The 2024 preseason has now officially come and gone. For some teams,
Week 3 was a chance to take one final look at players on the roster
bubble. But, for some teams, they used at least the first quarter
to do a dress rehearsal for the live show in less than two weeks.
It is those teams and games we will focus on in this final recap
as the fantasy football world begins its shift from prognostication
to pragmatics. Here we go!
1. New Coordinators Bring New Hope Part One: Bryce Young
In April of 2023, Carolina decided Bryce Young was a better fit
for their future than C.J. Stroud. Nearly 18 months later, that
looks like one of the worst decisions made by an NFL franchise
this decade. But Carolina has not given up on Young after just
one season and neither should you. Yes, the Panthers were awful
offensively last season, but things can change a lot in the NFL
year-to-year based on several factors.
One of those is the introduction of a new offensive coordinator.
The Panthers were one of 15 teams to make this change for 2024
by way of Brad Idzik. This weekend, Idzik and Young got to showcase
their work for the first time and the results were encouraging.
Young orchestrated a 12-play drive in which he connected with
five different receivers before finding Jordan Matthews for a
touchdown. Included in the drive was a 21-yard toss to new weapon
Diontae Johnson, and a 17-yarder to Adam Thielen. Young is a great
late-round, buy-low prospect and while it was only one drive Saturday,
he looks like a different player this pre-season.
2. New Coordinators Bring New Hope Part Two: Geno Smith
It is truly remarkable what constitutes a disappointing season
for a QB these days. In the case of Geno
Smith, 2023 saw him throw for over 3,600 yards with better
than a 2:1 TD-to-INT ratio. Still, those numbers were a far cry
from his 2022 season in which he threw for 4,300 yards, 30 TDs
and completed just short of 70% of his throws.
Smith is joining forces in 2024 with new offensive coordinator,
Ryan Grubb, and much like Young, his play this weekend was crisp
and season-ready. Smith easily has the weapons at his disposal
to be a borderline fantasy starter and those weapons include Jaxon Smith-Njigba who may be one of the biggest late-round bargains
in all of fantasy football. All in all, Smith completed 80% of
his throws in limited play and went to Smith-Njigba twice through
the air before ultimately hitting DK Metcalf for a touchdown.
Certainly, the ceiling on Smith prohibits him from being a top
8-10 QB most likely, but in this offense, his floor is solid.
He’s being sold as a low-end QB2 for fantasy purposes, but
I actually think he’s one of the best QB2 options available
on draft day.
3. Expanding Role for Evan Engram?
Just as Geno Smith
had his career year in 2022, 2023 saw numbers from tight end Evan
Engram never seen before. As in114 receptions and 963 receiving
yards on a whopping 143 targets. Engram will be hard pressed to
repeat those numbers this year, but his red zone utilization on
Friday night (2 red zone TDs) gave fantasy managers hope that
he may be able to re-create 2023 via increased trips to the end
zone. Engram has never been a red zone monster having only averaged
3.4 TDs per season over his career including just 4 last year.
But, Trevor
Lawrence clearly views him as a top option in the passing
game. And, if Friday is the beginning of a trend, Engram could
surge to top-3 status at the position.
4. Purdy Continues to Be Out of Synch
Brock Purdy’s struggles throwing interceptions in practice
this summer were probably overblown. And, while he hadn’t
looked sharp heading into preseason’s final week (2-6 in
limited action last week), it was noted that he was operating
without his usual complement of offensive stars. So, with optimistic
eyes, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle both played alongside him
on Friday and the completion percentage did improve. But, Purdy
also threw another interception - this one in actual game action.
My faith in Kyle Shanahan certainly supersedes any grave concerns
about Purdy’s play, but I do think it’s safe to wonder
if Purdy is going to be a legitimate fantasy starter at QB or
strictly a back-up. We should see some resolution to the Brandon Aiyuk issue this week, but in the meantime, approach Purdy as
your top QB option with some caution.
5. Finally, A Spark in The Steel City
I mentioned last week how much difficulty the Steelers were encountering
in the preseason as they install new offensive coordinator, Arthur
Smith’s offense. With Jaylen
Warren (hamstring) sidelined this past weekend, Smith turned
to someone familiar to get the offense jump-started in the form
of Cordarrelle
Patterson. Patterson’s 31-yard gallop to the house represented
Pittsburgh’s best offensive play of the preseason and gave notice
that while Patterson won’t out-carry Najee
Harris or Warren this season, he remains a big part of the
Steelers’ plans. For those who have bumped up expectations for
Harris after Warren’s injury, remember that Patterson is lurking
in this offense. And, as Arthur Smith has shown in the past, he’s
not bashful about using him early and sometimes often in games.
6. Akers Not Ready to Fade into the Sunset
This time last year, Cam Akers was being taken in the late-third
and early-fourth rounds of redrafts as a solid RB2 for fantasy
purposes. But, after averaging 1.3 yards per carry with the Rams
to open the season, he was traded to Minnesota where he didn’t
fare much better. Most probably wrote Akers (Achilles x2) off
as a result of what transpired, but he was given a new chance
this offseason by joining the Houston Texans. After all, the Texans’
No.2 RB last year, Dameon Pierce, had an equally forgettable season
and was ripe to be overtaken for change of pace duties behind
presumed starter, Joe Mixon. Akers carried the ball 7 times this
week for 53 yards and added 19 additional yards on 3 receptions.
Altogether, Akers gained well over 100 yards this preseason on
24 carries and caught eight balls also including a TD catch. Whether
Akers makes the Texans’ final roster this week is still
up in the air, but he probably showed enough that he’ll
get a shot somewhere else if Houston cuts him loose. If he makes
the team, I think he likely leapfrogs Pierce and becomes Mixon’s
handcuff.
7. Richardson Ready for a Re-Launch
One of the most exciting, but also disappointing aspects of 2023
was the meteoric rise of Anthony Richardson before a shoulder
injury ultimately shut him down for the season. And while Richardson
did play briefly in Week 1 of the preseason, his play in the preseason’s
final week increased dramatically.
Overall, Richardson is inconsistent as an NFL passer. His completion
percentage last year prior to the injury was under 60% and he
was 8-14 in this weekend’s action in the accuracy department.
But, he also showed on an 80-yard TD drive that culminated in
a TD throw to rookie Adonai
Mitchell that he can be electric on the field. There’s little
doubt that Richardson will be handled with kid gloves by coach
Shane Steichen to avoid another injury, but there are few things
I am more excited about witnessing in Week 1 of the regular season
than Richardson’s return to play. His floor is certainly lower
than the likes of C.J.
Stroud, Dak
Prescott, and Joe
Burrow…but, oh that ceiling!
8. Will Jerry Jeudy Get “Thrashed” In Cleveland?
It is a big stretch to suggest that after the Browns made a huge
commitment to Jerry
Jeudy, he could lose his starting job to fifth-round draft
pick Jamari
Thrash. In fact, it isn’t going to happen. But, Thrash concluded
a solid preseason this weekend with a 4-73-1 stat line and anyone
who has followed fantasy football in recent years knows that Jeudy
annually disappoints. Perhaps mentioning Thrash is only relevant
to those in dynasty leagues where the potential he flashed in
the preseason can be further explored in years to come. That said,
the Browns are an injury to Amari
Cooper away from calling all hands to the deck and Thrash
looks the part of a contributor. Just something to tuck away for
later use.
9. Levis to Ridley an Ideal Fit?
There’s a reason Will Levis was considered by some pundits
to be a potential No.1 overall pick in the 2023 draft just as
there are plenty of reasons why that didn’t come about and
he dropped out of the first round. Speaking of the former, Levis
has a big arm. Some would say he has a cannon in fact.
DeAndre Hopkins is a gifted wide receiver, even in the latter
stages of his career, but he’s more of a possession receiver
now and thus a somewhat poor fit for Levis’s skill set.
Calvin Ridley is not that type of receiver. On the second drive
of the night for Levis (the first ended in a TD rush by Tony Pollard
after a methodical 84-yard drive), Levis connected with Ridley
deep downfield for a 33-yard gain. Watching it live, it was hard
not to notice how well the two players fit together in terms of
strengths. In the previous drive, Levis also found Titan newcomer
Tyler Boyd downfield for a 20+ yard gain.
As far as fantasy production is concerned, Levis appears to be
an inconsistent prospect at this point who will struggle with
elite defenses much as he did last season. But there’s little
doubt that his supporting cast has improved dramatically and I
think in a non-PPR league, Ridley may be of one of the biggest
surprises of the 2024 season. Together, he and Levis look like
a duo who truly belong together.
10. Drake Show Forthcoming?
Jacoby Brissett hurt his throwing shoulder in the first quarter
of last night’s game which meant an early exit and an early
entry for first round draft pick, Drake Maye. Considering the
Patriot way is to be coy with injuries, we may not know by press
time if the injury was of any real consequence or not. Coach Mayo
said afterwards Brissett could’ve returned to the game.
What we can tell you is that Maye came in and looked the most
comfortable he has at any point in the preseason despite a couple
of botched snaps right off the bat. The TD drive he orchestrated
(88 yards) came about as Maye completed passes to four different
receivers and also scrambled 17 yards for a key first down. The
next few drives were uneventful, but then Maye hit K.J. Osborn
with a 48-yard dart for a TD just before halftime. Unfortunately,
the play was nullified due to a penalty, but Maye’s abilities
were apparent.
This is going to be one of the league’s worst offenses,
but don’t expect Maye to sit for long this year even if
Brissett starts Week 1. Even bad offenses guided by rookies can
be garbage time gold. If you can roster a third QB, Maye makes
the top of the list of guys to consider.