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Regular Season, Updated: 7/11/19

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Legend:   Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk   ADP = Average Draft Position
FF Today Standard Scoring: Review Scoring
 Carson Wentz, PHI (Bye: 10)
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 237   DOB: 1992-12-30   Age: 26
College: North Dakota State   Draft: 2016 Round 1 (2) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2016PHI16379 607 3,782 16 14 46 150 2 280.1 17.5
2017PHI13265 440 3,296 33 7 64 299 0 326.7 25.1
2018PHI11279 401 3,074 21 7 34 93 0 247.0 22.5
2019 (Projected)PHI 359 552 4,085 27 10 61 220 1 340.3  

Outlook: Carson Wentz enters the 2019 season as one of the better values at the quarterback position. Although he was limited in each of his last two seasons with leg and back injuries, Wentz continues to put up QB production in what should be a potent Philadelphia offense.

Wentz played in only 11 games last season as a back injury forced him the IR. However, in those games, Wentz averaged more fantasy points than a host of other fantasy players, including Baker Mayfield, Russell Wilson, Tom Brady, Philip Rivers, and Kirk Cousins.

The second overall pick in the 2016 NFL draft ranked 5th overall for qualified QBs on our consistency rankings (at least ten games), behind only Patrick Mahomes, Matt Ryan, Andrew Luck, and Cam Newton.

Positive trends surround the Eagles offense on both the offensive line and skill positions, as Howie Roseman added tackle Andre Dillard in the draft, along with running back Miles Sanders and wide receiver JJ Arcega-Whiteside. Perhaps the most significant addition to the offense is the return of wide receiver DeSean Jackson, who will give Wentz a much-needed player to stretch the field.

Only a few quarterbacks in the league boast the number of weapons that Carson Wentz has at his disposal. While there is always the concern of injury, Wentz could be one of the best values of the draft.

 Cam Newton, CAR (Bye: 7)
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 244   DOB: 1989-05-11   Age: 30
College: Auburn   Draft: 2011 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2016CAR15270 509 3,509 19 14 90 359 5 317.4 21.2
2017CAR16291 492 3,302 22 16 139 754 6 364.5 22.8
2018CAR14320 471 3,395 24 13 101 488 4 338.6 24.2
2019 (Projected)CAR 317 495 3,467 23 14 117 501 4 339.5  

 Russell Wilson, SEA (Bye: 11)
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 206   DOB: 1988-11-29   Age: 30
College: Wisconsin   Draft: 2012 Round 3 (12) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2016SEA16353 546 4,219 21 11 72 259 1 326.9 20.4
2017SEA16339 553 3,983 34 11 95 586 3 411.8 25.7
2018SEA16280 427 3,448 35 7 67 376 0 350.0 21.9
2019 (Projected)SEA 302 471 3,628 26 9 77 401 2 337.5  

Outlook: Russell Wilson's 2018 season is an extremely interesting one because he certainly disappointed based on his average draft position, but it's hard to argue that he was actually a disappointment as a player. Wilson threw a career-high 35 touchdowns with only seven interceptions, the best ratio of his career. That type of efficiency is simply extraordinary, but the offense as a whole is a major concern right now.

Wilson is dealing with an archaic system coached by offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, where passing the ball simply seems to be an afterthought. Wilson has historically thrown the ball less often than almost any quarterback since he entered the league in 2012, but he threw the ball 126 fewer times in 2018 than he did in 2017, when he threw a career-high 553 times. That's nearly eight fewer attempts per game for an entire season. When you consider that Wilson averaged 8.1 yards per attempt this past season, Schottenheimer essentially left almost 64 passing yards per game on the table by not letting Wilson throw the ball as often as he did the year prior.

To put those numbers into perspective even further, Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger led the league with 675 pass attempts in 2018. That means he averaged 15.5 more attempts per game than Wilson did. Even with Roethlisberger being significantly less effective with those pass attempts on a per-attempt than Wilson was, Roethlisberger still outscored Wilson by a wide margin on the season. Wilson is almost certainly a better passer than Roethlisberger is at this point in his career, but the offenses they're playing in are artificially boosting Roethlisberger while artificially suppressing Wilson.

To make matters worse for 2019, Wilson will be without his favorite target, wide receiver Doug Baldwin, who retired this offseason. Tyler Lockett finally broke out, which gives us some hope that Wilson will have a reliable target out wide, but it's a very unproven depth chart. Seahawks did add receivers in the draft, including the physical specimen that is D.K. Metcalf as well as fourth-rounder Gary Jennings and even took a flier on seventh-rounder John Ursua, but the tight end position is still essentially a ghost town and the backfield isn't likely to contribute much in the passing game.

It's also worth considering that Wilson had another down year running the ball in 2018, which also limited his fantasy production. He ran the ball the fewest number of times (67) and produced the second-fewest rushing yards (376), but he also failed to get into the end zone as a runner for the first time in his career. While it's true that Wilson is still adding between two to three points per week on average as a runner, he's really taken a step back on the ground over the past three seasons as, perhaps as a product of scheme more so than anything. With the likes of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Cam Newton and now Kyler Murray in the league, it'd be difficult to consider Wilson a top-tier rushing quarterback anymore. There's still some value in his legs, but it's more of an afterthought than we'd like.

The biggest concern with Wilson isn't that he's not effective as a passer, but rather that the team just doesn't trust him - or that they remain clueless as to how to run a productive NFL offense in 2019. Running the ball is certainly less risky and puts less pressure on a defense, but with a quarterback as talented as Wilson, you'd think that the team would be itching to throw the ball as much as possible. Wilson could and probably will see an uptick in pass attempts this season, but we also have to assume that his efficiency will dip a bit, considering that he threw a touchdown on 8.2 percent of his passes in 2018, whereas his career average is just 6.0 percent of his passes. If he regressed to his mean in that category, Wilson's touchdowns would have dropped from 35 scores to just 25 in 2018. That's a gigantic drop off in fantasy points and one that we should be aware of.

Thankfully Wilson's draft day cost has dropped off a bit this season as fantasy owners become more savvy and begin to understand that the Seattle offense just isn't built for him to succeed statistically, but he's still being selected inside the top 10 at the position. It's hard to envision a scenario where Wilson finishes lower than the top-half of the league in scoring at quarterback, but the upside just isn't there given the offensive system and his drop off in rushing production. He's a safe, but not-so-exciting pick at his current ADP.

 Baker Mayfield, CLE (Bye: 7)
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 215   DOB: 1995-04-14   Age: 24
College: Oklahoma   Draft: 2018 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018CLE14310 486 3,725 27 14 39 131 0 307.4 22.0
2019 (Projected)CLE 354 553 4,255 28 15 44 159 1 346.7  

Outlook: In just one season of football (14 games to be exact) Baker Mayfield has reset the expectations of a morose franchise. Along the way to setting the rookie record for most passing touchdowns (27), Mayfield displayed the moxie, accuracy, and big play ability that made him the No.1 pick in the 2018 draft, and put the Browns in the rare air of playoff contention. Mayfield proved the doubters wrong, but can he and the team carry over the momentum into 2019?

There is every reason to believe that Mayfield can, and should improve on his 2018 numbers. Remember, he started the first two games of last season on the bench, and the additions of OBJ and Kareem Hunt add to an already stocked pantry of offensive delights. The continuity he will have with his head coach means Mayfield should be poised for a breakout. But before you go betting the house on Cleveland's new prize horse, remember, he's the fuse sitting on top of a powder keg of strong personalities. There are already rumblings that the transition to new OC Todd Monken is off to a rocky start. While the Browns have the potential to be the new darlings of the NFL, there are some who believe they are just as likely to implode. They are led by a very green head coach, and things could spiral out of control quickly should the team not find the success it anticipates.

From a purely fantasy perspective, Mayfield is part of the deepest position in the game, and I'm frankly not in love with his offensive line, especially the left side. There is no doubt in my mind that Mayfield has monster upside (top 3), but he doesn't come without risk (despite the high touchdown totals, his 15 interceptions in 14 games tell me he was still too loose with the ball) and his very early off-season ADP seems a little high for me. Mayfield helped win me two leagues last year, so I have a soft spot for him, and would be happy to run him back as my QB1 as long as I can draft him in a comfortable spot.

 Dak Prescott, DAL (Bye: 8)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 226   DOB: 1993-07-29   Age: 25
College: Mississippi State   Draft: 2016 Round 4 (37) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2016DAL16311 459 3,667 23 4 57 282 6 339.6 21.2
2017DAL16308 490 3,325 22 13 57 357 6 326.0 20.4
2018DAL16356 526 3,885 22 8 75 305 6 348.8 21.8
2019 (Projected)DAL 337 526 3,789 22 10 68 327 6 346.2  

Outlook: Prescott has been the model of consistency in his three seasons with the Cowboys, with an average of 22 passing touchdowns and 3,500 passing yards to go along with six rushing touchdowns. You can bank on around six rushing touchdowns based on the fact that he posted that number in each of the last three campaigns.

His 21.8 fantasy points per game tied with Tom Brady in 2018, while just a tenth of a point behind Russell Wilson, a player who is slated to be drafted well ahead of Prescott this summer.

Prescott's consistent rushing numbers, especially the touchdown production, makes him a valuable fantasy asset and makes up for the fact that he has yet to throw for more than 23 TDs in a year. A full offseason working with Amari Cooper and a refreshing new offensive play caller in Kellen Moore could be the formula Dak needs to have a breakout passing TD season.

Despite these changes, the Cowboys are a run-first team with the goal of using their high-priced offensive line to maul the opposition and create holes for Ezekiel Elliott. For this reason, Dak will likely be drafted as a QB2 in most formats.

 Mitchell Trubisky, CHI (Bye: 6)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 222   DOB: 1994-08-20   Age: 24
College: North Carolina   Draft: 2017 Round 1 (2) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017CHI12196 330 2,193 7 7 41 248 2 174.5 14.5
2018CHI14289 434 3,223 24 12 68 421 3 317.3 22.7
2019 (Projected)CHI 329 514 3,755 26 11 66 385 2 342.3  

 Kyler Murray, ARI (Bye: 12)
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 207   DOB: 1997-08-07   Age: 21
College: Oklahoma   Draft: 2019 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2019 (Projected)ARI 294 490 3,427 20 12 125 635 3 332.9  

 Lamar Jackson, BAL (Bye: 8)
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 200   DOB: 1997-01-07   Age: 22
College: Louisville   Draft: 2018 Round 1 (32) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018BAL1699 170 1,201 6 3 147 695 5 183.6 11.5
2019 (Projected)BAL 242 411 2,916 15 10 170 848 6 326.6  

Outlook: Lamar Jackson ended up playing exactly like many people thought he would when he was finally inserted into the lineup in Week 11. The Ravens were running on fumes after a three-game losing streak. Joe Flacco was hurt, the offense was mired in the muck, and Baltimore knew that inserting Jackson was the only chance they had to dig out of a middling season. Jackson not only gave them a spark, he displayed all the elite playmaking skills that earned him a Heisman Trophy, and almost single handedly willed the Ravens to an upset of the Chargers in the wildcard round.

As expected, Jackson played like a quarterback that was picked 30th in the 1st round instead of 3rd. He showed little as a passer, struggling with accuracy and touch. But what he lacked throwing the ball he more than made up for on the ground. He was able to take advantage of some talent deficient defenses as he scored 18+ fantasy points in all seven of his regular season starts. With 17 rushing attempts a game, and a total of 697 yards and four touchdowns, he saw near RB1-type usage down the stretch.

Now that the Ravens have begun to build this offense around him with the hiring of coordinator Greg Roman and the offensive additions via the draft and free agency, can we expect these numbers to continue? I'm going have to say no. Although he was a dynamite weapon, we've seen young quarterbacks have success running the ball early in their careers. But no matter the talent or ability level, running a quarterback 15+ times a game isn't a viable long-term strategy. Teams either begin to adjust their strategy, or injuries occur. Either way, Jackson struggled mightily for much of the game against the Chargers before flashing late in the 2nd half. He was held to a season low 9 attempts for 54 yards and his erratic passing was a reason the team was down for most of the game in the first place. There is no doubt in my mind Jackson is going to continue to give fits to defenses, but I'm not sure he can develop enough as a passer in one offseason to be a realistic fantasy starter.

 Josh Allen, BUF (Bye: 6)
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 233   DOB: 1996-05-21   Age: 23
College: Wyoming   Draft: 2018 Round 1 (7) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018BUF12169 320 2,074 10 12 89 631 8 254.8 21.2
2019 (Projected)BUF 268 479 3,256 17 14 118 707 4 325.5  

 Derek Carr, OAK (Bye: 6)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 214   DOB: 1991-03-28   Age: 28
College: Fresno State   Draft: 2014 Round 2 (4) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2016OAK15356 559 3,933 28 6 38 69 0 315.6 21.0
2017OAK15323 515 3,496 22 13 23 66 0 269.4 18.0
2018OAK16381 553 4,049 19 10 24 47 1 289.2 18.1
2019 (Projected)OAK 364 569 4,154 25 12 11 59 0 313.6  

Outlook: Veteran quarterback Derek Carr has to be one of the NFL offseason's biggest winners as the team completely revamped their wide receiver group for the better. The biggest addition is obviously one of the league's top overall players, Antonio Brown, who comes to the team after a Hall of Fame-level career in Pittsburgh. At 31 years old once the season starts, Brown is certainly past his physical prime, but he's still performing at an elite level and will easily step in and be the best pass catcher Carr has ever had the pleasure of throwing the ball to. In addition, the Raiders added Tyrell Williams from division rival Los Angeles, along with veterans Ryan Grant and J.J. Nelson and Clemson rookie Hunter Renfrow.

It wasn't all good news this offseason, however, as Carr did lose tight end Jared Cook, who led the team with 896 yards and six touchdowns, as well as Jordy Nelson who finished the 2018 season strong after a very slow start.

It seems like a long time ago, but it's worth considering that Carr was coming off of offseason surgery for a broken leg heading into the 2018 season, so he wasn't exactly at full strength to start the year. He finished 18th in total scoring at the position, but just 25th out of the 37 QB's who started at least eight games in points per game.

Carr avoided the Raiders drafting a QB, but this is likely still a "make or break" year for him. He won't be drafted in most fantasy drafts, but he's the kind of player who does have the upside to be a valuable fantasy asset in two-quarterback formats or as a streaming option in single-quarterback formats.

 Matthew Stafford, DET (Bye: 5)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 232   DOB: 1988-02-07   Age: 31
College: Georgia   Draft: 2009 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2016DET16388 594 4,327 24 10 37 207 2 345.1 21.6
2017DET16371 565 4,446 29 10 29 98 0 348.1 21.8
2018DET16367 555 3,777 21 11 25 71 0 280.0 17.5
2019 (Projected)DET 364 551 4,025 25 10 33 100 1 317.3  

 Eli Manning, NYG (Bye: 11)
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 218   DOB: 1981-01-03   Age: 38
College: -   Draft: 2004 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2016NYG16377 598 4,027 26 16 21 -9 0 304.5 19.0
2017NYG15352 571 3,468 19 13 12 26 1 258.0 17.2
2018NYG16380 576 4,299 21 11 15 20 1 307.0 19.2
2019 (Projected)NYG 360 581 4,065 23 12 14 23 1 303.6  

Outlook: From a purely statistical standpoint, Eli Manning's 2018 was not as bad as his QB rank of 28th overall would suggest. The 38-year-old veteran threw for nearly 4300 passing yards and posted his highest career completion percentage (66%), and his 11 interceptions were his second-fewest in a full-16 game season.

But for fantasy purposes, Manning's 21 passing touchdowns and 19.2 points per game will not cut it in the present day environment in which the quarterback position has been as deep as it has ever been. Manning also lost his best weapon with the trade of Odell Beckham Jr. to the Browns this offseason.

Although the Giants did add veteran Golden Tate to join Sterling Shepard and tight end Evan Engram, the team lacks a true outside wide receiver who can stretch the field.

For all intents and purposes, this is a lost season for the Giants, and Manning is acting as a placeholder and mentor for his heir apparent, 2019 first round pick Daniel Jones. Owners in two-quarterback leagues may want to take a flyer on him, but he should not be on the radar of people drafting in one-QB leagues - even those with deep benches.