Typically, significant injuries in pro football take place early
in the year while guys are still trying to get into game shape.
To see Week 8 turn into a who’s who list of injured stars
was alarming and disheartening from both a real-world and fantasy
perspective. That was certainly a big part of the week that was,
but there were other significant happenings as well. Let’s
break it all down for you as the fantasy season hits the halfway
point…
Drew Brees won fantasy games all by himself
in Week 8 with 511 yards passing and 7 touchdowns.
A Baker’s Dozen Worth of Touchdown
Passes…
About once a year (if that), we get a game in the NFL that resembles
the Saints-Giants slugfest on Sunday. It was the perfect storm
of two lousy defenses coming together to make for a record-setting
day. No matter what your scoring system, 511 yards and 7 TD passes
is going to equal one of the best fantasy days EVER by a player,
much less a quarterback. That’s what Drew
Brees accomplished. And the other guy? Eli
Manning threw for a mere 350 yards and 6 TDs. All in all,
that makes thirteen touchdown passes - something we’ll likely
never see again. On the receiving end of those touchdowns were
Odell
Beckham Jr. (3), Brandin
Cooks (2), Willie
Snead (2), Dwayne
Harris (2), and four other players including Ben
Watson whose status as a legitimate TE1 is now set in stone.
So, what can we make of all of this? Brees has been at his best
playing the paltry pass defenses of the NFC East as his best three
games came against the Giants, Cowboys, and Eagles. He’s running
out of NFC East teams to play at this point, so keep expectations
modest moving forward. As for Manning, if we here at the Buzz
could predict his production in the weeks to come, we’d be in
elite company. Manning is the ultimate bi-polar fantasy QB. He’ll
win or lose games for you singlehandedly on a regular basis. Of
the two guys, Brees has the easier future schedule in terms of
pass defenses opposed.
Those Pitiful Packers
Yes, I know the Broncos defense is one of the best units we’ve
seen in a decade, but that is of little consolation to owners
of Aaron Rodgers, Randall Cobb, Eddie Lacy or James Jones today.
Sunday night was a miserable showing by the whole offense and
if you hold a winning record with Rodgers, Lacy, or Cobb on your
team, you’re doing that in spite of them and nothing more.
Lacy’s TD is the only thing that kept him from being an
absentee yet again while Cobb’s futility has now been in
full bloom for five weeks. In Week Nine, the Packers will play
the Panthers - not exactly the opponent owners are looking to
help them break out of their funk. After that, four division opponents
await. Whatever the case, Rodgers appears to be missing Jordy
Nelson far more than anyone realized as he has been unable to
stretch the field at all. In a league with other writers from
FFToday, I am going to start Derek Carr over Aaron Rodgers next
week and not give it another thought. That’s not a misprint.
Top-Shelf RBs Are Now an Endangered
Species
In leagues that require a starting backfield of at least two RBs,
the pickings at the No.2 spot are thin. Injuries to Jamaal
Charles, Arian
Foster, Le’Veon
Bell, and Matt
Forte, have left the position the thinnest it has ever been
in recent memory. There were only EIGHT rushing touchdowns total
in the NFL in Week 8 with only one player (Ronnie
Hillman) recording more than one. Only five players broke
the 100-yard rushing barrier with only Todd
Gurley eclipsing the 120-yard mark. In leagues that allow
you to start only one RB, again it’s not time for panic. But,
if you’ve got two or more RBs of value, don’t trade one away at
this point for an upgrade at WR or TE. You can still find productive
players at those positions on the waiver wire whereas you never
know which domino is going to fall next at RB. Could it be that
you can win a title this season with the likes of Charcandrick
West and DeAngelo
Williams in your backfield? It’s sure looking that way. Both
are slated to be top ten RBs from this point forward.
Encouraging Developments in the Mile
High City…
On the flip side of what happened to the Packers Sunday night
comes a tale of hope for those counting on the Denver Broncos
to be productive down the stretch. The much maligned Denver running
game got on track and then some with C.J. Anderson (100+ yards,
1 TD) finally looking like the player he was in 2014 and Hillman
scoring two rushing TDs. Peyton Manning even completed a long
pass or two, mostly to Demaryius Thomas whose 160+ yards were
his best output of the season to date. Denver appears to have
discovered their identity during their bye week and I think Hillman
has to be a surefire starter at RB moving forward with Anderson
needing to be in the conversation as a RB2/flex play as well.
Emmanuel Sanders was the only quiet Bronco on Sunday, but don’t
give up on him yet. Manning may no longer be a viable starting
QB in fantasy football, but his supporting cast could still thrive
even in the midst of his decline. Hang on to your Broncos. They
could come in really handy in November and December.
Carolina Cross-Over
Monday night's weather in Charlotte, North Carolina was lousy
for a half. And, the fantasy numbers reflected that sentiment.
But, something happened in the second half and overtime. Cam Newton
and Andrew Luck had scarcely 100 yards passing combined at halftime
and zero touchdowns. By the time the final whistle blew well after
midnight, they had combined for 555 yards and 4 TDs. It's why
you can't ever give up on a game even when the outcome looks to
be decided. You can never rest easy on Monday night until all
is said and done. Never. If you are a T.Y. Hilton or Donte Moncrief
owner, though, the revival didn't help. Hopefully the other parts
of your lineup were more productive.
And Now...The Buzz's Mid-Season Awards!
I told you last week that we were going to recognize some of the
good and the bad from the season at this, the halfway point. Some
of these recognitions may hold true from Week 9 on, and some may
fade. Either way, a wild, intriguing season thus far has yielded
this…
Mid-Season MVP: It would be easy
to give this award to one of many stellar quarterbacks. Tom
Brady has been 2007-esque. Carson
Palmer is having the best fantasy season of his career. Philip
Rivers was borderline unconscious over the past month. But,
the award doesn't go to a quarterback. Instead, it goes to the
player who has been head and shoulders above everyone else at
his position: Devonta
Freeman of the Falcons. In a year of general running back
futility, Freeman is on pace for 2,124 total yards and 20 TDs.
Could anyone have imagined that two months ago?
Mid-Season LVP (Least Valuable Player):
Because I invested in him in many leagues, I am hoping this award
won't be as obvious come late December. Eddie
Lacy had some competition for this award. Andrew Luck has
been anything but valuable every week sans two or three, but Lacy's
production has been shocking given his history coming into this
season. He was drafted to be the cornerstone of many a team -
instead he's been that anchor that keeps your boat from sailing.
If Lacy is one of your guys, here's hoping this award is a distant
memory two months from now.
Biggest Surprise/Bust at QB: Luck
probably should get the biggest bust award here, but we'll opt
instead for Peyton
Manning. His team may be 7-0, but his lack of yardage and
TDs has been eye-opening given all he's accomplished prior to
this season. As for the biggest surprise? Rivers, Palmer, and
Andy
Dalton could all stake their claim. We'll give the nod to
Dalton, though. Mostly an afterthought on draft day in August,
Dalton has been terrific in such a way that 4,500 yards and nearly
40 TDs will be his final output if he maintains his current pace.
Biggest Surprise/Bust at WR: It's been the Allen and Allen
show in Jacksonville with both Allen
Robinson and Allen
Hurns exceeding expectations. Both have over 500 yards receiving
in just seven games and have combined for 11 touchdowns. They
join another Allen (Keenan) as the biggest surprises at WR for
me while biggest bust goes to Jordan
Matthews, who hasn't topped 60 yards since Week 2 and has
one touchdown total this season.
Well, that's it for the Buzz for this week. Looking forward next
week to seeing who rises from the ashes of a six-team bye week
to become the story. And, if you're looking for the next Saints-Giants
offensive bonanza, look no further than Raiders-Steelers this
weekend. The QBs and WRs could be in line for something special.
Until next Tuesday...that's a wrap.