Prediction: Falcons 27, Panthers 23
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Atlanta Falcons |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 12 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 20 |
Steven Jackson |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
RB 47 |
Antone Smith |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 53 |
Devonta Freeman |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 61 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 5, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 4 |
Julio Jones |
Rec: 8-110, 1 TD |
WR 23 |
Roddy White |
Rec: 6-70, 1 TD |
WR 58 |
Harry Douglas |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
TE 23 |
Levine Toilolo |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
K 18 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 17 |
Defense / ST |
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Carolina Panthers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 16 |
Cam Newton |
Pass: 230, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
RB 27 |
DeAngelo Williams |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 30 |
Jonathan Stewart |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 18 |
Kelvin Benjamin |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
WR 61 |
Jerricho Cotchery |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
WR 73 |
Jason Avant |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
TE 4 |
Greg Olsen |
Rec: 6-65, 1 TD |
K 13 |
Graham Gano |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 19 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Falcons In past 7 meetings, QB Matt Ryan has 100 rating, completing 165 of 248 (66.5 pct.) for 1,929 yards with 15 TDs vs. 6 INTs. When he starts & has 100+ rating, team is 36-3 (.923)... RB Steven Jackson had 94 scrimmage yards in last meeting (53 rec., 41 rush). Had rush TD last week... In 2 games at Car., WR Julio Jones has 8 catches for 170 yards (21.3 avg.) & 3 TDs. Last week had 8 catches for 119 yards. WR Roddy White aims for 5th in row vs. Car. with TD (5 TDs in past 4). In past 4 meetings, has 32 catches for 461 yards (115.3 per game) & 5 TDs. WR Harry Douglas had 3 catches for 82 yards (27.3 avg.) in last game at Car... In 2 meetings, LB Paul Worrilow has 32 tackles (16 per game) & sack. Leads team with 88 tackles. CB Robert Alford aims for 3rd in row vs. Car. with INT or FF. Has 3 INTs in past 3. CB Desmond Trufant aims for 3rd meeting in row with INT or FR. DE Osi Umenyiora had 1.5 sacks last week. S Kemal Ishmael had INT last week.
Panthers QB Cam Newton has won past 3 starts vs. Atl. In 6 career starts vs. Atl., has 9 pass TDs & 4 rush TDs... RB DeAngelo Williams has 50+ yard TD in 2 of past 3 meetings at home. Had 74-yard rush TD on 12/11/11 & 53-yard rec. TD on 12/9/12. RB Jonathan Stewart rushed for 2 TDs in 11/15/09 meeting, 1 of 4 career games with 2+ rush TDs. Had rush TD last week... TE Greg Olsen aims for 6th in row vs. Atl. with TD catch. Has TD in past 5 meetings & 6 of past 7 vs. Atl. Had 6 catches for 119 yards last week. WR Kelvin Benjamin leads NFL rookies with 659 rec. yards & 7 rec. TDs. Had career-high 2 TD catches last week... Since entering NFL in 2012, LB Luke Kuechly leads league with 425 tackles. Had INT in last home meeting. LB Thomas Davis aims for 3rd in row at home vs. Atl. with INT. Had sack last week. DE Charles Johnson has 8 sacks in past 6 meetings. S Thomas DeCoud spent 1st 6 seasons with Atl. (2008-13) & had 14 INTs as Falcon.
Results and Schedule
Atlanta Falcons |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
NO |
H |
W 37-34 |
+3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
CIN |
A |
L 10-24 |
-14 |
3 |
2014-09-18 |
TB |
H |
W 56-14 |
+42 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
MIN |
A |
L 28-41 |
-13 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
NYG |
A |
L 20-30 |
-10 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
CHI |
H |
L 13-27 |
-14 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
BAL |
A |
L 7-29 |
-22 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
DET |
H |
L 21-22 |
-1 |
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
TB |
A |
W 27-17 |
+10 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
ARI |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-08 |
GB |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
NO |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Carolina Panthers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
TB |
A |
W 20-14 |
+6 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
DET |
H |
W 24-7 |
+17 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
PIT |
H |
L 19-37 |
-18 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
BAL |
A |
L 10-38 |
-28 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
CHI |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
CIN |
A |
T 37-37 |
0 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
GB |
A |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
SEA |
H |
L 9-13 |
-4 |
9 |
2014-10-30 |
NO |
H |
L 10-28 |
-18 |
10 |
2014-11-10 |
PHI |
A |
L 21-45 |
-24 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
12 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
MIN |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
NO |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
TB |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
ATL |
A |
|
|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Offense |
CAR Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
18.0 |
19.8 |
23.5 |
CAR |
Rushing yards |
78.7 |
108.3 |
107.9 |
CAR |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.73 |
3.90 |
4.07 |
CAR |
Completion % |
63.6% |
55.7% |
61.9% |
ATL |
Passing yards |
223.3 |
205.3 |
242.9 |
ATL |
Passing yards per completion |
9.94 |
10.49 |
11.04 |
CAR |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.32 |
5.84 |
6.83 |
ATL |
Interceptions |
0.7 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
ATL |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
ATL |
Sacks allowed |
2.3 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
ATL |
3rd down conversions |
32.8% |
41.2% |
39.2% |
CAR |
4th down conversions |
28.6% |
50.0% |
48.1% |
CAR |
Time of possession |
28:15 |
31:35 |
30:15 |
CAR |
|
|
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Defense |
CAR Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
26.0 |
31.8 |
23.5 |
ATL |
Rushing yards |
108.3 |
107.8 |
107.9 |
CAR |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.53 |
3.91 |
4.07 |
ATL |
Completion % |
61.2% |
69.7% |
61.9% |
ATL |
Passing yards |
284.7 |
273.3 |
242.9 |
CAR |
Passing yards per completion |
12.63 |
11.12 |
11.04 |
CAR |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.73 |
7.75 |
6.83 |
ATL |
INT return |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
- |
Fumble recoveries |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
ATL |
Sacks |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
CAR |
3rd down conversions |
54.8% |
44.3% |
39.2% |
CAR |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
33.3% |
48.1% |
CAR |
Time of possession |
31:45 |
31:46 |
30:15 |
ATL |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
CAR |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
9.7 |
11.8 |
9.0 |
CAR |
Yards per kick return |
19.9 |
25.1 |
24.1 |
CAR |
Yards allowed per punt return |
9.6 |
14.1 |
9.0 |
ATL |
Yards allowed per kick return |
20.4 |
36.1 |
24.1 |
ATL |
|
|
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
CAR |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.0 |
5.5 |
6.7 |
CAR |
Penalty yards |
55.7 |
46.8 |
55.6 |
CAR |
|
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 5 to 10 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 5 to 10 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
3 |
2000-09-17 |
ATL |
CAR |
15-10 |
ATL |
2000 |
9 |
2000-10-29 |
CAR |
ATL |
12-13 |
ATL |
2001 |
2 |
2001-09-23 |
CAR |
ATL |
16-24 |
ATL |
2001 |
11 |
2001-11-25 |
ATL |
CAR |
10-7 |
ATL |
2002 |
7 |
2002-10-20 |
CAR |
ATL |
0-30 |
ATL |
2002 |
12 |
2002-11-24 |
ATL |
CAR |
41-0 |
ATL |
2003 |
4 |
2003-09-28 |
ATL |
CAR |
3-23 |
CAR |
2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
CAR |
ATL |
14-20 |
ATL |
2004 |
4 |
2004-10-03 |
ATL |
CAR |
27-10 |
ATL |
2004 |
15 |
2004-12-18 |
CAR |
ATL |
31-34 |
ATL |
2005 |
13 |
2005-12-04 |
ATL |
CAR |
6-24 |
CAR |
2005 |
17 |
2006-01-01 |
CAR |
ATL |
44-11 |
CAR |
2006 |
1 |
2006-09-10 |
ATL |
CAR |
20-6 |
ATL |
2006 |
16 |
2006-12-24 |
CAR |
ATL |
10-3 |
CAR |
2007 |
3 |
2007-09-23 |
CAR |
ATL |
27-20 |
CAR |
2007 |
10 |
2007-11-11 |
ATL |
CAR |
20-13 |
ATL |
2008 |
4 |
2008-09-28 |
ATL |
CAR |
9-24 |
CAR |
2008 |
12 |
2008-11-23 |
CAR |
ATL |
28-45 |
ATL |
2009 |
2 |
2009-09-20 |
CAR |
ATL |
20-28 |
ATL |
2009 |
10 |
2009-11-15 |
ATL |
CAR |
19-28 |
CAR |
2010 |
14 |
2010-12-12 |
ATL |
CAR |
31-10 |
ATL |
2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
CAR |
ATL |
10-31 |
ATL |
2011 |
6 |
2011-10-16 |
CAR |
ATL |
17-31 |
ATL |
2011 |
14 |
2011-12-11 |
ATL |
CAR |
31-23 |
ATL |
2012 |
4 |
2012-09-30 |
CAR |
ATL |
28-30 |
ATL |
2012 |
14 |
2012-12-09 |
ATL |
CAR |
20-30 |
CAR |
2013 |
9 |
2013-11-03 |
ATL |
CAR |
10-34 |
CAR |
2013 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
CAR |
ATL |
21-20 |
CAR |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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