Way back in the preseason, I looked ahead to the fantasy postseason
and discussed The
Good and The
Bad when it came to schedule difficulty.
Now that we’re inching closer to the fantasy postseason,
I want to take a look back at the players I listed in the preseason
and see if there are any new names to consider. If you are in
line to make the playoffs, use this article to plan ahead. There
is still a lot of adding, dropping and trading (depending on your
league’s deadline) to be done between now and the playoffs.
While it’s certainly not the only way to win, setting up
your team with the easiest schedule possible can only maximize
your chances of winning a title.
My biggest tool in writing this article will be the Fantasy
Strength of Schedule Tool right here on FFToday. I will only
feature a few players at each position, so if you want all the
schedule details on your own teams, that’s definitely the
place to do it.
QUARTERBACK
The Good
Preseason List
Aaron Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers has a couple neutral matchups with Atlanta and Buffalo
in Weeks 14 and 15, though neutral can be considered easy when
we’re talking about Rodgers. In Week 16 it gets even easier
with Tampa Bay. I doubt you were too concerned about Rodgers anyway.
Matthew
Stafford
Matthew Stafford’s Tampa Bay (Week 14) and Chicago (Week 16) matchups
look even better than they did in the preseason, and the sandwich
game against Minnesota is tough but not close to impossible. He
hasn’t lived up to preseason expectations, but if you are able
to make the playoffs with him, you should be fine.
Nick Foles
The quarterback in Philadelphia has changed, but the schedule
remains relatively easy all the same. The Dallas matchup is slightly
more difficult than it seemed in the preseason, but the Seattle
game isn’t nearly as intimidating (still tough, but not
2013 Seahawks tough), so it all balances out.
Looking Better Now
If Romo can stay upright, he should be
a playoff asset.
Tony Romo
The Cowboys get two of the easiest matchups in the league to start
the playoffs with Chicago and Philadelphia. So as long as Tony
Romo’s back holds up, he’s good to go for his playoff-bound
owners.
Drew Brees
The same can be said for Drew Brees, as he leads off the playoffs
with Carolina and Chicago. In the preseason, the Panthers defense
would have been considered a difficult matchup, but that is definitely
no longer the case.
Robert Griffin III
Griffin’s playoff schedule looks nice, but that may not
matter if the Redskins offense continues to look as bad as it
did against Tampa Bay in Week 11. In some cases, it doesn’t
matter how good a matchup is if the player can’t perform.
The Bad
Preseason List
Carson Palmer
Carson Palmer is out with an injury, so he’s not helping anybody.
Palmer’s replacement, Drew Stanton, has adopted the same difficult
schedule that it seemed Carson Palmer would have. If you’re in
a position where you might be considering a guy like Stanton,
consider someone else.
Johnny Manziel
The real starter in Cleveland, Brian Hoyer, actually has a somewhat
easy playoff schedule. Matchups that looked difficult in the preseason,
Cincinnati and Carolina, now don’t seem difficult at all. He likely
won’t sniff the lineup for your standard roster leagues but could
definitely get some consideration in the playoffs of 2QB/superflex
leagues.
Matt Ryan
The only name to survive the original list, Matt Ryan, has a playoff
schedule that isn’t nearly as tough as it looked before
the season. In fact, if I wrote a “Most Neutral Playoff
Matchups” article, Matt Ryan would probably be the cover
boy.
Looking Worse Now
Jay Cutler
His opponents in Weeks 14 and 15 are pretty neutral for matchups,
but his real issue is the team he’ll meet in Week 16 (championship
week for most leagues): Detroit. Based on season-long statistics,
the Lions are the most difficult matchup for quarterbacks in the
entire NFL. If you get to the fantasy title game with Cutler as
your guy, you probably have to roll him out, but it wouldn’t
be a bad idea to try avoiding the situation altogether with a
trade to acquire a similar quarterback with a better schedule.
Derek Carr & Michael Vick
If any thought of using these two was creeping into your mind,
look another direction. Each of these lower- tier quarterbacks
has a rough stretch of games come playoff time.
RUNNING BACK
The Good
Preseason List
Trent Richardson/Ahmad Bradshaw
With an injury to Ahmad Bradshaw Sunday Night, Trent Richardson
might be all by himself in the Colts backfield. That’s a
nice bonus for his owners, but that’s as nice as it’s
getting, because his playoff schedule certainly doesn’t
look as good as it did in the preseason.
Rashad Jennings/Andre Williams
The Giants’ fantasy playoff schedule still starts off fine
with the Titans in Week 14, but their Week 15 and 16 opponents
(Washington and St. Louis) are both now on the difficult side
of the neutral scale. You still probably have to use Rashad Jennings
(assuming health), but it won’t be as simple as it seemed
when you drafted him.
Chris Johnson/Chris Ivory
Unlike the other preseason picks, the Jets’ fantasy playoff
schedule has remained relatively easy. Minnesota and Tennessee
are both positive matchups, and the Patriots aren’t the
best at stopping the run either. The real issue at hand for owners
is whether they are willing to trust a Jets running back at fantasy
playoff time.
Looking Better Now
Terrance West/Isaiah Crowell
The Browns backfield will present an interesting situation for
their owners. The Browns get Cincinnati and Carolina in Weeks
15 and 16, two defenses that can’t stop the run at all. Based
on Cleveland’s weekly strategy though, we have no clue which one
will get the chance to benefit. At least we know it won’t be Ben
Tate.
Joique Bell/Reggie Bush/Theo Riddick
The Lions’ playoff schedule should be a cakewalk for their
running backs; it’s just a matter of which backs are healthy.
If all of them are healthy, there may not be enough to go around
for any of them to individually provide value.
Mark Ingram/Pierre Thomas/Khiry Robinson
Owners of Mark Ingram will be in for a playoff treat if he can
maintain his current workload when the playoffs arrive with Carolina,
Chicago and Atlanta on the docket. Pierre Thomas and Khiry Robinson
could work their way back into the rotation by the time the playoffs
come, but they have to make it back on the field first.
The Bad
Preseason List
Terrance
West/Isaiah
Crowell
As you saw above, the Browns running backs have had a significant
change in fortunes when it comes to the fantasy playoffs. Now
their playoff problems are usage- related, not schedule- related.
Montee Ball/Ronnie Hillman
The Broncos’ fantasy playoff schedule looks much better than it
did in the preseason, and at the moment it appears neither running
back I listed will benefit. Instead, it’s looking like it will
be C.J. Anderson. Hopefully he doesn’t catch the same injury bug
as his teammates.
Marshawn
Lynch/Christine
Michael
The Seahawks’ playoff schedule looks just difficult as it did
three months ago (San Francisco in Week 15, Arizona in Week 16).
Marshawn Lynch is generally considered part of the “matchup proof”
tier of running backs, but that doesn’t mean his owners should
expect many big games.
Looking Worse Now
Giovani Bernard/Jeremy Hill
Owners of Bengals backs might be dealing with playing time headaches
as it is, plus their fantasy postseason lineup is looking relatively
tough. A meeting with the Broncos in Championship Week is the
worst news of all for those invested in Bernard and Hill.
Ryan Mathews/Branden Oliver
The Chargers will also run into a buzz saw of run defenses with
Denver and San Francisco in Weeks 15 and 16. Since they will probably
be in a committee the rest of the season, the playoff schedule
makes the idea of depending on either of them even worse.
Darren McFadden/Maurice Jones-Drew/Latavius Murray
In Week 11, it appeared Latavius Murray finally started getting
his opportunity when he took over late against the Chargers. His
reward for finally getting this chance: perhaps the most difficult
fantasy playoff schedule in the league. No matter who is starting
for Oakland during those weeks should be on the bench in fantasy.
WIDE RECEIVER
The Good
Preseason List
Jordy Nelson/Randall Cobb/Jarrett Boykin
The Packers’ fantasy playoff schedule still looks good for owners
of their wide receivers. The only difference from the preseason:
if there is a third relevant Packers wide receiver at playoff
time, it will be Davante Adams and not Jarrett Boykin.
Calvin Johnson/Golden Tate
Detroit’s schedule is still looking decent as well, though
Minnesota’s pass defense has stepped up lately (save for
their most recent game against Chicago). You’re starting
them if you own them.
Dez Bryant/Terrance Williams
The Cowboys receivers also still have it easy, though at this
point it’s likely only Dez Bryant owners benefitting. I
doubt many playoff teams will put Terrance Williams in their lineup.
Looking Better Now
Andre Johnson/DeAndre Hopkins
When the Strength of Schedule Tool suggests that a team’s
easiest opponent in a set of three is the Jaguars, you know it
must be a nice lineup for fantasy owners. This is the case with
owners of Houston wide receivers. Hopkins has surpassed Johnson
as the one to own, but they both should be solid plays when the
games matter most.
Cecil Shorts/Allen Hurns
I can’t imagine many playoff owners actually relying on
Jaguars receivers at that point in the season, but if they are,
it could be beneficial. Jacksonville gets Houston and Baltimore
in Weeks 14 and 15, two teams that are below average at stopping
the pass.
Brandin Cooks/Marques Colston/Kenny Stills
Brandin Cooks might not be playing come playoff time, depending
on his recovery. That should make the pleasant playoff schedule
even better for the remaining two Saints. Colston and Stills are
both tough to trust, but if one of them gets a clear boost while
Cooks is out, maybe one will be trustworthy by the time Weeks
14-16 come around.
The Bad
Preseason List
Tavon Austin/Kenny Britt
The Rams’ playoff schedule for receivers remains difficult in
Week 16, but the other two weeks are a bit easier than they seemed
in the preseason. Tavon Austin is not fantasy relevant in 2014,
but Kenny Britt has a chance to become useful by playoff time
if he can gain some momentum from his Week 11 performance with
Shaun Hill back at the helm.
Josh Gordon/Miles Austin
Things have changed since the preseason, as Andrew Hawkins is
now the No. 2 Browns wide receiver to own. With Josh Gordon returning
just in time for the fantasy playoffs, his owners will get a schedule
upgrade from the way things appeared in August. The Cincinnati
matchup in Week 15 is still difficult, but the surrounding games
shouldn’t be an issue.
Larry Fitzgerald/Michael Floyd
The Cardinals wide receivers have been frustrating for owners
as it is, and the playoff schedule is still just as tough as it
seemed before the season started. I’d be hard-pressed to include
Fitzgerald, Floyd or John Brown in a playoff lineup.
Looking Worse Now
Demaryius Thomas/Emmanuel Sanders
The Broncos’ schedule for wide outs is looking pretty tough,
but whom are we kidding? You aren’t letting that affect
how you view either of these two fantasy studs.
Antonio Brown/Martavis Bryant
Brown is matchup proof, but if you own Martavis Bryant, take the
tough playoff schedule into consideration. He might be a decent
sell high based on his incredible start, yet tough fantasy playoff
outlook. If your deadline has passed, you might have to play it
week by week with Bryant. He’s good but has not reached
“start no matter what” status.
Anquan Boldin/Michael Crabtree
Boldin and Crabtree have a tough- looking playoff schedule looming,
though Week 16’s opponent (San Diego) has been worse in
recent weeks. Getting to Week 16 might be a problem if you’re
depending on either Boldin or Crabtree, though. Week 15 is a tough
Seattle matchup, and it’s tough to really trust any member
of the 49ers from week to week.
TIGHT END
The Good
Preseason List
Jared Cook
Cook’s fantasy playoff schedule still looks just as easy
as it did in the preseason. His Week 16 game with the Giants is
one of the easiest tight end matchups in the league. But, if you’re
depending on Cook, it’s probably not likely that the playoffs
are in your future.
Dennis Pitta/Owen Daniels
Due to an early season Pitta injury, Owen Daniels is the lead
dog at tight end for the Ravens. Typically a solid position to
be in, it won’t be as easy come playoff time. Their schedule
seemed easy in the preseason, but now it actually looks rather
difficult (particularly Miami in week 14).
Coby Fleener/Dwayne Allen
The Colts’ postseason schedule for tight ends also doesn’t
appear as easy as it previously appeared. It will be tough to
bench weekly fantasy starter Dwayne Allen (assuming health), or
Coby Fleener if Allen’s injury keeps him out, because the
Colts offense is still the Colts offense. If you have other equal
options though, they could at least get consideration.
Looking Better Now
Delanie Walker
The Tennessee schedule is just about as good as it gets for tight
ends come fantasy playoff time. The Giants and Jets (Weeks 14
and 15) are among the easiest matchups in the league for tight
ends. Now his owners just have to hope he can return from his
concussion in time to contribute to their team.
Zach Ertz
Seeing a decent playoff schedule makes Zach Ertz’s season
all the more annoying. As much as it seems like he should be having
a big season as a part of the Eagles offense, it just isn’t
happening. The schedule looks nice, but Ertz still probably shouldn’t
play in your playoff lineup (unless you’re really desperate).
Antonio Gates
The Chargers will be in a lot of potentially high- scoring games
during the fantasy playoffs, and the defenses they face are all
pretty bad at stopping tight ends. This is a recipe for success
for Mr. Gates. His most difficult matchup on the surface is San
Francisco in Week 16, but most of their stats against tight ends
came before Patrick Willis was lost for the season.
The Bad
Preseason List
Jason Witten
After an awful start, Witten has become somewhat useful in recent
weeks. His usefulness will continue into Week 14 with an amazing
matchup with the Chicago Bears. After that, however, his schedule
still looks as tough as it did in the preseason.
Martellus Bennett
When I labeled Martellus Bennett a guy with a bad postseason schedule
back in August, I don’t think I even expected it to look
this hard. Chicago’s Week 15 and 16 opponents, New Orleans
and Detroit, are two of the toughest in the league against the
tight end.
John
Carlson/Troy
Niklas/Robert
Housler
David
Ausberry/Mychal
Rivera
I lumped all the Cardinals and Raiders potential tight ends together
as a big group of guys with a tough schedule to worry about, should
any of them emerge. Only one, Mychal Rivera of the Raiders, has
come out of this group. His emergence hasn’t changed the fact
that the Raiders still have a tough stretch of tight end opponents
in the playoffs.
Looking Worse Now
Greg Olsen
In the preseason, I didn’t even consider Olsen. Now the
Panthers might have the toughest stretch in the league for tight
end. That’s the magic of the NFL: things can change so much
in such a small amount of time. Olsen owners have no choice but
to use him, but he might be in some trouble.
Heath Miller
Miller has only had a few decent weeks this season, and one of
them might come in Week 14 against the Bengals. The rest of the
way, however, is not looking so good for the Steelers tight end.
Atlanta (Week 15) and Kansas City (Week 16) have been strong against
the position this season.
Andrew Quarless/Richard Rodgers
Neither of these tight ends are being used in many fantasy leagues,
but as members of the Packers, desperate owners might look their
way. If you are one of those desperate owners, I’d suggest
looking in a different direction. Green Bay’s fantasy playoff
opponents are all good at stopping tight ends.
DEFENSE
The Good
Preseason List
Tennessee
Titans
It may be tough to pull the trigger on using the Titans defense
in the most important weeks of your season, but the matchups are
a defensive streamer’s dream. In Week 14, Tennessee sees interception
king Eli Manning. In Week 15, they get the Jets. Then to top it
off, the Titans see the Jacksonville Jaguars during Week 16. It’s
pretty much a best-case scenario, now it’s just a matter of the
Titans stepping up to the plate.
Baltimore
Ravens
Like the Titans, Baltimore’s playoff schedule includes the
Jaguars (Week 15). Otherwise, though, it’s not as easy as
it may have previously seemed. Miami in Week 14 is a game you’ll
want to avoid, and the Texans in Week 16 aren’t the greatest
matchup for fantasy defenses.
New
England Patriots
The Jets in Week 16 are an ideal opponent for Patriots defense
owners, but the rest of the playoffs aren’t as friendly
as they may have seemed earlier in the year. San Diego in Week
14 and Miami in Week 15 are both matchups you may not exactly
seek out for your fantasy defense.
Looking Better Now
New
Orleans Saints
As shocking as it would have seemed in the preseason, the Saints’
Week 14 and 15 games with Carolina and Chicago are great matchups
for fantasy defenses. New Orleans has been one of the worst fantasy
defenses in the league this year, but the matchups are right.
They wouldn’t be near the top of the list of teams I’d
want to use, but they are usable if needed.
Green
Bay Packers
Lost in the Packers rolling offense, is the defense has been stepping
up as well. They will head into the playoffs with a few nice matchups
lined up, most notably Tampa Bay in Week 16. If you added the
Green Bay defense during their recent run, don’t let it
go now.
Detroit
Lions
Early investors in the Lions defense have run into a great situation
heading toward the playoffs. Detroit has one of the best defenses
in the NFL, and its fantasy playoff schedule is a collection of
great matchups. Detroit can be kept in your lineup for all of
Tampa Bay, Minnesota and Chicago.
The Bad
Preseason List
Seattle
Seahawks, San
Francisco 49ers & Cincinnati
Bengals
In the preseason, all three of these defenses were popular picks
for people looking for a “plug and play” type for
their fantasy rosters. All three of them have turned into mediocre
fantasy defenses that can be dropped when faced with a bad matchup.
Just like in the preseason, their Week 14-16 opponents are all
teams you want to avoid when choosing your fantasy defense.
Looking Worse Now
Indianapolis
Colts & Kansas
City Chiefs
These teams have each been popular pickups in various weeks throughout
the season. Both of them are hanging near the top 12 in overall
fantasy scoring. Kansas City gets the Raiders in Week 15, but
other than that, these two teams are avoidable during the playoffs.
Miami
Dolphins
The Dolphins have been the best fantasy defense in the league
over the last four weeks, so people that have been riding them
during that run will have a hard time giving them up. Those owners
need to get used to the idea, however, because in Weeks 14 (Baltimore)
and 15 (New England) they run into negative matchups you’ll
want to avoid.
Suggestions, comments? E-mail
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