Another wild weekend in the world of fantasy football resulted in
a rise in scoring and some stellar individual performances. There
were several “clunker” performances out there as well.
So, who’s hot, who’s not, and who’s dangling in
between? Let’s roll…
Philip Rivers has been the best fantasy
QB over the last three weeks with 1226 yards and 7 TDs.
The Yardage Monsters
Continuing with a theme from last week,
ten quarterbacks threw for 300 yards or more in Week 6. How many
of those quarterbacks played for losing teams? Six. This proves
yet again that analyzing fantasy football is a different animal
than analyzing real football. In fantasy football, you actually
want a QB that plays from behind or has to compensate for a poor
defense or a good offensive opponent. Playing from ahead means
a more conservative, running approach more often than not. Of
the ten quarterbacks that hit the 300-yard barrier this week,
Philip
Rivers hit it the hardest with 503 yards passing. Carson
Palmer and Matthew
Stafford threw for 400-plus each. Game flow and/or an inability
to run the ball effectively led to those monster numbers. So,
what can we expect from those three QBs moving forward? Stafford,
theoretically, should have more games like this one coming. He
has quality weapons, especially when Eric
Ebron (knee) returns and the Lions are not moving the ball
on the ground. Palmer likely won’t repeat his yardage numbers
that often, but it’s not because he can’t- rather, his team plays
from ahead most of the time and will run the ball more than the
Lions do. As for Rivers, he’s been a machine the last three weeks.
The fact that Melvin
Gordon has struggled out of the gate has forced him into what
he now is. That’s good news if you’re a Rivers owner. Bad news
if you traded him away after his first big game thinking that
was the ceiling.
I Just Can’t Be Subtle Anymore…
I have tried to be patient. I’ve taken a few jabs the last
couple of weeks, but held out hope that it was all going to change.
It is changing. It’s getting worse. I’m talking about
Eddie Lacy and his plunge into the fantasy abyss. On Sunday, Lacy
got four carries. He gained six yards. He fumbled one of his carries.
James Starks, on the other hand, turned his 11 touches into 117
yards and two touchdowns. If you are an Eddie Lacy owner, he is
dragging your season to the depths. And, the news doesn’t
get better. Next up is a bye week and then Denver’s wrecking
ball defense in Week 8. I guess it’s still possible that
Lacy gets it going in the right direction closer to Thanksgiving,
but what chance at actually making the playoffs does that give
you? Simply put, Lacy is the biggest (no pun intended) bust of
the 2015 season so far. He’s officially wrestled that title
away from…
Andrew Luck Gets Off The Schneid (For
Now)
It wasn’t as pretty as the box score made it out to be, but there’s
no denying that Andrew
Luck finally resembled the same player as he was in 2014 on
Sunday night. Luck’s 312 passing yards and 3 passing TDs to go
along with 30-plus rushing yards was similar to what he was putting
up last year on a weekly basis. T.Y.
Hilton looks healthy finally and Donte
Moncrief and Phillip
Dorsett are injecting new life into the passing game. The
problem is, Luck had to throw 50 passes to reach the 300-yard
plateau. When they review the film and numbers, they’re going
to see that Frank
Gore averaged six yards a carry and only got the ball 13 times.
The Colts need a more balanced offense to win games and surely
the coaching staff will notice and adjust. That means Luck is
probably going to be scaled back to 30-35 attempts per game and
Gore will be given more opportunities to move the chains and rest
the defense. Look for Luck’s numbers to stabilize around the low-end
QB1 level moving forward, while Gore rises into the top ten at
the RB position by early November. A word of caution: Any team
that tries a stupid fourth down/fake punt/whatever that was/ play
cannot be full trusted to do what makes the most sense.
Meet The New Studs of Fantasy Football
It may feel like everything in 2015 is just random when it comes
to fantasy football, but there are some constants out there materializing.
They come in the form of a three-headed beast known as Freeman,
Ivory, and Hopkins. Who could have predicted that? All those hearty
pre-season discussions about whether or not Lacy was a better
pick than Marshawn
Lynch have converted to who will be the best RB at year’s
end - Devonta
Freeman or Chris
Ivory. Huh? Is that for real? I think we can safely now say
that both running backs are going to be in the mix for top dog
moving forward with only Le’Veon
Bell, Adrian
Peterson, and Matt
Forte having any shot of knocking them off. As for DeAndre
Hopkins, I had him pegged earlier this season as mostly a
garbage-time stat stuffer. Truth be told, with Brian
Hoyer back in at QB, Hopkins is unstoppable. He’s on pace
for 139 catches, 1,936 yards, and 14 TDs. Hopkins broke out last
year in his sophomore season, but he’s gone to a whole new level
in 2015. As long as Houston doesn’t do anything stupid (like going
back to Ryan
Mallett), expect Hopkins to continue his surge into the record
books. He’s being double-teamed every week and it just doesn’t
matter.
Help, I’m Falling…and
My Owners Can’t Get Up
Eddie Lacy is certainly the most prominent season-killing player
out there right now, but he’s not the only one. If you cringe
when you hear one of the following names whispered to you, you’re
probably an owner of Antonio
Brown, Randall
Cobb, Melvin
Gordon, Alfred
Morris, or C.J.
Anderson. Gordon and Morris’ woes are bad, but they probably
aren’t ruining your season as both were projected as RB2’s before
the year began. But, Brown and Cobb are a different story. Brown
owners now not only have to worry about who’s throwing him the
ball, but also what impact Martavis
Bryant (6-137-2) is going to have moving forward. As for Cobb,
imagine if you’ve had him and Lacy both on your team the last
three weeks. Some of us don’t have to imagine. Neither WR looks
like they’re going to meet original projections moving forward.
LeSean and Alshon
On a much brighter note, Week 6 marked the return of LeSean McCoy
and Alshon Jeffery from injuries that had essentially wiped out
their impact on the fantasy football landscape through five weeks.
Initial reports of their returns are very encouraging as McCoy
nearly topped 100 yards and scored a TD and Jeffery nearly topped
150 yards and also had a TD. For owners who have been patiently
waiting for these two superstars to get their health figured out,
the time for their rising is coming soon. Jeffery will take Week
7 off (bye), while McCoy will travel to London and then have Week
8 off to further heal and rest. Expect both to have major roles
from Week Nine on and kudos to you if you either hung on to them
through the storm or picked them up cheap in a trade. They are
both top shelf talents on teams that will seek to utilize them
properly. The Bills want to win via the run and good team defense.
The Bears aren’t good enough defensively to keep from airing
it out game after game. You as owners of either or both will reap
the benefits.
New Coach, New Philosophy?
Impactful running backs are rare nowadays, but we may have found
another one this past weekend thanks to a coaching change in South
Beach. The Dolphins decided that maybe it's better to actually
give Lamar Miller more than five carries a game and Miller rewarded
that faith with 118 yards and a TD on 21 touches. Miami actually
ran the ball more times than it passed it (31-28) and getting
Miller going actually makes the whole offense better including
Jordan Cameron, who still has the potential to be a weekly fantasy
starter as the Dolphins learn to incorporate his talents. There
will be other coaches fired an interims named in the weeks to
come. Sometimes, those changes bring players back into the fantasy-relevant
fold. Something to keep an eye on as we now begin tracking Lamar
Miller 2.0…
That'll do it for the Buzz this week. Hope you weren't counting
on Eli Manning or Sam Bradford last night...or, if you were, I
hope your league doesn't punish interceptions. It's on to Week
7 as Eddie Lacy owners everywhere get to do what they've wanted
to do all season- leave him on the bench. See you next week!