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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Targets for Week 13
11/29/18
Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson is averaging 20 DK points per game including 24.96 points last week against Carolina.


Note: Salary amounts are DraftKings pricing

Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Russell Wilson vs. San Francisco - $6,400

With a high score of 27 points on the season, the big games for Russell Wilson haven’t been there in 2018. But Wilson has provided fantasy owners with an excellent floor of at least 18 points in every game dating back to Week 5. Although the Seahawks will continue to lean on a heavy run-first attack, San Francisco is much better against the run this year than in seasons past, and Wilson may find more success passing the ball to Tyler Lockett off of play action. I’m not really buying into the Richard Sherman revenge game. The Seahawks win this game handily, and Wilson comes through with at least 20 fantasy points.

Other options to consider - Patrick Mahomes @ Oakland & Jared Goff @ Detroit

GPP - Josh Allen @ Miami - $5,300

Allen rushed for nearly 100 yards and a touchdown to go along with 160 passing yards and a passing touchdown in an impressive 27-point performance against the Jaguars last week. Although Miami ranks 18th in fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, the dual-threat aspect of Allen makes him an interesting GPP play. Stack him with deep threat Robert Foster for a home run play perfect for GPP.

Other options to consider - Lamar Jackson @ Atlanta & Case Keenum @ Cincinnati

Fade - Aaron Rodgers vs. Arizona - $6,200

It is hard to pass up on Aaron Rodgers at home against a below average defense like the Arizona Cardinals. But with so many other more attractive plays and the likelihood that Aaron Jones will run wild on the ground, it just doesn’t make sense to pay for Rodgers this week when you can pay $200 more for Jared Goff or Russell Wilson.

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Phillip Lindsay @ Cincinnati - $5,400

Lindsay is an auto start as one of the best bargains in DFS this week against a Bengals defense that gives up the most points to opposing quarterbacks. With only one week of fewer than 10 fantasy points and at least 20 in three of his last four games, it is a head scratcher to see the rookie from Colorado priced less than $6,000. At his price, he is a free square that all DFS players should play regardless of format.

Other options to consider - Aaron Jones vs. Arizona & Todd Gurley @ Detroit

GPP - James White vs. Minnesota - $6,500

The Patriots got away from using James White out of the backfield in the passing game over the past two weeks after White posted three games of at least 25 fantasy points. It is not a coincidence that the Patriots lost one of those two games. Look for Belichick and Brady to use White more heavily in the passing game this week as a way to mitigate the pass rush and blitzes from the Vikings.

Other options to consider – Spencer Ware @ Oakland & Gus Edwards @ Atlanta

Fade - Joe Mixon vs. Denver - $7,300

Mixon’s versatility as a runner and a pass catcher typically give him a nice floor. But with Jeff Driskel starting at quarterback and a Denver defense that has dramatically improved against the run coming to town, I’d rather play Phillip Lindsay in the game and save $1,900.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Davante Adams - $7,900

Although I am fading Aaron Rodgers this week based on concerns about Aaron Jones being the main scoring threat for the Packers in an easy home matchup against the Cardinals, the one or two passing touchdowns that Rodgers will throw in this game will likely go to Davante Adams, the most consistent fantasy wide receiver this season. Regardless of the matchup Adams has scored no fewer than 16 fantasy points and is a lock for a receiving touchdown or 100 yards or both.

Other options to consider - Brandin Cooks @ Detroit & Emmanuel Sanders @ Cincinnati

GPP - Chris Conley @ Oakland - $3,800

Conley quietly posted seven catches for 74 yards and two touchdowns before the Week 12 bye for the Chiefs. Yes, those points came in the epic shootout against the Rams, and the Raiders will most certainly not score 50 points against the Chiefs this week. But, with Sammy Watkins is still out with a foot injury, Conley is a high-ceiling play for less than 4k that could reach the end zone again this week.

Other options to consider - Robert Foster @ Miami & Curtis Samuel @ Tampa Bay

Fade - Kenny Golladay vs. L.A. Rams - $6,700

With Golladay leading all receivers in targets over the past three weeks this may seem like a crazy fade, especially with a likely game script that will force Matthew Stafford to throw the ball more than he would like. My worry with Golladay is the return of Aqib Talib to the Rams secondary and the intelligence of Wade Phillips as a defensive coordinator. I anticipate that the Rams will bracket cover Golladay with Talib and a safety, while the defensive front led by Aaron Donald will get pressure on Stafford and not let him throw downfield to his big receiver.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Eric Ebron @ Jacksonville - $4,200

The Jaguars are a colossal dumpster fire, they stink against tight ends, and Eric Ebron is without question the best scoring tight end in the league right now. Oh, and he scored three total touchdowns when the two teams faced off two weeks ago in Indianapolis. His consistency and upside mixed with his price make him a no-brainer.

Other options to consider - Jared Cook vs. Kansas City & David Njoku @ Houston

GPP - Matt LaCosse @ Cincinnati — $2,500

Tournament players looking to round out their tickets with a cheap tight end play with a high ceiling should consider Matt LaCosse of the Broncos this week. The tight end position is evolving into a favorite option for Case Keenum, and LaCosse is likely going to get the majority of the targets at the position now that Jeff Heuerman is out for the season with a bruised lung.

Other options to consider – Austin Hooper vs. Baltimore & Greg Olsen @ Tampa Bay

Fade - Jimmy Graham vs. Arizona $4,000

Why in the world would you pay 4k for a struggling tight end with a broken thumb when you could pay just $200 more and get the floor and monster upside of Ebron against Jacksonville? Sure, Graham could score a touchdown in this game, but his volume is a concern and he could sit most of the game if the Packers blow out the Cardinals.

Defense & Special Teams

High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Seahawks ($3400) vs. 49ers

Well Priced with Upside: Packers ($2800) vs. Cardinals