Final Score Prediction
Patriots 30, Lions 21
Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 14 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 250, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 20 |
BenJarvus Green-Ellis |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
RB 30 |
Danny Woodhead |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
WR 27 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 6-70, 1 TD |
WR 51 |
Deion Branch |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
WR 76 |
Brandon Tate |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 7 |
Aaron Hernandez |
Rec: 3-40, 1 TD |
TE 23 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
K 3 |
Shayne Graham |
FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 11 |
Defense / ST |
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Detroit Lions |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 5 |
Shaun Hill |
Pass: 300, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 25 |
Maurice Morris |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 42 |
Jahvid Best |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
WR 4 |
Calvin Johnson |
Rec: 7-100, 1 TD |
WR 24 |
Nate Burleson |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
TE 8 |
Brandon Pettigrew |
Rec: 6-60, 0 TD |
TE 34 |
Tony Scheffler |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
K 26 |
Dave Rayner |
FG: 0/0 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 30 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Patriots Have won 19 of past 20 reg. sea games vs. NFC... NE has 8-1 record vs. NFC North since '02... QB Tom Brady is 13-3 (.813) as starter on road vs. NFC & has completed 381 of 585 passes (65.1 pct.) for 4,508 yards w/ 38 TDs vs. 16 INTs & 98.7 rating. Has 9 TDs vs. 2 INTs & 94.5 rating on road in '10... RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis had career-best 112 rush yards w/ 2 rush TDs in last game vs. NFC (Min.). RB Danny Woodhead totaled 90 yards last week (69 rush, 21 rec.), incl. 36-yard TD run... WR Wes Welker posted 4th TD rec. of season vs. Ind... Rookie TE Aaron Hernandez (35) needs 3 rec. to surpass GREG BATY (37 in '86) for most rec. among rookie TEs in NE history... S James Sanders aims for 3rd straight game w/ INT... Rookie CB Devin McCourty is tied for 1st among AFC rookies w/ 3 INTs.
Lions Play 71st Thanksgiving game. Host NE on Thanksgiving for 3rd time (2000, 2002)... Scored TDs 19 of 27 times in red zone (70.4 pct.), best in NFL... QB Shaun Hill averaging 306 pass yards per game in past 2... RB Jahvid Best leads NFL rookies with 757 scrim. yds. (382 rush, 375 rec.). Ties for 4th among NFL rookies with 5 total TDs (4 rush, 1 rec.)... WR Calvin Johnson has 9 rec. TDs in past 7. Has 27 rec. TDs since start of 2008, 3rd most in NFL. Has TD in 2 of 3 on Thanksgiving. TE Brandon Pettigrew ties for lead among NFL TEs with 50 catches. KR-PR STEFAN LOGAN ranks 2nd in NFL with 28.2 KR avg. & is 6th with 12.3 PR avg. Only player to rank in top 6 in both. WR Nate Burleson has 3 rec. TDs in past 4 vs. AFC... DT Ndamukong Suh leads NFL rookies with 7 sacks. Needs 1 sack for team rookie record (TRACY SCROGGINS, 7.5, 1992). CB Alphonso Smith has INT in 5 of past 8, incl. 42-yard INT-TD. LB Julian Peterson had sack & FF in ‘09 Thanksgiving game.
Results and Schedule
New England Patriots |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2010-09-12 |
CIN |
H |
W 38-24 |
+14 |
2 |
2010-09-19 |
NYJ |
A |
L 14-28 |
-14 |
3 |
2010-09-26 |
BUF |
H |
W 38-30 |
+8 |
4 |
2010-10-04 |
MIA |
A |
W 41-14 |
+27 |
5 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
6 |
2010-10-17 |
BAL |
H |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
7 |
2010-10-24 |
SD |
A |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
8 |
2010-10-31 |
MIN |
H |
W 28-18 |
+10 |
9 |
2010-11-07 |
CLE |
A |
L 14-34 |
-20 |
10 |
2010-11-14 |
PIT |
A |
W 39-26 |
+13 |
11 |
2010-11-21 |
IND |
H |
W 31-28 |
+3 |
12 |
2010-11-25 |
DET |
A |
W 45-24 |
+21 |
13 |
2010-12-06 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
14 |
2010-12-12 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
15 |
2010-12-19 |
GB |
H |
|
|
16 |
2010-12-26 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
17 |
2011-01-02 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Detroit Lions |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2010-09-12 |
CHI |
A |
L 14-19 |
-5 |
2 |
2010-09-19 |
PHI |
H |
L 32-35 |
-3 |
3 |
2010-09-26 |
MIN |
A |
L 10-24 |
-14 |
4 |
2010-10-03 |
GB |
A |
L 26-28 |
-2 |
5 |
2010-10-10 |
STL |
H |
W 44-6 |
+38 |
6 |
2010-10-17 |
NYG |
A |
L 20-28 |
-8 |
7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
8 |
2010-10-31 |
WAS |
H |
W 37-25 |
+12 |
9 |
2010-11-07 |
NYJ |
H |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
10 |
2010-11-14 |
BUF |
A |
L 12-14 |
-2 |
11 |
2010-11-21 |
DAL |
A |
L 19-35 |
-16 |
12 |
2010-11-25 |
NE |
H |
L 24-45 |
-21 |
13 |
2010-12-05 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
14 |
2010-12-12 |
GB |
H |
|
|
15 |
2010-12-19 |
TB |
A |
|
|
16 |
2010-12-26 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
17 |
2011-01-02 |
MIN |
H |
|
|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
NE Offense |
DET Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
26.3 |
19.7 |
23.4 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
105.0 |
76.3 |
112.1 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.18 |
3.29 |
4.15 |
NE |
Completion % |
62.2% |
59.2% |
61.3% |
NE |
Passing yards |
225.0 |
264.3 |
236.8 |
DET |
Passing yards per completion |
10.60 |
9.70 |
11.06 |
NE |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.59 |
5.74 |
6.78 |
NE |
Interceptions |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
NE |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
NE |
Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
37.7% |
37.1% |
39.1% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
60.0% |
100.0% |
52.3% |
DET |
Time of possession |
28:19 |
31:31 |
30:24 |
DET |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
NE Defense |
DET Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
23.5 |
25.3 |
23.4 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
92.8 |
131.7 |
112.1 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.97 |
4.52 |
4.15 |
NE |
Completion % |
69.5% |
60.4% |
61.3% |
DET |
Passing yards |
309.3 |
167.0 |
236.8 |
DET |
Passing yards per completion |
10.69 |
10.17 |
11.06 |
DET |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.44 |
6.14 |
6.78 |
DET |
INT return |
0.8 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
NE |
Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
DET |
Sacks |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
DET |
3rd down conversions |
48.1% |
34.8% |
39.1% |
DET |
4th down conversions |
75.0% |
40.0% |
52.3% |
DET |
Time of possession |
34:12 |
29:15 |
30:24 |
DET |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
NE |
DET |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
10.5 |
15.3 |
10.3 |
DET |
Yards per kick return |
14.9 |
25.9 |
21.9 |
DET |
Yards allowed per punt return |
6.6 |
15.3 |
10.3 |
NE |
Yards allowed per kick return |
21.3 |
22.8 |
21.9 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
NE |
DET |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.3 |
10.7 |
6.4 |
NE |
Penalty yards |
49.0 |
77.3 |
54.2 |
NE |
|
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 6 to 11 of the 2010 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 6 to 11 with no adjustment.
Weather
Dome Stadium
Team vs. Team History
New England Patriots vs. Detroit Lions |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
13 |
2000-11-23 |
NE |
DET |
9-34 |
DET |
2002 |
13 |
2002-11-28 |
NE |
DET |
20-12 |
NE |
2006 |
13 |
2006-12-03 |
DET |
NE |
21-28 |
NE |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2009 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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