Quarterback
Rising
Ryan
Tannehill, MIA
Before writing this section, I decided to head over to the Consistency
Calculator tool here on FFToday. I was curious how Tannehill
has fared in terms of consistency. He didn’t disappoint. I sorted
the quarterback position by highest percentage of QB1 finishes
in a 12-team league over the last eight weeks, and tied for eighth
was Mr. Ryan Tannehill. Manning, Luck, Brees, Rodgers, Brady,
Romo and Wilson are the only guys that have put up a higher percentage
of QB1 performances over that time period. The fact that those
are the only names ahead of Tannehill tell me that he might just
be here to stay as a weekly starter for the rest of the season.
Drew
Brees, NO
For as disappointing as Brees has seemed this season, he comes
in tied for second in terms of consistently finishing as a QB1
over that same eight-week span. On Monday Night against a strong
Ravens defense, Brees finally had a Brees-like performance, going
for 420 yards and three scores. If this game was the wake up for
the Saints offense, Brees owners could be in for a treat down
the stretch.
Falling
Matthew
Stafford, DET
The Lions last two opponents, Arizona and New England, both have
very strong defenses. But are they so strong that a guy who still
gets lumped into the QB1 conversation, Matthew Stafford, could
possibly play both games without leading a single touchdown drive?
It’s not just that he hasn’t thrown a touchdown in the last two
games, the Lions haven’t scored any kind of touchdown. I mentioned
in my Playoff
Schedule Analysis Update that Stafford has a great playoff
schedule, but his recent fantasy efforts are making it difficult
for his owners to even make it that far.
Jay
Cutler, CHI
Life with Jay Cutler is a roller coaster. In his last five games,
he’s provided two big scores for his owners, but three sub-optimal
scores in the other weeks. Most recently, he could only muster
130 yards and one touchdown against a Tampa Bay defense that has
been dismal against the pass this season. If you’ve made
it this far with Cutler it’ll be tough to replace him, but
just be prepared for the roller coaster to continue.
Running Back
Rising
C.J.
Anderson, DEN
I think it’s safe to say we have our Broncos starting running
back for the remainder of the season. Anderson put up 167 yards
on the ground against a Dolphins defense that has been decent
against the run in 2014. Ronnie Hillman did great when he was
filling in, but if he even returns, I can’t imagine Denver giving
up on the good thing they have going with Anderson. If you were
lucky enough to add C.J. Anderson, slot him into your starting
lineup without a second thought.
Justin Forsett has four touchdowns in his
last two games. Best waiver wire add of the year?
Justin
Forsett, BAL
It’s beginning to look like Justin Forsett might be the
best waiver wire add of the year. He made owners who picked him
up early on happy through nine weeks, but in his last two games
he has turned on the jets, probably carrying his fantasy owners
to big victories. Prior to the Ravens bye, Forsett went off for
112 yards and two touchdowns. Coming out of the bye in Week 12,
Forsett came up huge again, running for 182 yards and two scores
against the Saints. Keep riding him while he’s hot.
Dan
Herron, IND
Buried down the depth chart, Daniel Herron finally got his opportunity
in Week 12 for the Colts. Trent Richardson was the presumed starter
once Ahmad Bradshaw went down with an injury, but it was actually
Herron who got the start and led the Colts backfield in touches
in Week 12. He ran for 65 yards on 12 carries for a 5.4-yard average;
pretty good compared to Trent Richardson’s 3.2-yard average. Herron
also caught all five of his targets through the air. It remains
to be seen if Herron can have the kind of productivity that Ahmad
Bradshaw provided, but at the very least it seems that Herron
can be a useful asset for those that need help at running back.
Falling
Mark
Ingram, NO
It’s possible that Mark Ingram’s run as a top-flight fantasy running
back might be winding down. He has been very disappointing for
owners since his stretch of three straight 100-yard games. In
Week 11 he only averaged 2.9 yards per carry en route to a 67-yard
rushing day against the Bengals. In Week 12, Pierre Thomas returned
and Mark Ingram saw his lowest carry total since October 19th,
running the ball just 11 times for 27 yards against the Ravens.
His value came from dominating the backfield touch in New Orleans,
but with Pierre Thomas back and Khiry Robinson still potentially
returning later, that backfield domination may be over.
Joique
Bell, DET
Managing 85 yards on the ground against the Cardinals in Week
11 was promising, but Joique Bell has otherwise been a disappointment
in recent weeks. He is barely involved in the passing attack,
averaging around two receptions per game this season. Bell has
only eclipsed 50 rushing yards three times, and he’s only
found the end zone three times. He is a top 24 back in total numbers,
but he’s not a top 24 back week-to-week. I’d look
elsewhere to fill my running back slots if I could.
Chris
Ivory, NYJ
Early in the season, Ivory wrestled the starting job in New York
away from Chris Johnson, but that doesn’t mean much any more.
He does have two 100-yard performances this season, which is great,
but those seem long in the past. Ivory only has 104 total rushing
yards in the past three games combined. He is splitting touches
almost evenly with Chris Johnson now in an offense that is looking
like a disaster. He had a nice run earlier, but it’s getting real
tough to start Chris Ivory right now.
Wide Receiver
Rising
Anquan
Boldin, SF
In an offense that has been rather questionable in recent weeks,
Anquan Boldin has been a bright spot. In the last six games, Boldin
has gone over 90 yards in four of them and caught at least five
passes in all of them. Additionally, all four of his touchdowns
this season have come over that stretch. This coincides with his
targets rising from 7.2 per game over the first five weeks to
9.8 per game in Weeks 6-12. Anquan Boldin might be the only trustworthy
member of the offense right now, the key word for fantasy owners
being trustworthy. He’s safe to slot in lineups.
Odell
Beckham Jr., NYG
The amazing catch on Sunday Night got the headlines, but what
Odell Beckham Jr. has been doing since the Giants bye has long
grabbed the attention of fantasy owners. Since the Giants bye
in Week 8, here are Beckham’s per game averages: 11 targets
(with no games under nine), 7.75 receptions (with no games under
six), and 125.75 yards (with just one under 100). He’s the
clear number one receiver on the Giants right now, and he’s
a clear starter for fantasy owners.
Jarvis
Landry, MIA
With the rise of Ryan Tannehill has come the rise of Jarvis Landry.
The yardage totals aren’t there, as Landry hasn’t
had more than 53 yards since Week 6, but the other numbers are.
In the last four games, Landry has the following reception totals:
five, seven, five, seven. He has at least five targets in all
four of those games, and at least ten targets in two of them.
Landy has scored four touchdowns in those games. He may be of
more interest in formats with reception scoring due to the low
yardage totals, but Landry is definitely a player to consider
if you are struggling with the back end of your lineups in any
format.
Falling
Jeremy
Maclin, PHI
It seems like something just isn’t quite the same with Jeremy
Maclin since Mark Sanchez took over. He is still getting the targets,
but he’s not putting up the same numbers. In Week 10 he did have
a big game, but that mostly came in garbage time. In two games
where the Eagles were the victors with Sanchez at the helm, Maclin
only has a total of nine receptions for 97 yards. The big change
might be with yards per catch: In the seven games played in full
by Nick Foles, Maclin averaged 16.2 yards per reception. In Sanchez’s
three full games as starter, he’s averaged 10.5. Jeremy Maclin
is still a weekly fantasy starter in that Eagles offense, but
it looks like Sanchez has been a big downgrade for him.
Calvin
Johnson, DET
When Megatron returned from injury against the Dolphins in Week
10, he put up a huge line of seven receptions, 113 yards and one
touchdown. Surely Calvin Johnson was back, right? Maybe not. In
the last two weeks, Johnson has only managed nine receptions for
a total of 117 yards. Sure, the Lions faced some tough defenses
and Johnson got matched up with a few strong defensive backs,
but this was a guy drafted to be THE top wide receiver in fantasy.
If you own him, you’re still starting him going forward no matter
what, but he might not be in the same tier as the likes of Demaryius
Thomas and Antonio Brown for the remainder of 2014.
Sammy
Watkins, BUF
For a two-week stretch in late October, it looked like Sammy Watkins
might be on his way to being the best rookie wide receiver in
football, as he totaled 12 receptions for 279 yards and three
touchdowns. Since that explosion, however, Watkins has only managed
10 catches for 94 yards and zero scores in three games. A groin
injury is partially to blame, but he’s allegedly been back
to full health for the last two games. He’s still a strong
consideration for weekly lineups, but Watkins is not a must-start.
Tight End
Rising
Kyle
Rudolph, MIN
After a long stretch of sitting out with an injury, Kyle Rudolph
finally returned in Week 11, then secured no catches. Things picked
up in Week 12 though, as he reeled in three receptions for 50
yards. Not a huge day, but the story here is that Rudolph is getting
healthier as the weeks progress. In a league with so few must
starts at tight end, Rudolph is worthy of your consideration on
a weekly basis.
Tim
Wright, NE
Tim Wright is more of a shoot for the moon type of play than a
dependable starter, but he can be useful to owners desperate for
tight end help all the same. In the last seven games, Wright has
scored six touchdowns. The problem is touchdowns are the only
source of value for him. In fact, in two games he has just one
goaline catch for a touchdown. He’s a major risk for a zero,
but if you’re willing to accept that risk, there’s
a better than 50/50 chance that you’ll come away with a
touchdown (and six points makes for a decent week at tight end).
Falling
Martellus
Bennett, CHI
During the first four weeks, Bennett was looking like he might
be the late round pick of the year at his position, as he caught
29 passes for 295 yards and four touchdowns. In the seven games
since, Bennett only has 28 receptions for 333 yards and one touchdown.
Long gone are the good old days of September when fantasy owners
could confidently roll out Martellus Bennett. He can still probably
start now due to the lack of depth at the position, but not with
nearly the same level of confidence.
Larry
Donnell, NYG
Something must be in the big city waters of Chicago and New York,
because Larry Donnell’s decline from early season wonder
started around the same time as Bennett’s. In those same
first four weeks, Donnell had 25 receptions for 236 yards and
four touchdowns. In his last seven: 21 catches for 225 yards and
two touchdowns. The same comments for Bennett apply to Donnell:
you probably still have to use him, but you won’t be as
happy about it as you were in September.
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