Prediction: Texans 24, Jaguars 13
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 29 |
Blake Bortles |
Pass: 210, 1 TD Rush: 15, 0 |
| RB 28 |
Toby Gerhart  |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 49 |
Jordan Todman |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 70 |
Storm Johnson |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 47 |
Allen Hurns |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| WR 56 |
Cecil Shorts |
Rec: 3-45, 0 TD |
| WR 59 |
Marqise Lee |
Rec: 3-45, 0 TD |
| TE 22 |
Marcedes Lewis |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| K 30 |
Josh Scobee |
FG: 2/2 XP: 1/1 |
| DEF 19 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Houston Texans |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 25 |
Case Keenum |
Pass: 215, 1 TD Rush: 15, 0 |
| RB 2 |
Arian Foster |
Rush: 105, 1 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
| RB 65 |
Alfred Blue |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 17 |
Andre Johnson |
Rec: 6-75, 1 TD |
| WR 39 |
DeAndre Hopkins |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
| WR 74 |
Damaris Johnson |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 31 |
Ryan Griffin |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| K 24 |
Randy Bullock |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 3 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Jaguars Last week, QB Blake Bortles (No. 3 overall) passed for 115 yards with 1 TD vs. 0 INTs & rushed for 50 yards. Has 2,791 pass yards & needs 29 to surpass BYRON LEFTWICH (2,819) for club rookie record. Leads AFC QBs with 358 rush yards... RB Toby Gerhart rushed for 53 yards & TD last week. Aims for 3rd in row with 50+ rush yards. RB Jordan Todman led team with 71 rush yards on 5 att. (14.2 avg.), incl. career-long 62-yard TD... WR Cecil Shorts III has TD catch in 2 of past 4 vs. Hou. WR Allen Hurns (undrafted) is tied for 2nd among AFC rookies in TD rec. (6) & ranks 3rd in rec. yards (662). Rookie WR Marqise Lee (Round 2, No. 39 overall) led team in catches (4) & receiving yards (65) last week vs. Titans. TE Marcedes Lewis (3,789) needs 16 scrimmage yards to surpass JAMES STEWART (3,804) for 5th-most in club history... DT SEN' DERRICK MARKS has 6.5 sacks in past 8. DE Chris Clemons had sack in only game at Hou. (9/29/13 with Seahawks). S JONATHAN CYPRIEN leads team with 100 tackles.
 Texans QB Case Keenum won season debut last week. Has 1,945 career pass yards & needs 55 to reach 2,000... RB Arian Foster is averaging 101.9 rush yards per game in 2014, 2nd in NFL (DE MARCO MURRAY). Has 11 TDs in past 9 (7 rush, 4 receiving). Since 2010, leads AFC in rush yards (6,029) & rush TDs (50)... Last week, WR Andre Johnson (1,002) became 10th player in NFL history to reach 1,000 career catches, surpassing HINES WARD (1,000) for No. 9 all-time. Reached 1,000 receptions in 168th career game, 2nd-fastest of any player in NFL history (MARVIN HARRISON, 167 games). For career, averages 6 rec. per game, best in history (min. 100 games). Last week, WR DeAndre Hopkins (1,205) joined Johnson as only players in club history with 1,200+ rec. yards in season... Since entering NFL in 2011, DE J.J. Watt leads NFL with 54 sacks, 3rd-most of any NFL player in 1st 4 seasons since 1982. 1st player with 3 off. TDs (3 rec.) & 2 TDs on takeaways (INT, FR) in season since BILL GOLDING in 1948.
Results and Schedule
| Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
PHI |
A |
L 17-34 |
-17 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
WAS |
A |
L 10-41 |
-31 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
IND |
H |
L 17-44 |
-27 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
SD |
A |
L 14-33 |
-19 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
PIT |
H |
L 9-17 |
-8 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
TEN |
A |
L 14-16 |
-2 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
CLE |
H |
W 24-6 |
+18 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
MIA |
H |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
CIN |
A |
L 23-33 |
-10 |
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
DAL |
H |
L 17-31 |
-14 |
| 11 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
IND |
A |
L 3-23 |
-20 |
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
NYG |
H |
W 25-24 |
+1 |
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
HOU |
H |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
BAL |
A |
L 12-20 |
-8 |
| 16 |
2014-12-18 |
TEN |
H |
W 21-13 |
+8 |
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
HOU |
A |
L 17-23 |
-6 |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
JAC
Offense |
HOU
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
15.3 |
22.0 |
21.7 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards |
93.3 |
133.0 |
111.9 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.62 |
3.52 |
4.21 |
JAC |
| Completion % |
55.1% |
57.4% |
62.5% |
HOU |
| Passing yards |
140.0 |
184.3 |
230.2 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per completion |
7.82 |
10.95 |
10.67 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per attempt |
4.31 |
6.29 |
6.67 |
HOU |
| Interceptions |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
JAC |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
JAC |
| Sacks allowed |
5.0 |
0.5 |
2.4 |
HOU |
| 3rd down conversions |
30.0% |
37.0% |
39.0% |
HOU |
| 4th down conversions |
16.7% |
60.0% |
46.3% |
HOU |
| Time of possession |
26:12 |
32:53 |
30:03 |
HOU |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
JAC
Defense |
HOU
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
22.3 |
16.0 |
21.7 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards |
128.0 |
81.3 |
111.9 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.93 |
3.21 |
4.21 |
HOU |
| Completion % |
68.0% |
50.8% |
62.5% |
HOU |
| Passing yards |
216.0 |
209.0 |
230.2 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.21 |
10.83 |
10.67 |
JAC |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.94 |
5.50 |
6.67 |
HOU |
| INT return |
0.0 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
HOU |
| Fumble recoveries |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
JAC |
| Sacks |
3.3 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
JAC |
| 3rd down conversions |
41.1% |
32.6% |
39.0% |
HOU |
| 4th down conversions |
66.7% |
0.0% |
46.3% |
HOU |
| Time of possession |
33:48 |
27:07 |
30:03 |
HOU |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
JAC |
HOU |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
5.7 |
5.9 |
8.7 |
HOU |
| Yards per kick return |
21.9 |
21.3 |
23.1 |
JAC |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
10.7 |
10.2 |
8.7 |
HOU |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
22.3 |
27.8 |
23.1 |
JAC |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
JAC |
HOU |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
5.7 |
6.0 |
6.5 |
JAC |
| Penalty yards |
44.0 |
56.3 |
54.8 |
JAC |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 11 to 16 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 11 to 16 with no adjustment.
Weather
Dome Stadium
Team vs. Team History
| Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2002 |
8 |
2002-10-27 |
HOU |
JAC |
21-19 |
HOU |
| 2002 |
11 |
2002-11-17 |
JAC |
HOU |
24-21 |
JAC |
| 2003 |
4 |
2003-09-28 |
JAC |
HOU |
20-24 |
HOU |
| 2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
HOU |
JAC |
0-27 |
JAC |
| 2004 |
8 |
2004-10-31 |
JAC |
HOU |
6-20 |
HOU |
| 2004 |
16 |
2004-12-26 |
HOU |
JAC |
21-0 |
HOU |
| 2005 |
9 |
2005-11-06 |
HOU |
JAC |
14-21 |
JAC |
| 2005 |
16 |
2005-12-24 |
JAC |
HOU |
38-20 |
JAC |
| 2006 |
7 |
2006-10-22 |
JAC |
HOU |
7-27 |
HOU |
| 2006 |
10 |
2006-11-12 |
HOU |
JAC |
13-10 |
HOU |
| 2007 |
6 |
2007-10-14 |
HOU |
JAC |
17-37 |
JAC |
| 2007 |
17 |
2007-12-30 |
JAC |
HOU |
28-42 |
HOU |
| 2008 |
4 |
2008-09-28 |
HOU |
JAC |
27-30 |
JAC |
| 2008 |
13 |
2008-12-01 |
JAC |
HOU |
17-30 |
HOU |
| 2009 |
3 |
2009-09-27 |
JAC |
HOU |
31-24 |
JAC |
| 2009 |
13 |
2009-12-06 |
HOU |
JAC |
18-23 |
JAC |
| 2010 |
10 |
2010-11-14 |
HOU |
JAC |
24-31 |
JAC |
| 2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
JAC |
HOU |
17-34 |
HOU |
| 2011 |
8 |
2011-10-30 |
JAC |
HOU |
14-24 |
HOU |
| 2011 |
12 |
2011-11-27 |
HOU |
JAC |
20-13 |
HOU |
| 2012 |
2 |
2012-09-16 |
HOU |
JAC |
27-7 |
HOU |
| 2012 |
11 |
2012-11-18 |
JAC |
HOU |
37-43 |
HOU |
| 2013 |
12 |
2013-11-24 |
JAC |
HOU |
13-6 |
JAC |
| 2013 |
14 |
2013-12-05 |
HOU |
JAC |
20-27 |
JAC |
| 2014 |
14 |
2014-12-07 |
HOU |
JAC |
27-13 |
HOU |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
|
