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Fantasy | Game Notes | Results & Schedule | Injury Report | Stat Comparisons | Weather | Team vs. Team History

   


Final Score Prediction

Patriots 31, Colts 21

Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger
Indianapolis Colts
Rank  Player Projections
QB 8 Andrew Luck Pass: 300, 2 TD Rush: 20, 0
RB 27 Vick Ballard Rush: 60, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0
RB 29 Donald Brown Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
WR 6 Reggie Wayne Rec: 7-100, 1 TD
WR 44 Donnie Avery Rec: 4-60, 0 TD
WR 55 T.Y. Hilton Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
TE 11 Dwayne Allen Rec: 4-40, 1 TD
K 27 Adam Vinatieri FG: 0/0 XP: 3/3
DEF 26 Defense / ST  
 
New England Patriots
Rank  Player Projections
QB 3 Tom Brady Pass: 310, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 9 Stevan Ridley Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 45 Danny Woodhead Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 53 Shane Vereen Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 5 Wes Welker Rec: 9-100, 1 TD
WR 38 Brandon Lloyd Rec: 4-60, 0 TD
WR 77 Deion Branch Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
TE 2 Rob Gronkowski Rec: 5-70, 1 TD
K 8 Stephen Gostkowski FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4
DEF 13 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Colts and Patriots meet for 10th consecutive season


Colts Seek 5th consecutive win... QB Andrew Luck has 4 300-yard passing games, tied with PEYTON MANNING (1998) for most by rookie all-time. Has highest winning pct. (.667) through Week 10 by rookie QB who was No. 1 overall pick in SB era (min. 3 starts). Luck's 2,631 passing yards are most through 9 games among rookie QBs in NFL history. Leads AFC QBs in rush yards (159) & rush TDs (5)... RB Donald Brown had rush TD in last game vs. NE... WR Reggie Wayne (931) needs 69 receiving yards to reach 1,000 for 8th time. Wayne (12,639) needs 83 rec. yards to surpass HOFer ART MONK for 15th-most in NFL annals. In past 2, WR Donnie Avery has 9 catches for 173 yards (19.2 avg.), incl. 2 receptions of 40+ yards (48, 44)... LB Dwight Freeney has 10 career sacks vs. Jax. LB Robert Mathis has 6 sacks in 5 games in '12. LB Jerry Hughes has 3 sacks in past 3 road games... CB Darius Butler had 2 INTs, incl. 11-yard INT-return TD & FR last week. Was selected in 2nd round of '09 NFL Draft by Patriots & spent 2 seasons with NE (2009-10).

Patriots Average NFL-best in points per game (33.2) & yards per game (430.3). Since 2000 (incl. postseason), Patriots are 7-2 at home vs. Colts... Incl. postseason, QB Tom Brady has 9-4 career record vs. Colts w/ 24 TDs & 96.4 rating. Has thrown TD pass in 41 consecutive games, 3rd-longest streak in NFL history. Brady (18) needs 2 TD passes to reach 20 for 10th time in career. In past 4 in Nov., Brady is 4-0 & has 10 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 114.4 rating... RB Stevan Ridley ranks 3rd in AFC with 814 rush yards. In past 2, Ridley is averaging 112.5 rush yards per game. RB Danny Woodhead had rush TD & TD catch last week. WR Wes Welker had 11 catches for 110 yards in last game vs. Ind. Has 6+ catches in 7 consecutive games... TE Rob Gronkowski has 5 TD catches in past 3. Had 2 TD rec. in last game vs. Colts... Rookie DE Chandler Jones leads AFC rookies with 6 sacks... DT Vince Wilfork had sack & FF last week... DB Tavon Wilson has 3 INTs, most among AFC rookies... DB Devin McCourty posted 3rd INT of season last week.


Results and Schedule
Indianapolis Colts
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2012-09-09 CHI A L 21-41 -20
2 2012-09-16 MIN H W 23-20 +3
3 2012-09-23 JAC H L 17-22 -5
4   Bye      
5 2012-10-07 GB H W 30-27 +3
6 2012-10-14 NYJ A L 9-35 -26
7 2012-10-21 CLE H W 17-13 +4
8 2012-10-28 TEN A W 19-13 +6
9 2012-11-04 MIA H W 23-20 +3
10 2012-11-08 JAC A W 27-10 +17
11 2012-11-18 NE A L 24-59 -35
12 2012-11-25 BUF H    
13 2012-12-02 DET A    
14 2012-12-09 TEN H    
15 2012-12-16 HOU A    
16 2012-12-23 KC A    
17 2012-12-30 HOU H    
   
New England Patriots
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2012-09-09 TEN A W 34-13 +21
2 2012-09-16 ARI H L 18-20 -2
3 2012-09-23 BAL A L 30-31 -1
4 2012-09-30 BUF A W 52-28 +24
5 2012-10-07 DEN H W 31-21 +10
6 2012-10-14 SEA A L 23-24 -1
7 2012-10-21 NYJ H W 29-26 +3
8 2012-10-28 STL A W 45-7 +38
9   Bye      
10 2012-11-11 BUF H W 37-31 +6
11 2012-11-18 IND H W 59-24 +35
12 2012-11-22 NYJ A    
13 2012-12-02 MIA A    
14 2012-12-10 HOU H    
15 2012-12-16 SF H    
16 2012-12-23 JAC A    
17 2012-12-30 MIA H    

Injury Report
Indianapolis Colts
Out  NT Josh Chapman (knee)
 CB Vontae Davis (knee)
 TE Coby Fleener (shoulder)
Probable  RB Donald Brown (knee)
 OLB Robert Mathis (back)
IR  WR Austin Collie (knee, 9/24)
 ILB A.J. Edds (knee, 8/3)
 NT Brandon McKinney (knee, 8/26)
 DE Drake Nevis (hand, 11/12)
 CB Jerraud Powers (toe, 11/12)
   
New England Patriots
Doubtful  TE Aaron Hernandez (ankle)
Questionable  WR Deion Branch (hamstring)
 SS Patrick Chung (shoulder)
 FS Steve Gregory (hip)
 TE Rob Gronkowski (hip)
 OLB Dont'a Hightower (hamstring)
 WR Brandon Lloyd (knee)
 DE Trevor Scott (hamstring)
 MLB Brandon Spikes (knee)
 WR Wes Welker (ankle)
 OLB Tracy White (foot)
Probable  WR Julian Edelman (hand)
 DT Kyle Love (knee)
 OLB Jerod Mayo (elbow)
 CB Aqib Talib (other-excused)
IR  CB Will Allen (undisclosed, 8/27)
 SS Josh Barrett (undisclosed, 8/27)
 CB Ras-I Dowling (quadriceps, 10/26)
 MLB Dane Fletcher (knee, 8/15)
 FB Spencer Larsen (undisclosed, 8/27)
PUP  DT Myron Pryor (shoulder)

Offense Stats Comparison
  IND
 Offense 
NE
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 21.5 32.3 22.5 NE
Rushing yards 125.5 133.3 117.0 NE
Rushing yards per attempt 3.94 4.39 4.35 NE
Completion % 59.6% 63.8% 61.9% NE
Passing yards 277.3 267.0 233.2 IND
Passing yards per completion 11.90 10.47 10.78 IND
Passing yards per attempt 7.09 6.68 6.67 IND
Interceptions 0.8 0.0 0.9 NE
Fumbles lost 0.5 0.3 0.7 NE
Sacks allowed 2.8 1.0 2.2 NE
3rd down conversions 44.3% 55.3% 38.8% NE
4th down conversions 75.0% 33.3% 53.3% IND
Time of possession 34:53 31:32 29:52 IND
  Defense Stats Comparison
  IND
 Defense 
NE
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 18.3 23.7 22.5 IND
Rushing yards 98.0 99.3 117.0 IND
Rushing yards per attempt 4.90 4.08 4.35 NE
Completion % 62.8% 68.1% 61.9% IND
Passing yards 246.8 299.7 233.2 IND
Passing yards per completion 10.66 11.51 10.78 IND
Passing yards per attempt 6.70 7.84 6.67 IND
INT return 0.3 0.7 0.9 NE
Fumble recoveries 0.0 1.7 0.7 NE
Sacks 2.3 2.3 2.2 -
3rd down conversions 37.1% 47.5% 38.8% IND
4th down conversions 40.0% 50.0% 53.3% IND
Time of possession 26:19 30:19 29:52 IND

Special Teams Stats Comparison
   IND   NE  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 8.3 10.0 8.3 NE
Yards per kick return 17.9 23.4 23.3 NE
Yards allowed per punt return 7.8 8.5 8.3 IND
Yards allowed per kick return 25.8 20.2 23.3 NE
  Misc Stats Comparison
   IND   NE  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 6.8 6.3 6.3 NE
Penalty yards 56.5 58.0 52.1 IND

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 5 to 10 of the 2012 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 5 to 10 with no adjustment.

Weather

Team vs. Team History
Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 6 2000-10-08 IND NE 16-24 NE
2000 8 2000-10-22 NE IND 23-30 IND
2001 3 2001-09-30 IND NE 13-44 NE
2001 6 2001-10-21 NE IND 38-17 NE
2003 13 2003-11-30 NE IND 38-34 NE
2004 1 2004-09-09 IND NE 24-27 NE
2004 DP 2005-01-16 IND NE 3-20 NE
2005 9 2005-11-07 IND NE 40-21 IND
2006 9 2006-11-05 IND NE 27-20 IND
2006 CF 2007-01-21 NE IND 34-38 IND
2007 9 2007-11-04 NE IND 24-20 NE
2008 9 2008-11-02 NE IND 15-18 IND
2009 10 2009-11-15 NE IND 34-35 IND
2010 11 2010-11-21 IND NE 28-31 NE
2011 13 2011-12-04 IND NE 24-31 NE

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff CF = Conference Final