarterback to drop back
that many times in 2015 which makes another top five finish unlikely.
However, he remains a viable option after the top five quarterbacks
are off the board because of his high efficiency and the talent
on the outside to post big games. The 30-year old Boston College
alum will be learning a new offense in his eighth season as a
pro. The zone blocking and new personnel should also help Ryan
stay upright more often causing less negative plays than in recent
seasons. Though he will likely finish with fewer passing attempts,
Ryan will certainly enjoy the upgrade at the tight end position
and potential for play action that comes with a more respected
ground game.
After a rookie campaign that showed flashes of feature back potential
and a solid off-season, Devonta Freeman appears to be the leader
in the clubhouse for the starting role in Atlanta's backfield.
The second-year back from Florida State will be in competition
with rookie Tevin Coleman throughout the preseason, but it appears
Freeman's ability to pass protect as well as catch the ball out
of the backfield are giving him the early edge to receive more
snaps. With new offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan at the helm,
the Falcons are not only stressing "balance" in their offensive
philosophy but are also implementing the famed "zone blocking
scheme" that has made 1,000-yard backs out of the likes of Steve
Slaton, Mike Anderson, and Olandis Gary. With more emphasis on
the run game combined with Freeman's explosive one-cut ability
(which will be highlighted by the zone blocking scheme), look
for Freeman to have some big games and keep the rookie at bay.
Freeman will also provide more of a value in PPR leagues as he
has earned high praise from the Falcons staff for his sure hands
and crisp route running out of the backfield and slot position.
Freeman is an intriguing option and could deliver solid RB2 fantasy
output in the new look offense.
The Falcons brass received high grades from NFL draft experts
for their haul in the 2015 Draft. One of the gems of that class
appears to be running back Tevin Coleman from the University of
Indiana. Coleman ran for over 2,000 yards last season against
solid Big Ten competition and he did so with a broken bone in
his foot. With explosive speed and a powerful six-foot one-inch,
215-pound frame, Coleman is a potential steal out of the third
round and has drawn early comparisons as a "poor man's Adrian
Peterson". Lofty praise aside, he should evolve into a starting
caliber bell cow in the not too distant future. Coleman will get
his share of carries in his inaugural season but he will likely
begin the year behind Davonta Freeman. With tremendous upside
and the potential to be the Falcons feature back of the future
in a system tailor fit to his skill set, Coleman possesses fantastic
upside in dynasty leagues, however his expected role this season
could limit his fantasy impact to being a simple handcuff option
in redraft formats.
The sleeper in the Falcons backfield competition, Antone Smith
should begin to see more playing time, including involvement in
the passing game in 2015. Smith was re-signed this off season
as he showed signs of game breaking ability in limited action
during the 2014 campaign. The diminutive runner out of Florida
State may remind some of Warrick Dunn as he scored five times
on only 36 touches with all five being plays of more than 30 yards.
There has been an increased desire within the Falcon organization
to get Smith more involved in the offense, but with the emergence
of Freeman and the drafting of Coleman, Smith appears to be nothing
more than a change of pace back entering this season. Smith has
the ability to become fantasy value over the course of the year,
especially since neither of the two runners ahead of him are proven
veterans.
Julio Jones set career best marks in targets and receptions in
his first healthy season as the Falcons’ top receiving option.
Already a top ten player at his position, there is still room
for growth. With seven games of over 100 yards receiving and nine
with double digit targets, Jones’ six touchdown receptions
seem a little low given his importance in this offense. If the
Atlanta offense improves under the guidance of OC Kyle Shanahan,
Jones should be primed for his best season to date. As the centerpiece
not only of Atlanta’s passing game but the entire offense,
Jones figures to have ample opportunity to get the ball in his
hands making his fantasy ceiling much higher than most. Rumblings
over his contract status have not proven to be a distraction at
this point. In fact, both signs seem optimistic that a contract
extension can be worked out prior to the start of the season.
Jones has not given any indication of a potential hold out and
instead has been committed to improving the offense.
White has been one of the most consistent fantasy assets over
the past decade but he started to show signs of a decline in the
2014. There are plenty of recent examples former top wideouts
maintaining fantasy relevance despite taking on reduced roles
as they head into the twilight of their careers. White should
get enough looks in this offense to be an adequate WR3 in most
formats. However, those investing in White should understand that
he will be turning 34 in November and he has had his share of
nagging injuries over the last couple years.
Hester proved he still has a little left in the tank and no doubt
wants to be involved in the offense as well as the return game.
He should be used in a part time basis in the slot and in bubble
screens but his targets will be in short supply. New additions
Leonard Hankerson and James Hardy add further depth to the teams
receiving options. Unless injury strikes, Hester isn’t likely
to see enough looks to make him a fantasy asset this season. Hankerson
had some success as a deep threat in Kyle Shannahan’s offense
in Washington and could be on the field in larger formations.
The loss of Tony Gonzalez from the offense clearly had an impact
in 2014. Atlanta chose to ignore the position in the passing game
altogether rather than find an adequate replacement. For the 2015
season, the team added former Chief Tony Moeaki and former Bronco
Jacob Tamme. Both tight ends offer more offensive upside than
incumbent Levine Toilolo but both have plenty to prove before
fantasy owners can trust either as a weekly option. Moeaki is
the better option if he can overcome injury woes that have hampered
him since his rookie season. As a result, Jacob Tamme may end
up being the most stable option for the Falcons. The risk of a
tight end committee makes this situation undesirable for fantasy
purposes.