Another week and more players find themselves on the Covid-19 list.
It sure makes life a challenge for fantasy owners. We have to deal
with not only injuries, byes and bad matchups, but also the more-than-occasional
last-minute “Covid-19 bye.” Currently, there are 23
players on the Covid-19 list.
Byes: Arizona, Kansas City
“I am a firm believer in the people. If given the truth,
they can be depended upon to meet any national crises. The great
point is to bring them the real facts.” – Abraham
11) The Chiefs may be back on track, winning four in a row and
ready to reach a third consecutive Super Bowl, but Patrick Mahomes
Unfortunately this is true. He’s produced less than 19
fantasy points in four of the last five games and only the monster
400-yard, five-TD game against the Raiders (40.3 points) makes
his numbers over the last five weeks look even fairly acceptable
(19.8 FPts/G). Worse, it appears defenses might be slowing “solving”
Mahomes, forcing him to throw shorter and shorter passes each
season as indicated by the Yards-Per Attempt and Yards-Per-Completion
numbers below (while his completion percentage remains fairly
Mahomes: YPA / YPC
2) Kenny Golladay is my most disappointing fantasy wide receiver
of those who have gotten on the field this season.
He only “wins” the award because Michael Thomas has
yet to suit up, but he’s a receiver who averaged 14.7 FPts/G
from 2018-19 (his last full seasons) and even 13.2 FPts/G last
year, however is producing about half that after signing a huge
4-year, $72 million contract in the off-season to play for the
New York Giants. He looked completely lost, and disinterested,
Monday night and simply can’t be trusted in your lineup
at this point. Sit him, trade him if you can or cut him –
he ranks 84th among wideouts. Others who were in the running included;
Allen Robinson, Robby Anderson and Odell Beckham Jr. What do they
all have in common? Bad quarterback play.
3) With the re-emergence of Brandon Aiyuk (two of the last three
weeks over 20 fantasy points versus zero in the first six games)
he’s beginning to affect Deebo Samuel’s production.
Fact. Although Samuel is still fantasy-worthy every weekend,
in the two weeks Aiyuk exploded for 20+ points, Samuel averaged
just 13.9 fantasy points. Samuel averages 23.6 FPts/G when Aiyuk
is not a factor. The 49ers’ offense simply can’t support
two elite wide receivers because tight end George Kittle gets
a big share of targets and they are still a run-first offense.
4) I have never been “sold” on Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins,
but he’s playing excellent football right now.
It’s true I’ve thought he was overrated since his
days in Washington, but his 21 touchdown passes to just two interceptions
is elite level and he hasn’t thrown an interception since
Week 5. He ranks No. 2 behind only Justin Herbert over the three-week
span from Week 9-11 averaging 24.8 FPts/G.
5) WFT tight end Logan Thomas ranks seventh at the position
averaging 11.9 FPts/G, yet he’s rostered in barely over 50% of
all Yahoo leagues.
This is true, he’s rostered in just 52% of all leagues.
Thomas’ production isn’t a fluke, he averaged 11 FPts/G
last season. If you are still starting the likes of; Evan Engram,
Jared Cook or even Dallas Goedert (all averaging under 10 FPts/G)
what are you thinking? If Thomas plays this week, he is a better
“Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes,
our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot
alter the state of facts and evidence.” – John Adams
1) Leonard Fournette gets lost among all the superstars in Tampa
False. On a team with Tom Brady, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski it would be easy to overlook the work
being done by Fournette, but he’s producing as a solid RB2
despite the team also bringing in an elite pass receiving back
over the off-season (Giovani Bernard). Fournette leads the Bucs’
backfield corps in rushing yards (521) rushing TDs (4), receptions
(44) and receiving yards (323). His 15.2 FPts/G ranks 17th among
backs with at least six-or-more games.
2) Christian McCaffrey is happy that Cam Newton is back as his
CMC may be personally happy his backfield mate is back, but his
fantasy owners and his production were much better without Newton
3) Remember how all the experts thought Javonte Williams would
take over the backfield workload?
We’re still waiting. Actually, Williams’ production
has been more cyclical. He’s been “up” on odd-numbers
weeks and “down” on even-numbered weekends. He’s
averaging 12.1 FPts/G on 14 touches in odd-numbered weeks and
just 8.2 points on 12 touches in even-numbered weeks. It’s
an even-numbered week, but I’m not sure how the bye week
will affect this pattern.
4) Elijah Moore, ranking second among wideouts since Week 9,
can’t possibly keep up this pace.
False. I think he’s coming into his own and management
has been more consistent with his opportunities since Week 5 when
he saw just two targets. He’s averaged 7.4 targets per game
since then and he’s averaging 18.7 FPts/G. Despite both
Jamison Crowder and Corey Davis in the lineup the past two games,
Moore is seeing the most targets.
5) Michael Gallup could “carry” the Cowboys’ wide receiver corps
on Thanksgiving Day if CeeDee Lamb can’t return from his concussion
I doubt it. With Amari Cooper on the Covid-19 list and Lamb dealing
with a concussion, Gallup could end up being the “big dog”
on Thursday in Dallas. But Gallup doesn’t consistently catch
the ball. Over his career he catches barely over 55% of his targets.
As a comparison, Cooper owns a 63.3% catch rate (68.7 with Dallas)
and Lamb’s catch percentage is 66%. And Gallup has always
had a receiver like Cooper who gets the opposition’s best
defender. The Raiders corners, Nate Hobbs and Casey Hayward Jr.
are ranked No. 6 and No.7, respectively by PFF. Also, the Raiders
are more vulnerable to opposing tight ends, ranking 29th in fantasy
points allowed. Dalton Schultz would be the best fantasy pass
catcher on the Cowboys if Lamb is inactive.