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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Targets for Week 11
11/15/19


Note: Salary amounts are DraftKings pricing

Dak Prescott

Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Dak Prescott @ Detroit - $6,700

Dak is on a hot streak with an average for 300 passing yards and three touchdowns in his last two games and should continue his strong play against a Lions team that gives up the 7th most points to opposing quarterbacks. While there is some concern that Zeke may run all over the Lions and a negative game script created by Jeff Driskel struggling could negate the production of Dak, he is likely one of the safest options and is a strong cash play in Week 11.

Other options to consider - Drew Brees @ Tampa Bay & Tom Brady @ Philadelphia

GPP - Josh Allen @ Miami- $6,600

Boom or bust GPP players should consider giving Josh Allen a look against the Dolphins. Allen posted his biggest game of the season last week with 25 points against the Browns, running for two touchdowns to go along with 266 passing yards. Miami’s defense is not quite the same terrible unit they were at the start of the year, but they still rank 9th in points allowed to QBs, and Allen is in line for a top-5 week.

Other options to consider - Nick Foles @ Indianapolis & Kyle Allen vs. Atlanta

Fade - Kirk Cousins vs. Denver - $6,300

There are a few red flags on Cousins this week that makes him a risky play. First, the Brandon Allen led Broncos are likely going to struggle this week on the road against Minnesota and could create a negative game script that limits the number of pass attempts by Cousins. Second, the way to beat the Broncos is on the ground and not the air, leading me to believe this is going to be an even more run-heavy game for a team that already likes to run the ball.

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Josh Jacobs vs. Cincinnati - $6,900

With at least 19 points in three of his last four games, it is laughable that Jacobs is priced lower than Le’Veon Bell. Jacobs is a smash play against a team that cannot stop the run and who is rolling out a rookie quarterback in his second start. I like the Raiders big this week and Jacobs to come through with another monster game.

Other options to consider - Ezekiel Elliott @ Detroit & Dalvin Cook vs. Denver

GPP - Brian Hill @ Carolina - $4,800

Hill rushed the ball 20 times last week against New Orleans and scored his first touchdown in the NFL. With Freeman and Smith out, Hill will be the primary back this week against the Panthers and is an excellent value at his sub-5k salary. I anticipate that Hill will be a popular play, but his salary compared to his volume is too hard to pass up.

Other options to consider - Raheem Mostert vs. Arizona & Derrius Guice vs. NY Jets

Fade - Leonard Fournette @ Indianapolis - $7,900

The Colts have yet to give up 100 yards rushing, and only three players have reached the end zone on the ground. I like Fournette’s involvement in the passing game to help pick up for his lack of production on the ground, but I don’t think his salary is justified based on the matchup. I also worry that the Jags offense may struggle with Nick Foles back under center in his first game.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Julian Edelman @ Philadelphia - $7,600

Edelman does not have a ton of touchdown upside, but he is almost a lock for ten targets and should be a PPR monster against an Eagles team that is hard to run on. Don’t be surprised to see Brady and the offense use a short passing game in lieu of trying to run against the Eagles, with Edelman and James White the beneficiaries of a ton of short passes.

Other options to consider - Michael Thomas @ Tampa Bay & Mike Evans vs. New Orleans

GPP - D.J. Moore vs. Atlanta - $5,900

With 16 catches in his last two games and a pair of 100-yard performances, Moore is red hot and should continue to be an excellent play this week against the Falcons. Eight different wide receivers have topped 80 yards in a game this season against Atlanta’s injury-depleted secondary. Look for Moore to be the ninth, making him somewhat of a steal at his 5.9k price tag.

Other options to consider - Chris Godwin vs. New Orleans & Hunter Renfrow vs. Cincinnati

Fade - Stefon Diggs vs. Denver - $6,900

Diggs is coming off two disappointing weeks for fantasy owners and now has the likely shadow coverage of Chris Harris. While some may view this as a contrarian play, I anticipate Cousins will lean on his tight ends and the running game, effectively making Diggs, a bystander in this game.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Jared Cook @ Tampa Bay - $4,400

This game has the makings of a shootout between divisional foes. The Bucs cannot stop the pass, and the Saints are going to be without Marcus Lattimore, making the Bucs pass offense even more difficult to stop. I anticipate a high scoring game, with Brees leaning on Michael Thomas as usual, but with Jared Cook posting his best game of the season against a Bucs team that gives up the second-most points to tight ends.

Other options to consider - Kyle Rudolph vs. Denver

GPP - Ross Dwelley vs. Arizona - $3,400

If you need a cheap tight end with seven-target upside, then Dwelley is your guy. The Cardinals give up the most points to tight ends, George Kittle is doubtful and Emmanuel Sanders may be limited, making Dwelley a huge upside play this week.

Other options to consider - T.J. Hockenson vs. Dallas

Fade - Zach Ertz vs. New England - $5,000

The Eagles are going to be without Alshon Jeffery and possibly Jordan Howard. I anticipate that Bill Belichick will design his game plan to shut down Ertz and limit the run game, forcing Carson Wentz to beat the Pats with passes to wide receivers. This has the makings of being an ugly game for the Eagles, and I am fading all of their skill position players where possible.

Defense & Special Teams

High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Bills ($3,800) @ Miami

Well Priced with Upside: Vikings ($3,400) vs. Broncos