At the Buzz, we’ll review the week in fantasy football and
draw some conclusions that will hopefully launch you into a greater
understanding of what is taking place across the league. So, let’s
dive in to the ten biggest fantasy stories from Week 1…
Sammy Watkins, DeAndre Hopkins and now
A.J. Green have torched Darrelle Revis in recent memory.
Revis Island Isn’t Such a Bad Place
After All
There was a day when lining up across from Darrelle
Revis was the kiss of death for fantasy production, even for
the best of wide receivers. That day may not be done, but A.J.
Green certainly did major damage to the concept and then some
with 12 catches for 180 yards and a TD. Maybe Green’s performance
says more about his abilities than those of Revis at this point,
but NFL coaches will study the film and I will be surprised if
we don’t see more big days vs. Revis if his safeties don’t rotate
over to help. I thought the loss of Marvin
Jones and Mohamed
Sanu would hurt Green’s chances of being a top-five WR this
season. For one week at least, it just meant a lot of targets
(13) and tremendous production. Up next on “Revis Island”: Sammy
Watkins (Wk 2), Jeremy
Maclin (Wk 3), Doug
Baldwin (Wk 4).
All Is Not Peachy For Freeman Owners
The warnings were there this off-season. Beware of drafting Devonta
Freeman with the expectation that 2016 was going to be a repeat
of 2015. And yet, most owners who saw Freeman available in the
second round of fantasy redrafts selected him to be their primary
running back. After Week 1, that is looking like a huge mistake.
Tevin
Coleman outgained Freeman (117-40) and nearly out-touched
him as well (15-13). Particularly telling was Coleman’s 95 receiving
yards- a medium of production that helped launch Freeman into
fantasy stud status last season. Many forgot that Tevin Coleman
was hurt much of 2015 and never got his footing in the offense.
Unless he gets hurt again this season, this looks like a timeshare
that has the potential to ultimately tip in Coleman’s favor given
his prowess on Sunday in the passing game. Trading Freeman at
this point probably isn’t viable, so try to trade a player at
another position to bolster your RBs if Freeman is indeed your
top guy.
New Orleans and Indianapolis: Fantasy
Boomtowns
What do Drew
Brees and Andrew
Luck have in common besides the two biggest QB performances
of Week 1? They both feel the need to keep the pedal down constantly
on offense to overcome their historically bad defenses. If you
think Jalen
Richard, Ameer
Abdullah, and Theo
Riddick will continue to produce the kind of numbers they
put up on Sunday, you’re not paying attention. The Saints and
Colts can’t stop anybody. That’s great news for Brees and Luck
owners as they project to be the top fantasy QBs to own going
forward. And, guys like Brandin
Cooks (6-143-2), Willie
Snead (9-172-1), Donte
Moncrief (6-64-1), and Phillip
Dorsett (4-94) will continue to ride the tidal wave. Start
em’ all next week. Heck, even Jack
Doyle is worth picking up this week as your backup tight end.
Hitch your wagon to these two offenses- particularly when they’re
playing at home. Week 1 is the just the beginning.
Dazed and Confused in San Diego
For nearly one full half, the entire world seemed right in San
Diego. The Chargers’ offense was clicking on all cylinders with
Melvin
Gordon (finally) scoring touchdowns and Keenan
Allen routinely giving defenders fits to the tune of six first-half
catches. And, then…it all came crashing down. Allen’s season-ending
ACL injury is bad news for all San Diego skill position players
except maybe Danny
Woodhead. Woodhead could be a PPR monster again this year,
but to an even greater degree after notching 120 yards on 21 touches
Sunday. That’s nearly as many touches as Melvin Gordon had snaps
(23). Philip
Rivers stands to lose out the most, though, as without Allen,
he’ll have trouble working underneath. Travis
Benjamin’s role as a field-stretcher will be largely unchanged.
If Rivers is your starter, you better start making alternative
arrangements. The Chargers averaged 24 points per game last season
with Allen on the field, 16 points with Allen on the sidelines.
If Allen was someone you were counting on in 2016, you have the
Buzz’s sincerest condolences.
Meet the New Boss, Same as the Old
Boss
Matt
Forte kept slipping in redraft leagues during August as rumors
swelled pertaining to his usage in the Big Apple. Turns out (at
least for one week) that those rumors were poppycock. Forte’s
27 touches for 155 total yards looked a whole lot like what he
did in Chicago for many years and should put to rest the notion
that he’s anything less than a borderline RB 1/2 moving forward.
Brandon
Marshall and Eric
Decker are so good in the red zone that Forte’s TD numbers
still project low given that reality. But, to say that he’s part
of a timeshare is laughable given his production this past weekend.
Help! I Burned a First-Round Pick
on Dez Bryant
The above is the kindest possible statement being made this Tuesday
morning by those who got burned counting on Dez
Bryant on Sunday (1 catch, 8 yards). Bryant nearly caught
a TD pass, but that is of little consolation to the fantasy owner
who started Bryant thinking he had the upper hand against the
owner starting Jordan
Matthews or Mike
Wallace. To Dak
Prescott’s credit, he was a good game manager and didn’t force
the issue downfield against the Giants. While that’s good from
a real-world football perspective, it was and could continue to
be very damaging to Bryant’s prospects in the weeks to come. Dallas
will no doubt do everything in its power to get Bryant the ball
early and often in Week 2, but will that desire be enough to produce
favorable results? Color us skeptical here at the Buzz of Bryant’s
value moving forward. Keep starting him, but adjust your expectations
until Tony
Romo returns (if he returns).
It Was a Great Weekend for Zero-RB
Strategists
Spencer
Ware (199 total yards, 1 TD) and Theo
Riddick (108 total yards, 2 TDs) were available very late
in most redraft leagues. C.J.
Anderson on the other hand, carried a steeper price tag, but
if you picked him to be your starter at the position, you probably
began your draft by snagging two top wide receivers. And this
morning…you look like a genius. Add in Danny
Woodhead (16-85; 5-31-1), Ameer
Abdullah (12-63; 5-57-1), T.J.
Yeldon (21-39-1; 4-30) and you’ve got a mountain of evidence
against burning an early pick on a running back. How do you feel
this morning if you selected Adrian
Peterson in the first round instead of A.J.
Green? Or, if you chose Eddie
Lacy in the second when you could have had Brandin
Cooks? Maybe Week 2 will be a rebound week for the highly
touted rushers, but we’re not betting on it. Those who went WR-WR
in the first two rounds are smiling on this day…unless they took
Dez
Bryant and Brandon
Marshall with those picks.
It Was a Bad Weekend for Tight Ends
Unless you started one of the tight ends that Andrew
Luck throws to, you were probably disappointed in the production
you received from the position. Coby
Fleener registered one short catch. Gary
Barnidge managed one less than that. Delanie
Walker (3-42) had a quiet day. Martellus
Bennett only caught 3 balls for 14 yards with Rob
Gronkowski sitting it out. Tight ends have played a major
role in the storylines for Week 1 the past couple of seasons.
Not the case this time around. Is it a trend? Only time will tell.
Houston, We Have a Problem...Or Do
We?
The answer to that question depends on whether you're a DeAndre
Hopkins owner or perhaps took a late-round flier on rookie
Will
Fuller. Hopkins benefited last season from having very little
help on the other side of the field in the sense that he became
an absolute target monster (192). But, 2016 is shaping up to be
a different year with Fuller in the mix. He recorded 5 catches
for 107 yards and a TD on Sunday and it could have been even more
if he hadn't dropped another sure-TD after blowing by the defense.
Fuller's speed is proving to be hard to handle for defenses. His
emergence bodes well for the fantasy value of Brock
Osweiler...but could continue to harm the value of Hopkins.
Monday Night Steeler Steamroller
DeAngelo
Williams partied like it was early season 2015 all over again
netting 171 yards and 2 TDs. Big Ben (300-3) and Antonio
Brown (8-126-2) weren't too shabby, either. Despite his fluky
touchdown, Eli
Rogers (6-59-1) is going to be a thing after winning the slot
role during camp and has a good chance to finish the season as
the Steelers No.2 fantasy wideout ahead of Sammie
Coates and Markus
Wheaton. The Steelers have a better defense than New Orleans
and Indianapolis, so they won't be in shoot-outs every week. But,
as Monday night proved, they've got a different gear than all
other teams, and it's fun to watch if you're an owner of one of
their stars...terrifying to watch if your opponent has ownership.
That's a wrap for the Buzz this week. Until next Tuesday...