This is likely the toughest week for producing a complete lineup
as six teams will watch the action from the sidelines, including
two of the top-five scoring teams (New England and Houston). The
waiver wire is your friend.
Byes – Denver, Houston, Jacksonville, New England, Philadelphia
“Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored.”
- Aldous Huxley
1) The “Moustache” deserved to be benched.
I’m not sure “deserved” is the right word,
but heading to the bench for Nick Foles was the inevitable and
correct move. Minshew couldn’t deliver last Sunday in London
against a J.J. Watt-less Texans defense, including two interceptions
and a fumble in the fourth quarter, giving management an easy
out. Over the last four games, however, he completed just 54.9-percent
of his passes. Plus, after the owner and GM spent $88 million
for a starting quarterback in the offseason, Foles was always
going to play when healthy. Minshew will get another chance either
in Jacksonville or elsewhere as he’s better than half-a-dozen
2) Leonard Fournette and Chris Carson have underachieved in
True. Despite ranking third and fifth in rushing yards, respectively,
Fournette (10th overall) and Carson (12th overall) lag in fantasy
point production due to their low red-zone production. Fournette
has just one touchdown in 35 red-zone attempts (2.9-percent) and
Carson isn’t much better at 3-of-29 (10.3-percent). The
good news is they should both rebound. Fournette was 13-of 49
(26.5-percent) through 2018 and Carson was 9-of-44 (20.4-percent).
3) The best QBs to own with a second-half lead of seven-points
or more are Tom Brady and Dak Prescott.
It’s not always the quarterback behind on the scoreboard
that racks up the big passing production. The two best “front
runners” are Tom Brady 66-of-95 for 807 yards and five touchdowns
and Prescott 35-of-40 for 533 yards and five scores. At the other
end of the spectrum are; Mitchell Trubisky, Joe Flacco, Ryan Fitzpatrick
and Daniel Jones who have yet to throw a second-half touchdown
pass with a touchdown lead.
4) The Steelers used to be a haven for fantasy owners, but now
it’s a desert.
True. In 2017 Antonio Brown ranked second, Le’Veon Bell
ranked second and Ben Roethlisberger ranked eighth in FPts/G.
Even without Bell in 2018, James Conner finished seventh and JuJu
Smith-Schuster ranked eighth and Ben third. Fast forward to 2019
and the top receiver is Smith-Schuster ranks 45rd, James Conner
ranks 9th and backup quarterback Mason Rudolph ranks 33rd. Without
Roethlisberger the offense struggles. Hopefully he’ll return
in 2020 and make the Steelers offense viable again.
5) Davante Adams has yet to score in 2019.
Fact. Even before the “turf toe” he went four games
without reaching the end zone. That’s alarming. Over the
previous two seasons, Adams never went more than two games without
scoring and totaled 23 touchdowns. He’s ranked 22nd averaging
14.8 FPts/G, but that’s a far cry from being one of the
top-three fantasy receivers on Draft Day.
“The truth may be out there, but the lies are inside your
head.” - Terry Pratchett
1) If you are behind on the scoreboard in the second half of
a game in 2019 the best pass-catcher to have is Julio Jones or
Close, but no. It’s a trick question because the answer
isn’t a wide receiver, it’s a tight end. The Falcon’s
Austin Hooper has been the most production pass-catcher in the
entire NFL posting 34 receptions for 406 yards and five touchdowns.
Godwin is second, Tyler Boyd third and Jones fourth.
2) Don’t quit on the Chargers’ Keenan Allen.
False. He’s been horrible after his opening three-game
salvo (29-404-3). He’s still seeing the target volume needed
to rebound (37 targets over the past five games which is 13th
among all wide receivers), but Allen has done precious little
with them producing just 205 yards and no touchdowns. The schedule
won’t be favorable until Week 15. He’ll face the Chiefs
(7th in WR fantasy points allowed), a bye, then Denver (2nd) and
Jacksonville (15th) before better matchups against Minnesota and
3) Over the past three weekends Russell Wilson is playing at
a fantasy MVP level.
In real life yes, but Wilson is just the seventh-best fantasy
quarterback over the three-week period averaging 25.8 FPts/G.
Matthew Stafford leads all quarterbacks since Week 7 producing
a 32.0 FPts/G stat, followed by Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, Lamar
Jackson Jared Goff and Jameis Winston. For the season Wilson is
second to Lamar Jackson.
4) The Jets’ Sam Darnold can be a viable answer for dynasty
False. It’s going to be tough to be an elite quarterback
when two of the top fantasy defenses are in your division. Both
New England (ranks 2nd) and Buffalo (ranks 4th) are elite in QB
fantasy points allowed and make it difficult for either a Jets
or Dolphins quarterback to succeed. And don’t think Buffalo
is a one-year wonder defensively. They ranked first in 2018 and
eighth in 2017.
5) Christian McCaffrey can keep up this pace for an entire season.
Unlikely. Run CMC is averaging 30.6 FPts/G this season. That’s
more than four points per game better than any running back in
the past 10 seasons and 6.1 fantasy points better than the average
of the last 10 fantasy-leading running backs. In fact, it’s
the highest number since the Chiefs’ Priest Holmes averaged
31.6 FPts/G 17 years ago (2002) when he posted 1,615 yards and
21 touchdowns on the ground and 70 receptions for 673 yards and
three scores in just 14 games.