In the time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act – George Orwell

1) Caleb Williams is much improved from his rookie season.

True. For the first time in his "career" (20 games), he's produced 20 plus fantasy points in three consecutive games. He's completed 60% or better in all three games and has thrown seven touchdowns and just one interception. It's a little hard to tell how much better he is because the Dallas Cowboys game distorts the numbers a bit (they are the worst team in the league versus opposing QBs), but Williams should continue his good play in Week 4 against the 26th-ranked Las Vegas Raiders.

2) Sell high on Daniel Jones... do it today.

Jones will never have a better fantasy value than he has right now. He's currently ranked fourth among all quarterbacks with a 25.4 FPts/G average. He's also been bolstered by three rushing touchdowns, already the second-highest season total of his career. It's not a coincidence that as Jonathan Taylor's production has risen, Jones' has fallen. Four of his next five opponents rank in the top half of the league versus fantasy quarterbacks.

3) Christian McCaffrey is looking good so far (fingers crossed), but there are some warning signs.

His running game hasn't been efficient. Through three games he's averaging a career-low 3.4 yards-per-carry. He has yet to score a rushing touchdown. CMC's production has been buoyed by being a huge part of the passing game (32 targets, 25 receptions, 213 yards and a touchdown). What happens to his receiving workload when wideouts Jauan Jennings, Brandon Aiyuk and tight end George Kittle return to the lineup? For now, be happy with McCaffrey's production and health, but keep a watchful eye to his rushing statistics.

4) The biggest surprise at the running back position is the return of Travis Etienne.

Fact. All during OTAs and training camp there was talk of Tank Bigsby surpassing Etienne on the depth chart. In fact, Etienne has through three games returned to his 2023 form which made him a low-end RB1. He's averaging 15.7 FPts/G and with the addition of rookie Bhayshul Tuten led management to trade Bigsby to the Philadelphia Eagles. I'd like to see him more involved in the passing game, but being ranked ninth among running backs after ranking 42nd last season is a huge win for fantasy.

5) The replacing of frequently-injured Cooper Kupp with Davante Adams hasn't hurt Puka Nacua's production at all.

Sure, Nacua has yet to catch a touchdown pass, but his volume is unsurpassed. He is first in receptions (29), first in receiving yards (333), first in FPts/G (24.5) and second in targets (35). He's also rushed the ball in each contest and scored once on the ground from 45-yards out. With Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow sidelined for three months, the trio of Matthew Stafford, Nacua and Adams are the most lethal in the league.

Lies

“There are a terrible lot of lies going around the world, and the worst of it is half of them are true.” – Sir Winston Churchill.

1) “That throw was 70 yards,” said Chris Collinsworth of a Patrick Mahomes long pass attempt against the New York Giants.

No, Chris, it was about 58.5 yards. Using the formula ??2+??2=??2 (sorry for the math) he threw it from the 35-yard line to the 10-yard line and from near the sideline to the middle of the field (20 yards) it was well short of "70 yards." More importantly, it's an example of the media still in love with Mahomes despite his significant drop in production over the last two plus seasons. From 2018-2022, the Chiefs' star averaged 27.75 FPts/G over 79 games. Since then, he's averaged just 21.98 per game (35 games), but the media still thinks he's the "young" Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs championship runs the past two seasons have been led by Steve Spagnuolo and the defense, not Mahomes and the offense.

2) Dak Prescott will have to throw early and often because the Cowboys have no running game in 2025.

Surprisingly, false. Javonte Williams is dominating the backfield and producing on the field. He's averaging 19.9 FPts/G, which ranks sixth among all backs. He's reduced Miles Sanders' role to relief and made rookie Jaydon Blue "disappear." Now, with the high-ankle sprain suffered by CeeDee Lamb in Week 3, the Dallas offense will run through Williams and George Pickens for the next month.

3) One of the current top-five in wideout fantasy points doesn't belong; Nacua, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Rome Odunze, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Tre Tucker.

Yes, I did say Tre Tucker. After a monster 40.9 fantasy points in Week 3 he's ranked fifth with a 19.7 FPts/G average, but he's obviously a mirage. This is the problem with a small sample size. He had just two catches in the season opener and three catches in Week 2. He's still the No.3 target behind tight end Brock Bowers and wideout Jakobi Meyers. If another owner is interested in Tucker, it's a great time to "sell high."

4) Marvin Harrison Jr. can still produce to his ADP as a WR2.

Sorry, MHJ is not ready to be like Marvin Harrison Sr., a Hall of Fame member who was the recipient of many passes from Peyton Manning and produced 1,102 receptions, 14,580 yards and 128 touchdowns in 13 seasons. Junior struggled in his rookie season (62-885-8) as the No.4 overall selection in 2024 but after a decent season opener (5-71-1) has disappeared the next two games including a couple of drops. He has yet to see more than six targets in a game this season. He's Mr. Inconsistent. In 20 career games he's scored over 15 points nine times and under eight points eight times. He's feast or famine. He might still be worth something on the trade market given his "name," but you would be "selling low." Hold on and hope he and Kyler Murray consistently get on the same page... or at least wait and sell after a good game.

5) The real Brian Thomas Jr. is living on a tropical island somewhere, because this can't be the same guy we saw in Jacksonville last season.

BTJ is still seeing the volume to be a star receiver, but over the first three weeks he's forgotten how to catch the ball. Seven receptions on 25 targets (28%) is unheard of. Three drops. He has been dealing with a wrist injury, so there is that as a mitigating circumstance. Last season he caught 65.3 percent of his targets (87 of 133). If his fantasy owner is running scared, I'd jump on the chance to buy at a discount here. I still believe.