| All Out Blitz: Volume 55
 11/15/12
 
 Aggressiveness is a characteristic that tends to reward fantasy 
              owners more times than not. In the NFL, an offensive line will sometimes 
              hold up long enough to give the quarterback enough time to beat 
              man coverage down the field and make the defense look foolish against 
              a fierce pass rush. More often than not, though, when a defense 
              brings the heat and forces the action, crisis management becomes 
              the name of the game for the opposing team.
 
 In that same vein, I hope to apply that same kind of pressure to 
              the owners in all of my leagues by beating my opponents to the punch 
              in regards to personnel moves. Sometimes, reaching a conclusion 
              about a player too quickly results in making a bad situation worse. 
              However, coming to a correct conclusion two weeks or two minutes 
              quicker than your opponents is considered foresight and can often 
              lead to fantasy championships.
 
 Fantasy owners can be a uneasy lot, knowing that one two-or-three-game 
              losing streak can wreak irreparable damage to his/her team’s 
              chances to make a visit to the fantasy postseason. But just as it 
              is in the NFL and in life, it’s hard to land the big prize 
              by playing scared. Thus, I will strive each week to help each of 
              you become a smart blitzer, so to speak.
 
 
 
 As enjoyable as fantasy football is, doesn’t it seem like 
              we spend an inordinate amount of time preparing for the worst?
 It should come as no surprise given the violence of the real 
                game, but starting with draft day, most veteran fantasy owners 
                are constantly reassessing their roster in hopes to fortify a 
                weak position one week or acquire a handcuff for a running back 
                another week. We do this primarily because the likelihood that 
                one of our key players will succumb to injury is, well, painfully 
                high. In the overall scheme of things, 16 weeks doesn’t 
                seem like a great deal of time. But if fantasy football is anything, 
                it is much more a marathon than a sprint. Over the course of the season, fantasy owners will experience 
                their fair share of injury scares that turn out to be nothing 
                more than that. Other times, devastating injuries occur without 
                warning and leave the unprepared owner in a state of desperation. 
                While deep-league owners will lament over the potential multi-week 
                losses of Ben Roethlisberger to a rib/shoulder injury and Alex 
                Smith, Jay Cutler and Michael Vick (all to concussions), this 
                week falls mostly under the former description. In other words, 
                if one of these players wasn’t on your team and their injuries 
                don’t get you thinking about securing a good backup QB for 
                the stretch run, then be prepared for the consequences when fate 
                determines your player is the next one to miss significant time. The other point to be made in regards to multi-week injuries 
                – especially when they happen at the QB position – 
                is the impact it will have on his teammates, particularly those 
                who catch the ball. For example, when Kevin Kolb went down in 
                Arizona, John Skelton will still favor Larry Fitzgerald in critical 
                situations. The same thing in Chicago when Cutler turned things 
                over to Jason Campbell; the ball is still going to Brandon Marshall. 
                The same cannot be said in a lot of other situations, though, 
                and that is where a savvy owner can take advantage. This week, 
                Colin Kaepernick seemed to focus more on Vernon Davis than Smith 
                has lately. Jeremy Maclin got awful busy once Nick Foles replaced 
                Vick. Byron Leftwich seemed to lean a bit more on Emmanuel Sanders 
                than Mike Wallace, which is typical when one backup QB is used 
                to working another backup WR.  Almost without fail, every week during the fantasy season provides 
                an opportunity to improve your team. It’s your job to take 
                advantage. As you may be able to tell, I’m still working on the most 
                efficient way to present my game observations to you. Here’s 
                what caught my eye this past weekend: Colts-Jaguars
 For college football fans, Jacksonville is the anti-Oregon. The 
                Jags play so slow and so conservatively – very few routes 
                go more than eight yards down the field in the passing game – 
                that a person could be fooled the team is using 2012 as an extended 
                preseason, with a high draft pick as their reward for their troubles. 
                Cecil Shorts’ routes are the only ones that are designed 
                to create a big play and the box scores tend to reflect that. 
                The run game lacks imagination as well as Rashad Jennings – 
                or Maurice Jones-Drew when he was healthy – rarely has a 
                play drawn to reach the perimeter while Justin Blackmon and Laurent 
                Robinson run what I call “static routes”, meaning 
                they are usually stationary when they receive the ball.
 While blitzing isn’t necessarily the greatest measure of 
                defensive aggressiveness, the Jaguars’ defense plays so 
                soft that if teams have the patience to simply string together 
                a long drive, they will probably find the end zone. DC Mel Tucker 
                used the Cover 2 with great success at the end of last season, 
                but even teams known for being predominantly Cover-2 teams (like 
                Chicago) will blitz from time to time. I see very little variation 
                from the Jags as they choose to rush four most of the time and 
                let everything play out in front of their linebackers. Yes, Jacksonville 
                secondary is hurting, but even replacement CBs should be able 
                to run with Reggie Wayne at this stage of his career and at least 
                challenge his catch. All too often, Wayne was running wide open 
                and could have easily had 50-100 yards had the Jags kept this 
                game somewhat competitive. One of the biggest differences – 
                and it is a big one – between Chicago and Jacksonville on 
                defense is that the Bears make offenses work their way down the 
                field and do everything in their power to force a turnover. The 
                Jags only do the first part. Fantasy implications: We’ve known for a little while that 
                Shorts was the only player worth playing from the Jags’ 
                passing offense. As it turns out, he’s about the only player 
                worth playing on the entire Jacksonville offense. Possession receivers 
                should continue to make for good fantasy plays against the Jags’ 
                defense while any offense that is patient enough to put together 
                10-12 play drives in the first half – like Houston next 
                week – will have a fantasy defense worth playing as well 
                as Jacksonville looks completely out of its element when it is 
                forced to pass or even go downfield in regular game situations.  Broncos-Panthers
 Denver showed little respect for Carolina’s running game 
                and the Panthers obliged by running the ball just nine times in 
                the first half. This was particularly evident once I realized 
                how out of position the Broncos were the six times Carolina attempted 
                a screen pass in this contest. Officially, Cam Newton went 4-of-5 
                for 73 yards on those plays – his one misfire coming as 
                a result of needing to throw the ball over an unblocked defender. 
                Unofficially, Newton and Stewart connected on a 62-yard screen 
                pass that was called back due to a holding penalty. Three of the 
                four “legal” screens went for at least 17 yards and 
                none were caught by Steve Smith. I mention these observations 
                for two reasons: 1) the Broncos can be run on and 2) “receiving 
                backs” could/should have a field day against a Denver defense 
                that appeared hell-bent on rushing the passer and nothing more. 
                While that approach did lead to seven sacks and forced Newton 
                to throw a pick-six, a more disciplined and balanced offense – 
                with a stronger offensive line – would expose that flaw.
 There’s little reason not to like Willis McGahee, but he 
                showed in this game why Denver would probably prefer rookie Ronnie 
                Hillman as the passing-down back on a more permanent basis. But 
                McGahee’s biggest problem of late has been ball security, 
                which will get his role reduced quicker than any expected second-half 
                fade will (as he turned 31 in October). Over his last three games, 
                McGahee has fumbled three times – losing two – and 
                he’s already set career highs in both categories (five and 
                four, respectively). Fantasy implications: Denver’s 
                safety play – at least defending the pass – is marginal at best, 
                which goes a long way in explaining why the Broncos have incredible 
                difficulty defending opposing TEs. Between now and the end of 
                the season, Denver faces Antonio 
                Gates (next week), Brandon 
                Myers (Week 14) and Dennis 
                Pitta (Week 15), so don’t hesitate to start them. McGahee 
                is a trusted veteran on a team built to win now, so he isn’t likely 
                going anywhere until Hillman plays his way into a timeshare. But 
                while the remaining schedule is favorable and the offense is running 
                smoothly otherwise, owners need to be prepared for a reduced workload 
                from McGahee if his fumbles continue.  Chargers-Bucs
 It has taken Danario 
                Alexander about two weeks to do what Robert 
                Meachem has done once all season – produce. There’s no question 
                his 80-yard touchdown came as a result of some poor tackling, 
                but I think it is a much bigger deal what he did after that catch. 
                Philip 
                Rivers targeted him on short and intermediate routes while 
                Meachem has spent the majority of his time as a Charger only running 
                deep routes – just as he did in New Orleans. Rivers even trusted 
                Alexander on a timing route over the middle and aired it out to 
                him down the sideline (which was ultimately intercepted) as the 
                Chargers were attempting to rally late in the fourth down by seven 
                points.
 To a degree, it was a bit ironic that Josh Freeman was on the 
                same field as Rivers on Sunday. Anyone who has watched the Bucs 
                this season has probably witnessed one of the bigger in-season 
                QB transformations in recent memory. The reason I felt it was 
                ironic that Freeman was on the field with Rivers was because the 
                latter used to be known for his pocket presence and willingness 
                to stand in against the rush until the last possible second, something 
                that really struck me on the drive that led to Tiquan Underwood’s 
                TD catch in the third quarter, including the play that produced 
                the score. CBS play-by-play announcer Kevin Harlan smartly pointed 
                out that Pro Football Focus has observed that Josh Freeman is 
                being afforded the ninth-highest amount of time to get his throw 
                off and it shows in the way he carries himself in the pocket. Fantasy implications: It may seem premature after just two games, 
                but owners may have this year’s Laurent Robinson in Alexander. 
                Like Robinson, Alexander is extremely injury-prone, but the next 
                time someone questions either player’s talent will probably 
                be the first time. Alexander won’t have to battle the likes 
                of Dez Bryant and Miles Austin for his quarterback’s attention 
                and should be immediately scooped up in most fantasy leagues. 
                He’s a viable WR3 for as long as he can stay healthy. As 
                for Freeman, he looks so much more poised now than he did earlier 
                in the season, which is what can happen when a team discovers 
                a running game and has two big-play receivers. Obviously, one 
                tends to feed off the other and the quarterback tends to benefit 
                as a result in fantasy.   Bills-Patriots
  
                  It's been a "what could've been" 
                    season for Lloyd.  Brandon 
                Lloyd is a victim of his own past success. OC Josh McDaniels 
                knows his receiver can contort his body in any way necessary and 
                bases most of his use of Lloyd to take advantage of that ability. 
                While Lloyd does his fair share of underneath work, his role in 
                this offense is primarily that of a deep threat with the occasional 
                use of a fade-stop to keep the defense honest. Why is that important? 
                Because of all the Patriots’ possible pass catchers, Lloyd’s routes 
                are the lowest-percentage ones in a high-percentage offense. Still, 
                he is the most targeted Pats’ WR in the red zone and drew two 
                more interference penalties in the end zone in this game – part 
                of a continuing theme with him – one on a slant play and one on 
                a deep throw.  Before its Week 9 bye, the Pats managed to put together their 
                first complete game in a beatdown of the Rams in London. But while 
                the offense has only skipped a beat a time or two this season 
                – a league-low eight three-and-outs all season bear that 
                out – the defense continues to underwhelm. Case in point: 
                Scott Chandler continues to befuddle New England. Against the 
                Pats this season, Chandler has nine catches for 127 yards and 
                three TDs. In his seven other games, his combined line is 18-123-2. 
                At some point, it gets hard to explain how a defense that typically 
                takes away the best thing an opposing offense does can’t 
                stop anything Bills HC Chan Gailey throws at it. Fantasy implications: For Lloyd, it is almost a “what could 
                have been” season. He’s not getting a ton of deep-shot 
                opportunities in this offense and he’s just missing (typically 
                not his fault) on a number of possible TD catches. If you don’t 
                want to believe me on this, just refer back to the Rams’ 
                game right before the bye when he hauled in two touchdowns on 
                his only two catches. Pretty much everything I said above about 
                Denver’s defense in regards to guarding the TE is transferable 
                to the New England defense as well. While the run defense is still 
                solid, the pass defense is still dreadful; the acquisition of 
                Aqib Talib will help, but only so much.  Raiders-Ravens
 My first observation regarding this game has to do with someone 
                that saw all of six snaps, Taiwan Jones. Taking a hardline course 
                of action with a player is one thing when a coach is trying to 
                leave his stamp on a team, but not giving your own team a chance 
                to win as a result of that approach is another. Jones has blocking 
                and fumbling issues, but if Baltimore’s defense has shown 
                us anything over the last month or so, it is that it cannot set 
                or defend the edge in the running game. Gifted as Marcel Reece 
                may be, he’s not the runner a team or its fans should want 
                leading the team in carries unless the entire RB depth chart is 
                depleted. Jones is raw at this point, but he’s the one RB 
                Oakland had in this game that could get to the edge and make something 
                happen. Allowing a practice-squader like Jeremy Stewart to take 
                reps in a 55-20 game in the early fourth quarter is a wasted opportunity 
                to give a talented player like Jones a chance to show he is has 
                grown since the preseason.
 Poor safety play may as well have been the theme of Week 10. 
                Of course, the entire Oakland pass defense hasn’t been good 
                for most of the year, but each of Joe Flacco’s first two 
                TD passes were the result of Raiders’ inability to react 
                quickly to basic plays that should not have been a surprise to 
                them. But those two scores only highlighted what was a poor effort 
                by Oakland’s secondary – another continuing theme 
                this season. Fantasy implications: Just because the Raiders didn’t take 
                advantage of the edge of the Ravens’ defense doesn’t 
                mean the next opponent won’t. With Pittsburgh on the schedule 
                twice over the next three weeks, look for the Steelers to attempt 
                to get either a healthy Rashard Mendenhall or Chris Rainey to 
                the outside as much as possible. As for the Raiders’ pass 
                defense, it’s hard to see things getting any better at this 
                point since it was a weakness to begin the season and injuries 
                have only accentuated the problem. Titans-Dolphins
 There are some that would have you believe that Chris Johnson’s 
                resurgence was a matter of him running with more desire than before. 
                Johnson was simply getting hit in the backfield so often that 
                it was nearly impossible for him to use his world-class speed. 
                I suggested early in the season his run blocking was among the 
                worst in the league but that it was something that can improve 
                over the course of the season. Early in the season, the Titans 
                couldn’t even run a stretch play because of immediate defensive 
                penetration. Now, in consecutive weeks, the Titans have hit big 
                plays against two top-five run defenses* (more on that below). 
                His run blocking has improved dramatically and, not surprisingly, 
                so have CJ’s numbers. Don’t make the mistake that 
                CJ all the sudden just cares a little more.
 I found the quasi-benching of Reggie Bush after his first-quarter 
                fumble curious. Certainly, his numbers haven’t exactly been 
                stellar over the past few weeks, but he hasn’t exactly been 
                afforded the opportunity to be a feature back recently either. 
                As big of a supporter as I have been of Daniel Thomas, he simply 
                isn’t the same level of runner that Bush is. And in this 
                game, it appeared to me that his teammates knew he was getting 
                pulled after the fumble because they went out and played like 
                it from that point on. Fantasy implications: As much as Johnson’s owners would 
                like to believe he is back to CJ2K form, his numbers lie just 
                a bit. Last week’s 80-yard TD run was against second-stringers 
                in a blowout and this week’s score was on a play where he 
                completely reversed field. While it does speak to his big-play 
                ability, those are not two occurrences owners should expect to 
                happen regularly. Fortunately, the schedule may cut his owners 
                a break the rest of the way. For whatever reason, Miami has lost 
                its edge over the last two weeks and I’m not sure a Thursday 
                night game against a Bills’ team that will get to feature 
                C.J. Spiller is the recipe to get it back on track. Overall, I 
                don’t see a decline in Bush’s play, which makes the 
                benching all the more confusing as he isn’t exactly fumble-prone. 
                As much as watching each game reveals about each team, there are 
                some things it can’t answer.  Lions-Vikings
 Adrian 
                Peterson suggested late in the week – after Percy 
                Harvin was ruled out – that his absence might actually help 
                Christian 
                Ponder since it appeared to him that his quarterback had locked 
                onto Harvin during his recent malaise. However, poor quarterback 
                play can sometimes be attributed to his receivers not gaining 
                separation and it stands to reason that is exactly what happened 
                here since Harvin has no problem in that regard. Combine just 
                one receiver getting open on a consistent basis with a young signal-caller 
                who could easily lose confidence with a prolonged “slump” and 
                it makes sense that Harvin was his one and only look. In this 
                game, Minnesota found a temporary cure for its ills against a 
                zone-heavy Lions defense that didn’t blitz all that often. For 
                a quarterback who has looked rattled in recent weeks, Ponder was 
                poised in this contest and could have easily had a better game 
                than he did were it not for some drops.
 As an unabashed Calvin Johnson fan, I don’t mind mentioning 
                him whenever possible. With that said, I’m not exactly ready 
                to say he is “back” (as in the form he showed for 
                most of 2011). My instincts tell me that one look at this game 
                vs. the first meeting in late September is the difference a healthy 
                Chris Cook can make in the Vikings’ secondary. Fantasy implications: According to Pro Football Focus, Ponder 
                has a QB rating of 96.4 this season in “no pressure” 
                situations and 88.4 when he isn’t blitzed, which are much 
                better numbers than his “when blitzed” or “plays 
                under pressure” QB ratings are. The zone-heavy theory test 
                should get a good workout when the Vikings come off their bye 
                in Week 12 at Chicago. Fortunately for Johnson owners, Megatron 
                isn’t going to see more than one elite CB the rest of the 
                fantasy season (Johnathan Joseph in Week 12), so his last two 
                weeks of production (19 catches, 336 yards and a score) may just 
                be a sign of things to come so long as his knee holds up.   Falcons-Saints At some point, it gets old trying to explain why the Falcons 
                continue to feature Michael Turner. If 13 carries for 15 yards 
                against one of the league’s worst defenses – against 
                the run (or the pass, for that matter) – doesn’t sell 
                Atlanta on it, maybe the fact that he is 3-for-17 on goal-to-go 
                carries should. Either way, it seems pointless to beat it into 
                the ground any further, so let’s spend the rest of this 
                time talking about the Saints’ rushing attack. As frustrating as it is trying to figure out why Atlanta seems 
                intent on holding its own offense back, it is equally frustrating 
                watching New Orleans not maximize the wealth of talent it has 
                at the running back position. I believe Mark Ingram could be a 
                featured back for a number of different run-heavy teams, but the 
                recklessness – and I mean that in a good way – of 
                Chris Ivory is such that the Saints do themselves a disservice 
                by “protecting him from himself” by limiting him to 
                10-15 snaps. I can understand wanting the shorter, more compact 
                Ingram at the goal line, but Ivory is the superior option in most 
                other situations in this offense. Not only is he the only true 
                breakaway threat the team has at the position when Darren Sproles 
                is out, but the energy boost his runs give to his team are evident. Fantasy implications: The Falcons 
                really need to evaluate how they are going to make a long playoff 
                run with Turner as the bellcow RB. Is Jacquizz 
                Rodgers a Darren 
                Sproles clone? No. But over the second half of the season, 
                I would hope that we see a bit more Rodgers and Jason 
                Snelling. If anything, Atlanta may be just as suited at the 
                current time to use a three-man RB committee as New Orleans. Turner, 
                as his owners already know, is an extreme hit-or-miss fantasy 
                player with a recent history of second-half fade, so I don’t suspect 
                more duds may be in his future. While Sproles’ owners await news 
                of his return, Ivory seems like the best fantasy option from the 
                Saints’ running game because his runs are the most explosive. 
                Pierre 
                Thomas may be the most trusted option in reality (as reflected 
                in his snap count and pass-blocking responsibilities), but 11 
                combined rushing attempts over a two-week period with Sproles 
                out seems like a complete waste of his abilities.   Giants-Bengals
 Give Cincinnati credit for once: the gameplan was to keep Victor 
                Cruz in check as much as possible and let a less-than-100% 
                Hakeem Nicks and Martellus 
                Bennett beat the defense underneath. They couldn’t and the 
                Giants paid for it. Eli 
                Manning made two of the worst decisions a quarterback could 
                make on his two interceptions and Cruz dropped the one throw that 
                Eli Manning had that should have went for a touchdown. Avid film 
                watches such as NFL Films’ Greg Cosell have suggested Manning 
                has a “tired arm”, but I have looked for that in particular over 
                the last two weeks. While I won’t debate that might have a little 
                bit to do with Manning’s “slump”, I see poor decision-making, 
                ill-timed drops and a bunch of throws going out-of-bounds because 
                he isn’t trusting his receivers to win their battles like he used 
                to and/or because his receivers aren’t getting open downfield.
 Although the box score suggests the story of the game was Andy 
                Dalton and the Bengal defense, this was quite possibly the 
                worst performance I have seen from the Giants all season. Despite 
                the fact that Cincinnati’s running game offers no threat, New 
                York could not manage a single sack and rarely even pressured 
                Dalton, which is saying something considering the state of the 
                Bengals’ offensive line. Given the talent of the Giants’ pass 
                rush, it speaks to a team that is either disinterested, distracted 
                or can only preform when their backs are up against the wall. Fantasy implications: Cincinnati has strung together two very 
                solid performances since the Week 8 bye, but this is still a team 
                I don't trust and, quite frankly, a team that I don’t think 
                is all that good outside of A.J. Green, DT Geno Atkins and a few 
                other players. Fortunately for Bengal Nation, the next three games 
                are against the three stooges of the AFC West, which may give 
                owners of Dalton, Green and the Bengals defense a much-needed 
                boost heading into the fantasy playoffs. Disappointing Novembers 
                have become the norm for the Giants and it is really hard to explain 
                why. The destruction caused of Hurricane Sandy could explain a 
                distracted team over the last two weeks and the lack of a team 
                pushing them in their own division could be another explanation, 
                but their play is uninspired to say the least.   Jets-Seahawks
 The pass attempts aren’t going up at all, but Russell Wilson’s 
                efficiency sure is. Week 10 marked the third straight week the 
                rookie’s QB rating improved and the fourth time in five 
                games that it was 98 or higher. The four sacks are an eyesore, 
                but overall his decision making is just about everything his supporters 
                suggested it would be after watching him in college. His little 
                flip-pass to Marshawn Lynch that went for 27 yards at the five-minute 
                mark of the second quarter was a great example of a quarterback 
                knowing his offense cold and his movement skills in the pocket 
                are well beyond what anyone should expect from a rookie. The offense 
                will still go through Lynch for the foreseeable future, but the 
                pieces are already in place for Wilson to succeed once the Seahawks 
                turn the offense over to him.
 I hate to throw in the towel on any team at this point of the 
                season and it is important to note they just got done playing 
                a Seahawks that is almost unbeatable at home, but the Jets are 
                a mess. They seem willing to work Tim Tebow into the offense, 
                but there seems to be no method to their madness in general. I 
                am far from a Mark Sanchez supporter, but one reason his completion 
                numbers are down in general – in my analysis anyway – 
                is because so many of his throws are down the field and in difficult 
                down-and-distance situations and his supporting cast isn’t 
                close to what it used to be. With that said, Sanchez is one of 
                the league’s worst starting QBs and has been since he joined 
                the league. If anything, he may be backtracking in that regard. 
                I’m really not sure whether to commend HC Rex Ryan for massaging 
                four wins out of this team or to blast GM Mike Tannenbaum for 
                the collection of talent on this roster. Fantasy implications: Wilson may not have the pedigree, height 
                or overall numbers of his more well-publicized QB classmates, 
                but that doesn’t he hasn’t been every bit as impressive. 
                The Seahawks’ offense is in good hands going forward, plain 
                and simple. He’s already achieved matchup-QB status in 12-team 
                leagues and is really just a philosophical change from being a 
                low-end QB1 in fantasy. Fans in the NYC may be wanting Tebow to 
                take over at some point, but it needs to be said that Shonn Greene 
                is not Willis McGahee and Jeremy Kerley (or Stephen Hill, take 
                your pick) is not Demaryius Thomas. His one-read-and-run pass 
                plays aren’t going to work with a middling ground game or 
                without a dynamic receiver, and his trademark QB runs aren’t 
                likely to work if used more than 4-5 times behind this offensive 
                line.   Cowboys-Eagles
 For the typical NFL team, running a draw play is a change-up to 
                the traditional “power” runs a team usually runs. 
                It also works as a way to keep the defensive line from “pinning 
                their ears back”. For teams like Dallas, however, draw plays 
                are almost the only way a team can generate rushing yards and 
                they work particularly well against “wide-nine” teams 
                such as Philadelphia. This week, it really stood out to me how 
                often the Cowboys ran them and it makes sense going forward they 
                continue to do so. I’ve made my stance on Felix Jones quite 
                clear in recent columns, but it just so happens that his skill 
                set is a good fit in a draw-heavy game plan.
 Eagles fans have wanted it for some time: your savior is here. 
                Nick Foles had a fairly nice statistical debut considering the 
                competition, even if his real game wasn’t all that impressive. 
                But such is the case for the typical rookie QB. His interception 
                was more bad luck than bad judgment, but his fumble in the end 
                zone could have been avoided. With that said, his favorite receiver 
                appeared to be Jeremy Maclin by a fairly wide margin, although 
                it is important to note that Maclin was not targeted once in the 
                coverage of Brandon Carr or Morris Claiborne in this game, which 
                is rather surprising. Outside of playing favorites, the rookie’s 
                arm strength was apparent and he didn’t appear to be overmatched, 
                which is certainly a good sign for what appears to be a multi-week 
                stint as the starter. Fantasy implications: Hopefully, we are getting near the end 
                of DeMarco Murray’s recovery timetable because the potential 
                and explosion I saw in Jones during the early part of the 2011 
                season is not there anymore. I feel confident in saying that Murray 
                would have eclipsed the 100-yard rushing mark against the Eagles 
                if he was given the same plays Jones had. Don’t be fooled 
                into believing that Foles is going to fall in line with the other 
                successful QBs from this rookie class. His blocking is the worst 
                of the bunch, but he will be easier to block for simply because 
                he will be more of a timing passer than Michael Vick and the line 
                will know where is at. He does have a great supporting cast, however, 
                and this week the Washington secondary provides a forgiving opponent 
                in his first start.  Rams-Niners
 Before I get started with Steven Jackson, what a great and gutsy 
                call the Rams made near the end of the first half when punter 
                Johnny Hekker threw out of his own end zone to an uncovered gunner 
                (backup safety Rodney McLeod). That call may have saved St. Louis 
                from allowing a field goal and ultimately helped the Rams to tie 
                a team they should have lost to.
 Now onto Jackson. We established some weeks back that Jackson 
                was Mr. Inside to Daryl Richardson’s Mr. Outside. We also 
                know San Francisco’s defense is probably the fastest in 
                the NFL. What I did not expect to see was such a heavy dose of 
                Jackson in this game when all we saw during the first half was 
                a fairly equal split. I had no problem with the way Jackson ran 
                over the first eight games, but he displayed an entirely new level 
                of power in this game, which begs the question: was the first 
                half HC Jeff Fisher’s way to reduce his carries for a huge 
                second-half workload or was it just the matchup that inspired 
                31 combined touches? Another question arose during the course of this game: where 
                is the formidable Niners rush defense? Granted, San Francisco 
                set a pretty high standard last season, but Jackson and his try-hard 
                offensive line bullied the Niners in this game, especially early. 
                The defense did seem to plant their anchor after the first quarter, 
                but last year’s unit would have never allowed St. Louis 
                to get a 14-0 lead, much less allow an early 32-yard run to Richardson. Fantasy implications: Richardson isn’t going away, but 
                the optimist in me believes Fisher took one look at the schedule 
                in the spring and decided to preserve Jackson for the second half 
                of the season. A second-half slate that once looked imposing now 
                features the Jets (this week), Bills (Week 14) and Vikings (Week 
                15) – all teams that have shown vulnerability to the run 
                at various points of the season. Another heavy workload against 
                the Jets would be very good news for Jackson’s owners making 
                a playoff push. On the other hand, questions need to start being 
                asked about the Niners’ defense. Although a team can’t 
                be expected to repeat a season in which they forced 38 turnovers, 
                the sack rate is down considerably while three of their last four 
                opponents have rushed for at least 136 yards. As much as it pains 
                me to say it, they are no longer a must-start fantasy defense.  Texans-Bears
 For such a high-profile game, there was very little to take away 
                from this game in my opinion, most of which was due to the weather. 
                If anything, it showed the lack of trust that Houston has in its 
                secondary receivers – since TE Owen Daniels was out – 
                and Chicago has in any passing-game member not named Brandon Marshall. 
                Andre Johnson, despite meager production in this game, obviously 
                took a bit longer than what had been reported to fully recover 
                from his various ailments last season, but I have little problem 
                now with the way he played in this game despite the conditions 
                or his level of involvement in the passing game.
 As for Marshall, this game was further proof that he among the 
                most physically-dominant receivers in the game. Marshall doesn’t 
                possess great speed, but he’s going to be almost impossible 
                to stop anytime the officials allow both teams to “let ‘em 
                play” like they did Sunday night. As good as CB Johnathan 
                Joseph is (when healthy, as he now appears to be), even he’s 
                not going to be able to slow Marshall down much on a muddy field 
                when the physically-dominant receiver can use his hands to create 
                space 10 yards down the field.  Fantasy implications: Bad-weather games typically are the exception 
                rather than the rule, and it is rare that any element besides 
                heavy winds actually affect the outcome of a game, but there was 
                little doubt this game was the exception. Rain and declining temperatures 
                had an influence on this game – which was likely going to 
                be a defensive battle anyway – more than anyone could have 
                expected. Johnson is going to remain a fantasy WR2 as the Texans 
                really have no reason to veer from their offensive attack right 
                now. With another nine targets in Week 10 – to along with 
                the 32 he had in the previous three games – I feel even 
                more confident in my assessment of him from last 
                week. While he’s not quite “quarterback-proof” 
                – Jason Campbell will bring his fantasy stock down a bit 
                this week – Marshall has now reached the point where a six-catch, 
                80-yard game (at the very least) should almost be expected each 
                week, regardless of opponent. That’s an awfully high floor, 
                so unless the Bears are wrecked with injuries at QB in the coming 
                weeks, Marshall remains a top-five WR play for the rest of the 
                season.  Chiefs-Steelers After watching what I thought was the best game of the week (Rams-Niners), 
                this game was utterly forgettable. Much like the Texans-Bears 
                bad-weather game, I didn’t feel there was much to be learned 
                from this contest. Conservative play ruled the day for both sides. 
                While that approach made sense for Kansas City, which actually 
                ran the ball like it should have for most of the season in order 
                to decrease its reliance on Matt Cassel, Pittsburgh kept a bad 
                team in the game way too long. Forget for a second the Chiefs 
                actually rediscovered Jamaal Charles and consider that Kansas 
                City had averaged nearly four turnovers a game was clean until 
                the overtime period. Maybe HC Romeo Crennel’s decree that 
                the next player that commits a turnover will see the bench hit 
                home with some players, but it speaks very poorly to the professionalism 
                of a team if that was enough to get them to care about ball security. Fantasy implications: This performance was more in line with 
                what I expected from the Chiefs this season. For the Steelers, 
                it’s hard to understand how they are 6-3 after making Kansas 
                City look the better team for most of this game. Outside of showing 
                good offensive rhythm on their only touchdown – a brilliant 
                catch by Mike Wallace – let’s just I have no problem 
                suggesting a performance like that against about 25 other NFL 
                teams would have resulted in a lopsided loss. Kansas City remains 
                a great opponent to play matchups against for fantasy defense 
                purposes, but I am done using the Steelers defense against any 
                opponent until Troy Polamalu returns, if even then.
 Suggestions, comments, musings about the article 
                or fantasy football in general? E-mail 
                me or follow me on Twitter. 
                
 Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006, appeared in USA 
              Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine in each of the last 
              two seasons and served as a weekly fantasy football analyst for 
              106.7 The Fan (WJFK – Washington, D.C). He is also a member 
              of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.
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