Prediction: Colts 31, Patriots 27
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 6 |
Tom Brady  |
Pass: 320, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 10 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 45, 1 TD Rec: 6-40, 0 |
| RB 40 |
Jonas Gray |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 24 |
Brandon LaFell |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| WR 35 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 6-65, 0 TD |
| WR 82 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 1-15, 0 TD |
| TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 9-90, 1 TD |
| TE 24 |
Tim Wright |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| K 3 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 21 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 2 |
Andrew Luck |
Pass: 315, 3 TD Rush: 15, 0 |
| RB 9 |
Ahmad Bradshaw |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
| RB 33 |
Trent Richardson |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 7 |
T.Y. Hilton |
Rec: 6-90, 1 TD |
| WR 30 |
Reggie Wayne |
Rec: 4-55, 1 TD |
| WR 75 |
Donte Moncrief |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
| WR 80 |
Hakeem Nicks |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
| TE 9 |
Dwayne Allen |
Rec: 3-35, 1 TD |
| TE 21 |
Coby Fleener |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| K 4 |
Adam Vinatieri |
FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4 |
| DEF 27 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Patriots In Wk. 9 vs. Den., QB Tom Brady (51,541) passed for 333 yards & 4 TDs, surpassing HOFer JOHN ELWAY (51,475) for No. 5 all-time in pass yards. Has 8-3 career record vs. Ind., with 2,843 pass yards & 24 TDs vs. 10 INTs for 103.5 rating... In 3 starts in 2014, RB Shane Vereen has 226 scrimmage yards (91 rush, 135 rec.) & 2 TD catches. Undrafted rookie RB Jonas Gray aims to lead team in rushing for 3rd game in row... Last week, WR Julian Edelman had 9 catches for 89 yards & TD with 84-yard PR-TD. Has 4 career PR-TDs, surpassing TROY BROWN (3) & IRVING FRYAR (3) for club record. WR Brandon LaFell has 5 TDs in past 6. TE Rob Gronkowski had 9 catches for 105 yards & TD vs. Broncos. Reached 50 career TD rec. in 59th career game, tied with RANDY MOSS for 2nd-fastest in NFL history... LB Akeem Ayers has 2 sacks since joining Pats in Week 8. Aims for 3rd in row with sack. LB Rob Ninkovich recorded 1st INT since 2011 vs. Den.
 Colts In Wk. 9 vs. NYG, QB Andrew Luck passed for 354 yards & 4 TDs. Luck (3,085) became 4th player in NFL history with 3,000+ pass yards in 1st 9 games of season. Has passed for 300+ yards in 7 consecutive games, tied for 3rd longest streak in NFL history... RB Trent Richardson (1,904) needs 96 rush yards to reach 2,000 career. RB Ahmad Bradshaw leads NFL RBs with 6 TD catches... With 70 rec. yards vs. NYG, WR Reggie Wayne (14,070) surpassed HOFer JAMES LOFTON (14,004) for No. 8 all-time. Has 360 rec. yards & 3 TDs in past 4 vs. Pats. In past 6, WR T.Y. Hilton has 40 catches for 751 yards & 3 TDs, incl. 4 100-yard games. TE Dwayne Allen has TD in 6 of past 7... LB D'QWELL JACKSON leads team with 70 tackles. Rookie LB Jonathan Newsome (Rd. 5, No. 166 overall) had career-high 2 sacks vs. Giants.
Results and Schedule
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
MIA |
A |
L 20-33 |
-13 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIN |
A |
W 30-7 |
+23 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
OAK |
H |
W 16-9 |
+7 |
| 4 |
2014-09-29 |
KC |
A |
L 14-41 |
-27 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
CIN |
H |
W 43-17 |
+26 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
BUF |
A |
W 37-22 |
+15 |
| 7 |
2014-10-16 |
NYJ |
H |
W 27-25 |
+2 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
CHI |
H |
W 51-23 |
+28 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
DEN |
H |
W 43-21 |
+22 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
IND |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
DET |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
GB |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
SD |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
DEN |
A |
L 24-31 |
-7 |
| 2 |
2014-09-15 |
PHI |
H |
L 27-30 |
-3 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
JAC |
A |
W 44-17 |
+27 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
TEN |
H |
W 41-17 |
+24 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
BAL |
H |
W 20-13 |
+7 |
| 6 |
2014-10-09 |
HOU |
A |
W 33-28 |
+5 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
CIN |
H |
W 27-0 |
+27 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
PIT |
A |
L 34-51 |
-17 |
| 9 |
2014-11-03 |
NYG |
A |
W 40-24 |
+16 |
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
NE |
H |
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
JAC |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
WAS |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
CLE |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
HOU |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
DAL |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
TEN |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Offense |
IND
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
41.0 |
31.3 |
23.5 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
83.7 |
102.7 |
107.9 |
IND |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.59 |
4.08 |
4.07 |
IND |
| Completion % |
68.0% |
59.7% |
61.9% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
321.0 |
347.7 |
242.9 |
IND |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.68 |
12.84 |
11.04 |
IND |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.94 |
7.67 |
6.83 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
0.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
NE |
| Sacks allowed |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
45.1% |
43.5% |
39.2% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
100.0% |
0.0% |
48.1% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
30:51 |
36:12 |
30:15 |
IND |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Defense |
IND
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
22.0 |
21.7 |
23.5 |
IND |
| Rushing yards |
100.0 |
98.7 |
107.9 |
IND |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.42 |
4.50 |
4.07 |
NE |
| Completion % |
60.6% |
61.0% |
61.9% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
246.7 |
247.3 |
242.9 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.74 |
11.20 |
11.04 |
IND |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.12 |
6.84 |
6.83 |
IND |
| INT return |
0.7 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumble recoveries |
1.0 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
IND |
| Sacks |
2.3 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
IND |
| 3rd down conversions |
40.0% |
24.6% |
39.2% |
IND |
| 4th down conversions |
20.0% |
37.5% |
48.1% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
29:09 |
23:48 |
30:15 |
IND |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
IND |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
15.3 |
8.1 |
9.0 |
NE |
| Yards per kick return |
21.5 |
22.2 |
24.1 |
IND |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
11.5 |
3.7 |
9.0 |
IND |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
20.4 |
21.3 |
24.1 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
IND |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
9.0 |
5.3 |
6.7 |
IND |
| Penalty yards |
65.0 |
50.3 |
55.6 |
IND |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 5 to 10 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 5 to 10 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
6 |
2000-10-08 |
IND |
NE |
16-24 |
NE |
| 2000 |
8 |
2000-10-22 |
NE |
IND |
23-30 |
IND |
| 2001 |
3 |
2001-09-30 |
IND |
NE |
13-44 |
NE |
| 2001 |
6 |
2001-10-21 |
NE |
IND |
38-17 |
NE |
| 2003 |
13 |
2003-11-30 |
NE |
IND |
38-34 |
NE |
| 2004 |
1 |
2004-09-09 |
IND |
NE |
24-27 |
NE |
| 2004 |
DP |
2005-01-16 |
IND |
NE |
3-20 |
NE |
| 2005 |
9 |
2005-11-07 |
IND |
NE |
40-21 |
IND |
| 2006 |
9 |
2006-11-05 |
IND |
NE |
27-20 |
IND |
| 2006 |
CF |
2007-01-21 |
NE |
IND |
34-38 |
IND |
| 2007 |
9 |
2007-11-04 |
NE |
IND |
24-20 |
NE |
| 2008 |
9 |
2008-11-02 |
NE |
IND |
15-18 |
IND |
| 2009 |
10 |
2009-11-15 |
NE |
IND |
34-35 |
IND |
| 2010 |
11 |
2010-11-21 |
IND |
NE |
28-31 |
NE |
| 2011 |
13 |
2011-12-04 |
IND |
NE |
24-31 |
NE |
| 2012 |
11 |
2012-11-18 |
IND |
NE |
24-59 |
NE |
| 2013 |
DP |
2014-01-11 |
IND |
NE |
22-43 |
NE |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff CF = Conference Final
|
