Prediction: Patriots 27, Bills 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Buffalo Bills |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 32 |
Thaddeus Lewis |
Pass: 200, 0 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
RB 8 |
C.J. Spiller |
Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 10 |
Fred Jackson |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
WR 41 |
Robert Woods |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
WR 79 |
Marquise Goodwin |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
WR 82 |
T.J. Graham |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 23 |
Scott Chandler |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
K 16 |
Dan Carpenter |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 26 |
Defense / ST |
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New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 18 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 250, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 20 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 6-50, 1 |
RB 36 |
LeGarrette Blount |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
RB 52 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 14 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 9-80, 1 TD |
WR 34 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
WR 78 |
Kenbrell Thompkins |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
WR 81 |
Aaron Dobson |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 32 |
Michael Hoomanawanui |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
K 7 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 12 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Bills Rookie QB EJ Manuel (11) has most TD passes by Bills rookie in franchise history. Has 2 rush TDs in past 3 games. Has 1,282 passing yards with 9 TDs vs. 4 INTs & 83.4 rating vs. AFC opponents. Had 2 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 105.5 rating in only game vs. NE. QB THAD LEWIS is 2-2 as starter in 2013... Bills avg. 142.5 rush yards per game, best in AFC in 2013... RB C.J. Spiller averages 6.1 yards per carry at NE (26 att., 159 yards). Last week, RB Fred Jackson (5,067) joined HOFers THURMAN THOMAS & O.J. SIMPSON as only Bills to reach 5,000 career rush yards. Posted 1st 100-yard rush game of season last week... WR Steve Johnson (301) needs 2 rec. for 6th most in franchise history (PETE METZELAARS, 302). Robert Woods had 18-yard TD rec. in only meeting vs. NE... Registered 1st shutout since 10/30/11 last week... DE Mario Williams (13) needs 1.5 sacks to surpass career best of 14 in '07... Defense has NFL-best 56 sacks... Club has 3 players with at least 10 sacks, most in NFL (Jerry Hughes, Kyle Williams, Mario Williams).
Patriots Have won 18 of past 20 in Dec... With win, QB Tom Brady (147) will surpass HOFer DAN MARINO (147) for 4th-most on all-time wins list among starting QBs. Has 11 division titles, most by starting QB in NFL history. Brady has 44-7 (.863) career record in Dec., highest among SB-era QBs (min. 10 starts). Needs 279 pass yards to reach 4,500 for 4th time in career, 3rd-most such seasons in NFL history... RB LeGarrette Blount tied career-best with 2 rush TDs last week... WR Julian Edelman (96) needs 4 catches to join TROY BROWN & WES WELKER as only Patriots to have 100 rec. in season. Needs 9 rec. yards to reach 1,000 for 1st time in career... DE Chandler Jones has career-high 11.5 sacks in 2013. Had FR-TD vs. Bal... LB DON'T'A HIGHTOWER has team-best 91 tackles... Rookie CB Logan Ryan had career-best 2 INTs & 3 PDs last week. Has 5 INTs, most among NFL rookies.
Results and Schedule
Buffalo Bills |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
NE |
H |
L 21-23 |
-2 |
2 |
2013-09-15 |
CAR |
H |
W 24-23 |
+1 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
NYJ |
A |
L 20-27 |
-7 |
4 |
2013-09-29 |
BAL |
H |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
5 |
2013-10-03 |
CLE |
A |
L 24-37 |
-13 |
6 |
2013-10-13 |
CIN |
H |
L 24-27 |
-3 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
MIA |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
8 |
2013-10-27 |
NO |
A |
L 17-35 |
-18 |
9 |
2013-11-03 |
KC |
H |
L 13-23 |
-10 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
PIT |
A |
L 10-23 |
-13 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
NYJ |
H |
W 37-14 |
+23 |
12 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
13 |
2013-12-01 |
ATL |
H |
L 31-34 |
-3 |
14 |
2013-12-08 |
TB |
A |
L 6-27 |
-21 |
15 |
2013-12-15 |
JAC |
A |
W 27-20 |
+7 |
16 |
2013-12-22 |
MIA |
H |
W 19-0 |
+19 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
NE |
A |
|
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New England Patriots |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
BUF |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
2 |
2013-09-12 |
NYJ |
H |
W 13-10 |
+3 |
3 |
2013-09-22 |
TB |
H |
W 23-3 |
+20 |
4 |
2013-09-29 |
ATL |
A |
W 30-23 |
+7 |
5 |
2013-10-06 |
CIN |
A |
L 6-13 |
-7 |
6 |
2013-10-13 |
NO |
H |
W 30-27 |
+3 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
NYJ |
A |
L 27-30 |
-3 |
8 |
2013-10-27 |
MIA |
H |
W 27-17 |
+10 |
9 |
2013-11-03 |
PIT |
H |
W 55-31 |
+24 |
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2013-11-18 |
CAR |
A |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
12 |
2013-11-24 |
DEN |
H |
W 34-31 |
+3 |
13 |
2013-12-01 |
HOU |
A |
W 34-31 |
+3 |
14 |
2013-12-08 |
CLE |
H |
W 27-26 |
+1 |
15 |
2013-12-15 |
MIA |
A |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
16 |
2013-12-22 |
BAL |
A |
W 41-7 |
+34 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
BUF |
H |
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
BUF Offense |
NE Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
25.7 |
28.8 |
24.1 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
153.7 |
101.8 |
117.0 |
BUF |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.93 |
3.98 |
4.26 |
NE |
Completion % |
62.0% |
65.2% |
61.1% |
NE |
Passing yards |
188.3 |
332.3 |
231.6 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
10.88 |
10.95 |
10.84 |
NE |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.74 |
7.14 |
6.62 |
NE |
Interceptions |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
BUF |
Fumbles lost |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
NE |
Sacks allowed |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
- |
3rd down conversions |
35.1% |
43.2% |
37.8% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
100.0% |
60.0% |
50.8% |
BUF |
Time of possession |
31:36 |
31:49 |
30:20 |
NE |
|
|
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
BUF Defense |
NE Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
20.3 |
26.3 |
24.1 |
BUF |
Rushing yards |
148.0 |
113.3 |
117.0 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.72 |
4.70 |
4.26 |
NE |
Completion % |
48.2% |
59.9% |
61.1% |
BUF |
Passing yards |
139.0 |
246.8 |
231.6 |
BUF |
Passing yards per completion |
9.39 |
11.58 |
10.84 |
BUF |
Passing yards per attempt |
4.53 |
6.94 |
6.62 |
BUF |
INT return |
2.0 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
BUF |
Fumble recoveries |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
BUF |
Sacks |
5.0 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
BUF |
3rd down conversions |
35.6% |
47.5% |
37.8% |
BUF |
4th down conversions |
25.0% |
16.7% |
50.8% |
NE |
Time of possession |
28:24 |
29:27 |
30:20 |
BUF |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
BUF |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
4.7 |
10.1 |
9.4 |
NE |
Yards per kick return |
19.4 |
20.5 |
22.7 |
NE |
Yards allowed per punt return |
5.5 |
5.3 |
9.4 |
NE |
Yards allowed per kick return |
21.9 |
20.5 |
22.7 |
NE |
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
BUF |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
7.0 |
4.3 |
6.2 |
NE |
Penalty yards |
60.0 |
32.3 |
52.1 |
NE |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 11 to 16 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 11 to 16 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
10 |
2000-11-05 |
BUF |
NE |
16-13 |
BUF |
2000 |
16 |
2000-12-17 |
NE |
BUF |
13-10 |
NE |
2001 |
9 |
2001-11-11 |
BUF |
NE |
11-21 |
NE |
2001 |
14 |
2001-12-16 |
NE |
BUF |
12-9 |
NE |
2002 |
9 |
2002-11-03 |
NE |
BUF |
38-7 |
NE |
2002 |
14 |
2002-12-08 |
BUF |
NE |
17-27 |
NE |
2003 |
1 |
2003-09-07 |
NE |
BUF |
0-31 |
BUF |
2003 |
17 |
2003-12-27 |
BUF |
NE |
0-31 |
NE |
2004 |
4 |
2004-10-03 |
NE |
BUF |
31-17 |
NE |
2004 |
10 |
2004-11-14 |
BUF |
NE |
6-29 |
NE |
2005 |
8 |
2005-10-30 |
BUF |
NE |
16-21 |
NE |
2005 |
14 |
2005-12-11 |
NE |
BUF |
35-7 |
NE |
2006 |
1 |
2006-09-10 |
BUF |
NE |
17-19 |
NE |
2006 |
7 |
2006-10-22 |
NE |
BUF |
28-6 |
NE |
2007 |
3 |
2007-09-23 |
BUF |
NE |
7-38 |
NE |
2007 |
11 |
2007-11-18 |
NE |
BUF |
56-10 |
NE |
2008 |
10 |
2008-11-09 |
BUF |
NE |
10-20 |
NE |
2008 |
17 |
2008-12-28 |
NE |
BUF |
13-0 |
NE |
2009 |
1 |
2009-09-14 |
BUF |
NE |
24-25 |
NE |
2009 |
15 |
2009-12-20 |
NE |
BUF |
17-10 |
NE |
2010 |
3 |
2010-09-26 |
BUF |
NE |
30-38 |
NE |
2010 |
16 |
2010-12-26 |
NE |
BUF |
34-3 |
NE |
2011 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
NE |
BUF |
31-34 |
BUF |
2011 |
17 |
2012-01-01 |
BUF |
NE |
21-49 |
NE |
2012 |
4 |
2012-09-30 |
NE |
BUF |
52-28 |
NE |
2012 |
10 |
2012-11-11 |
BUF |
NE |
31-37 |
NE |
2013 |
1 |
2013-09-08 |
NE |
BUF |
23-21 |
NE |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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