As we enter Week 6, bye weeks enter the room, making teams with
depth even stronger. And injuries continue to harass fantasy owners.
But the biggest news story from last week was the new “Brady
Rule.” Interpreting what we saw from the NFL legalese …
if you touch Tom Brady, it’s a penalty. Not even Patrick Mahomes is eligible for this penalty (which requires the QB to
be 45-years of age or older) as I saw the Chiefs’ QB get
thrown to the ground just like TB12 on Monday night and nothing
Byes: Detroit, Houston, Las Vegas, Tennessee
“The truth is, everyone is going to hurt you. You just
got to find the ones worth suffering for.” – Bob Marley
1) The NFC East has three of the league’s best records
won/loss records, but for fantasy purposes it’s still a
very mediocre division.
True. Between 5-0 Philadelphia Eagles, 4-1 Dallas Cowboys and
4-1 New York Giants (combined 13-2) and adding Washington, there
are just three top-10 fantasy players (Jalen
Wentz and Saquon
Barkley) and just six top-15 players (based on FPts/G). By
comparison, the 1-4 Lions have three top-10 players by themselves.
2) Austin Ekeler owners can breathe a sigh of relief.
All it took was a date in Houston to get him going and now he’s
produced two of the three best games in the last two plus seasons.
His 34.9 and 35.9 games have pushed the Chargers’ star back
to the top of the RB chart. It seems longer than two weeks ago
when we were worried about his start (14.3 FPts/G for Week 1-3).
3) Taysom Hill is the No.2 ranked tight end.
It’s a fact. He’s not really a tight end. He’s
not a QB. He’s not a RB or WR. What he is, is a valuable
weapon. But leagues had to assign him a position somewhere and
they chose TE. His 13.5 FPts/G is better than everyone except
Travis Kelce. Hill is rostered in just 30% of all Yahoo leagues.
4) Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are both ranked among the top-seven
in WR fantasy, but without Tua Tagovailoa at least one of them
In the first three games with a “60-minute Tua”,
Tyreek Hill averaged 21.8 and Waddle 24.3, but with Teddy Bridgewater
and now third-string Skylar Thompson they are averaging 19.5 and
5.8, respectively. Hill is still a must start, no matter what,
but Waddle appears to be “Tua-dependent” and no one
is sure when he will return.
5) Geno Smith. That’s the tweet.
Over the last three games, the QB top-five, in order, is; Josh
Jackson and Joe
Burrow. One name doesn’t seem like the others, yet there it
is. Smith is averaging 28.6 FPts/G against Atlanta, Detroit and
New Orleans. Or maybe he does belong? A prime-time game on Monday
night might give us more of a sense of whether he is for real
or not. For now, he’s 11th in yards, tied for seventh in TD passes,
throwing just two INTs and owns a league-leading 113.2 QB rating.
“Better to get hurt by the truth than comforted with a lie.”
- Khaled Hosseini
1) Ja’Marr Chase has become a bottom-of-the-top 10 fantasy
While Chase hasn’t cracked 15 fantasy points since opening
day, he’s still seeing a top-5 target workload and that’s
the most important factor in saying “no, he should still
be valued as an elite wideout off to a slow start.” Here
are the names of the only players with more targets; Cooper Kupp,
Marquise Brown, Justin Jefferson and Davante Adams. Do not trade
Chase at below market value, wait, and you will be rewarded.
2) Baker Mayfield can start for some team in the NFL in 2023.
I’ve seen nothing over the past four years and five games
to back this claim. In his best fantasy season, his rookie year,
he ranked 15th (2018) and it’s been more commercials and
less production since then. His mediocrity was covered up by a
strong Cleveland roster and now on a less-talented Carolina team
he’s proving to be incapable of winning.
3) Cooper Rush should keep his starting job in Dallas until
he starts losing games.
Haha! The Cowboys aren’t winning because of Rush, he’s
just not losing games like his predecessors; Ben DiNucci, Garrett Gilbert and Andy Dalton. Dak Prescott can win games. Dak can win
for fantasy owners, too. His 24.4 FPts/G last season ranked sixth
last season and Rush doesn’t have that ability in his right
arm. When Prescott is healthy, he must play.
4) Antonio Gibson and Damien Harris can still be No.1 backs
for their NFL team.
I’m going to have to say no. Management in Washington,
such that it is, seems intent on running Gibson out of town. They
paid extra dollars to keep J.D. McKissic (matching another offer)
despite Gibson being a wide receiver in college and catching 78
balls over his first two seasons even with a third-down back on
the roster. Then drafted Brian Robinson Jr., out of Alabama. Meanwhile,
Harris (4.5 ypc) simply seems to be much less explosive than backup
Rhamondre Stevenson (5.5 ypc) and appears headed for being tabbed
as the red zone and goal-line back in his near future. Stevenson
has seen at least 55-percent of the snaps in four consecutive
games. Sell now before the changes are made and their value plummets.
5) Believe any fantasy “expert” who tells you to double-down
on either James Robinson or Travis Etienne as “the only Jaguars
back to have.”
The Jaguars will continue to use both backs at an almost even
clip. Etienne has seen over 50-percent of the snaps in three-of-five
games. Robinson has seen over 50-percent snaps in the other two
games, but is getting more touches (77-55). If you remember Head
Coach Doug Pederson’s running back usage in Philadelphia,
he never allowed anyone to be a workhorse back. In the early years
it was Ryan Mathews, Darren Sproles and Wendel Smallwood. Next
came LeGarrette Blount, Corey Clement and Jay Ajayi. Finally,
it was Miles Sanders, Jordan Howard and Boston Scott. Neither
back in Jacksonville will “win” the workhorse moniker…
barring an injury.