| One reason why the NFL Draft seemed like it lacked fantasy star 
              power was because the month-plus leading up to it had no shortage 
              of big names. No fewer than seven players who have recently been 
              drafted in the first 3-4 rounds of fantasy drafts changed teams 
              in the offseason, with most of them departures improving their fantasy 
              situations as a result.
 The NFL is a constantly-evolving machine. Very little stays the 
                same from year to year, but as fantasy owners, we almost need 
                to assume some situations will remain static so we can make reasonable 
                guesses about how the new (rookies) and old (free agents) players 
                fit into their current situations. After all, if we treat the 
                players whose situations remain pretty much the same from the 
                previous year as constants, then it is the ability to predict 
                the variables (such as how the players adapt to their new environment 
                and the positive/negative impact they can have on the constants) 
                that can sometimes determine which fantasy owners excel and which 
                ones do not. So far, I have provided my thoughts about the incoming rookie 
                class (11-20) and (1-10). 
                In the coming weeks, we’ll move on to the two-part Early 
                Observations phase of my Preseason Matchup Analysis series. 
                After that, we’ll revisit each teams’ red-zone activity 
                in Red Zone Report and 
                break down how often opportunity really leads to success in Opportunity 
                Breeds Success. Then the fun really begins as we tackle two 
                divisions at a time as all the hard work leads to the projection 
                half of my PMA series. But for now, let’s turn our attention back to old faces 
                in new places. (The players will be separated initially by position 
                then ordered by likely “impact” in 2013): QB 
                Carson Palmer 2012 Team: Oakland
 2013 Team: Arizona
 Fantasy Analysis: Arizona is typically 
                a hotspot for people ready to retire, but the Cardinals are hoping 
                to put off Palmer’s walk by into the sunset at least 2-3 years 
                after trading for him in April. Statistically, the former No. 
                1 overall pick had his finest season since 2007, but so much of 
                his production in 2012 was inflated by garbage-time production 
                that it is really difficult to say he was as good as his numbers 
                suggest he was. (Palmer threw for 4,018 yards, 22 touchdowns and 
                14 interceptions last season. Of those totals: 2,972 yards, 20 
                TDs and 11 INTs were accumulated when Oakland trailed.) To his 
                credit, Palmer did appear to be healthier than he had been in 
                years; his arm strength was better in Oakland than it was at any 
                point since he suffered his elbow injury in Cincinnati. In new 
                HC Bruce Arians’ vertical-based offense, his deep ball will need 
                to be every bit as good as Arians believes it is. (Arians recently 
                told Yahoo! Sports that Palmer is “"as pretty a deep-ball thrower 
                as I've ever seen”.) Palmer will have arguably his deepest, most 
                talented group of receivers and tight ends to work with in his 
                career, so a Kurt Warner-like, late-career resurgence is not totally 
                out of the question. However, he’ll need Arizona’s beleaguered 
                offensive line to improve dramatically – not a given despite the 
                selections of guards Jonathan Cooper and Earl Watford in the draft. 
                With the quarterback position experiencing something of a youth 
                movement over the past year or two – and thereby adding to the 
                quality fantasy QB1 options in fantasy – Palmer should be targeted 
                as a high-upside QB2 in redraft leagues this summer.  QB 
                Alex Smith2012 Team: San Francisco
 2013 Team: Kansas City
 Fantasy Analysis: After experiencing six mostly disappointing 
                years (with more play callers than any quarterback should have 
                in his career) in San Francisco, Smith enjoyed a renaissance under 
                HC Jim Harbaugh and OC Greg Roman in 2011. Under Harbaugh and 
                Roman, Smith went from a turnover-prone player to a signal-caller 
                worthy of making consistently good decisions with the football. 
                Although he’ll be attempting to learn yet another offensive 
                system, Smith will benefit by playing for another pass-friendly 
                coach in Andy Reid, who succeeded with quarterbacks less talented 
                than Smith in Philadelphia. Reid, who has openly stated his love 
                for the passing game on several occasions, is unlikely to go against 
                his pass-heavy roots. However, Reid’s willingness to bring 
                in offensive consultant Chris Ault (the creator of the “Pistol” 
                formation) and embrace the up-tempo approach sweeping through 
                the NFL are signs he is willing to adapt. Smith has yet to throw 
                for more than 18 TDs in a season and isn’t a strong bet 
                to do so in 2013, but if there is one coach who can coax that 
                kind of production out of him, it might be Reid. Smith will have 
                very good skill-position players such as Jamaal Charles and Dwayne 
                Bowe to lean on and his ability to run will help his value, but 
                he still faces an uphill climb to be anything more than a mid-level 
                fantasy QB2 this season.  
                  Situation and talent should allow SJax 
                    to finish among the top 10 fantasy running backs this season. RB 
                Steven Jackson2012 Team: St. Louis
 2013 Team: Atlanta
 Fantasy Analysis: Few, if any teams, did more to improve themselves 
                at one position during free agency than the Falcons when they 
                signed Jackson. Michael Turner showed serious signs of decline 
                in 2011 and had no “Burner” left in him in 2012. Although 
                Jackson is only about 1 ½ years younger than Turner, the 
                ex-Ram seems like a good bet to be productive throughout most 
                – if not all – of his new three-year contract. Jackson 
                hasn’t caught fewer than 38 passes – exactly twice 
                the career-high 19 receptions Turner recorded last season – 
                since becoming a full-time back in 2005 and will have the benefit 
                of facing seven in the box on a regular basis for the first time 
                in his career. Jackson is no longer the size-speed dynamo he used 
                to be and will turn 30 in July, but has consistently produced 
                a solid yards-per-carry average playing behind an abysmal offensive 
                line in St. Louis. It’s also quite likely that with Jackson’s 
                receiving prowess, Jacquizz Rodgers will play a reduced role in 
                the offense once again. Motivated to make the playoffs for the 
                first time since his rookie season in 2004, Jackson could easily 
                push his career high for rushing scores (13 in 2006), which is 
                hardly a stretch considering Turner had 10 in 2012. Jackson’s 
                slightly declining numbers, career workload and age might push 
                him into the RB2 discussion in redraft leagues this summer, but 
                his situation and talent level should allow him to finish among 
                the top 10 running backs in fantasy this season.   RB 
                Reggie Bush2012 Team: Miami
 2013 Team: Detroit
 Fantasy Analysis: With Jahvid Best facing long odds to return 
                to the field, the Lions found their passing-game complement to 
                Mikel Leshoure in Bush. Although HC Jim Schwartz has suggested 
                Bush would be used like he was in New Orleans, it would be mildly 
                surprising if Bush doesn’t become more than just a “satellite 
                back”. The No. 2 overall pick in the 2006 draft averaged 
                58.8 receptions with the Saints despite playing only 12 games 
                per season, making Schwartz’s prediction that Bush could 
                catch as many as 80 balls for Detroit in 2013 a pretty realistic 
                ceiling. Playing on turf once again, Bush will have to prove his 
                knees can hold up as well as they did on the grass in Miami, but 
                that would seem to be about the only real obstacle he has to overcome 
                to be the dynamic PPR player that Best could/should/would have 
                become in this offense. It should come as no surprise that if 
                the 28-year-old stays healthy all season, he should be able to 
                collect at least 175 carries in addition to all those receptions, 
                totals that should give him more than enough opportunity to be 
                a solid RB2 in standard leagues and a top 10 candidate in PPR 
                formats.  RB 
                Rashard Mendenhall2012 Team: Pittsburgh
 2013 Team: Arizona
 Fantasy Analysis: More than anything, Mendenhall picked a bad 
                time to get hurt. First of all, he tore his ACL in Week 17 of 
                the 2011 season, meaning he had to enter his contract year far 
                less than 100%. Secondly, he had the misfortune of suffering the 
                same kind of injury as Adrian Peterson, who merely raised the 
                bar on ACL rehabs impossibly high by nearly breaking the single-season 
                rushing mark the year after he underwent his knee surgery. Mendenhall 
                will never be mistaken for a special talent, but he’ll get 
                a chance to re-establish himself as a feature back with the Cardinals 
                under new HC Bruce Arians, who served as his play-caller in Pittsburgh. 
                As any serious fantasy owner likely remembers, Arizona was so 
                awful on offense that it made Larry Fitzgerald nearly irrelevant. 
                The Cardinals can’t be expected to turn that around in one 
                year, but the addition of Palmer at quarterback and Cooper to 
                the offensive line through the draft (plus better luck in the 
                health department up front) should allow Mendenhall to reclaim 
                the same kind of fantasy value he enjoyed as a Steeler for a coach 
                who believes in him as a three-down back. With so many teams using 
                the committee approach at running back, fantasy owners need to 
                keep an eye out for any player at the position that is a realistic 
                threat for 250-300 touches. Mendenhall is one of those players 
                and, as a result, he should be a fine RB2 in fantasy if he proves 
                to be all the way back from his injury.  RB 
                Chris Ivory2012 Team: New Orleans
 2013 Team: New York Jets
 Fantasy Analysis: Few players in recent memory have captured 
                the imagination of their team’s fan base and been rewarded 
                with less playing time than Ivory in his three years with the 
                New Orleans Saints. One of the most physical runners in the NFL, 
                Ivory had the misfortune of being an injury-prone “hammer” 
                for a team that used a first-round pick (Mark Ingram) to do the 
                same thing in one of the most prolific passing attacks the league 
                has ever seen. It is quite possible that Jets new GM John Idzik, 
                who came over from Seattle, identified Ivory as the back he needed 
                to bring the same kind of physicality the Seahawks got when they 
                traded for Marshawn Lynch. Although Ivory has played in 24 games 
                and received 259 touches in his NFL career, he has only three 
                catches to his credit. Furthermore, his running style is so violent 
                that he is a good bet to spend a fair amount of time in the trainers’ 
                room – one of the main reasons he was unable to ever make 
                a serious move up the Saints’ depth chart. Like most of 
                the other rushers above him on this list, Ivory has very little 
                in the way of real competition for touches. Unlike the other backs, 
                the Jets’ offense is lacking in talent. Combined with his 
                lack of receiving ability and propensity for injury, Ivory should 
                probably be considered a strong flex option in PPR leagues and 
                low-end RB2 in standard leagues.   RB 
                Shonn Greene2012 Team: New York Jets
 2013 Team: Tennessee
 Fantasy Analysis: One of the few backs in recent year to carry 
                the “feature-back” tag in recent years – and 
                seemingly disappoint every one of his owners in the process – 
                took his show on the road to Tennessee, where the Titans hope 
                he will reprise the role LenDale White used to have. Tennessee 
                defended the signing by suggesting Greene is a big back that will 
                help the team in goal-line and short-yardage situations, but the 
                former Jet has rarely ever played with the power expected out 
                of a 5-11, 226-pound back. HC Mike Munchak suggested Greene reminded 
                him somewhat of Eddie George, but OC Dowell Loggains has stated 
                publicly that he expects his new back to serve only in a change-of-pace 
                role. Greene’s saving grace could come in the form of his 
                offensive line, which has a chance to be one of the more talented 
                in the league if it can stay healthy this season. Greene has virtually 
                no shot to come anywhere close to White’s memorable 2008 
                season (200 carries and 15 TDs), but 75% of the workload and perhaps 
                a third the scoring sounds realistic enough. As is the case with 
                most backup running backs, Greene figures to have more value to 
                Chris Johnson owners than those hoping to strike it rich with 
                a late-round pick at the running back position.  WR 
                Mike Wallace 2012 Team: Pittsburgh
 2013 Team: Miami
 Fantasy Analysis: In an odd twist of fate, Wallace was used less 
                as a deep threat last season in Pittsburgh while Ryan Tannehill 
                emerged as one of the more accurate deep-ball (attempts 20+ yards 
                downfield) passers per Pro Football Focus (43.1 % was good for 
                seventh in the NFL, which was better than Matthew Stafford and 
                Andrew Luck among others) despite having only Brian Hartline to 
                throw to in those situations. With Wallace the clear WR1 in Miami 
                and the team fashioning itself as a contender, the Dolphins figure 
                to get their money’s worth out of one of this free agency 
                market’s big prizes. Wallace was forced to become more of 
                a short- and intermediate-receiver in OC Todd Haley’s offense 
                with Pittsburgh in 2012 – an experience that figures to 
                serve him well this season and beyond since Hartline doesn’t 
                command the same kind of respect that Hines Ward and Antonio Brown 
                have throughout Wallace’s career. Still, deep balls and 
                big plays are almost certain to remain Wallace’s bread-and-butter 
                while Hartline and Dustin Keller focus more on moving the chains. 
                Few receivers have the kind of speed to burn defenses that scheme 
                to eliminate deep throws, but Wallace is one of those players. 
                Entering the prime of his career (will turn 27 in August), Wallace 
                is a solid bet to have a career year across the board. In fantasy, 
                he should make for a top-end WR2 who could serve as an owner’s 
                WR1 should he/she load up at other positions first and wait a 
                bit on receivers.  WR 
                Percy Harvin2012 Team: Minnesota
 2013 Team: Seattle
 Fantasy Analysis: For most of the early part of Harvin’s 
                career, he was labeled as an injury risk in part due to migraines, 
                which he has been able to overcome once it was discovered he was 
                dealing with sleep apnea. Over the past two seasons, he went from 
                “injury-prone” to “malcontent” (regarding 
                his contract situation), which helped expedite his exit from the 
                Vikings. Fantasy owners will be quick to cite Harvin’s versatility, 
                familiarity with OC Darrell Bevell and the fact that he is going 
                to a team in Seattle with superior quarterback play, but the Seahawks 
                are unlikely to throw the ball much more than they did last year 
                (536 rushes vs. 405 pass attempts) since Seattle should be playing 
                with the lead more often than not. Harvin may also get some touches 
                out of the backfield over the course of the season, but the Seahawks 
                have an embarrassment of riches at running back, so those opportunities 
                figure to be limited. None of this is to say that Harvin won’t 
                still be a WR1-caliber receiver in PPR leagues, but rather that 
                it seems unlikely he’ll maintain the same level of fantasy 
                value he enjoyed last season before his ankle injury. Instead, 
                he’s a better bet to settle in slightly above the level 
                he produced at in Bevell’s final season in Minnesota (5.1 
                catches, 70 yards from scrimmage and .43 touchdowns per game). 
                Over a full 16-game season, that works to 82 receptions for 1,120 
                scrimmage yards and six TDs – acceptable numbers for a low-end 
                fantasy WR1 or top-end WR2.  WR 
                Greg Jennings2012 Team: Green Bay
 2013 Team: Minnesota
 Fantasy Analysis: If Jennings can simply post the numbers for 
                the Vikings this that he accumulated against them in 14 career 
                games (64 catches, 957 yards and 10 TDs), Minnesota will likely 
                have no issue with the five-year, $45 M contract it handed him 
                this offseason. Jennings will move into the “Z” receiver 
                (flanker) opening that was created when Harvin was traded to Seattle. 
                To say the least, it is an interesting landing spot for Jennings, 
                who goes from one of the top options in pass-happy Green Bay’s 
                offense to the only proven wideout with the run-heavy Vikings. 
                Harvin generated 79 targets in eight full games before getting 
                hurt last season and, like his predecessor, Jennings is equally 
                adept at working outside the hashes or in the slot. In other words, 
                Jennings can expect to be busy as long as he can hold up (13 games 
                in 2011, but only eight in 2012). However, Jennings is almost 
                five years older and isn’t the same kind of dynamic runner 
                after the catch as the 25-year-old Harvin – two qualities 
                which figure to make him less attractive in fantasy than the new 
                Seahawk. Jennings will also have raw but talented rookie Cordarrelle 
                Patterson opposite him at some point while Kyle Rudolph will likely 
                be more consistent with another year under his belt – two 
                things that really helped Harvin pad his target totals last season. 
                Durability figures to be the biggest question Jennings needs to 
                answer since he will be the clear No. 1 option in the passing 
                game if healthy. A top 15-20 finish at his position is easily 
                achievable for him in PPR and standard formats if he plays 16 
                games.   WR 
                Anquan Boldin2012 Team: Baltimore
 2013 Team: San Francisco
 Fantasy Analysis: Perhaps no player saw his stock skyrocket more 
                this offseason than Boldin, who was reportedly on the verge of 
                a release from the Baltimore Ravens due to his $6 M base salary. 
                Just over two months later, Boldin became the Niners’ de 
                facto lead receiver in the wake of Michael Crabtree’s Achilles’ 
                injury, which will likely cost him most – if not all – 
                of the 2013 season. The Sacramento Bee reported in late May that 
                Boldin – who will remain at the flanker position while a 
                host of receivers vie for Crabtree’s split-end opening – 
                was the top target for all of the Niners’ quarterbacks during 
                mini-camp, even ahead of Vernon Davis. While no one should expect 
                Boldin to pick up where Crabtree left off, Boldin has a wonderful 
                opportunity to turn back the clock for a year. Although he is 
                entering his age-33 year and creates very little separation, Boldin 
                showed he was still a more-than-capable receiver as he put the 
                Ravens’ offense on his back at times during their Super 
                Bowl run. In San Francisco, he joins an offense led by Colin Kaepernick 
                and Frank Gore that makes defenses respect the run to the point 
                where Boldin is unlikely to ever see double coverage. It’s 
                a recipe for fantasy success, so assuming he can stay on the field 
                like he did in three years in Baltimore (three total missed games), 
                Boldin could flirt with high-end fantasy WR2 value in all leagues 
                in 2013.  WR 
                Domenik Hixon2012 Team: New York Giants
 2013 Team: Carolina
 Fantasy Analysis: There’s a pretty good chance by the time 
                fantasy drafts roll around this summer, most people will forget 
                about Hixon and even more will have no idea (or care) he landed 
                in Carolina. Hixon fought through an ankle injury and concussion 
                in 2012 after returning from two ACL tears in his right knee in 
                successive seasons. There’s not a ton of appeal for a player 
                with that kind of recent injury history, but Hixon was almost 
                guaranteed the WR3 job the moment he signed with the Panthers 
                in April. Despite some productive moments in 2012, Brandon LaFell 
                hasn’t really taken hold of the WR2 job in Carolina (44 
                catches, 677 yards, four TDs – all career highs) after three 
                years. Hixon performed well when given the opportunity to fill 
                in for an injured Hakeem Nicks last season and is a bit of a deep 
                sleeper to steal LaFell’s job and provide some sneaky WR4-WR5 
                value for owners late in their drafts. At the very least, he has 
                a shot at giving Steve Smith, Greg Olsen and Cam Newton a slight 
                boost as a receiver who can hurt a defense for not paying enough 
                attention to him. The upside is not incredibly high, but he should 
                provide quality depth on fantasy owners’ benches in 2013.  TE 
                Jared Cook2012 Team: Tennessee
 2013 Team: St. Louis
 Fantasy Analysis: A lot of coaching is about recognizing a player’s 
                strengths and putting them in a position to succeed. Former Titans 
                OC Chris Palmer deserves much of the blame for failing to get 
                the most out of Cook, who was annually underused because he never 
                evolved into a great blocker. While he was the play-caller for 
                the New York Jets, Rams OC Brian Schottenheimer utilized a similarly-skilled– 
                albeit less talented – player in Keller and managed to coax 
                a 65-catch, 815-yard, five-TD season out of him in 2011. Cook 
                is not a high-volume receiver per se (the Rams will have rookie 
                Tavon Austin for that), but he is a big-play tight end the team 
                will almost certainly use in the slot opposite Austin in four-wide 
                packages. (Based on the team’s current roster, it would 
                not be the least bit surprising if St. Louis goes four-wide on 
                a fairly regular basis.) It would also not be surprising to see 
                Cook and Brian Quick serve as the outside receivers nearly the 
                goal line (given that both players are 6-5) or to see Cook get 
                some snaps on the outside when Quick needs a rest. Cook is going 
                to get used a lot and he could easily lead the team in receiving 
                yards and touchdowns as a result. This should be the year he finally 
                realizes his low-end TE1 potential in 12-team leagues.  TE 
                Martellus Bennett2012 Team: New York Giants
 2013 Team: Chicago
 Fantasy Analysis: For the first month of last season, Bennett 
                became a fantasy stud seemingly overnight as he posted solid receiving 
                totals and scored in each of his first three games. He quickly 
                fell back down to earth once he suffered what was thought to be 
                a hyperextended knee in Week 5 but was later discovered to have 
                involved a torn capsule and bruising to the ACL and PCL. It also 
                didn’t help matters that defenses also started giving him 
                the kind of respect afforded to a player who can score in three 
                straight games. The Giants were unwilling to get into a bidding 
                war for the free agent and Bennett cashed in with Chicago, where 
                he will be used all over the field to create mismatches and stretch 
                the seam down the middle of the field in new HC Marc Trestman’s 
                offense. Bennett – one of the league’s better blockers 
                at his position – will be a three-down player and stands 
                a pretty good chance of building on the success he enjoyed for 
                parts of last season. Jay Cutler has gotten (and maybe even earned) 
                some bad press as being a one-read quarterback that a team cannot 
                count on every week. However, Bennett represents one of the pieces 
                Chicago has brought in over the past year that has given Cutler 
                as much talent as he has ever had to work with – including 
                his days in Denver, where he made Tony Scheffler a household name 
                in fantasy. Bennett has serious fantasy TE1 upside if he can remain 
                healthy.  TE 
                Dustin Keller2012 Team: New York Jets
 2013 Team: Miami
 Fantasy Analysis: With the additions of Wallace and Keller, the 
                Dolphins made it clear they would be attacking more often downfield 
                in 2013. Unlike Wallace, Keller will have an opportunity to play 
                with a quality quarterback for the first time in his career. Furthermore, 
                Keller will join OC Mike Sherman and HC Joe Philbin – coaches 
                that have been important parts of the offensive staffs that guided 
                the likes of Bubba Franks, Owen Daniels and Jermichael Finley 
                to some of the best seasons of their careers. In other words, 
                Keller’s one-year contract was more of an admission on his 
                end that he believes he is something much closer to his 2011 numbers 
                (65-815-5) than his injury-plagued 2012 stats (28-317-2 in eight 
                games). With Wallace likely to command so much respect from safeties 
                and Brian Hartline able to work more often in the short- and intermediate-passing 
                game, Keller should enjoy a bit of a rebirth and possibly even 
                become Ryan Tannehill’s preferred red-zone target. Keller’s 
                fantasy arrow is pointing up in a big way, but he should come 
                reasonably cheap in fantasy drafts given his aforementioned numbers 
                from a season ago. Keller has low-TE1 upside and should be considered 
                a good bet to finish among the top 20 at his position.  TE 
                Brandon Myers2012 Team: Oakland
 2013 Team: New York Giants
 Fantasy Analysis: The automatic assumption among many fantasy 
                owners will be: if Bennett could do what he did last year and 
                Myers could catch 79 balls for Oakland, then Myers can be a fantasy 
                force with Eli Manning in New York, right? Not so fast. Myers 
                became one of the bigger beneficiaries of garbage-time football 
                in recent memory in 2012 when Palmer knew he could not always 
                rely on the likes of Denarius Moore or Darrius Heyward-Bey, whether 
                it was due to injury or poor route-running. Myers is a big talent 
                downgrade from Bennett (and far worse blocker), although the University 
                of Iowa product revealed that he played through a sprained AC 
                joint in his left shoulder. That fact alone could not have helped 
                his cause against defensive ends when he was asked to remain in-line. 
                However, he has two factors working in his favor this season: 
                good hands and the presence of TE coach Mike Pope, one of the 
                best position coaches in the league. Still, the Giants only signed 
                him to a one-year deal for a reason: bridge the gap between Bennett 
                and talented but raw second-year Adrien Robinson. In short, Myers 
                will probably be one-and-done in New York if Robinson progresses 
                as hoped and could even lose playing time to him if he proves 
                ready for more action in 2013. Myers is a risky, low-upside TE2.  This concludes the should-be-drafted portion of our segment. 
                Below is a list of players that could find themselves fantasy-relevant 
                at some point should things go their way (sorted by position and 
                then alphabetical order):  QB 
                Matt Flynn 2012 Team: Seattle
 2013 Team: Oakland
 Fantasy Analysis: For the second straight season, Flynn walks 
                into a situation in which he should emerge as the starter, but 
                has a talented rookie pushing him. No one will mistake Tyler Wilson 
                for Russell Wilson, but the fact of the matter is that the only 
                factor that kept Russell Wilson from being a first-round pick 
                was his size while Tyler Wilson’s hang-up is that he developed 
                some bad habits playing while getting the tar beat out of him 
                behind a porous line. Tyler Wilson was considered by some to be 
                the best quarterback prospect in the 2013 NFL Draft prior to last 
                season and a potential top-10 overall pick, so Flynn is living 
                on borrowed time. The Arkansas alum stands a good chance at stealing 
                the job from Flynn before midseason, assuming the rookie doesn’t 
                win the job outright in camp.  QB 
                Kevin Kolb 2012 Team: Arizona
 2013 Team: Buffalo
 Fantasy Analysis: Kolb is a player that probably will get drafted 
                late in deeper leagues, but probably shouldn’t. First and 
                foremost, even if Kolb starts Week 1, rookie first-rounder E.J. 
                Manuel is the future at the position and it is a good bet that 
                HC Doug Marrone and OC Nathaniel Hackett will want to get to that 
                point sooner than later. Just as importantly, Kolb hasn’t 
                proven he can stay healthy for any length of time, which may ultimately 
                be how he ends up handing the job to Manuel.  RB 
                Mike Goodson2012 Team: Oakland
 2013 Team: New York Jets
 Fantasy Analysis: Goodson did a fine job picking a team which 
                would allow him to be a committee back. While he obviously had 
                no control over the Jets trading for Chris Ivory, he appeared 
                to have a chance to be the pass-catching complement. However, 
                his choice of teams was perhaps the last good decision he made. 
                Without detailing his entire month of May, Goodson is staring 
                at a long list of legal issues that could end up in his eventual 
                release. Assuming he is somehow retained by the Jets, Goodson 
                has probably dug himself a hole that he won’t be able to 
                crawl out of this season. If he can somehow make good with the 
                league and the team, he could have some RB5 value during the season 
                in PPR leagues.  RB 
                Danny Woodhead2012 Team: New England
 2013 Team: San Diego
 Fantasy Analysis: Depending on the point of view, Woodhead’s 
                signing with the Chargers is an indication of the new regime’s 
                belief in Ryan Mathews as a solid early-down back or a slap in 
                the face to his ability to contribute on third down. Woodhead 
                is not much of a threat to share carries with Mathews – 
                nor is Ronnie Brown – but will definitely be in play as 
                a passing-down and/or two-minute back. Given Mathews’ durability 
                issues, Woodhead actually makes sense as a RB5 candidate in PPR 
                leagues. But considering he was a fringe fantasy player in New 
                England, it is hard to make the argument that his stock will increase 
                much – if at all – in San Diego.  WR 
                Donnie Avery2012 Team: Indianapolis
 2013 Team: Kansas City
 Fantasy Analysis: Avery shockingly stayed healthy enough to record 
                60 receptions, 781 yards and three scores last season. However, 
                Avery moves from former Colts OC Bruce Arians’ vertical 
                offense to Chiefs HC Andy Reid’s West Coast attack, which 
                doesn’t figure to be the greatest fit for a speed receiver 
                like Avery. Ideally, either Jon Baldwin (unlikely) or Dexter McCluster 
                steps up enough to allow Avery to be a situational deep threat. 
                Either way, the combination of Reid’s offense, Avery’s 
                proneness to injury and drops as well as the drop-off from Andrew 
                Luck to Alex Smith figure to make Avery hard to use in fantasy.  WR 
                Davone Bess2012 Team: Miami
 2013 Team: Cleveland
 Fantasy Analysis: If there is one player from this undrafted 
                section that could find his way into decent fantasy value at some 
                point, it is probably Bess – and that was before Josh Gordon’s 
                two-game suspension was announced. On the surface, Bess doesn’t 
                fit the mold of a receiver in a Norv Turner offense, but Bess 
                is a solid chain-mover that can become fast friends with a quarterback 
                like Brandon Weeden who is playing for his job in 2013. He’s 
                unlikely to maintain the kind of fantasy-backup value he had in 
                PPR leagues as a Dolphin, but he could come close.   WR 
                Darrius Heyward-Bey2012 Team: Oakland
 2013 Team: Indianapolis
 Fantasy Analysis: Although the Colts probably upgraded the talent 
                of their receiving corps by replacing Avery with DHB, they essentially 
                traded one wideout with inconsistent hands for a bigger one with 
                the same problem. It is also unclear if the former Raider will 
                share snaps with smallish playmaker T.Y. Hilton or back him up. 
                In OC Pep Hamilton’s West Coast offense, Heyward-Bey makes 
                more sense as a bigger target, but it is just as likely the Colts 
                turn him into a situational deep threat. If he can share snaps 
                with Hilton, he warrants a late-round fantasy pick simply because 
                he’ll be playing with a quarterback that can make him relevant. 
                Anything less than that, however, means DHB should go undrafted.
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                or fantasy football in general? E-mail 
                me or follow me on Twitter. 
                
 Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and appeared in 
              USA Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine in 2010 and 
              2011. He hosted USA Today’s hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy 
              football internet chat every Sunday this past season. Doug regularly 
              appears as a fantasy football analyst on Sirius XM’s “Fantasy 
              Drive” and for 106.7 The Fan (WJFK – Washington, D.C). 
              He is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.
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