Outlook: Tua Tagovailoa finished a little bit outside of the top-12 at the quarterback position in 2022, but the fact that he even came close to that number is pretty impressive. In a season marred by multiple ugly concussions, Tagovailoa finished eighth in fantasy points per game among QBs who played in at least 10 games. The former Alabama QB looked good in his third professional season, completing nearly 65 percent of his throws, including a league-leading 8.9 yards per attempt. That high efficiency also helped two of his wide receivers (Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle) finish inside the top seven scorers at the position at season's end.

Now heading into his fourth professional season, Tua will again be surrounded by those superstar wide receivers and while the Dolphins didn't do much to add to the offense, they really didn't lose much either. Tight end Mike Gesicki was the only notable player who left during the offseason and even he quietly played fewer than 50 percent of Miami's offensive snaps in 2022.

Another year in the Mike McDaniel system should help the offense become more efficient, but what's most important for Tagovailoa's fantasy outlook is his health. We've now seen him suffer a brutal hip injury just before coming to the NFL, along with broken ribs and multiple scary concussions since turning pro. It's too simplistic to say that a player is "injury prone," especially when the damages are largely unrelated, but Tua has certainly had more than his fair share of setbacks.

His lack of rushing floor means that Tua will need an exceptional touchdown rate to ever provide true difference-making fantasy production, but he's currently being drafted as a borderline QB1, which seems like it's closer to his floor than his ceiling, provided that he's able to stay healthy.

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Outlook: 2022 was a tough season for the Cowboys offense and much of that was due to the sometimes-erratic play from quarterback Dak Prescott. Not known for being a turnover machine throughout the early part of his career, Prescott regressed into a player who was throwing risky passes at a high rate and unfortunately it was not accompanied by enough big plays to make up for it. Prescott's 15 picks tied for the league high despite the fact that he played in three fewer games than his counterpart, Davis Mills.

Much of the Cowboys' offensive woes can also be tied to the lack of pass-catching weapons they had throughout the season. CeeDee Lamb produced as a high-level WR1 for fantasy, but primarily played out of the slot and the Cowboys just did not have the outside pass catchers to continue to produce when opposing defenses would key in on Lamb. They did at least partially address the issue this offseason with the acquisition of veteran Brandin Cooks, who brings some much-needed reliability to this group. The team will also need Michael Gallup to take significant strides forward from what we saw in 2022, as he did not appear to be anywhere close to the player he was prior to his season-ending injury in 2021.

Prescott has the ability to return to being a top-10 fantasy quarterback or even better than that if things break his way in the touchdown department, but there are some concerns that could lead to him having a season that resembles his 2022 campaign. One such issue is that while he was once one of the league's better under-the-radar runners, Prescott has become a significantly less run-heavy quarterback over the past two seasons. This corresponds with when he returned from his season-ending ankle injury and it makes sense that he would be more hesitant to run after that painful situation. Additionally, Prescott will now be without offensive coordinator Kellen Moore who joined the Chargers this offseason. While not everyone loved Moore's philosophy, there's really no denying that Prescott's numbers benefited from Moore's system. Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy has made it very clear that he plans to run the ball heavily. That change could make things tough for Prescott to ever return to being a top-five player at the position.

Thankfully, his ADP doesn't necessitate that Prescott needs to finish as an elite option to return value, so he's a fairly safe option who is unlikely to completely tank your fantasy squad while still providing some decent upside as a much later-round quarterback than he had been over the previous few seasons.

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Outlook: The Lions entered Week 8 last season limping to a 1-6 record. Having led the team to only six points total and multiple turnovers in losses to New England and Dallas, it seemed Goff's grip on the starter job was tenuous at best. With their season slipping away yet again, the Lions were at a crossroads. Goff and this team showed something down the stretch, as they went 8-2, barely missing a wild card slot in Week 18.

Roaring back (pun intended) the way Goff and the team did last season has now created something not seen in Detroit for a long while, expectations. Goff, now the undisputed steady handed leader of the "Goffense" is playing for a big contract extension. I definitely missed on him in this spot least year, as a porous defense, and lack of consistent run game led to 587 pass attempts (2nd most of his career) and making Goff a consistent fantasy asset during the 2nd half of the year. This coaching staff seems to know exactly what he does best, and have tailored an offense that is both creative and aggressive when necessary. They added Jahmyr Gibbs in the 1st round, as a receiver-like back to create mismatches, and Goff seems to understand the importance of getting the "free yards" that defenses will concede. He was able to protect the ball, yet still be explosive, throwing for the 2nd most touchdowns in his career (29) and throwing only one interception in the final ten games, while still finishing 8th in the NFL in air yards, and tying Mahomes for the third-most pass attempts of 50+ yards.

Goff definitely overachieved on the field and for your fantasy squad last season, but I don't know another top-10 finish is in the cards. Missing Jameson Williams for the first six games is going to hurt the explosiveness of the passing game, and with an improved defense, shootouts and 2nd half comebacks shouldn't be as frequent. Look at Goff as more of a high-end fantasy backup as a good bye week fill in or short-term starter.

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Outlook: The 2022 season was tough for the Packers, particularly for future Hall of Famer Aaron Rodgers. The QB threw for just 217 yards per game-by far the worst number of his career-and he threw 12 interceptions, the second-worst number of his career. While it's true that Rodgers didn't have much to work with in the pass-catching department, the signs of aging were much more apparent than at any point prior. He rushed for just 94 yards on the season-the fewest of his career as a starter--and added just one touchdown on the ground after contributing three rushing scores in both 2020 and 2021. Now heading into his 19th NFL season, Rodgers hopes that a change of scenery could be the catalyst for returning him back to his former glory as a three-time NFL MVP.

Rodgers heads to New York to join the Jets and while a veteran QB heading to a new situation doesn't always lead to great success, the similarities to Tom Brady's move to Tampa Bay are glaring. Rodgers joins a team that has been in desperate need of competent quarterback play, coached by one of the league's bright young coaches, and he'll have the opportunity to throw to this past year's AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, Garrett Wilson. Wilson broke out as a rookie and should provide Rodgers with a reliable WR1, which he was sorely missing this past season. In fact, Rodgers' leading receiver from a season ago, Allen Lazard, came to New York along with his QB and should find himself in a much more natural role as his new team's No. 2 or even No. 3 option in the passing game.

The fantasy game has changed so much, especially at QB, due to the rushing ability that many of the top signal callers are bringing to the table. But there's still space for a player like Rodgers to finish inside QB1 range this season. No QB in NFL history offers a higher TD/INT ratio throughout his career than Rodgers. In fact, it's not even close. Only four QBs ever (Aaron Rodgers, Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, and Tom Brady) have higher than a 3.0 TD/INT ratio throughout their careers. Still, Rodgers is an outlier even amongst outliers in this category, with a completely absurd 4.52 TD/INT over his career. Having the ability to provide league-leading touchdown numbers along with single-digit interceptions makes Rodgers an under-the-radar safe fantasy option who still provides upside at the position. He's no longer the sexy option that he used to be, but he's currently being drafted outside the top-12 at the position and that's pretty much his floor. He's someone to target if you wait at the position this season.

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Outlook: When you see a 12-game stat line that included a 54 percent completion rate for 2,549 yards, 17 touchdowns, nine interceptions and a 6-7 record, the No. 4 overall pick in the NFL Draft isn't exactly what you had in mind. So why was Anthony Richardson taken this early? The eye test is a very powerful thing in sports. Anthony Richardson is 6-foot-4, 244 pounds and runs a 4.43 40-yard dash and can throw it out of the stadium. His dual threat ability might be exactly what the Colts need to get their franchise back on track, because last year was a disaster -- 4-12-1 record, two head coaches and numerous injuries.

Richardson's deep ball and rushing abilities make him an excellent fantasy football option, but because he's a rookie, fantasy managers selecting him in the later rounds may have some bumps in the road early on as he learns the pro game. He's ideally a QB2 on your fantasy team but if he uses his physical gifts and the underrated talent around him, Richardson may become your starter midway through the season.

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Outlook: When you consider expectations versus results, Wilson might've been the most disappointing player in the NFL last season. Acquired from Seattle and signed to a monster contract before taking a snap with Denver, the nine-time Pro Bowler was abysmal, never gelling with head coach Nathaniel Hackett, who was fired before his first season was complete, and struggling in every facet of the game.

There are plenty of statistical indicators that point to the depth of his issues, but perhaps none more effectively than the fact that he didn't throw his 10th touchdown pass until Dec. 11. His final numbers -- 3,524 yards passing, 277 yards rushing, 16 TD passes, and 11 INTs -- were poor, but it's hard to argue his performance wasn't even worse than that; he threw for 283 yards and 3 TDs in a Week 18 win over the Chargers in a game that held no meaning for them.

Desperate to salvage what currently looks like a terrible trade, the Broncos doubled down and shipped out more assets to lure longtime Saints head coach Sean Payton out of a brief retirement. Payton's primary job will be to resurrect the 34-year-old's career. He did yeoman's work finding ways to keep Drew Brees effective in his twilight years, so it'll be interesting to see if he can do it with Wilson, who is similarly undersized and has been safe with the football during his career.

While he has also battled injuries the past two seasons, missing five games, the veteran has generally been durable so that's only a mild concern. Given Payton's track record of success offensively, Wilson looks like a very interesting risk/reward QB2.

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Outlook: 18 years feels like a lifetime ago for most, including Jordan Love, who was just seven years old when Aaron Rodgers was drafted by the Packers. While the future Hall of Famer finishes his career in a different shade of green, Love becomes just the 3rd Green Bay franchise quarterback in the last 30 years. Can this string of all-time signal callers continue? I honestly don't know. Since being a 1st round pick in 2020, Love has only attempted 83 passes, most of them coming in mop-up duty. In his only career start back in 2021 he was dreadful, completing only half of his passes for 190 yards in a 13-7 loss to Kansas City. There isn't even much to glean from his college career, as he really only had one great year at Utah State.

I truly wish I could have a hot take here and tell you that Love is going to be the sleeper hit QB of 2023, or that he's sure to tank, but I just don't know. Even though he hasn't seen many meaningful snaps, he has experience in the offense, has mentored under Rodgers for several years, and definitely has the confidence of the coaching staff and teammates. Unfortunately, none of those things are fantasy scoring categories. His solid core of skill position players do give him a fair shot to succeed, but every pass catcher is young (none of the current starters have more than two years' experience) and that will lead to some serious consistency issues. With very little rushing upside to lift his floor (26 career rushing yards in eight appearances) I could only consider him a mid-tier QB2 at the very best.

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Outlook: When the news dropped that All-Pro receiver Davante Adams would reunite with college Derek Carr in Las Vegas last offseason, it was practically inevitable that the quarterback who threw for 4,804 would only improve. However, that was not the case.

Adams did his thing, becoming an All-Pro once again, but Carr struggled when searching for other receivers. In 15 games, Carr threw for 3,522 yards, 24 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Removing Adams from the mix, Carr threw for 2,006 yards and 10 touchdowns.

Carr signed a four-year deal in the offseason with New Orleans, giving him a much different receiving corps. Chris Olave was among the best rookie receivers last season and when healthy (that's a big ask), Michael Thomas has been one of the best in the league. Thomas has barely played the last three seasons, but did shatter records during his last full season in 2019. Coming into his age 30 season, injuries have lowered his ceiling and his fantasy value. However, his experience makes him a very capable receiver and gives Carr a viable second option in the passing game.

Carr has only topped 30 passing TDs once his career (2015) and is coming off a career-low in completion percentage (60.8%). He doesn't bring much in the rushing department either - barely topping 100 rush yards the last two seasons - which is why he's being valued as a middling QB2 in fantasy leagues. In most redraft leagues, he'll likely be taken as one of the last bench quarterbacks or perhaps go undrafted.

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Outlook: Likely playing before he was ready, Pickett had a rocky rookie season for the Steelers. Making his first start in Week 4 for an ineffective Mitchell Trubisky, Pickett struggled, throwing eight interceptions and only two touchdowns in his first five NFL games, going 1-4 in the process. Pickett and the offense became more conservative and the rookie only tossed one more interception over the final seven games he played.

Being shaky with the ball is expected from most rookie quarterbacks, and Kenny took a South Parkesque beating behind a terrible line, suffering multiple concussions. As long as those don't become habitual, things are shaping up well for Pickett and this Steeler offense to make some fantasy noise. Pittsburgh added tackle Broderick Jones in Round 1, and stole guard Isacc Seumalo from their cross-state rivals. With a sneaky running floor (237 yards and three touchdowns in just 12 games), an improved run game, and dynamic talent at wide receiver, Pickett could be worth a late-round pick on a fantasy team looking for an end of the draft value at QB.

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Outlook: A year ago, Trey Lance was a popular breakout candidate as a possible top-10 fantasy QB. Now, he appears to be on the outside looking in for the starting job in San Francisco after suffering a broken ankle two games into 2021, causing him to miss the rest of the season. In his absence, the job eventually landed in the lap of Purdy, the final pick of the 2022 NFL Draft, who stepped in and led the 49ers to seven straight wins before suffering an elbow injury in the NFC Championship Game.

That injury turned out to be a torn UCL, which required surgery in March. While there was initially some concern about Purdy's availability for the upcoming campaign, subsequent updates have painted a much rosier picture that suggest the Iowa State product is ahead of schedule. At this stage, both head coach Kyle Shanahan and GM John Lynch (and Purdy himself) are optimistic the quarterback will be ready to roll in Week 1. If not, the team could go back to Lance, who has reportedly looked improved during offseason workouts, or veteran Sam Darnold.

While there's no clear hierarchy among the three quarterbacks at this point, if all three are healthy it feels like Purdy has earned the opportunity to lead the team after efficiently guiding the offense to a 7-1 record in eight starts -- the lone loss came against the Eagles in the game he was injured. The issue with that scenario for fantasy owners is Purdy wasn't markedly different than Jimmy Garoppolo statistically, passing for more than 250 yards in a game just once and offering nothing as a runner. Even as the 49ers starter, Purdy might not be a top-25 fantasy QB.

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Outlook: While Stafford was coming off the best season of his career (4,886 yards passing, 41 TDs, and a Super Bowl ring), there were less-than-ideal medical reports throughout the offseason that suggested the veteran wasn't where he (or the team) wanted him to be physically heading into 2022. As it turned out, the balky elbow that made him a risky selection for fantasy owners would be one of his lesser worries, which is never a good thing.

It began in Week 1, when Stafford absorbed seven sacks and tossed three INTs in a primetime beatdown at the hands of the Bills. Things seemed to stabilize a bit in Week 2 when he passed for 272 yards and three TDs, but that was fool's gold, and Stafford would only pass for more than one TD in a game once the rest of the way. Concussions and a neck injury brought his season to a merciful end on Nov. 20 with Stafford finishing with 2,087 yards passing, 10 TD, and 8 INTs in nine games -- that marked just the second time in the past dozen campaigns that he missed time due to injury.

Retirement was broached during the offseason, but Stafford, who was able to avoid surgery for the spinal cord contusion that led to him being shut down, elected to return for a 15th season. That answered one question, but many remain, all of which really boil down to this: how much does the 35-year-old have left in the tank?

The Rams' once-potent offense is short on established playmakers, and the offensive line will primarily be relying on a mix of unproven youth and veterans looking to turn the page on injury-filled seasons of their own. Yes, Cooper Kupp is still around, but beyond that it's unclear where Stafford can turn. While you can't count out Sean McVay's ingenuity, Stafford is no more than a mid-range QB2.

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Outlook: After nearly a decade with Derek Carr under center, the Raiders are set to turn the starting job over to Garoppolo, who went 38-17 as a starter during a six-year run with the 49ers. He also won four playoff games, though San Francisco ultimately fell short of a championship. The issue with Jimmy G, of course, is durability, as he played a full season just once during his time there. That includes 2022, when he suffered a foot injury in early December that kept him sidelined for the rest of the year.

Beyond the medical red flags, Garoppolo has another serious problem, at least for fantasy owners: he's pretty much just a game manager. Outside of 2019, when he threw for 3,987 yards and 27 TDs, the veteran has never thrown for more than 20 TDs in a season and just once has he topped 2,500 yards. Garoppolo is a pure pocket passer as well, rushing for just 225 yards in 74 career games. While he's never had anyone as singularly talented as Davante Adams, that's not enough to elevate Jimmy G beyond borderline top-25 status at the position.

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