Prediction: Broncos 27, Bills 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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| Buffalo Bills |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 25 |
Kyle Orton |
Pass: 235, 1 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 20 |
Fred Jackson |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 5-35, 0 |
| RB 48 |
Bryce Brown |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 53 |
Anthony Dixon |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 41 |
Sammy Watkins  |
Rec: 4-60, 0 TD |
| WR 47 |
Robert Woods |
Rec: 5-65, 0 TD |
| TE 27 |
Scott Chandler |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
| K 18 |
Dan Carpenter |
FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 20 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Denver Broncos |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 7 |
Peyton Manning |
Pass: 295, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 6 |
C.J. Anderson |
Rush: 90, 1 TD Rec: 3-30, 0 |
| RB 61 |
Juwan Thompson |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 5 |
Demaryius Thomas |
Rec: 7-95, 1 TD |
| WR 14 |
Emmanuel Sanders |
Rec: 6-80, 0 TD |
| WR 74 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
 TE 8 |
Julius Thomas  |
Rec: 5-55, 1 TD |
| K 12 |
Connor Barth |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 7 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
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Game Notes
 Bills QB Kyle Orton spent 3 seasons with Broncos, passing for 49 TDs & 8,434 yards, incl. career-high 3,802 in 2009. Won his only career start vs. Den. (1/1/12 with KC). Orton's teams are 13-3 (.813) when he starts & posts 100+ rating... RB Fred Jackson (5,472 rush; 2,479 rec.) needs 21 rec. yards to join HOFer THURMAN THOMAS as only Bills with 5,000+ career rush & 2,500+ rec. yards... WR Sammy Watkins (No. 4 overall) leads AFC rookies in rec. yards (695) on 51 catches with 5 TDs. In past 2, WR Robert Woods has 13 catches for 189 yards & TD, incl. team-high 71 yards vs. Cle... Bills lead league with 48 sacks & are only NFL team with 3 players with 9+ sacks each (DE Mario Williams, DT Marcell Dareus & LB Jerry Hughes). Williams has 6.5 sacks in past 4. Dareus leads NFL DTs with 10 sacks. Hughes (9.5) needs half sack to record back-to-back 10-sack seasons (10 in 2013). Scored 1st career NFL TD last week (18-yard FR-TD). S DA' NORRIS SEARCY had career-high 2 INTs vs. Browns.
 Broncos QB Peyton Manning leads NFL with 36 TD passes & is only player in history with 4 seasons with 35+ TDs. Has TD pass in 51 consecutive games, 3rd-longest streak in NFL history. Has 3,737 pass yards & needs 263 to extend NFL record for most 4,000-yard seasons to 14... In past 4, RB C.J. Anderson is averaging 164.5 scrimmage yards per game (658 total) with 3 total TDs (1 rush, 2 rec.). Aims for 5th in row with 100+ scrimmage yards... WR Demaryius Thomas has 100+ rec. yards in 7 of past 9. In past 9, has 1,114 yards & 9 TDs. Since 2010, leads AFC WRs with 40 TD catches. Has 10 TDs & joined TERRELL DAVIS (1996-98) as only players in club history with 3 consecutive 10-TD seasons. WR Emmanuel Sanders has 7 TDs in past 7. In past 4 vs. Buf., WR Wes Welker has 37 catches for 471 yards & 2 TDs.... Den. is 1 of 2 NFL teams (Buf) with 2 players with 9+ sacks each (LBs Von Miller & DeMarcus Ware)... Since entering NFL in 2011, Miller is 2nd in AFC with 46.5 sacks, incl. 1.5 last week vs. KC. Last week, Ware posted 1 sack & INT in same game for 1st time in career. LB Brandon Marshall leads team with 98 tackles, incl. 6 tackles & sack vs. KC.
Results and Schedule
| Buffalo Bills |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
CHI |
A |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIA |
H |
W 29-10 |
+19 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
SD |
H |
L 10-22 |
-12 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
HOU |
A |
L 17-23 |
-6 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
DET |
A |
W 17-14 |
+3 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
NE |
H |
L 22-37 |
-15 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
MIN |
H |
W 17-16 |
+1 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
NYJ |
A |
W 43-23 |
+20 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
KC |
H |
L 13-17 |
-4 |
| 11 |
2014-11-13 |
MIA |
A |
L 9-22 |
-13 |
| 12 |
2014-11-24 |
NYJ |
H |
W 38-3 |
+35 |
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
CLE |
H |
W 26-10 |
+16 |
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
GB |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
NE |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
| Denver Broncos |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
IND |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
KC |
H |
W 24-17 |
+7 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
SEA |
A |
L 20-26 |
-6 |
| 4 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
ARI |
H |
W 41-20 |
+21 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
NYJ |
A |
W 31-17 |
+14 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
SF |
H |
W 42-17 |
+25 |
| 8 |
2014-10-23 |
SD |
H |
W 35-21 |
+14 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
NE |
A |
L 21-43 |
-22 |
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
OAK |
A |
W 41-17 |
+24 |
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
STL |
A |
L 7-22 |
-15 |
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
MIA |
H |
W 39-36 |
+3 |
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
KC |
A |
W 29-16 |
+13 |
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
SD |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-22 |
CIN |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
OAK |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
BUF
Offense |
DEN
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
25.7 |
31.0 |
22.9 |
DEN |
| Rushing yards |
94.7 |
125.3 |
109.7 |
DEN |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.44 |
4.53 |
4.13 |
DEN |
| Completion % |
61.1% |
64.8% |
62.5% |
DEN |
| Passing yards |
205.3 |
314.3 |
239.0 |
DEN |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.29 |
10.88 |
10.86 |
DEN |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.29 |
7.05 |
6.79 |
DEN |
| Interceptions |
0.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
BUF |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
BUF |
| Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
DEN |
| 3rd down conversions |
35.2% |
47.1% |
40.2% |
DEN |
| 4th down conversions |
33.3% |
36.4% |
50.0% |
DEN |
| Time of possession |
29:57 |
31:59 |
30:06 |
DEN |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
BUF
Defense |
DEN
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
16.3 |
24.0 |
22.9 |
BUF |
| Rushing yards |
114.7 |
66.3 |
109.7 |
DEN |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.71 |
3.44 |
4.13 |
DEN |
| Completion % |
58.5% |
67.2% |
62.5% |
BUF |
| Passing yards |
164.3 |
214.8 |
239.0 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per completion |
8.35 |
8.45 |
10.86 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per attempt |
4.89 |
5.68 |
6.79 |
BUF |
| INT return |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
DEN |
| Fumble recoveries |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
BUF |
| Sacks |
5.0 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
BUF |
| 3rd down conversions |
32.4% |
33.3% |
40.2% |
BUF |
| 4th down conversions |
75.0% |
80.0% |
50.0% |
BUF |
| Time of possession |
30:03 |
28:01 |
30:06 |
DEN |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
BUF |
DEN |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
9.7 |
8.8 |
8.6 |
BUF |
| Yards per kick return |
19.1 |
20.8 |
24.1 |
DEN |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
6.5 |
17.7 |
8.6 |
BUF |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
21.4 |
23.9 |
24.1 |
BUF |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
BUF |
DEN |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
6.3 |
9.0 |
6.4 |
BUF |
| Penalty yards |
46.0 |
75.0 |
52.8 |
BUF |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 8 to 13 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 8 to 13 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2002 |
3 |
2002-09-22 |
BUF |
DEN |
23-28 |
DEN |
| 2005 |
15 |
2005-12-17 |
DEN |
BUF |
28-17 |
DEN |
| 2007 |
1 |
2007-09-09 |
DEN |
BUF |
15-14 |
DEN |
| 2008 |
16 |
2008-12-21 |
BUF |
DEN |
30-23 |
BUF |
| 2011 |
16 |
2011-12-24 |
DEN |
BUF |
14-40 |
BUF |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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