| All Out Blitz: Volume 51
 10/18/12
 
 Aggressiveness is a characteristic that tends to reward fantasy 
              owners more times than not. In the NFL, an offensive line will sometimes 
              hold up long enough to give the quarterback enough time to beat 
              man coverage down the field and make the defense look foolish against 
              a fierce pass rush. More often than not, though, when a defense 
              brings the heat and forces the action, crisis management becomes 
              the name of the game for the opposing team.
 
 In that same vein, I hope to apply that same kind of pressure to 
              the owners in all of my leagues by beating my opponents to the punch 
              in regards to personnel moves. Sometimes, reaching a conclusion 
              about a player too quickly results in making a bad situation worse. 
              However, coming to a correct conclusion two weeks or two minutes 
              quicker than your opponents is considered foresight and can often 
              lead to fantasy championships.
 
 Fantasy owners can be a uneasy lot, knowing that one two-or-three-game 
              losing streak can wreak irreparable damage to his/her team’s 
              chances to make a visit to the fantasy postseason. But just as it 
              is in the NFL and in life, it’s hard to land the big prize 
              by playing scared. Thus, I will strive each week to help each of 
              you become a smart blitzer, so to speak.
 
 
 Every Sunday right before kickoff of the early games, I have the 
              incredible honor of serving as the expert on a live hour-long chat 
              in conjunction with USA Today. While this new task on my fantasy 
              calendar is a privilege I truly enjoy, I was reminded this week 
              how the agony I feel when I bench a player I should have started 
              (or play a player I should have benched) gets magnified when some 
              of your recommendations don’t follow the “matchup script” 
              they are supposed to. As luck would have it, the theme of the week 
              must have been “green”. Allow me to explain:
  
                  Shonn Greene landed in a perfect fantasy 
                    storm in Week 6. Who knew Shonn Greene would find himself in a perfect storm between 
                soft matchup and a boatload of carries once Bilal Powell and Joe 
                McKnight were injured? Obviously, it didn’t help the Colts 
                failed to score a touchdown for the first time this year and finished 
                with a -4 turnover margin, which is always a bad sign for a team 
                like Indianapolis with a poor defense. While my recommendation 
                of James Jones over Greene is one I would make under the current 
                circumstances 16 out of 16 times, I seem to remember recommending 
                Mikel Leshoure over Greene due to the former’s consistent 
                workload. (Not exactly my finest moment…) The other player that contributed to my agony this week was Green 
                Bay’s Jordy Nelson. My reasoning for disliking him this 
                week was sound – I was willing to believe that Johnathan 
                Joseph’s poor showing against the Jets on Monday Night Football 
                was more an aberration than a result of an injury – so I 
                felt justified in recommending Mike Williams to one owner, which 
                I am perfectly happy with. However, I seem to recall making more 
                “sit” than “start” calls on Nelson, who 
                matched Greene’s three-TD effort and probably drove a few 
                of his disgruntled owners crazy if they benched him. Fortunately, there was one “Green” that I didn’t 
                have to make a call on last week: A.J. Green. On a Calvin Johnson-like 
                (circa 2011) roll to open this season, Green welcomed the recently-reinstated 
                Joe Haden back into the league with the first two-score game of 
                his career. Even Alex Green fared well in his first start, earning 
                HC Mike McCarthy’s recommendation as the back who will “carry 
                the load” going forward. Analyzing fantasy football games always has been and always will 
                be an inexact science. The trick is taking as much of the mystery 
                out of it as possible, which is what I hope to do with this column 
                going forward. Let’s see what we learned this week: Steelers-Titans Kenny Britt played a poor game – breaking off a number 
                of routes he shouldn’t have, dropping a few balls he should 
                have caught and even giving up on a deep ball that landed about 
                a yard in front of him – while Jared Cook excelled with 
                the few number of opportunities that he received, the most notable 
                being the 25-yard reception that set Rob Bironas up for the game-winning 
                field goal. For the second time in three weeks, Chris Johnson 
                had huge cutback lanes to run through, although the absence of 
                Troy Polamalu would have likely prevented probably at least 30-40 
                of his 91 rushing yards. Even though the run-pass ratio was pretty 
                even (until the final drive) after Rashard Mendenhall left the 
                game for good early in the third quarter, I get the sense the 
                Pittsburgh doesn’t believe it has a running game unless 
                Mendenhall is going well. Isaac Redman – despite a fluky 
                100-yard receiving day against a Tennessee defense that cannot 
                tackle – is best left in a relief role, Baron Batch is an 
                undersized runner who would get exposed with significant playing 
                time and Chris Rainey is merely an “offensive weapon” 
                that has to be kept on a touch count. Fantasy implications: As is 
                the case with Dez 
                Bryant, this kind of game provides a glimpse as to how such 
                talented receivers like Britt can be so inconsistent. Britt struggled 
                so much in this game, however, that you have to wonder if his 
                surgically-repaired knee or some other issue wasn’t distracting 
                him. Cook is an incredible mismatch and seeing as many snaps as 
                he ever has, but Tennessee seems to use him only when it really 
                needs him, which puts owners in a difficult situation. As I mentioned 
                last week, a good game against Pittsburgh gives fantasy owners 
                a possible three-week window to move him with the Bills and Colts 
                next on the schedule. Johnson’s second-half schedule appears much 
                easier than his first half, but the Titans are not a good football 
                team right now that still has an average offensive line at best 
                and a defense that has allowed at least 23 points in every game, 
                meaning it may be hard to stick with the running game if they 
                fall behind, even in the “soft” matchups. When Pittsburgh is without 
                Troy Polamalu or LaMarr 
                Woodley, it suffers in a big way. When both players are missing, 
                even a struggling team like Tennessee can score 26. Polamalu’s 
                instinctual play has given this defense its edge for years while 
                Woodley is the best pass rusher. Lastly, Mendenhall’s touches 
                were likely scaled back due to the quick four-day turnaround after 
                his heavy-use season debut and to take no chances with his knee 
                (or Achilles’ as it were). It also didn’t help matter that Pittsburgh 
                suffered a rash of injuries to its offensive line, which probably 
                also factored into the decision to pull him. Cowboys-Ravens Obviously, the big storylines from this game were the high-profile 
                injuries. The loss of LB Ray Lewis and CB Lardarius Webb will 
                undoubtedly have far-reaching effects on Baltimore’s defense, 
                but Lewis’ emotion and Webb’s ability to cover receivers 
                will be missed on both sides of the ball. Jimmy Smith was merely 
                average in coverage in Week 6, but Webb’s impact could be 
                felt the most when opponents go three- or four-wide because he 
                typically guarded the opponent’s slot receiver in those 
                situations. For Dallas, DeMarco Murray finally got a chance to 
                show what he could do when he wasn’t facing to a great run 
                defense, only to see his potentially huge day ruined by a sprained 
                foot. The last two minutes of this contest basically encapsulated 
                Dez Bryant’s career to this point. On third-and-27 with 
                just over a minute remaining, he showed elite run-after-catch 
                skills and got Dallas into position to convert on fourth down, 
                which ultimately led to his second TD of the game. On that score, 
                he did a wonderful job of shielding off his defender with his 
                body. On the subsequent two-point conversion attempt, he dropped 
                a well-thrown ball to tie the game and, after Dallas recovers 
                the onside kick, Bryant uses the opportunity to jaw with the ref 
                after a 1-yard catch, contributing to the chaos that caused the 
                Cowboys to run just one play over the final 26 seconds and led 
                to Dan Bailey’s missed field-goal attempt that would have 
                won the game.  Fantasy implications: It’s impossible to tell just how 
                much the loss Lewis and Webb will have on the team as a whole, 
                but Baltimore will become even more of a plus-matchup for opposing 
                run games and average-at-best stopping the pass. (It is also worth 
                mentioning here that Webb has not surrendered a touchdown since 
                Week 17 of the 2010 season.) For fantasy purposes, it may be time 
                to move on from the Ravens defense. As for how their losses affect 
                the offense, a good assumption would be the Ravens will now lean 
                on the run more and use less no-huddle as a way to limit the number 
                of possessions in a game. Inevitably, a poor defense can only 
                be protected for so long, which means Baltimore may get involved 
                in a few shootouts. Murray, assuming he only misses a week or 
                two, is still a fine trade target and has a number of great matchups 
                down the stretch. Bryant, like Britt above, will continue to amaze 
                and confound as long as he continues to make “me plays”. 
                Until he actually can actually show the ability to go through 
                a whole game or two without mental lapses, he really can’t 
                be considered anything more than a high-upside WR2. Chiefs-Bucs The most immediate nugget that jumped out at me was that Kansas 
                City’s first three plays with new quarterback Brady Quinn 
                were passes and all within five yards of the line of scrimmage. 
                It seemed as if just about every pass came off play-action and 
                was a “safe” throw, as Quinn’s dreadful 4.7 
                yard-per-attempt will attest. And yet another shocking part to 
                me about the Chiefs was their inability to keep the Bucs’ 
                big receivers – Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams – 
                in front of them. Brandon Flowers graded out extremely well last 
                season and Stanford Routt – signed to essentially replace 
                Brandon Carr – was considered Oakland’s best CB in 
                2011. I saw no evidence of either player living up to their reputations 
                in this contest and those struggles are made worse by the poor 
                play of Eric Berry, who looks nothing like the player he did pre-injury. 
                As for Tampa Bay, I will continue to bang the drum for Doug Martin, 
                who performed well enough to take 13 of the Bucs’ first 
                16 carries of the game. HC Greg Schiano assured us during the 
                Bucs’ bye week that Martin would start producing big plays 
                once the offensive line “settled down”. He produced 
                four plays of 10+ yards, including a 42-yard catch-and-run at 
                the start of the second half.  Fantasy implications: Considering the run-heavy nature of Kansas 
                City’s offense, it’s not a shock it used a conservative 
                offensive plan against the Bucs, but NFL defenses are too good 
                if an offense doesn’t attempt to threaten them deep at least 
                1-2 times a quarter. Tampa Bay, it should be noted, has one of 
                the better run defenses this season. Speaking of the running game, 
                one thing that is becoming a trend is that if an opponent places 
                a high-enough priority on stopping the run – setting the 
                edge or stacking the box –against the Chiefs, it probably 
                will (Buffalo, second half vs. Baltimore and this game). If this 
                game was any indication, the Chiefs’ secondary should not 
                strike any fear into the hearts of opposing passing games as Josh 
                Freeman really didn’t have to work very hard for his 328 
                passing yards or three TDs. And despite their fairly-even play 
                counts (28-18) and how their final numbers looked, Martin out-carried 
                Blount 13-2 until the middle of the fourth quarter, when the veteran 
                came on and logged five carries with the Bucs leading by 21 points. 
                The true barometer of how this backfield may play out for the 
                foreseeable future will likely come next week vs. the Saints, 
                where Tampa Bay will need to score points via the run and pass 
                to win. At that time, we should get a good indication as to how 
                much Schiano wants Blount on the field in critical situations. 
               Bengals-Browns Jermaine Gresham’s 55-yard touchdown catch was a prime 
                example of why I feel like he is such an under-utilized talent. 
                Lined up as a receiver at the start of the play, he abused LB 
                Craig Robertson on a slant route, stiff-arming him and dodging 
                another tackler to break away for the long score. Naturally, even 
                though he would see seven more targets after that play, he managed 
                only two catches for 13 yards over the final 3 ½ quarters. 
                After mentioning him last week, fans need to get familiar with 
                Cedric Peerman, who saw more snaps than BenJarvus Green-Ellis 
                in Week 6 despite the fact that Cincinnati entered the fourth 
                quarter with the lead. While part of this had to do with third-down 
                back Brian Leonard leaving because of a rib injury, the fact is 
                the Bengals already realized “Law Firm” is not a three-down 
                back and not explosive enough to create big plays when the team 
                is trailing. Peerman isn’t a dynamic talent, but he’s 
                the only back left on the roster – following Bernard Scott’s 
                injury – that offers any hint of big-play ability. After 
                two weeks, we know Josh Gordon can get deep. In this game, he 
                also collected a pair of 14-yard receptions on an out and a slant 
                pattern after he burned the Bengals for a 71-yard score. If he 
                can simply run each of those routes like he did in this game going 
                forward, defenses are very likely to give it to him because is 
                just that fast. He’s done enough in my mind to justify a 
                starting spot even after Mohamed Massaquoi returns.  Fantasy implications: The Bengals, even considering their recent 
                success, have a long track record of not maximizing the abilities 
                of their players. Gresham and Rob Gronkowski were considered similar 
                talents coming out of the 2010 NFL Draft, but Gresham was selected 
                first primarily because of the Gronkowski’s back surgery 
                at the time. While Gresham’s numbers to date are nothing 
                to sneeze at, they pale in comparison to Gronkowski’s in 
                large part because their offensive philosophy revolves around 
                a power running game which has been headed by two of the league’s 
                least explosive backs in his three years with the team. Long story 
                short, Gresham will likely remain little more than a high-end 
                TE2 in fantasy. Green-Ellis, like Cedric Benson before him, has 
                proven to be very durable throughout his career, but Peerman could 
                have some decent PPR value at the rate the defense is serving 
                up points if Leonard is out for any length of time. Since we discussed 
                Gordon last week, I’ll keep it short this week and just 
                say he has my seal of approval. I snagged him without much competition 
                (blind bidding) in three of my four big-money leagues last week. 
                He’s not the Randy Moss talent some people suggested he 
                was before the supplemental draft, but it may not be long before 
                he is the best receiver on this team. Raiders-Falcons Even as Matt 
                Ryan continues to prove he is ready to join the league’s top 
                quarterbacks, he will make poor decisions occasionally and his 
                first two interceptions were among them. On a short crossing route 
                to Harry 
                Douglas, it appeared as if Ryan predetermined his throw despite 
                perfect coverage from Joselio 
                Hanson and linebacker help. On the second pick, Ryan forced 
                the ball into Julio 
                Jones’ direction about 50 yards down the field despite coverage 
                on both sides of his receiver and another defender within about 
                five yards. (The third interception came as a result of getting 
                drilled in the process of making a throw to Tony 
                Gonzalez.) Mike 
                Goodson has no shot at unseating Darren 
                McFadden, but it is obvious his hamstring is no longer an 
                issue. The burst he showed on a screen pass in this game and on 
                a few other pass plays earlier this season has probably led the 
                Raiders’ coaches to the same conclusion the Panthers’ coaches 
                made in 2010: he’s too explosive to keep off the field.  Fantasy implications: Ryan has built up a ton of good will with 
                his play to this point and this game shouldn’t change owners’ 
                perception of him despite the fact that Oakland entered Week 6 
                without a single interception. Ryan’s receivers are so talented 
                – while the running game lacks any kind of sizzle – 
                that he is going to continue getting 35-40 attempts per game. 
                McFadden is running with plenty of power and had a number of potential 
                big runs called back due to holding calls, but despite that, he’s 
                not getting a lot of help from his blockers. Goodson will likely 
                continue to steal more looks from McFadden in the passing game 
                as McFadden hasn’t surpassed the three-reception mark in 
                a game since opening up the season with 13. Still, as long as 
                owners can learn to live with his potential for injury, his workload 
                and upcoming schedule will likely ensure that he remains among 
                the most consistent RBs in fantasy. Colts-Jets Indianapolis knew entering the season it did not have the personnel 
                yet to run the 3-4 defense or stop the run…and it shows. 
                Against two one-dimensional offenses – the Jags and the 
                Jets – that had little choice but to run the ball, the Colts 
                allowed 424 yards rushing just to running backs in those games. 
                What stuck out in this game the most, however, was Indy’s 
                complete unwillingness to tackle Shonn Greene after first contact. 
                Prior to Week 6, Greene had forced just one missed tackle and 
                collected 141 yards after contact, per Pro Football Focus. In 
                this contest alone, he broke eight tackles and recorded 82 yards 
                after contact. Give Greene credit for running tough, but a ton 
                of his yardage came from the Colts’ lackluster effort. Andrew 
                Luck looked like a rookie QB for the first time since perhaps 
                Week 1. His usual pinpoint accuracy was not there and he seemed 
                unsure of himself as well. While Antonio Cromartie’s stellar 
                coverage kept his favorite receiver (Reggie Wayne) quiet for the 
                majority of the first three quarters, the entire operation of 
                the Colts’ passing game was just off. Dwayne Allen was involved 
                on the first drive but barely heard from thereafter, Donnie Avery 
                was targeted heavily once again but didn’t receive all that 
                many catchable balls and the times where Indy could have possibly 
                put together a big pass play, Luck was under severe pressure. Fantasy implications: I feel confident in saying that while Greene 
                showed more niftiness than he has in the last season or two, he 
                is not going to repeat this kind of performance anytime soon. 
                Over the next five games (six weeks), the Jets face four opponents 
                who currently rank among the top seven defenses in terms of the 
                fewest rushing yards allowed to the RB position. It is actually 
                a bit surprising that it took the Colts this long to put together 
                this dreadful of a performance given where they are in the rebuilding 
                plan. While the Jets deserve plenty of credit, this game very 
                much looked like one in which Indy played without the “win 
                one for Chuck” motivation it did the previous week vs. Green 
                Bay or got a little full of themselves after knocking off the 
                Packers. Rams-Dolphins The Rams’ coaching staff deserves a ton of credit for putting 
                together a gameplan each week that manages to keep Sam Bradford 
                somewhat healthy and allows the running game to be moderately 
                productive (we’ll get into a bit more detail about that 
                in a bit). On one hand, it looked like St. Louis has committed 
                to a splitting its backfield reps almost evenly between Steven 
                Jackson and Daryl Richardson. On the other hand, it became obvious 
                to me midway through the first quarter the Rams identified their 
                best shot at success against Miami was running on the perimeter, 
                a skill set that suits the younger and more explosive Richardson. 
                To further back up that point, I don’t recall a single Richardson 
                run inside the tackles (outside of a couple of draws) nor do I 
                remember seeing a single Jackson run that didn’t start inside 
                the tackles. Much of Miami’s offensive gameplan appeared 
                to target CB Bradley Fletcher and Janoris Jenkins (or avoid Cortland 
                Finnegan, to be precise) and lean on quick-hitting pass plays 
                that allowed QB Ryan Tannehill to avoid the impressive Rams’ 
                pass rush. Jenkins, in particular, had a poor game, allowing all 
                nine passes in his coverage to be completed. With that nugget 
                of information and after looking at the box score, it should come 
                as no shock that Jenkins spent most of his day on Davone Bess 
                or Marlon Moore. Fantasy implications: It is stunning to me that an offense starting 
                Wayne Hunter at LT and Barry Richardson at RT can get anything 
                done, much less post 462 yards against a fairly formidable Dolphins 
                defense. Casual game observers might be willing to look at the 
                game and/or box score and say the Rams have joined the ranks of 
                the dreaded RBBC, but I’m not so sure. The idea of Mr. Inside 
                and Mr. Outside came to me on the Rams’ second snap from 
                scrimmage and may be their plan to compensate for the absence 
                of Danny Amendola. One thing that is apparent over last season 
                for Miami is that HC Joe Philbin and OC Mike Sherman understand 
                football is more than just focusing on what your players do well, 
                but calling a game that minimizes what your opponent does well. 
                This, above everything else, is my rationale for why Brian Hartline 
                was hardly targeted vs. the Rams after being one of the league 
                leaders in the category entering the game while Bess, Moore and 
                Reggie Bush carried the Miami passing attack. In other words, 
                we should continue to expect inconsistent production from Hartline 
                in games in which Miami should be able to remain competitive or 
                against defenses with weak pass rushes. In other games – 
                like this one – expect a heavy dose of Bush, Bess and Anthony 
                Fasano. Lions-Eagles One of the biggest differences I see in Matthew Stafford this 
                year is that instead of involving his supporting cast like he 
                did for most of 2011, he seems to default to Johnson almost immediately 
                if his first read isn’t open (assuming Johnson isn’t 
                the first read) regardless of coverage. Brandon Pettigrew appeared 
                to be an afterthought in this game – which is understandable 
                considering the athletes the Eagles now have at linebacker – 
                but Titus Young may as well not even dress on Sundays. After enjoying 
                such a great offseason, Young is seeing on action on 75% of the 
                team’s offensive snaps but doesn’t appear to be all 
                that confident – he dropped a fairly easy deep ball in this 
                game after beating three defenders – and, as a result, Stafford 
                doesn’t appear to have much confidence in him. As I search 
                answers to the question of why Philadelphia is struggling so much 
                on offense, I ask myself, “When did Jason Avant become such 
                an afterthought in the gameplan?” Given his role as a third 
                receiver in this offense, Avant isn’t necessarily someone 
                opponents spend much time on, but he always seemed to be in the 
                right place at the right time when Michael Vick needed a first 
                down late in previous years. It may have taken a bit longer than 
                expected, but Nick Fairley lived up to his 2011 draft status in 
                this contest, doing his part to cause Michael Vick to throw both 
                of his interceptions and blowing up a number of run plays in the 
                backfield. Fantasy implications: Lions OC Scott Linehan stated in the week 
                leading up to this game that he believed opposing defenses had 
                used zone coverage on all but about five plays against his offense 
                all season long. This goes a long way in explaining why Young 
                isn’t “lifting the lid” off the defense as well 
                as why Nate Burleson – the better route-runner – is 
                producing despite what supposed to be a passing of the torch. 
                It also helps to explain Detroit’s desire to run the ball 
                more often. In this game, however, I saw mostly man coverage from 
                the Eagles and the Lions were unable to exploit it for most of 
                the game as Johnson had just one catch after three quarters. In 
                the fourth quarter, however, Detroit got smart with Johnson and 
                used all the tricks in the book to beat man coverage (such as 
                fade stops and drag routes) that it wasn’t using through 
                the first 45 minutes. Given what I’ve seen in my review, 
                Young is droppable in deeper leagues. He is supposedly dealing 
                with a knee injury, but his only score this year was off a tipped 
                Hail Mary pass and, as I suggested above, he doesn’t appear 
                to be part of the gameplan. The Eagles’ offensive woes stem 
                from more than just the lack of use of Avant, but when Jeremy 
                Maclin is the only receiver opponents must fear over inside the 
                numbers and the offense isn’t calling many run plays, inconsistency 
                will occur. Pure and simple, Fairley was a difference maker in 
                this game. His possible emergence would mean the world to a secondary 
                that has been much less burnable than it was last season. Patriots-Seahawks Casual observers will simply look at the box score and say Russell 
                Wilson picked apart the Patriots’ defense. However, I’d 
                argue that his some of the skills he flashed before he even released 
                the ball impressed me more than any throw he made. On a handful 
                of plays in the first half alone, Wilson showed the athleticism 
                to create something out of nothing on more than one occasion. 
                But most impressively, I saw the movement skills inside the pocket 
                that had GM John Schneider comparing the rookie to Drew Brees 
                during the summer. If there was any doubt about New England being 
                a “matchup offense” prior to Week 6, there shouldn’t 
                be anymore. The Pats ran 85 plays, 58 of which were passes. So 
                how does a 58:27 pass-run ratio equate into a matchup-based offense? 
                New England averaged 3.3 YPC on the ground, which is a small number 
                for such a talented offense and not one it has to accept when 
                it has proven it doesn’t need balance to be an effective 
                passing team. Going forward, it is fair to suggest that Brady 
                will likely be throwing the most when the matchup in the run game 
                looks the most daunting. Fantasy implications: Despite an impressive fantasy game in Week 
                6, Wilson’s time to shine probably isn’t going to 
                come this season for redraft-league owners simply because Seattle 
                will most likely be comfortably putting the brunt of the weight 
                on the defense and the running game. Wilson hasn’t eclipsed 
                27 pass attempts since Week 1, which is one reason why I feel 
                confident in making that prediction. But, as many have said before 
                me, Wilson already possesses all the “tools” he needs 
                to succeed in this league and his all-around skill-set figures 
                to make him a fantasy QB1 when the Seahawks decide to open up 
                their offense in 2013 or 2014. The Pats can generally work under 
                the assumption each week that if the ground game is ineffective, 
                Tom Brady has more weapons than the defense has studs to defend 
                them. Even the Seahawks, who have three Pro Bowlers in the secondary 
                and an above-average pass rush, had trouble keeping Brady under 
                400 yards passing. Bills-Cardinals Based on my analysis, LaRod Stephens-Howling was hit at the line 
                of scrimmage or behind it on just about every one of his 11 carries, 
                most of which were runs designed to be inside the tackles. The 
                one time I recall that he actually had good blocking – which 
                was another inside run that he bounced outside – he turned 
                it into an 11-yard gain. The fact he was used as the inside runner 
                in this game was somewhat mind-boggling, to say the least. William 
                Powell, on the other hand, seemed to benefit from better blocking 
                that one might expect from the Arizona line. But to be fair, Powell 
                outperformed “Hyphen” on similar runs and was generally 
                harder to bring down. Then again, outside of the way they were 
                used in this game, none of this should come as a big surprise 
                to anyone who has watched the two backs play. After noticing how 
                the Rams used Steven Jackson and Daryl Richardson, I was surprised 
                how much similarity I saw in how the Bills use Fred Jackson and 
                C.J. Spiller when both backs are healthy. Again, this inside-outside 
                usage isn’t surprising given their builds and styles, but 
                notable since both backs have been featured at some point. Fantasy implications: One has to question the intelligence of 
                giving your 5-7, 185-pound third-down back all the inside runs 
                while the 5-9, 207-pound back gets to run all the counters and 
                screens designed to get players to the edge of the defense. It 
                happened consistently enough that I am willing to conclude Arizona 
                was just “changing it up” on Buffalo because I’ve 
                seen the Cardinals use LSH in the same way they utilized Powell 
                in this contest. I was also surprised to discover “Hyphen” 
                wasn’t even targeted in the passing game until overtime, 
                when he received both of them on first and second down before 
                John Skelton threw his game-changing interception. With that said, 
                Powell was my recommendation in this backfield prior to last week 
                and he will continue to be my recommendation. He was the Cardinals 
                RB I was most impressed with during the preseason as well, which 
                is why I selected him as Arizona’s candidate for the “next 
                Victor Cruz” in my Bold 
                Predictions article. As long as both Bills’ RB stay 
                healthy, my initial impression is that Jackson will be more useful 
                in games like Tennessee this week in which the opponent either 
                has trouble tackling or is “soft” up the middle and 
                Spiller will be more useful in comeback-mode games or against 
                teams that have poor tacklers in the secondary. Vikings-Redskins It’s a small matter – especially since Percy Harvin 
                is such a dynamic player – but it is worth noting how much 
                Harvin has appeared in the backfield instead of Adrian Peterson 
                in recent weeks. I’m fairly certain this trend can be chalked 
                up primarily to an offense that doesn’t feel like it can 
                run down close to the goal line without a completely-recovered 
                Peterson because of a below-average line. (When I say “below-average”, 
                I’m referring to poor run-blocking grades of LG Charlie 
                Johnson and LT Matt Kalil – who incidentally is dominating 
                as a pass blocker). One way to cover that weakness up in the red 
                zone (we’ll get into AP’s poor red-zone numbers in 
                a bit) is to spread the field with three- or four-receiver sets 
                and run draws with the most explosive player on the team right 
                now, which is Harvin. If and when that isn’t producing the 
                desired result, well, let’s just say there’s a reason 
                Kyle Rudolph already has five touchdowns. I’m anticipating 
                the day when opposing defenses start to put eight and maybe nine 
                men in the box against the Redskins. As long as Pierre Garcon 
                is limited – which appears as if it is going to be that 
                way for a while – the Redskins simply don’t have anyone 
                at receiver right now who brings near the big-play threat Robert 
                Griffin III does as a runner. Fred Davis has that kind of potential, 
                but strangely does not appear to be part of the regular gameplan 
                each week. Fantasy implications: Owners looking for some kind of rationale 
                as to why AP hasn’t scored since Week 1 don’t need 
                to look any further than the fact that he isn’t doing anything 
                in the red zone when he gets his shot. Since his two-TD debut, 
                Peterson has 14 carries for 11 yards inside the 20! To put 
                that number into some perspective, Peterson and Arian Foster were 
                tied for No. 1 overall (among backs with at least 25 red-zone 
                carries) at 3.1 YPC inside the 20 last season. But none of this 
                is meant to take anything away from Peterson, who is performing 
                at a much higher than any of us could have expected. RG3 has the 
                potential to be everything we hoped Michael Vick would become 
                years ago. The power of Alfred Morris should ensure that defenses 
                don’t use nickel packages to try and match speed with Griffin 
                while his accuracy is already good enough that defenses are hesitant 
                to leave their cornerbacks on an island. With that said, it doesn’t 
                make a lot of sense for defenses to allow RG3 to beat them with 
                the ball in his hands as a runner when they can force an aging 
                Santana Moss or injured Garcon to do it. Until that happens, however, 
                owners need to treat RG3 as the incredibly productive fantasy 
                player he is. The risk is obviously high for any quarterback who 
                runs as much as he does, but his talent is undeniable.  Giants-Niners Domenik Hixon may not be the most durable receiver and he may 
                be no higher than third on the depth chart, but there is no doubt 
                in my mind now why the Giants have stayed the course with him 
                through all of his injuries. While he lacks the physical presence 
                of Hakeem Nicks or the elite cat-like quickness of Victor Cruz, 
                I have been consistently impressed by the different ways he makes 
                plays all over the field. Whereas Mario Manningham was mostly 
                a deep receiver at the end of last season, Hixon has a great chance 
                to be a key contributor all season long, particularly if Nicks 
                looks as limited as he did in this contest. Perhaps the one aspect 
                of San Francisco’s game that stuck out the most to me – 
                besides the inability to establish Frank Gore or contain the Giants’ 
                running game late – was the degree to which Colin Kaepernick 
                was involved. While it is hard to get a gauge on HC Jim Harbaugh’s 
                long-term plan at quarterback with blowouts in three consecutive 
                games (two wins, one loss), the second-year signal-caller was 
                involved in the action when he was in the game (meaning he personally 
                ran the ball himself or passed on nine of his 17 snaps in Week 
                6.  Fantasy implications: The Giants’ depth at a number of 
                key positions is nothing short of incredible. Obviously, Eli Manning’s 
                presence goes a long way in making the receivers look good, but 
                it is still worth mentioning that five New York wideouts have 
                each recorded at least 82 yards in a game less than halfway through 
                the season. Getting back to Hixon, his rest-of-the-season role 
                will obviously depend on how often the injury-prone Nicks is available 
                to play. However, I’m convinced after watching Hixon over 
                the past couple of weeks that he is a player worth keeping on 
                fantasy rosters in even the shallowest of leagues for the remainder 
                of the season. In all likelihood, the Niners are using Kaepernick 
                as a change-up to Smith and nothing more, especially since Alex 
                Smith has been reborn under Harbaugh. Still, it has to be a bit 
                concerning to Smith and his owners that Kaepernick is getting 
                a series here or there. Whether he wants to or not, Harbaugh is 
                certainly inviting talk that Smith’s grasp on the job may 
                not last past this season. Packers-Texans Slight pushoffs by Jordy Nelson notwithstanding, this game was 
                confirmation for me that Texans CB Johnathan Joseph is playing 
                hurt. Since reports surfaced about a groin injury before Houston’s 
                Monday Night Football game against the Jets in Week 5, the player 
                who essentially shut down Demaryius Thomas in Week 3 and A.J. 
                Green in the playoffs last season has been burned repeatedly by 
                the likes of Jeremy Kerley, Jason Hill and the previously-struggling 
                Nelson. Another troubling sign was the Texans’ complete 
                inability to establish their ground game or even block effectively 
                against a Packers’ defense missing NT B.J. Raji. When Owen 
                Daniels or LT Duane Brown wasn’t setting the edge against 
                Clay Matthews (not an unforgivable crime), it was the interior 
                blocking that was failing. And on the rare occasion there was 
                a cutback lane, neither Foster nor Ben Tate could find their footing. 
                Although I could certainly discuss the proficiency of Green Bay’s 
                passing game, I think it is safe to say nothing is wrong with 
                that part of the Packers’ offense. Most notably, however, 
                was that Green Bay played with a pace and urgency I had not seen 
                from them at any point this season. As I suggested last week, 
                I feel the loss of Cedric Benson actually helps this offense because 
                it forces the Packers to play more aggressively and use Randall 
                Cobb as an extension of the running game. Fantasy implications: At this point, Houston fans should hope 
                that Joseph sits outs this week against Baltimore and uses the 
                Week 8 bye to recover. Joseph and Danieal Manning – along 
                with the hiring of DC Wade Phillips – are the single biggest 
                reasons this pass defense has improved so much from the porous 
                unit the Texans had prior to their arrivals. Most likely, the 
                awful performance of the Texans’ running game is just a 
                one-time thing, but it is worth mentioning that Foster is averaging 
                25 carries a game and on pace for 400 carries, so with Tate having 
                done next to nothing for about four weeks, now is the time for 
                Foster owners to secure his handcuff. I don’t think it was 
                coincidence that Green Bay enjoyed its best offensive in the same 
                game Cobb was heavily utilized. While he didn’t get into 
                the end zone, Cobb’s ability to work the slot means opponents 
                must account for every part of the field. Perhaps Greg Jennings’ 
                eventual return changes Cobb’s role, but I’m willing 
                to bet he maintains WR3 value in fantasy going forward.  Broncos-Chargers San Diego cannot be expected to function in the passing game 
                if Ryan Mathews is being bottled up and/or LT Jared Gaither is 
                out. LT Mike Harris was the talk of the preseason, but he and 
                RT Jeromey Clary have no shot at protecting Philip Rivers against 
                the likes of Elvis Dumervil and Von Miller without the threat 
                of the run. Antonio Gates still has it. While he still doesn’t 
                look nearly as quick as he did during the preseason, he can still 
                make safeties and linebackers look ridiculous. Gates has been 
                the victim of some bad luck – rib injury, pass interference 
                calls, etc. – that have made people question his ability, 
                but he proved in this game he is still very much a player that 
                Rivers will target relentlessly. And let’s not forget Eric 
                Decker, who could have easily enjoyed a game that would have made 
                Jordy Nelson jealous if not for: 1) a temporary lack of balance 
                that would have added 30 yards and another touchdown to his totals 
                and 2) a bogus pass interference call that wiped out a 28-yard 
                gain at the very least. Although he is considered a possession 
                receiver by most, Decker can get deep and has better ball skills 
                – especially in the air – than most believe. Fantasy implications: There was some discussion taking place 
                during the offseason that Rivers had lost a great deal of arm 
                strength, which contributed to his high interception total last 
                season. While there may be some truth to that, his decision-making 
                was particularly poor in this game, which could be just as much 
                compensating for a loss of arm strength as it knowing he no longer 
                has the likes of Marcus McNeill, Kris Dielman and Nick Hardwick 
                in their primes protecting him. After the Chargers’ bye 
                this week, they will have a chance to execute HC Norv Turner’s 
                edict of protecting the football and reducing risk at the expense 
                of producing big plays. This new plan will begin in earnest against 
                the Browns and Chiefs, two teams that rank among the top 10 friendliest 
                matchups for RBs, so Mathews’ workload should not be in 
                question. Even though both Cleveland and Kansas City have kept 
                TEs in check so far, I would expect Gates to be the primary focus 
                of Turner’s new low-risk offensive plan. Decker is doing 
                just about what I expected in that while Demaryius Thomas draws 
                most of the attention because of his big-play ability, he has 
                a slight edge over Thomas in targets and isn’t that far 
                away from having about 100 more receiving yards and 2-3 more touchdowns.
 Suggestions, comments, musings about the article 
                or fantasy football in general? E-mail 
                me or follow me on Twitter. 
                
 Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006, appeared in USA 
              Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine in each of the last 
              two seasons and served as a weekly fantasy football analyst for 
              106.7 The Fan (WJFK – Washington, D.C). He is also a member 
              of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.
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