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Kirk Hollis | Archive | Email  
Staff Writer


Tuesday Morning Buzz
Fantasy Headlines from Week 1
9/13/16

At the Buzz, we’ll review the week in fantasy football and draw some conclusions that will hopefully launch you into a greater understanding of what is taking place across the league. So, let’s dive in to the ten biggest fantasy stories from Week 1…

Darrelle Revis

Sammy Watkins, DeAndre Hopkins and now A.J. Green have torched Darrelle Revis in recent memory.

Revis Island Isn’t Such a Bad Place After All

There was a day when lining up across from Darrelle Revis was the kiss of death for fantasy production, even for the best of wide receivers. That day may not be done, but A.J. Green certainly did major damage to the concept and then some with 12 catches for 180 yards and a TD. Maybe Green’s performance says more about his abilities than those of Revis at this point, but NFL coaches will study the film and I will be surprised if we don’t see more big days vs. Revis if his safeties don’t rotate over to help. I thought the loss of Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu would hurt Green’s chances of being a top-five WR this season. For one week at least, it just meant a lot of targets (13) and tremendous production. Up next on “Revis Island”: Sammy Watkins (Wk 2), Jeremy Maclin (Wk 3), Doug Baldwin (Wk 4).

All Is Not Peachy For Freeman Owners

The warnings were there this off-season. Beware of drafting Devonta Freeman with the expectation that 2016 was going to be a repeat of 2015. And yet, most owners who saw Freeman available in the second round of fantasy redrafts selected him to be their primary running back. After Week 1, that is looking like a huge mistake. Tevin Coleman outgained Freeman (117-40) and nearly out-touched him as well (15-13). Particularly telling was Coleman’s 95 receiving yards- a medium of production that helped launch Freeman into fantasy stud status last season. Many forgot that Tevin Coleman was hurt much of 2015 and never got his footing in the offense. Unless he gets hurt again this season, this looks like a timeshare that has the potential to ultimately tip in Coleman’s favor given his prowess on Sunday in the passing game. Trading Freeman at this point probably isn’t viable, so try to trade a player at another position to bolster your RBs if Freeman is indeed your top guy.

New Orleans and Indianapolis: Fantasy Boomtowns

What do Drew Brees and Andrew Luck have in common besides the two biggest QB performances of Week 1? They both feel the need to keep the pedal down constantly on offense to overcome their historically bad defenses. If you think Jalen Richard, Ameer Abdullah, and Theo Riddick will continue to produce the kind of numbers they put up on Sunday, you’re not paying attention. The Saints and Colts can’t stop anybody. That’s great news for Brees and Luck owners as they project to be the top fantasy QBs to own going forward. And, guys like Brandin Cooks (6-143-2), Willie Snead (9-172-1), Donte Moncrief (6-64-1), and Phillip Dorsett (4-94) will continue to ride the tidal wave. Start em’ all next week. Heck, even Jack Doyle is worth picking up this week as your backup tight end. Hitch your wagon to these two offenses- particularly when they’re playing at home. Week 1 is the just the beginning.

Dazed and Confused in San Diego

For nearly one full half, the entire world seemed right in San Diego. The Chargers’ offense was clicking on all cylinders with Melvin Gordon (finally) scoring touchdowns and Keenan Allen routinely giving defenders fits to the tune of six first-half catches. And, then…it all came crashing down. Allen’s season-ending ACL injury is bad news for all San Diego skill position players except maybe Danny Woodhead. Woodhead could be a PPR monster again this year, but to an even greater degree after notching 120 yards on 21 touches Sunday. That’s nearly as many touches as Melvin Gordon had snaps (23). Philip Rivers stands to lose out the most, though, as without Allen, he’ll have trouble working underneath. Travis Benjamin’s role as a field-stretcher will be largely unchanged. If Rivers is your starter, you better start making alternative arrangements. The Chargers averaged 24 points per game last season with Allen on the field, 16 points with Allen on the sidelines. If Allen was someone you were counting on in 2016, you have the Buzz’s sincerest condolences.

Meet the New Boss, Same as the Old Boss

Matt Forte kept slipping in redraft leagues during August as rumors swelled pertaining to his usage in the Big Apple. Turns out (at least for one week) that those rumors were poppycock. Forte’s 27 touches for 155 total yards looked a whole lot like what he did in Chicago for many years and should put to rest the notion that he’s anything less than a borderline RB 1/2 moving forward. Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker are so good in the red zone that Forte’s TD numbers still project low given that reality. But, to say that he’s part of a timeshare is laughable given his production this past weekend.

Help! I Burned a First-Round Pick on Dez Bryant

The above is the kindest possible statement being made this Tuesday morning by those who got burned counting on Dez Bryant on Sunday (1 catch, 8 yards). Bryant nearly caught a TD pass, but that is of little consolation to the fantasy owner who started Bryant thinking he had the upper hand against the owner starting Jordan Matthews or Mike Wallace. To Dak Prescott’s credit, he was a good game manager and didn’t force the issue downfield against the Giants. While that’s good from a real-world football perspective, it was and could continue to be very damaging to Bryant’s prospects in the weeks to come. Dallas will no doubt do everything in its power to get Bryant the ball early and often in Week 2, but will that desire be enough to produce favorable results? Color us skeptical here at the Buzz of Bryant’s value moving forward. Keep starting him, but adjust your expectations until Tony Romo returns (if he returns).

It Was a Great Weekend for Zero-RB Strategists

Spencer Ware (199 total yards, 1 TD) and Theo Riddick (108 total yards, 2 TDs) were available very late in most redraft leagues. C.J. Anderson on the other hand, carried a steeper price tag, but if you picked him to be your starter at the position, you probably began your draft by snagging two top wide receivers. And this morning…you look like a genius. Add in Danny Woodhead (16-85; 5-31-1), Ameer Abdullah (12-63; 5-57-1), T.J. Yeldon (21-39-1; 4-30) and you’ve got a mountain of evidence against burning an early pick on a running back. How do you feel this morning if you selected Adrian Peterson in the first round instead of A.J. Green? Or, if you chose Eddie Lacy in the second when you could have had Brandin Cooks? Maybe Week 2 will be a rebound week for the highly touted rushers, but we’re not betting on it. Those who went WR-WR in the first two rounds are smiling on this day…unless they took Dez Bryant and Brandon Marshall with those picks.

It Was a Bad Weekend for Tight Ends

Unless you started one of the tight ends that Andrew Luck throws to, you were probably disappointed in the production you received from the position. Coby Fleener registered one short catch. Gary Barnidge managed one less than that. Delanie Walker (3-42) had a quiet day. Martellus Bennett only caught 3 balls for 14 yards with Rob Gronkowski sitting it out. Tight ends have played a major role in the storylines for Week 1 the past couple of seasons. Not the case this time around. Is it a trend? Only time will tell.

Houston, We Have a Problem...Or Do We?

The answer to that question depends on whether you're a DeAndre Hopkins owner or perhaps took a late-round flier on rookie Will Fuller. Hopkins benefited last season from having very little help on the other side of the field in the sense that he became an absolute target monster (192). But, 2016 is shaping up to be a different year with Fuller in the mix. He recorded 5 catches for 107 yards and a TD on Sunday and it could have been even more if he hadn't dropped another sure-TD after blowing by the defense. Fuller's speed is proving to be hard to handle for defenses. His emergence bodes well for the fantasy value of Brock Osweiler...but could continue to harm the value of Hopkins.

Monday Night Steeler Steamroller

DeAngelo Williams partied like it was early season 2015 all over again netting 171 yards and 2 TDs. Big Ben (300-3) and Antonio Brown (8-126-2) weren't too shabby, either. Despite his fluky touchdown, Eli Rogers (6-59-1) is going to be a thing after winning the slot role during camp and has a good chance to finish the season as the Steelers No.2 fantasy wideout ahead of Sammie Coates and Markus Wheaton. The Steelers have a better defense than New Orleans and Indianapolis, so they won't be in shoot-outs every week. But, as Monday night proved, they've got a different gear than all other teams, and it's fun to watch if you're an owner of one of their stars...terrifying to watch if your opponent has ownership.

That's a wrap for the Buzz this week. Until next Tuesday...