Prediction: Ravens 27, Falcons 23
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Atlanta Falcons |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 11 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 280, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 34 |
Steven Jackson |
Rush: 45, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
RB 36 |
Antone Smith |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 3-30, 0 |
RB 53 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 4 |
Julio Jones |
Rec: 7-95, 1 TD |
WR 29 |
Roddy White |
Rec: 5-65, 0 TD |
WR 64 |
Devin Hester |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
TE 32 |
Levine Toilolo |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
K 16 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 28 |
Defense / ST |
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Baltimore Ravens |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 15 |
Joe Flacco |
Pass: 275, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
RB 14 |
Justin Forsett |
Rush: 55, 1 TD Rec: 5-30, 0 |
RB 52 |
Lorenzo Taliaferro |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
RB 54 |
Bernard Pierce |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 10 |
Steve Smith |
Rec: 6-85, 1 TD |
WR 38 |
Torrey Smith |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
WR 80 |
Jacoby Jones |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
TE 15 |
Owen Daniels |
Rec: 4-45, 1 TD |
K 2 |
Justin Tucker |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 8 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Falcons QB Matt Ryan won only start vs. Bal., passing for 316 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs & 101.8 rating. Is 1 of 5 QBs in NFL history with 25,000 pass yards (25,322) in 1st 100 career games. When Ryan starts & has 100+ rating, Falcons are 36-2 (.947)... RB Steven Jackson has 3 rush TDs in past 3 vs. AFC. RB Antone Smith had 41-yard rec. TD last week, his 5th TD (3 rec., 2 rush) in 2014. Has 7 career TDs (4 rush, 3 rec.), all 35+ yards... WR Julio Jones has 30 catches for 410 yards (102.5 per game) & 1 TD in past 4 vs. AFC. Leads NFL WRs with 44 catches & is 3rd with 620 yards. In last meeting, WR Roddy White had 12 catches for 138 yards & 2 TDs, incl. GW 33-yard TD with 20 seconds left... DE Osi Umenyiora had 50-yard FR-TD vs. Bal. on 12/12/04 (with NYG). DE Jonathan Massaquoi had sack last week & leads team with 2 sacks. LB Paul Worrilow leads team with 64 tackles. CB Robert Alford has team-best 7 PD.
Ravens Last week, QB Joe Flacco threw 5 TDs 16:03 into game, fastest player to reach mark since at least 1970, & is 1st QB with 4 TDs in 1st qtr. since 1986 (TOMMY KRAMER). In only meeting, passed for 215 yards with 3 TDs & 1 INT for 99.5 rating. In past 8 vs. NFC, has 2,095 pass yards & 19 TDs with 100.8 rating, including 6 games with 2+ TDs... RB Justin Forsett has NFL-best 6.4 rush avg. (64 att., 408 yards). Rushed for season-high 111 yards on 14 att. (7.9 avg.) last week. RB Bernard Pierce scored 1st rush TD of season vs. TB... WR Steve Smith, SR. scored 3rd 50+ yard TD of season last week, becoming 4th NFL player with 3+ 50+ yard TDs in season at age 35+. Has 20 catches for 338 yards in past 4 vs. Atl. (with Car.). WR Torrey Smith has 3 TDs in past 3, including 2 vs. TB... LB C.J. Mosley (No. 17 overall) leads team with 55 tackles, most among NFL rookies, including team-high 8 last week. In 2 career meetings, LB Terrell Suggs has 3 sacks. LB Elvis Dumervil has 5 sacks in past 5 vs. NFC.
Results and Schedule
Atlanta Falcons |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
NO |
H |
W 37-34 |
+3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
CIN |
A |
L 10-24 |
-14 |
3 |
2014-09-18 |
TB |
H |
W 56-14 |
+42 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
MIN |
A |
L 28-41 |
-13 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
NYG |
A |
L 20-30 |
-10 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
CHI |
H |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
DET |
H |
|
|
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
TB |
A |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
ARI |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-08 |
GB |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
NO |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
CAR |
H |
|
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Baltimore Ravens |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
CIN |
H |
L 16-23 |
-7 |
2 |
2014-09-11 |
PIT |
H |
W 26-6 |
+20 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
CLE |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
CAR |
H |
W 38-10 |
+28 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
IND |
A |
L 13-20 |
-7 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
TB |
A |
W 48-17 |
+31 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
CIN |
A |
|
|
9 |
2014-11-02 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
TEN |
H |
|
|
11 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
12 |
2014-11-24 |
NO |
A |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
SD |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
JAC |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
CLE |
H |
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Offense |
BAL Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
24.5 |
25.8 |
23.4 |
BAL |
Rushing yards |
108.3 |
133.8 |
112.8 |
BAL |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.55 |
4.70 |
4.17 |
BAL |
Completion % |
63.9% |
63.6% |
63.3% |
ATL |
Passing yards |
296.0 |
261.8 |
243.8 |
ATL |
Passing yards per completion |
12.11 |
11.01 |
10.89 |
ATL |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.74 |
7.01 |
6.89 |
ATL |
Interceptions |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
BAL |
Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
ATL |
Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
BAL |
3rd down conversions |
44.0% |
44.9% |
41.8% |
BAL |
4th down conversions |
33.3% |
42.9% |
42.2% |
BAL |
Time of possession |
28:33 |
30:37 |
30:13 |
BAL |
|
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Defense |
BAL Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
28.8 |
17.0 |
23.4 |
BAL |
Rushing yards |
135.8 |
89.0 |
112.8 |
BAL |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.30 |
3.67 |
4.17 |
BAL |
Completion % |
65.5% |
62.6% |
63.3% |
BAL |
Passing yards |
286.3 |
277.5 |
243.8 |
BAL |
Passing yards per completion |
12.72 |
11.39 |
10.89 |
BAL |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.33 |
7.12 |
6.89 |
BAL |
INT return |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
BAL |
Fumble recoveries |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
- |
Sacks |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
BAL |
3rd down conversions |
47.0% |
43.0% |
41.8% |
BAL |
4th down conversions |
100.0% |
0.0% |
42.2% |
BAL |
Time of possession |
31:53 |
29:23 |
30:13 |
BAL |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
BAL |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
12.4 |
10.3 |
8.4 |
ATL |
Yards per kick return |
21.5 |
30.1 |
23.5 |
BAL |
Yards allowed per punt return |
9.1 |
9.0 |
8.4 |
BAL |
Yards allowed per kick return |
23.0 |
23.1 |
23.5 |
ATL |
|
|
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
BAL |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.5 |
4.5 |
6.9 |
BAL |
Penalty yards |
59.8 |
35.8 |
58.9 |
BAL |
|
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 6 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 1 to 6 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Atlanta Falcons vs. Baltimore Ravens |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2002 |
9 |
2002-11-03 |
BAL |
ATL |
17-20 |
ATL |
2006 |
11 |
2006-11-19 |
ATL |
BAL |
10-24 |
BAL |
2010 |
10 |
2010-11-11 |
BAL |
ATL |
21-26 |
ATL |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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