Prediction: Texans 23, Jaguars 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Houston Texans |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 21 |
Ryan Fitzpatrick |
Pass: 245, 1 TD Rush: 15, 0 |
| RB 3 |
Arian Foster  |
Rush: 95, 1 TD Rec: 3-25, 0 |
| RB 57 |
Alfred Blue |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
| WR 16 |
DeAndre Hopkins |
Rec: 7-85, 1 TD |
| WR 26 |
Andre Johnson |
Rec: 5-70, 0 TD |
| WR 85 |
Damaris Johnson |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
 TE 29 |
Ryan Griffin |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
| K 9 |
Randy Bullock |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 1 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 32 |
Blake Bortles |
Pass: 195, 1 TD Rush: 15, 0 |
| RB 29 |
Denard Robinson |
Rush: 65, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 52 |
Toby Gerhart |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
| WR 48 |
Cecil Shorts |
Rec: 4-55, 0 TD |
| WR 57 |
Marqise Lee |
Rec: 3-45, 0 TD |
| WR 67 |
Allen Hurns |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| TE 20 |
Marcedes Lewis |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| K 30 |
Josh Scobee |
FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 22 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Texans Last week, QB Ryan Fitzpatrick passed for 358 yards & club-record 6 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 147.5 rating. In past 4, has 1,050 pass yards with 11 TDs vs. 2 INTs for 109.4 rating... In 6 career starts vs. Jax., RB Arian Foster is averaging 119.2 scrimmage yards/game (715 total; 613 rush, 102 rec.) with 6 rush TDs. Needs 100-yard rush game to surpass PRIEST HOLMES (31) for most ever by undrafted player. Has 10 TDs in past 6 (6 rush, 4 rec.) & aims for 7th in row with TD. Since 2010, leads AFC in rush yards (5,707) & rush TDs (49)... WR Andre Johnson (992 rec., 13,381 yards) needs 9 catches to surpass HINES WARD (1,000) for No. 9 all-time & 2 yards to eclipse TORRY HOLT (13,382) for No. 12 all-time. For career, averages 6 catches/game, best in history (min. 100 games). WR DeAndre Hopkins had career-high 238 rec. yards & 2 TDs last week... DE J.J. Watt is 1st player with 3 offensive TDs (3 rec.) & 2 TDs on takeaways (INT, FR) in season since BILL GOLDING in 1948. Since entering NFL in 2011, leads AFC with 48 sacks.
 Jaguars Overcame 21-point deficit to beat NYG, largest comeback in club history... Last week, QB Blake Bortles (No. 3 overall) became 3rd starting rookie QB since 1970 to help team overcome 21-point deficit to win (MATTHEW STAFFORD, VINCE YOUNG). Has 2,261 pass yards & needs 239 to join BYRON LEFTWICH (2,819) as only Jags rookies with 2,500... In past 6, RB Denard Robinson is averaging 90.8 scrimmage yards per game (545 total; 458 rush, 87 receiving) & has 4 rush TDs... WR Cecil Shorts III has TD in 2 of past 3 vs. Texans. Last week, rookie WR Marqise Lee (Round 2, No. 39 overall) led team with career-high 75 yards on 6 catches & scored 1st career TD (30 yards). Rookie WR Allen Hurns (undrafted) is tied for 2nd among AFC rookies in TD receptions (5) & 4th in receiving yards (530)... Defense has 37 sacks, 2nd in AFC & 3rd in NFL. Had 2 FR-TDs last week - J.T. Thomas III (0 yards) & AARON COLVIN (41 yards)... DT SEN' DERRICK MARKS has 5 sacks in past 5, incl. 2 vs. NYG. In past 8, DE Chris Clemons has 6 sacks, FF & FR. S JONATHAN CYPRIEN leads team with 79 tackles, incl. 7 vs. NYG.
Results and Schedule
| Houston Texans |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
WAS |
H |
W 17-6 |
+11 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
OAK |
A |
W 30-14 |
+16 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
NYG |
A |
L 17-30 |
-13 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
BUF |
H |
W 23-17 |
+6 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
DAL |
A |
L 17-20 |
-3 |
| 6 |
2014-10-09 |
IND |
H |
L 28-33 |
-5 |
| 7 |
2014-10-20 |
PIT |
A |
L 23-30 |
-7 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
TEN |
A |
W 30-16 |
+14 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
PHI |
H |
L 21-31 |
-10 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
CLE |
A |
W 23-7 |
+16 |
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
CIN |
H |
L 13-22 |
-9 |
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
TEN |
H |
W 45-21 |
+24 |
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
JAC |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
IND |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
BAL |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
JAC |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
PHI |
A |
L 17-34 |
-17 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
WAS |
A |
L 10-41 |
-31 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
IND |
H |
L 17-44 |
-27 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
SD |
A |
L 14-33 |
-19 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
PIT |
H |
L 9-17 |
-8 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
TEN |
A |
L 14-16 |
-2 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
CLE |
H |
W 24-6 |
+18 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
MIA |
H |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
CIN |
A |
L 23-33 |
-10 |
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
DAL |
H |
L 17-31 |
-14 |
| 11 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
IND |
A |
L 3-23 |
-20 |
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
NYG |
H |
W 25-24 |
+1 |
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
HOU |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-18 |
TEN |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
HOU
Offense |
JAC
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
24.7 |
17.7 |
22.9 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards |
143.0 |
110.0 |
109.7 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.99 |
4.65 |
4.13 |
JAC |
| Completion % |
57.1% |
59.0% |
62.5% |
JAC |
| Passing yards |
196.0 |
191.3 |
239.0 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.63 |
9.69 |
10.86 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.64 |
5.72 |
6.79 |
HOU |
| Interceptions |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
HOU |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
HOU |
| Sacks allowed |
1.7 |
4.0 |
2.4 |
HOU |
| 3rd down conversions |
43.6% |
30.8% |
40.2% |
HOU |
| 4th down conversions |
66.7% |
57.1% |
50.0% |
HOU |
| Time of possession |
31:43 |
27:08 |
30:06 |
HOU |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
HOU
Defense |
JAC
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
19.7 |
27.3 |
22.9 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards |
93.3 |
158.0 |
109.7 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.56 |
4.94 |
4.13 |
HOU |
| Completion % |
59.9% |
65.6% |
62.5% |
HOU |
| Passing yards |
273.3 |
219.7 |
239.0 |
JAC |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.91 |
10.74 |
10.86 |
JAC |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.14 |
7.05 |
6.79 |
JAC |
| INT return |
1.7 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
HOU |
| Fumble recoveries |
1.0 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
JAC |
| Sacks |
2.3 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
JAC |
| 3rd down conversions |
38.9% |
44.3% |
40.2% |
HOU |
| 4th down conversions |
42.9% |
0.0% |
50.0% |
JAC |
| Time of possession |
28:17 |
32:52 |
30:06 |
HOU |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
HOU |
JAC |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
6.3 |
6.6 |
8.6 |
JAC |
| Yards per kick return |
18.8 |
22.1 |
24.1 |
JAC |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
14.8 |
9.5 |
8.6 |
JAC |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
25.5 |
23.9 |
24.1 |
JAC |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
HOU |
JAC |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
4.7 |
5.0 |
6.4 |
HOU |
| Penalty yards |
43.0 |
38.3 |
52.8 |
JAC |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 8 to 13 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 8 to 13 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2002 |
8 |
2002-10-27 |
HOU |
JAC |
21-19 |
HOU |
| 2002 |
11 |
2002-11-17 |
JAC |
HOU |
24-21 |
JAC |
| 2003 |
4 |
2003-09-28 |
JAC |
HOU |
20-24 |
HOU |
| 2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
HOU |
JAC |
0-27 |
JAC |
| 2004 |
8 |
2004-10-31 |
JAC |
HOU |
6-20 |
HOU |
| 2004 |
16 |
2004-12-26 |
HOU |
JAC |
21-0 |
HOU |
| 2005 |
9 |
2005-11-06 |
HOU |
JAC |
14-21 |
JAC |
| 2005 |
16 |
2005-12-24 |
JAC |
HOU |
38-20 |
JAC |
| 2006 |
7 |
2006-10-22 |
JAC |
HOU |
7-27 |
HOU |
| 2006 |
10 |
2006-11-12 |
HOU |
JAC |
13-10 |
HOU |
| 2007 |
6 |
2007-10-14 |
HOU |
JAC |
17-37 |
JAC |
| 2007 |
17 |
2007-12-30 |
JAC |
HOU |
28-42 |
HOU |
| 2008 |
4 |
2008-09-28 |
HOU |
JAC |
27-30 |
JAC |
| 2008 |
13 |
2008-12-01 |
JAC |
HOU |
17-30 |
HOU |
| 2009 |
3 |
2009-09-27 |
JAC |
HOU |
31-24 |
JAC |
| 2009 |
13 |
2009-12-06 |
HOU |
JAC |
18-23 |
JAC |
| 2010 |
10 |
2010-11-14 |
HOU |
JAC |
24-31 |
JAC |
| 2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
JAC |
HOU |
17-34 |
HOU |
| 2011 |
8 |
2011-10-30 |
JAC |
HOU |
14-24 |
HOU |
| 2011 |
12 |
2011-11-27 |
HOU |
JAC |
20-13 |
HOU |
| 2012 |
2 |
2012-09-16 |
HOU |
JAC |
27-7 |
HOU |
| 2012 |
11 |
2012-11-18 |
JAC |
HOU |
37-43 |
HOU |
| 2013 |
12 |
2013-11-24 |
JAC |
HOU |
13-6 |
JAC |
| 2013 |
14 |
2013-12-05 |
HOU |
JAC |
20-27 |
JAC |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
|
