The Saints may be hoping to get their next Pierre Thomas with
this pick, but it is hard to defend the selection of a No. 3 running
back when New Orleans still has yet to address its pass rush.
The Tennessee product is a top-five back in this draft on talent
alone, but he was far too inconsistent and comes with a few red
flags. Worst of all, it's hard to see where Kamara will get more
than 100 touches in 2017 or 2018 with Mark Ingram and Adrian Peterson
likely still around. Kamara has among the best mix of balance,
elusiveness, slipperiness and pass-catching abilities among backs
in this class, while his explosiveness (4.56 speed, 39 1/2"
vertical and 10'11" long jump) explains how he produced 23
touchdowns in only 284 touches at Tennessee. If Kamara could play
every week like he did against Texas A&M last year, he'll
be worth the pick. But there's a reason he never carried the ball
20 times in a game in college. He's going to need a lot of things
to happen in front of him in order to be fantasy-relevant anytime
soon.
3.05 - WR Cooper Kupp, Rams
General NFL fans will probably their eyes at a receiver from
FCS Eastern Washington, but that would be a mistake. Kupp is most
productive receiver in college football history, and it isn't
just a function at playing at a lower level of football. No Division
I wideout EVER did what he did in four seasons: 428 catches, 6,464
receiving yards and 73 receiving touchdowns. Not good enough?
Fine. Eastern Washington played two Power-5 programs over Kupp's
last three seasons: Washington in 2014, Oregon in 2015 and Washington
State in 2016. The totals in those three games: 35 catches, 597
yards and eight TDs. (In case you need a reminder, Washington
had Marcus Peters and a young Sidney Jones three years ago.) Kupp
likely profiles as a long-term slot in HC Sean McVay's offense,
which will probably try to use him in the same way Washington
has utilized Jamison Crowder. Kupp has more upside, however, and
could very well emerge as the Rams' top receiving before the end
of the season. His arrival, along with that of TE Gerald Everett,
gives Jared Goff a fighting chance at owning the middle of the
field at some point in the near future.
3.08 - WR Taywan Taylor, Titans
Rishard Matthews and Corey Davis should have nothing to worry
about, but fans of Tajae Sharpe should be concerned. Taylor projects
as a long-term slot option for Tennessee, and he's good enough
he may force the Titans to consider using more three-wide packages.
The Western Kentucky product is dynamic after the catch and is
nearly impossible to guard straight up when given a two-way go
out of the slot due to his suddenness and burst. He also understands
how to vary his tempo as well. Among his most major concerns are
his apprehension to go over the middle and inconsistent focus,
which leads to a few more drops than a player with his playmaking
ability should have. He's also a bit on the slight side (5-11,
203) and probably isn't going to beat Matthews or Davis out of
a job anytime soon on a that loves to run the ball, so his fantasy
upside figures to be limited for the foreseeable future.
3.15 - WR ArDarius Stewart, Jets
It doesn't take long before Stewart's physicality just leaps
off the tape, and I love the fit for a Jets' team who can use
the attitude he brings. Stewart is constantly in search-and-destroy
mode, instantly turning into a running back after the catch and
punishing defenders on downfield blocks. While he lacks the same
explosion and hands, he has a Steve Smith (the recently retired
one from Utah) kind of demeanor. Pro Football Focus credited him
with an average of 10.7 yards after the catch per reception, second-best
among Power-5 wide receivers. Stewart has work to do as a route-runner
and can try to do too much with the ball in his hands. He also
wasn't exposed to all that much man defense and press coverage
at Alabama with that program almost always possessing such a dominant
ground game and not passing all that much, and his hands could
be better (11 drops over the last two seasons). With that said,
New York should be able to feel good its future with Robby Anderson,
Quincy Enunwa and Stewart as its top three receivers if it chooses
to move on from Eric Decker at any point. While any Jets' receiver
will be difficult to use in fantasy this year, Stewart has the
most long-term upside of the young trio mentioned above.
3.18 - WR Carlos Henderson, Broncos
Henderson obviously doesn't present a threat to Demaryius Thomas
or Emmanuel Sanders in two-wide sets, but he immediately becomes
immediate favorite to take over slot duties for a Denver offense
that hasn't gotten much position in recent years. At 5-11 and
199 pounds, Henderson is an above-average route-runner with the
burst to separate from his defender and a fiercer competitor after
the catch than one might imagine for a player of his size. His
immediate contribution should come on special teams, however,
as he seems like a long shot for solid fantasy production on an
offense with two receivers who will combine for 150-plus receptions
again this season.
3.20 - WR Chris Godwin, Bucs
Tampa Bay goes from having very little receiving talent outside
of Mike Evans to an embarrassment of riches, as the team added
DeSean Jackson in free agency, O.J. Howard in the first round
and now Godwin. The Penn State product burst onto the stage with
a huge performance in the Rose Bowl and gives Jameis Winston yet
another big-play wideout who will start his career behind Jackson.
However, Jackson is no stranger to injury, so the 6-1, 209-pound
Godwin isn't all that far away from being a top-three target in
a very good offense. However, it's not a role that will lead to
much fantasy consistency, so he may be looking at being a clear-out
receiver/deep-ball specialist for his first 2-3 seasons in the
NFL.
3.22 - RB Kareem Hunt, Chiefs
Kansas City nailed this pick. Owners of Spencer Ware and Charcandrick West better take notice, as Hunt brings the kind of explosion
to the backfield Jamaal Charles used to provide. He can stop and
start almost on a dime and strings together moves about as well
as any back in this class. Despite his elusiveness, Hunt doesn't
lack for power; he also has outstanding balance and is plenty
stout enough (5-10, 216) to run inside - something he did plenty
at Toledo. He also values the football (one fumble on 722 total
touches over the last three years). PFF credited him with 98 total
missed tackles forced (second in the country) and 22 missed tackles
on receptions (second in the nation among running backs). Hunt
should be considered an immediate threat to Ware and pass West
on the depth chart in short order, and the possibility exists
Hunt could overtake Ware at some point. Hunt will almost certainly
be an undervalued asset in redraft leagues but he's very much
worth a pick in the later rounds.
3.23 - QB Davis Webb, Giants
We'll keep this one short, as Webb isn't going to unseat Eli
Manning. Webb does bring more talent to the No. 2 job than New
York has seen in ages and would have a fighting chance to win
a game or two should Eli ever miss a game. Manning will probably
still be playing by the time Webb's rookie contract expires, but
it will be close. New York provides Webb with the comfort of being
able to make the transition from "Air Raid" quarterback
to a pro-style offense as well. Webb can be ignored in fantasy
with this landing spot.
3.25 - RB D'Onta Foreman, Texans
Another case of Houston taking the best player available, although
Foreman serves the dual purpose of allowing HC Bill O'Brien the
luxury of taking some early-season carries away from Lamar Miller
like he hoped without needing to bite his lip watching more Alfred Blue. At least early in 2016, Foreman looked like a spitting image
of LeGarrette Blount. By the end of the first month of the season,
he appeared to be much more of a finesse runner than power back.
Foreman is an intriguing combination of size and quickness for
a bigger back, but he fell in this draft in large part to a lack
of contributions in the passing game - blocking and receiving
- and fumbling woes, which were likely brought on by a broken
hand he suffered during the season. Look for Houston to give him
an opportunity to steal some short-yardage work from Miller, although
the Texans love Miller too much to take him off the field all
that often. He should be considered a handcuff with decent redraft
and dynasty upside.
3.32 - WR Kenny Golladay, Lions
Golladay brings much-needed size (6-4, 218) to a Detroit offense
which probably missed Calvin Johnson a bit more than the numbers
showed last season. PFF credited him with five career drops among
165 catchable targets, so the Lions have reason to believe he
can contribute as a red zone option right way despite being raw.
He also runs 4.5, so he is an intriguing size/weight/speed talent.
Make no mistake about it, however, the Northern Illinois product
is a project. Golladay will probably spend the first year or two
of his NFL career on special teams while occasionally providing
Matthew Stafford a big target in the end zone.
3.34 - WR Chad Williams, Cardinals
Williams was arrested last May for firearm and marijuana possession,
which is the main reason why a 6-1, 207-pound receiver with 4.43
speed and good production along with a solid showing in the Senior
Bowl is still available at No. 98. The Grambling product plays
bigger than his size and hard to bring down, although he is a
bit too much straight-line to ascend to starting status at some
point in Arizona. He'll likely be stashed behind John Brown and
J.J. Nelson for the foreseeable future, even after Larry Fitzgerald
retires.
3.36 - TE Jonnu Smith, Titans
Smith was an ultra-productive player at Florida International
and should be a savvy pick for Tennessee in that he is probably
the tight end most like Delanie Walker in this draft, which suggests
the Titans hope he eventually takes over for the veteran. The
6-3, 248-pounder has endured his share of adversity over the last
two years, missing the final four games of the 2015 season with
a knee injury before he was a victim in an incident in which his
girlfriend poured boiling water on him this past fall. Smith is
actually very quick for his position (short-shuttle time of 4.18
is better than the combine average for receivers) and an above-average
route-runner, although his hands are a bit inconsistent and his
blocking needs work. He can be ignored in fantasy, but he is a
nice insurance policy for Walker.
3.40 - QB C.J. Beathard, 49ers
New HC Kyle Shanahan has a nice track record for developing quarterbacks,
but the selection of Beathard feels much more like a selection
of a signal-caller who he hopes will emerge as a long-term backup.
Beathard did play in a pre-style offense at Iowa, but he is very
much an average prospect with very little upside.
3.41 - RB James Conner, Steelers
Interesting, interesting, interesting. If Le'Veon Bell is "new
school" and redefining the running back position because
of his patience and footwork, then Conner is "old school"
in that he is a hammer who dishes out punishment with this straight-ahead
style. Conner really needs to line up seven yards in the backfield
and allowed to get a head of steam built up in order to be his
most effective, and Pittsburgh should allow him that opportunity
on the few occasions Bell needs a breather. Conner shouldn't have
much problem becoming Bell's handcuff in short order - a job description
which will should make him one of the most sought-after backup
running backs in fantasy.
3.42 - WR Amara Darboh, Seahawks
While he is nowhere near the physical specimen of former Super
Bowl star Chris Matthews, one can't help but wonder if Seattle
is hoping the 6-2, 214-pound Darboh can give the offense the same
kind of contribution, albeit more consistently. Darboh comes from
a pro-style offense with Michigan and simply does what he is supposed
to on just about every play, which helped him outperform more
highly regarded teammate Jehu Chesson. Unfortunately, he doesn't
stand out in any one particular area, so he'll have to get by
on being a jack of all trades in the NFL. He's likely to be more
of a special-teams contributor for the foreseeable future than
fantasy contributor.
Doug Orth has written for FF
Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy
Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s
hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday
in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national
sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”.
Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.