Prediction: Patriots 30, Jets 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| New York Jets |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 29 |
Geno Smith |
Pass: 205, 1 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
| RB 24 |
Chris Ivory |
Rush: 55, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 39 |
Chris Johnson  |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 22 |
Eric Decker |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| WR 66 |
Jeremy Kerley |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| TE 17 |
Jace Amaro |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
| TE 38 |
Jeff Cumberland |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
| K 30 |
Nick Folk |
FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 30 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 10 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 300, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 23 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 4-25, 0 |
| RB 51 |
Brandon Bolden |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 64 |
James White |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 21 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 8-90, 0 TD |
| WR 43 |
Brandon LaFell |
Rec: 5-70, 0 TD |
| WR 88 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
| TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 8-80, 1 TD |
| TE 34 |
Tim Wright |
Rec: 1-15, 0 TD |
| K 1 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 1 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Patriots Last week, QB Tom Brady passed for 361 yards with 4 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 139.6 rating. Has 11 career games with 350+ pass yards & 4+ TD passes, surpassing HOFer DAN MARINO (10) for 3rd-most such games in NFL history. In past 8 vs. NYJ (incl. playoffs), has 2,270 pass yards & 16 TDs vs. 3 INTs for 98.6 rating... RB Shane Vereen had 133 scrim. yards (42 rush, 91 rec.) in last meeting on 11/22/12, including career-long 83-yard TD catch... WR Julian Edelman led team with 9 rec. for 91 yards last week. Aims for 13th in row with 4+ catches. TE Rob Gronkowski has 13 catches for 194 yards & TD in past 2. Has TD catch in 3 of past 4. TE Tim Wright aims for 3rd in row with TD catch... Defense is tied for 1st in AFC with 7 INTs... DE Rob Ninkovich had career-high 3 sacks vs. Buf. CB Darrelle Revis played 6 seasons with NYJ (2007-12) & had 19 INTs with 1 sack...
 Jets QB Geno Smith has won 7 of 12 career home starts, accounting for 17 total TDs (12 pass, 5 rush), including 2 TD passes last week. Since entering NFL in 2013, has 7 rush TDs, tied for most among QBs (CAM NEWTON)... Since entering NFL in 2008, RB Chris Johnson is 2nd in NFL with 8,165 rush yards. RB Chris Ivory rushed for 104 yards in last meeting. Has 726 rush yards in past 9 at home... Since 2010, WR Eric Decker leads AFC WRs with 36 receiving TDs, including 1 last week. WR Jeremy Kerley had 8 catches for 97 yards & TD in last meeting. Jace Amaro (Rd. 2, No. 49 overall) leads NFL rookie TEs in catches (24) & rec. yards (212)... S Dawan Landry leads team with 54 tackles, including game-high 13 vs. Den. DE Muhammad Wilkerson has 4 sacks in past 4. DT Sheldon Richardson has sack in 3 of past 4.
Results and Schedule
| New York Jets |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
OAK |
H |
W 19-14 |
+5 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
GB |
A |
L 24-31 |
-7 |
| 3 |
2014-09-22 |
CHI |
H |
L 19-27 |
-8 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
DET |
H |
L 17-24 |
-7 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
SD |
A |
L 0-31 |
-31 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
DEN |
H |
L 17-31 |
-14 |
| 7 |
2014-10-16 |
NE |
A |
|
|
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
KC |
A |
|
|
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
| 11 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-12-01 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
MIN |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
TEN |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
NE |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
MIA |
A |
L 20-33 |
-13 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIN |
A |
W 30-7 |
+23 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
OAK |
H |
W 16-9 |
+7 |
| 4 |
2014-09-29 |
KC |
A |
L 14-41 |
-27 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
CIN |
H |
W 43-17 |
+26 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
BUF |
A |
W 37-22 |
+15 |
| 7 |
2014-10-16 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
IND |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
DET |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
GB |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
SD |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
NYJ
Offense |
NE
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
18.0 |
25.8 |
23.4 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
120.8 |
97.5 |
112.8 |
NYJ |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.54 |
3.71 |
4.17 |
NYJ |
| Completion % |
55.5% |
63.6% |
63.3% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
183.3 |
236.8 |
243.8 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
9.34 |
10.40 |
10.89 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
5.18 |
6.61 |
6.89 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
NE |
| Fumbles lost |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks allowed |
2.3 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
37.6% |
38.2% |
41.8% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
42.9% |
42.2% |
NYJ |
| Time of possession |
28:27 |
30:53 |
30:13 |
NE |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
NYJ
Defense |
NE
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
28.3 |
20.3 |
23.4 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
91.5 |
101.3 |
112.8 |
NYJ |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.50 |
4.22 |
4.17 |
NYJ |
| Completion % |
64.7% |
61.5% |
63.3% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
241.8 |
205.0 |
243.8 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.52 |
10.43 |
10.89 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.81 |
6.42 |
6.89 |
NE |
| INT return |
0.0 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
NE |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks |
3.3 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
NYJ |
| 3rd down conversions |
46.7% |
43.7% |
41.8% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
0.0% |
25.0% |
42.2% |
NYJ |
| Time of possession |
31:33 |
29:07 |
30:13 |
NE |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
NYJ |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
4.2 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
NE |
| Yards per kick return |
22.1 |
21.4 |
23.5 |
NYJ |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
7.4 |
9.9 |
8.4 |
NYJ |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
20.4 |
20.8 |
23.5 |
NYJ |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
NYJ |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
7.5 |
9.0 |
6.9 |
NYJ |
| Penalty yards |
71.5 |
83.3 |
58.9 |
NYJ |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 6 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 1 to 6 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| New York Jets vs. New England Patriots |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
2 |
2000-09-11 |
NE |
NYJ |
19-20 |
NYJ |
| 2000 |
7 |
2000-10-15 |
NYJ |
NE |
34-17 |
NYJ |
| 2001 |
2 |
2001-09-23 |
NYJ |
NE |
10-3 |
NYJ |
| 2001 |
12 |
2001-12-02 |
NE |
NYJ |
17-16 |
NE |
| 2002 |
2 |
2002-09-15 |
NE |
NYJ |
44-7 |
NE |
| 2002 |
16 |
2002-12-22 |
NYJ |
NE |
30-17 |
NYJ |
| 2003 |
3 |
2003-09-21 |
NYJ |
NE |
16-23 |
NE |
| 2003 |
16 |
2003-12-20 |
NE |
NYJ |
21-16 |
NE |
| 2004 |
7 |
2004-10-24 |
NYJ |
NE |
7-13 |
NE |
| 2004 |
16 |
2004-12-26 |
NE |
NYJ |
23-7 |
NE |
| 2005 |
13 |
2005-12-04 |
NYJ |
NE |
3-16 |
NE |
| 2005 |
16 |
2005-12-26 |
NE |
NYJ |
31-21 |
NE |
| 2006 |
2 |
2006-09-17 |
NE |
NYJ |
24-17 |
NE |
| 2006 |
10 |
2006-11-12 |
NYJ |
NE |
17-14 |
NYJ |
| 2006 |
WC |
2007-01-07 |
NYJ |
NE |
16-37 |
NE |
| 2007 |
1 |
2007-09-09 |
NE |
NYJ |
38-14 |
NE |
| 2007 |
15 |
2007-12-16 |
NYJ |
NE |
10-20 |
NE |
| 2008 |
2 |
2008-09-14 |
NE |
NYJ |
19-10 |
NE |
| 2008 |
11 |
2008-11-13 |
NYJ |
NE |
34-31 |
NYJ |
| 2009 |
2 |
2009-09-20 |
NE |
NYJ |
9-16 |
NYJ |
| 2009 |
11 |
2009-11-22 |
NYJ |
NE |
14-31 |
NE |
| 2010 |
2 |
2010-09-19 |
NE |
NYJ |
14-28 |
NYJ |
| 2010 |
13 |
2010-12-06 |
NYJ |
NE |
3-45 |
NE |
| 2010 |
DP |
2011-01-16 |
NYJ |
NE |
28-21 |
NYJ |
| 2011 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
NYJ |
NE |
21-30 |
NE |
| 2011 |
10 |
2011-11-13 |
NE |
NYJ |
37-16 |
NE |
| 2012 |
7 |
2012-10-21 |
NYJ |
NE |
26-29 |
NE |
| 2012 |
12 |
2012-11-22 |
NE |
NYJ |
49-19 |
NE |
| 2013 |
2 |
2013-09-12 |
NYJ |
NE |
10-13 |
NE |
| 2013 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
NE |
NYJ |
27-30 |
NYJ |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. WC = Wild-Card DP = Divisional Playoff
|
