Prediction: Packers 34, Falcons 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Atlanta Falcons |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 19 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 275, 1 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 23 |
Steven Jackson |
Rush: 55, 1 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
RB 46 |
Devonta Freeman |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 56 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
WR 4 |
Julio Jones |
Rec: 8-105, 1 TD |
WR 28 |
Roddy White |
Rec: 6-70, 0 TD |
WR 42 |
Harry Douglas |
Rec: 3-35, 0 TD |
TE 32 |
Levine Toilolo |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
K 21 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 32 |
Defense / ST |
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|
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Green Bay Packers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 1 |
Aaron Rodgers |
Pass: 330, 3 TD Rush: 15, 0 |
RB 7 |
Eddie Lacy |
Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 4-25, 0 |
RB 59 |
James Starks |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
WR 2 |
Jordy Nelson |
Rec: 8-110, 1 TD |
WR 13 |
Randall Cobb |
Rec: 7-85, 1 TD |
WR 54 |
Davante Adams |
Rec: 3-45, 0 TD |
TE 35 |
Andrew Quarless |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
TE 36 |
Richard Rodgers |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
K 2 |
Mason Crosby |
FG: 2/2 XP: 4/4 |
DEF 4 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Falcons QB Matt Ryan has 102.4 rating (6 TDs, 2 INTs) in past 3 on MNF. When he starts & has 100+ rating, team is 37-3 (.925)... RB Steven Jackson has 714 scrimmage yards (119 per game), 583 rush yards (97.2 per game) & 2 TDs in past 6 vs. GB. Aims for 6th MNF game in row with rush TD... WR Julio Jones had 10 catches for 189 yards & TD last week. WR Roddy White has TD in 4 of past 6 vs. GB (incl. playoffs). Has TD in 5 of past 7 on MNF. In past 4 on MNF, has 35 catches for 415 yards (103.8 per game) & 2 TDs. WR Harry Douglas had 9 catches for 116 yards last week... DE Osi Umenyiora has 3 sacks & 2 FFs in past 3 vs. GB (incl. playoffs). Has 6.5 sacks in past 10 on MNF. DT Corey Peters aims for 3rd in row on MNF with sack. LB Paul Worrilow leads team with 111 tackles. CB Desmond Trufant leads team with 13 PD. S Kemal Ishmael has INT in 3 of past 4.
Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has 360 consecutive att. & 31 TDs at home in row w/out INT, both NFL records. In past 10 at home (min. 10 att.), has 31 TDs, 0 INTs & 130.9 rating (GB is 10-0). Has 121.1 rating in 4 starts (incl. playoffs) vs. Atl... RB Eddie Lacy has 667 scrimmage yards (133.4 per game) & 5 TDs (3 rec., 2 rush) in past 5... WR Jordy Nelson aims for 8th in row at home with TD (incl. playoffs). At home in 2014, has 26 catches for 669 yards (111.5 per game) & 7 TDs. WR Randall Cobb & Nelson tie for NFC lead with 10 rec. TDs. Rookie WR Davante Adams had career-high 121 yards (6 catches) last week... LB Clay Matthews has 4 sacks, 2 FFs & FR-TD in 5 games on MNF. In. Div. vs. Atl (1/15/11), CB Tramon Williams had 2 INTs, incl. 70-yard TD. LB Julius Peppers is only player in NFL history with 100+ sacks (123.5) & 10+ INTs (11). In past 5 at home, CB Casey Hayward has 2 INTs, 2 FRs & 2 TDs (INT, FR).
Results and Schedule
Atlanta Falcons |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
NO |
H |
W 37-34 |
+3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
CIN |
A |
L 10-24 |
-14 |
3 |
2014-09-18 |
TB |
H |
W 56-14 |
+42 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
MIN |
A |
L 28-41 |
-13 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
NYG |
A |
L 20-30 |
-10 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
CHI |
H |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
BAL |
A |
L 7-29 |
-22 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
DET |
H |
L 21-22 |
-1 |
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
TB |
A |
W 27-17 |
+10 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
CAR |
A |
W 19-17 |
+2 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
CLE |
H |
L 24-26 |
-2 |
13 |
2014-11-30 |
ARI |
H |
W 29-18 |
+11 |
14 |
2014-12-08 |
GB |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
NO |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Green Bay Packers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-04 |
SEA |
A |
L 16-36 |
-20 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
NYJ |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
DET |
A |
L 7-19 |
-12 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
CHI |
A |
W 38-17 |
+21 |
5 |
2014-10-02 |
MIN |
H |
W 42-10 |
+32 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
MIA |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
CAR |
H |
W 38-17 |
+21 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
NO |
A |
L 23-44 |
-21 |
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
CHI |
H |
W 55-14 |
+41 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
PHI |
H |
W 53-20 |
+33 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
MIN |
A |
W 24-21 |
+3 |
13 |
2014-11-30 |
NE |
H |
W 26-21 |
+5 |
14 |
2014-12-08 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
TB |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
DET |
H |
|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Offense |
GB Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
24.0 |
34.3 |
22.9 |
GB |
Rushing yards |
91.3 |
124.0 |
109.7 |
GB |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.47 |
4.50 |
4.13 |
GB |
Completion % |
68.4% |
65.0% |
62.5% |
ATL |
Passing yards |
241.7 |
344.0 |
239.0 |
GB |
Passing yards per completion |
10.12 |
14.27 |
10.86 |
GB |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.93 |
9.27 |
6.79 |
GB |
Interceptions |
0.7 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
GB |
Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
- |
Sacks allowed |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
- |
3rd down conversions |
46.3% |
50.0% |
40.2% |
GB |
4th down conversions |
100.0% |
75.0% |
50.0% |
ATL |
Time of possession |
30:06 |
31:21 |
30:06 |
GB |
|
|
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Defense |
GB Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
19.0 |
20.7 |
22.9 |
ATL |
Rushing yards |
86.0 |
101.7 |
109.7 |
ATL |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.10 |
4.29 |
4.13 |
ATL |
Completion % |
58.5% |
63.3% |
62.5% |
ATL |
Passing yards |
297.3 |
264.7 |
239.0 |
GB |
Passing yards per completion |
12.38 |
11.01 |
10.86 |
GB |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.24 |
6.97 |
6.79 |
GB |
INT return |
2.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
ATL |
Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
GB |
Sacks |
1.0 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
GB |
3rd down conversions |
45.2% |
38.3% |
40.2% |
GB |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
40.0% |
50.0% |
ATL |
Time of possession |
29:54 |
28:39 |
30:06 |
GB |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
GB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
25.0 |
16.3 |
8.6 |
ATL |
Yards per kick return |
24.6 |
19.0 |
24.1 |
ATL |
Yards allowed per punt return |
13.8 |
5.4 |
8.6 |
GB |
Yards allowed per kick return |
20.1 |
25.2 |
24.1 |
ATL |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
GB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
5.7 |
5.7 |
6.4 |
- |
Penalty yards |
45.7 |
59.0 |
52.8 |
ATL |
|
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 8 to 13 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 8 to 13 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2001 |
10 |
2001-11-18 |
ATL |
GB |
23-20 |
ATL |
2002 |
1 |
2002-09-08 |
ATL |
GB |
34-37 |
GB |
2005 |
10 |
2005-11-13 |
GB |
ATL |
33-25 |
GB |
2008 |
5 |
2008-10-05 |
ATL |
GB |
27-24 |
ATL |
2010 |
12 |
2010-11-28 |
GB |
ATL |
17-20 |
ATL |
2010 |
DP |
2011-01-15 |
GB |
ATL |
48-21 |
GB |
2011 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
GB |
ATL |
25-14 |
GB |
2013 |
14 |
2013-12-08 |
ATL |
GB |
21-22 |
GB |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff
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