Prediction: Bengals 27, Buccaneers 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Cincinnati Bengals |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 21 |
Andy Dalton |
Pass: 245, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
RB 20 |
Jeremy Hill |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
RB 27 |
Giovani Bernard |
Rush: 45, 0 TD Rec: 4-25, 0 |
WR 7 |
A.J. Green |
Rec: 7-95, 1 TD |
WR 30 |
Mohamed Sanu |
Rec: 5-65, 1 TD |
WR 95 |
Brandon Tate |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
TE 22 |
Jermaine Gresham |
Rec: 4-35, 0 TD |
K 16 |
Mike Nugent |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 7 |
Defense / ST |
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 12 |
Josh McCown |
Pass: 285, 2 TD Rush: 5, 0 |
RB 34 |
Doug Martin |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
RB 41 |
Charles Sims |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 51 |
Bobby Rainey |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
WR 17 |
Mike Evans |
Rec: 7-85, 1 TD |
WR 24 |
Vincent Jackson |
Rec: 6-75, 1 TD |
WR 76 |
Louis Murphy |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 29 |
Austin Seferian-Jenkins |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
TE 38 |
Brandon Myers |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
K 23 |
Patrick Murray |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 28 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Bengals Have won 4 of past 5... In past 6 vs. NFC, QB Andy Dalton is 5-0-1 & has completed 135 of 188 (71.8 pct.) for 1,765 yards with 15 TDs vs. 3 INTs for 121.0 rating. Bengals are 17-2 (.895) when Dalton has 100+ rating. Has 37-21-1 (.635) record, highest win pct. of any QB in club history (min. 20 starts)... In past 4, RB Jeremy Hill (Round 2, No. 55 overall) has rushed for 448 yards on 81 att. (5.5 avg.) with 3 TDs. Leads NFL rookies in rush yards (643) & ranks 2nd in rush TDs (6). In past 8, RB Giovani Bernard is averaging 86.5 scrimmage yards/game (692 total; 491 rush, 201 rec.) with 5 rush TDs... Last week, WR A.J. Green led team with career-high 12 catches for 121 yards. Has 19 career 100-yard games, tied with CARL PICKENS for 3rd-most in club history. Since entering NFL in 2011, has 4,462 rec. yards, 3rd-most in AFC. WR Mohamed Sanu had TD catch last week & now has career-high 5 in 2014 (4 in 2012)... Since 2012, Geno Atkins has 20 sacks, 2nd among AFC DTs. LB Emmanuel Lamur leads team with 78 tackles...
Buccaneers In past 3 starts vs. AFC with 10+ att., QB Josh McCown has 5 TDs, 0 INTs & 99.2 rating... RB Doug Martin has 896 scrimmage yards (112 per game), 689 rush yards (86.1 per game) & 6 TDs in 8 games vs. AFC. In past 3 at home vs. AFC, RB Bobby Rainey has rushed for 214 yards (71.3 per game) & 2 TDs... Rookie WR Mike Evans leads NFL in Nov. with 505 rec. yards (126.3 per game) & 6 rec. TDs. Leads NFL rookies with 841 rec. yards & ties for rookie lead with 8 TDs. Aims for 5th in row with TD catch. In 12/20/09 meeting vs. Cin. (with SD), WR Vincent Jackson had 5 catches for 108 yards & 2 TDs. WR Louis Murphy had TD catch in only game vs. Cin. (11/22/09 with Oak.)... Since 2013, LB Lavonte David is only player in NFL with 250+ tackles (260), 5+ sacks (7) & 5+ INTs (5). In past 8 vs. AFC, has 79 tackles, 4 INTs, 3.5 sacks & FF. DT Gerald McCoy has 5 sacks in past 5 vs. AFC. Has 5.5 sacks in past 5 & 15 sacks in past 18. DE JACQUIES SMITH has 3 sacks & FF in past 2. Aims for 3rd in row with sack.
Results and Schedule
Cincinnati Bengals |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
BAL |
A |
W 23-16 |
+7 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
ATL |
H |
W 24-10 |
+14 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
TEN |
H |
W 33-7 |
+26 |
4 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
5 |
2014-10-05 |
NE |
A |
L 17-43 |
-26 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
CAR |
H |
T 37-37 |
0 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
IND |
A |
L 0-27 |
-27 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
BAL |
H |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
JAC |
H |
W 33-23 |
+10 |
10 |
2014-11-06 |
CLE |
H |
L 3-24 |
-21 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
NO |
A |
W 27-10 |
+17 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
HOU |
A |
W 22-13 |
+9 |
13 |
2014-11-30 |
TB |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
CLE |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-22 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
|
|
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
CAR |
H |
L 14-20 |
-6 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
STL |
H |
L 17-19 |
-2 |
3 |
2014-09-18 |
ATL |
A |
L 14-56 |
-42 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
PIT |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
NO |
A |
L 31-37 |
-6 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
BAL |
H |
L 17-48 |
-31 |
7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
MIN |
H |
L 13-19 |
-6 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
CLE |
A |
L 17-22 |
-5 |
10 |
2014-11-09 |
ATL |
H |
L 17-27 |
-10 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
WAS |
A |
W 27-7 |
+20 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
CHI |
A |
L 13-21 |
-8 |
13 |
2014-11-30 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
DET |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
GB |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
NO |
H |
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
CIN Offense |
TB Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
19.8 |
15.7 |
22.5 |
CIN |
Rushing yards |
130.5 |
74.7 |
109.0 |
CIN |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.12 |
3.35 |
4.09 |
CIN |
Completion % |
57.5% |
58.9% |
62.4% |
TB |
Passing yards |
196.8 |
271.3 |
237.8 |
TB |
Passing yards per completion |
9.96 |
12.37 |
10.84 |
TB |
Passing yards per attempt |
5.73 |
7.28 |
6.76 |
TB |
Interceptions |
1.0 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
CIN |
Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
CIN |
Sacks allowed |
1.8 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
CIN |
3rd down conversions |
42.2% |
39.7% |
39.8% |
CIN |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
40.0% |
50.6% |
CIN |
Time of possession |
29:05 |
30:09 |
30:06 |
TB |
|
|
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
CIN Defense |
TB Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
21.0 |
20.7 |
22.5 |
TB |
Rushing yards |
121.0 |
99.7 |
109.0 |
TB |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.95 |
3.73 |
4.09 |
TB |
Completion % |
61.9% |
63.3% |
62.4% |
CIN |
Passing yards |
218.3 |
204.7 |
237.8 |
TB |
Passing yards per completion |
10.31 |
9.58 |
10.84 |
TB |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.39 |
6.06 |
6.76 |
TB |
INT return |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
TB |
Fumble recoveries |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
CIN |
Sacks |
1.0 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
TB |
3rd down conversions |
40.7% |
35.7% |
39.8% |
TB |
4th down conversions |
42.9% |
66.7% |
50.6% |
CIN |
Time of possession |
30:55 |
29:57 |
30:06 |
TB |
|
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
CIN |
TB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
7.8 |
13.7 |
8.7 |
TB |
Yards per kick return |
26.8 |
19.2 |
24.0 |
CIN |
Yards allowed per punt return |
6.0 |
3.2 |
8.7 |
TB |
Yards allowed per kick return |
26.4 |
23.4 |
24.0 |
TB |
|
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
CIN |
TB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
5.5 |
9.0 |
6.4 |
CIN |
Penalty yards |
42.0 |
72.7 |
53.4 |
CIN |
|
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 7 to 12 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 7 to 12 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2001 |
12 |
2001-12-02 |
TB |
CIN |
16-13 |
TB |
2002 |
4 |
2002-09-29 |
TB |
CIN |
35-7 |
TB |
2006 |
6 |
2006-10-15 |
CIN |
TB |
13-14 |
TB |
2010 |
5 |
2010-10-10 |
TB |
CIN |
24-21 |
TB |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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