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Regular Season, Updated: 9/5/2022

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FFToday Standard Scoring: Review Scoring
 Cooper Kupp, LAR (Bye: 7)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 204   DOB: 1993-06-15   Age: 29
College: Eastern Washington   Draft: 2017 Round 3 (5) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2019LAR1694 1,161 10 2 4 0 176.5 11.0
2020LAR1592 974 3 4 33 0 118.7 7.9
2021LAR17145 1,947 16 4 18 0 292.5 17.2
2022 (Projected)LAR 109 1,466 11 4 27 0 215.3  

Outlook: Considered a capable receiver but nowhere near a superstar entering last season, Kupp immediately clicked with Stafford en route to a monster campaign, comfortably leading the NFL in receptions (145), targets (191), yards (1,947), and touchdowns (16). He was also the only player to average more than 100 receiving yards per game. Kupp's true dominance emerged on the biggest stage where he caught the game-winning TD in the Super Bowl at a point where everyone on the Bengals knew the ball was going to him... and they still couldn't stop it.

About the only negatives you can lay on Kupp right now relate to his age and history. Already 29, the reigning NFL Offensive Player of the Year has only one other 1,000-yard season on his resume, and last year was just the second time he's appeared in every game. Those feel like trivial concerns, though, given how dominant he was in his first season working with Stafford. In fact, a year together might make that duo even more formidable (if possible).

If you're completely stuck on longevity, you could make a case for Davante Adams as the top receiver off the board, though going from Rodgers to Derek Carr creates questions of its own. After that, you're probably looking at guys like Justin Jefferson or Jamarr Chase, neither of whom has done more than Kupp at this point. Don't overthink it, Kupp should be the No. 1 receiver drafted in 2022.

 Justin Jefferson, MIN (Bye: 7)
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 202   DOB: 1999-01-16   Age: 24
College: Louisiana State   Draft: 2020 Round 1 (22) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2020MIN1688 1,400 7 1 2 0 182.2 11.4
2021MIN17108 1,616 10 6 14 0 223.0 13.1
2022 (Projected)MIN 92 1,422 9 4 31 0 199.3  

Outlook: If it wasn't obvious before, it's clear now, this is Justin Jefferson's team. Supplanting Thielen as the alpha dog in the passing game, and bringing back memories of HOFer Randy Moss's early career production, Jefferson was nearly unstoppable in his 2nd season. His 1,616 yards were the 2nd most in the NFL, and just one of several ways he was able to improve upon a historic rookie season. So, what can be possibly do in Year 3? For starters, the offensive scheme should work wonders for Jefferson, as he'll serve in the Cooper Kupp role. He's already been thrilled with the modernization of the offense, even if he might see a slightly diminished target share as a result. Hitting 108 receptions and 1,600 yards is going to be an incredible stretch, but with more efficiency and usage in the red zone, Jefferson could see a spike in scoring chances. Either way, Jefferson is just one of a few guys in play as the WR1 in all formats, and a locked in 1st round pick.

 Ja'Marr Chase, CIN (Bye: 10)
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 208   DOB: 2000-03-01   Age: 23
College: Louisiana State   Draft: 2021 Round 1 (5) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2021CIN1781 1,455 13 7 21 0 225.6 13.3
2022 (Projected)CIN 83 1,266 11 5 29 0 195.5  

Outlook: Coming off a year away from football, and with a great need at offensive line, some thought the Bengals made a mistake drafting Chase 6th overall last spring. After setting fire to the record books, and getting to the Super Bowl in Year 1, it's clear the Bengals made the right call. Chase dominated from the get-go, putting up a 5-101-1 line in his first game, and finding the endzone four times over the season's first three weeks. In Week 17 against the Chiefs, he put up one of the best receiving lines of all time, with 11 receptions, 266 yards and three touchdowns. The former LSU Tiger was a big play waiting to happen, scoring 13 touchdowns and averaging a gaudy 18.0 yards-per-reception. He was so good, that frankly, it's going to be extremely difficult to not only replicate, but also improve upon his rookie year numbers.

With Higgins and Boyd, there should be a continued split for target share, and it's hard to see Cinci passing enough for Chase to see many more than the 128 targets he saw last year. That ridiculous reception average is also a bet to take a dip, cutting further into his massive efficiency. Even with an anticipated regression, Chase's talent, and quarterback situation make him one of the first receivers off the board in all formats.

 Stefon Diggs, BUF (Bye: 7)
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 195   DOB: 1993-11-29   Age: 29
College: Maryland   Draft: 2015 Round 5 (10) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2019MIN1563 1,130 6 5 61 0 155.1 10.3
2020BUF16127 1,535 8 1 1 0 201.6 12.6
2021BUF17103 1,225 10 0 0 0 182.5 10.7
2022 (Projected)BUF 98 1,197 9 0 0 0 173.7  

Outlook: It's wild to think that a 1,225-yard, 10 touchdown season was a statistical dip and even a bit of a disappointment for Stefon Diggs in 2021, but that just goes to show how strong his 2020 season really was. Diggs once again finished as a rock-solid WR1 for fantasy and he's now finished with at least 1,000 receiving yards in four straight seasons while accumulating 33 touchdowns over that stretch. Many predicted that he'd struggle to find chemistry with what was a fairly erratic quarterback in Josh Allen, but Diggs has enjoyed the best two years of his professional career while in Buffalo. Now headed into his third season with the team, the sky is truly the limit for this dynamic duo.

Diggs' target share fell about five percentage points in 2021 from where it was in 2020, but a quick glance at the roster indicates that he should see more passes coming his way this season. The team lost both Cole Beasley and Emmanuel Sanders this offseason and while they did make some additions like veteran Jamison Crowder and fifth-round NFL Draft pick Khalil Shakir, they really didn't invest much in the position. This often means that a team will lean even more heavily on their already established weapons and Diggs is really the only player on the roster who has a long-term track record of production.

With many top wide receivers finding themselves in new homes this off-season, Diggs really does have the upside to finish as an elite option at the position once again here in 2022. He's an extremely safe bet to see a high target share in a heavy passing offense and his 25 end zone targets far out-paced any other player in the league a season ago, leaving us hopeful that we may see another double-digit touchdown season from the veteran wideout.

 CeeDee Lamb, DAL (Bye: 9)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 198   DOB: 1999-04-08   Age: 23
College: Oklahoma   Draft: 2020 Round 1 (17) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2020DAL1674 935 5 10 82 1 137.7 8.6
2021DAL1679 1,102 6 9 76 0 153.8 9.6
2022 (Projected)DAL 87 1,177 8 9 73 0 173.0  

Outlook: It's hard to look at CeeDee Lamb's 2021 season and not be a bit disappointed. While he finished as the Cowboys' top wide receiver with 79 receptions for 1,102 yards and six touchdowns - all of which were an improvement over his rookie campaign in 2021 - the way he got there just wasn't very exciting. He topped 10 standard scoring fantasy points just six times on the season while reaching 20 points just twice. Worse yet, his end-of-season numbers were truly abysmal as he finished with six straight games with below eight fantasy points, including the Cowboys' Wild Card playoff loss to the 49ers.

We all love to see more targets coming the way of our receivers, but actual talent does still matter. While he hasn't broken out in the same way that Justin Jefferson did from the same class, Lamb is still just 23 years old and it seems likely that his best work is still in front of him. The Cowboys were the No. 1 offense in the NFL a season ago, so being the top dog in that situation makes Lamb a strong candidate for a real breakout season with potential league-winning upside.

 Tyreek Hill, MIA (Bye: 11)
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 185   DOB: 1994-03-01   Age: 29
College: West Alabama   Draft: 2016 Round 5 (28) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2019KC1258 860 7 8 23 0 130.3 10.9
2020KC1587 1,276 15 13 123 2 241.9 16.1
2021KC17111 1,239 9 9 96 0 187.5 11.0
2022 (Projected)MIA 82 1,108 8 10 73 1 172.1  

Outlook: Elite-level wide receivers moving to new teams has been a surprisingly common occurrence in recent years, but this offseason was unlike any other as studs like Davante Adams, A.J. Brown, Amari Cooper, and Allen Robinson all found new homes. But perhaps none was more surprising than when Kansas City decided to trade Tyreek Hill to Miami.

Now in his new home with the Dolphins, Hill will no longer be playing with a certified generational quarterback in Patrick Mahomes. He'll now be tethered to Tua Tagovailoa who, despite having valid excuses, has not been particularly great through his first two professional seasons.

Hill immediately injects dynamite into the Dolphins offense as he's perhaps the league's quickest player and he's been one of the most explosive downfield playmakers for many years now. While Mahomes' cannon of an arm made for more exciting big plays, it's worth noting that Hill was actually still pretty effective prior to playing with Mahomes. Hill went for nearly 1,200 yards and seven touchdowns in his second professional season with Alex Smith, a notoriously safe and low depth-of-target passer, behind center.

Hill was considered by most to be a top two fantasy wide receiver heading into the 2021 season and while he finished seventh at the position, he was a slight disappointment overall. He's now being selected around the fifth to eighth wide receiver off the board, which doesn't give him a lot of opportunity to outperform that ADP. It's tough for receivers to make a transition to a new offense and we've seen it take many weeks or even a full season for them to get completely acclimated in their new environments.

With numerous other viable pass catchers and an offensive philosophy that is likely to be more run-heavy than what he experienced in Kansas City, Hill is going to need to up his efficiency in order to deliver the fantasy production to match his draft day cost. He's not going to completely burn you given the target share he's likely to see, but understand that he's also unlikely to produce the same type of numbers that we saw from him during his top years with the Chiefs.

 Deebo Samuel, SF (Bye: 9)
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 214   DOB: 1996-01-15   Age: 27
College: South Carolina   Draft: 2019 Round 2 (4) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2019SF1557 802 3 14 159 3 132.1 8.8
2020SF733 391 1 8 26 0 47.7 6.8
2021SF1677 1,405 6 59 365 8 261.0 16.3
2022 (Projected)SF 59 855 5 63 342 4 173.7  

Outlook: Samuel was a breakout star for the 49ers last season, amassing 1,405 yards on 77 receptions -- his 18.2 yards per catch were the most in the NFL among players with more than 25 catches -- while adding another 365 yards on 59 carries. He also scored 14 touchdowns. He's a true difference maker and was recognized with a spot on the All-Pro First Team alongside Cooper Kupp and Davante Adams. Samuel has already proven he can make things happen anywhere on the field, so there's no reason to think that Lance won't be able to feed him the ball the same way Jimmy G did.

Of course, there is one slight problem: he asked to be traded on April 20, and while he did report for the team's mandatory minicamp, he hasn't backed off his request. The 49ers believe they can find common ground and have balked at the idea of trading a 26-year-old superstar, but the rubber won't meet the road until July 26, which is the official reporting date for San Francisco's training camp. The current CBA has made holdouts less frequent with mandatory fines that cannot be rescinded, but Samuel is entering the final year of his rookie deal and is in line for big-time money, so we'll see how it shakes out.

For now, it seems the safest course is to assume that Samuel plays for the 49ers in 2022, though his long-term prognosis is murkier. If Samuel is in uniform, he should be the centerpiece of San Francisco's offense and a top-10 fantasy receiver.

 Davante Adams, LV (Bye: 6)
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 212   DOB: 1992-12-24   Age: 30
College: Fresno State   Draft: 2014 Round 2 (21) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2019GB1283 997 5 0 0 0 129.7 10.8
2020GB14115 1,374 18 0 0 0 245.4 17.5
2021GB16123 1,553 11 0 0 0 221.3 13.8
2022 (Projected)LV 90 1,166 9 0 0 0 170.6  

Outlook: Slapped with the franchise tag by the Packers, it was a foregone conclusion that Rodgers' longtime No. 1 target would be back in Titletown... until it wasn't. Unable to reach a long-term contract, Green Bay traded arguably the NFL's preeminent receiver to the Raiders for first- and second-round picks. It was a huge splash for Las Vegas, giving them the type of true No. 1 receiver they've lacked since the days of Tim Brown and Jerry Rice (depending on your opinion of Amari Cooper).

While it's a boon for the Silver and Black, it's hard to view this as a positive for Adams. Yes, he and Carr came up together at Fresno State, but in no universe would anyone put Carr in the same stratosphere as the four-time MVP. Rodgers and Adams had a connection formed by years of practicing and playing together, and Adams effectively served as the de facto No. 1 read on most routes -- he certainly hasn't had to share the field with anyone as talented as Waller (or maybe even Renfrow) since truly breaking through for the Packers in 2018.

Without question, Adams remains a WR1, but whether he can match the 108 catches, 1,328 yards, and 11.8 TDs per year he's averaged over his last four seasons remains to be seen. A year ago, he deserved to be the first receiver taken in drafts. Now, he probably fits better around No. 5.

 Mike Evans, TB (Bye: 11)
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 231   DOB: 1993-08-21   Age: 29
College: Texas A&M   Draft: 2014 Round 1 (7) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2019TB1367 1,157 8 0 0 0 163.7 12.6
2020TB1670 1,006 13 0 0 0 178.6 11.2
2021TB1674 1,035 14 1 10 0 188.5 11.8
2022 (Projected)TB 72 1,015 10 0 0 0 161.5  

Outlook: Evans has made his living in the red zone, especially with Tom Brady at the helm the last two seasons, catching 27 total touchdowns and setting single season career marks in both 2020 and 2021. That's a positive, but truth be told, Evans' target share, receptions and yardage are all down slightly since Brady's arrival, and I'm not sure that's going to change in 2022. In fact, Evans might find the sledding even tougher than usual, especially early in the season.

Fellow WR Chris Godwin is not nearly ready to return from an ACL tear suffered in Week 15 and until free agent Russell Gage proves his ability to dictate coverage, defenses will be bracketing Evans and taking away the best part of his game. Evans will still win his share of contested balls for sure, and he will beat coverage, even double coverage from time to time. But until some of these other receivers show they can step up to the challenge, the defensive focus will limit his ceiling. He's a TD-reliant, low end WR1 who might be better as your No.2 if you can manage it, especially to start the season.

 Tee Higgins, CIN (Bye: 10)
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 216   DOB: 1999-01-18   Age: 24
College: Clemson   Draft: 2020 Round 2 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2020CIN1667 908 6 5 28 0 129.6 8.1
2021CIN1474 1,091 6 0 0 0 145.1 10.4
2022 (Projected)CIN 78 1,087 7 0 0 0 150.7  

Outlook: Higgins has shown flashes of dominance over his first two seasons in the NFL, displaying elite body control and hands to go with his 6'4'' frame. He built on his solid rookie season by improving his reception and yardage totals while playing in two less games. Rookie teammate Ja'Marr Chase stole the headlines (and rightfully so) last season, but Higgins had some week-winning games, finished on fire in the run to the Super Bowl, and should benefit greatly from the increased attention that Chase is sure to garner in year two. What's even more impressive about Higgins last year was that he did most of his damage with a torn labrum in his shoulder! Couple his health, with some positive regression in the scoring department, and a quarterback that isn't afraid to chuck it, and you have the recipe for a receiver ready to push into the WR1 conversation without having to pay the premium price of his teammate.

 D.J. Moore, CAR (Bye: 13)
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 210   DOB: 1997-04-14   Age: 25
College: Maryland   Draft: 2018 Round 1 (24) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2019CAR1587 1,175 4 6 40 0 145.5 9.7
2020CAR1566 1,193 4 2 22 0 145.5 9.7
2021CAR1793 1,157 4 8 48 0 144.5 8.5
2022 (Projected)CAR 85 1,133 5 0 0 0 143.3  

Outlook: Over the course of the last three seasons, Moore's QB's have included Kyle Allen, Cam Newton (not the MVP version), Will Grier, Teddy Bridgewater, P.J. Walker, and Sam Darnold. It hasn't exactly been easy sledding for receivers in Carolina, yet Moore has continued to produce with three straight 1100-yard seasons. There are those who think Baker Mayfield at QB will raise Moore's level. I'm not sure that's the case, but I'm not sure it matters. Moore has proven he can play with anybody.

This is a dynamic playmaker who can create separation with his speed and short area quickness, is an elite hands catcher who makes one-handed grabs look easy, and is a QB's dream with his run after catch ability. With improved QB play, upgrades along the O-line, and Christian McCaffrey back on the field, Moore is a lock WR2 and could even rise to WR1 status in deeper formats.

 Mike Williams, LAC (Bye: 8)
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 218   DOB: 1994-10-04   Age: 28
College: Clemson   Draft: 2017 Round 1 (7) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2019LAC1549 1,001 2 1 2 0 112.3 7.5
2020LAC1548 756 5 1 1 0 105.7 7.0
2021LAC1676 1,146 9 0 0 0 168.6 10.5
2022 (Projected)LAC 72 1,076 7 0 0 0 149.6  

Outlook: Entering the final year of his rookie deal, Williams picked a good time to have his best season, posting 76 receptions (well above his previous high of 49), 1,146 yards, and 9 TDs. That was enough to earn the former seventh overall pick a three-year, $60 million deal to stay in Los Angeles. It wasn't always smooth sailing for Williams in 2021, though, as after topping 80 yards four times in his first five games while scoring six times the Clemson product would score just once in his next nine with only two outings of more than 65 yards receiving.

While the team will doubtless be hoping for better consistency this year, Williams is bound to be more volatile than Allen just based on his role as more of a downfield threat. At 6-foot-4, 218 pounds, the sixth-year pro has the size to outfight defensive backs for the ball in contested catch situations along with the speed to get behind them. He feels slightly overvalued if you're counting on him a low-end WR2, but if you can grab Williams as your third receiver there's certainly enough upside there for him to produce as a No.2.