With a high score of 27 points on the season, the big games for
Russell Wilson haven’t been there in 2018. But Wilson has provided
fantasy owners with an excellent floor of at least 18 points in
every game dating back to Week 5. Although the Seahawks will continue
to lean on a heavy run-first attack, San Francisco is much better
against the run this year than in seasons past, and Wilson may
find more success passing the ball to Tyler Lockett off of play
action. I’m not really buying into the Richard Sherman revenge
game. The Seahawks win this game handily, and Wilson comes through
with at least 20 fantasy points.
Allen rushed for nearly 100 yards and a touchdown to go along
with 160 passing yards and a passing touchdown in an impressive
27-point performance against the Jaguars last week. Although Miami
ranks 18th in fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, the dual-threat
aspect of Allen makes him an interesting GPP play. Stack him with
deep threat Robert Foster for a home run play perfect for GPP.
It is hard to pass up on Aaron Rodgers at home against a below
average defense like the Arizona Cardinals. But with so many other
more attractive plays and the likelihood that Aaron Jones will
run wild on the ground, it just doesn’t make sense to pay for
Rodgers this week when you can pay $200 more for Jared Goff or
Lindsay is an auto start as one of the best bargains in DFS this
week against a Bengals defense that gives up the most points to
opposing quarterbacks. With only one week of fewer than 10 fantasy
points and at least 20 in three of his last four games, it is
a head scratcher to see the rookie from Colorado priced less than
$6,000. At his price, he is a free square that all DFS players
should play regardless of format.
The Patriots got away from using James White out of the backfield
in the passing game over the past two weeks after White posted
three games of at least 25 fantasy points. It is not a coincidence
that the Patriots lost one of those two games. Look for Belichick
and Brady to use White more heavily in the passing game this week
as a way to mitigate the pass rush and blitzes from the Vikings.
Mixon’s versatility as a runner and a pass catcher typically
give him a nice floor. But with Jeff Driskel starting at quarterback
and a Denver defense that has dramatically improved against the
run coming to town, I’d rather play Phillip Lindsay in the game
and save $1,900.
Although I am fading Aaron Rodgers this week based on concerns
about Aaron Jones being the main scoring threat for the Packers
in an easy home matchup against the Cardinals, the one or two
passing touchdowns that Rodgers will throw in this game will likely
go to Davante Adams, the most consistent fantasy wide receiver
this season. Regardless of the matchup Adams has scored no fewer
than 16 fantasy points and is a lock for a receiving touchdown
or 100 yards or both.
Conley quietly posted seven catches for 74 yards and two touchdowns
before the Week 12 bye for the Chiefs. Yes, those points came
in the epic shootout against the Rams, and the Raiders will most
certainly not score 50 points against the Chiefs this week. But,
with Sammy Watkins is still out with a foot injury, Conley is
a high-ceiling play for less than 4k that could reach the end
zone again this week.
With Golladay leading all receivers in targets over the past
three weeks this may seem like a crazy fade, especially with a
likely game script that will force Matthew Stafford to throw the
ball more than he would like. My worry with Golladay is the return
of Aqib Talib to the Rams secondary and the intelligence of Wade
Phillips as a defensive coordinator. I anticipate that the Rams
will bracket cover Golladay with Talib and a safety, while the
defensive front led by Aaron Donald will get pressure on Stafford
and not let him throw downfield to his big receiver.
The Jaguars are a colossal dumpster fire, they stink against
tight ends, and Eric Ebron is without question the best scoring
tight end in the league right now. Oh, and he scored three total
touchdowns when the two teams faced off two weeks ago in Indianapolis.
His consistency and upside mixed with his price make him a no-brainer.
Tournament players looking to round out their tickets with a
cheap tight end play with a high ceiling should consider Matt
LaCosse of the Broncos this week. The tight end position is evolving
into a favorite option for Case Keenum, and LaCosse is likely
going to get the majority of the targets at the position now that
Jeff Heuerman is out for the season with a bruised lung.
Why in the world would you pay 4k for a struggling tight end
with a broken thumb when you could pay just $200 more and get
the floor and monster upside of Ebron against Jacksonville? Sure,
Graham could score a touchdown in this game, but his volume is
a concern and he could sit most of the game if the Packers blow
out the Cardinals.
Defense & Special Teams
High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost:
Seahawks ($3400) vs. 49ers
Well Priced with Upside: Packers
($2800) vs. Cardinals