Prediction: Texans 24, Bills 23
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Buffalo Bills |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 20 |
EJ Manuel |
Pass: 215, 1 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
RB 14 |
C.J. Spiller |
Rush: 65, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 24 |
Fred Jackson |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 4-25, 0 |
WR 26 |
Sammy Watkins |
Rec: 6-65, 1 TD |
WR 51 |
Robert Woods |
Rec: 3-45, 0 TD |
WR 61 |
Mike Williams |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 22 |
Scott Chandler |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
K 4 |
Dan Carpenter |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 16 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Bills QB EJ Manuel has won past 2 road starts, completing 33 of 46 passes (71.7 pct.) for 366 yards for 98.6 rating & 5 total TDs (3 pass, 2 rush). Bills are 4-1 when Manuel starts & has 90+ rating... In only career meeting, RB C.J. Spiller had 102 scrimmage yards (39 rush, 63 rec.). Has TD in 2 of past 3. RB Fred Jackson (28) needs 2 rush TDs to surpass WRAY CARLTON (29) for 4th in club history. Had 7th career TD catch last week... WR Sammy Watkins (No. 4 overall) is tied for 3rd among NFL rookies in catches (13). Is tied for AFC lead with 7 3rd-down receptions... DE Mario Williams was chosen No. 1 overall by Texans in 2006 NFL Draft & played 6 seasons in Houston (2006-11). Is Houston's all-time sack leader (53). Had sack in only career meeting (11/4/12). DT Kyle Williams has 4.5 sacks in past 6. Needs 3 to surpass JEFF WRIGHT (31.5) & CHRIS KELSAY (32.5) for 7th in club annals. DE Jerry Hughes has 9 sacks & FF in past 12. Rookie LB Preston Brown (Round 3, No. 73 overall) leads team with 31 tackles, including team-high 11 last week.
Texans QB Ryan Fitzpatrick spent 4 seasons with Bills (2009-12) & ranks 3rd in club history in pass TDs (80) & 4th in pass yards (11,654). Scored 10th career rush TD last week (1st with Hou.)... In only career meeting, RB Arian Foster rushed for 111 yards on 24 att. & TD. Texans are 18-2 (.900) when Foster has 24+ carries. Since 2010, leads AFC with 5,047 rush yards. Has 100+ rushing yards in 2 of past 3. Rookie RB Alfred Blue (Round 6, No. 181 overall) rushed for 78 yards last week on 13 att. (6 avg.)... In 2 career home games vs. Bills, WR Andre Johnson has 14 rec. for 194 yards (13.9 avg.). For career, averages 6 catches per game, best in NFL history (min. 100 games). Johnson (943) needs 9 rec. to surpass DERRICK MASON (943) & HOFer ANDRE REED (951) for No. 11 all-time. WR DeAndre Hopkins aims for 4th in row with TD catch or 100+ rec. yards. WR Damaris Johnson scored 1st career rec. TD last week vs. NYG... DE J.J. Watt had sack in only career meeting. Since 2012, leads NFL with 33 sacks. Has sack in 3 of past 4. LB Brian Cushing leads team with 28 tackles.
Results and Schedule
Buffalo Bills |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
CHI |
A |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIA |
H |
W 29-10 |
+19 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
SD |
H |
L 10-22 |
-12 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
5 |
2014-10-05 |
DET |
A |
|
|
6 |
2014-10-12 |
NE |
H |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
MIN |
H |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
KC |
H |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-13 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
GB |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
NE |
A |
|
|
|
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Houston Texans |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
WAS |
H |
W 17-6 |
+11 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
OAK |
A |
W 30-14 |
+16 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
NYG |
A |
L 17-30 |
-13 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
5 |
2014-10-05 |
DAL |
A |
|
|
6 |
2014-10-09 |
IND |
H |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-20 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
TEN |
A |
|
|
9 |
2014-11-02 |
PHI |
H |
|
|
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
CLE |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
TEN |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
JAC |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
IND |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
BAL |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
JAC |
H |
|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
BUF Offense |
HOU Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
20.7 |
21.3 |
22.3 |
HOU |
Rushing yards |
131.0 |
140.7 |
113.6 |
HOU |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.47 |
4.06 |
4.17 |
BUF |
Completion % |
62.5% |
64.5% |
64.2% |
HOU |
Passing yards |
191.3 |
210.7 |
234.7 |
HOU |
Passing yards per completion |
10.44 |
12.90 |
10.46 |
HOU |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.52 |
8.32 |
6.72 |
HOU |
Interceptions |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
BUF |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
BUF |
Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
HOU |
3rd down conversions |
36.6% |
43.9% |
41.7% |
HOU |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
50.0% |
47.4% |
HOU |
Time of possession |
29:14 |
31:43 |
30:08 |
HOU |
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
BUF Defense |
HOU Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
17.3 |
16.7 |
22.3 |
HOU |
Rushing yards |
83.7 |
141.7 |
113.6 |
BUF |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.30 |
5.18 |
4.17 |
BUF |
Completion % |
67.5% |
72.0% |
64.2% |
BUF |
Passing yards |
267.3 |
243.3 |
234.7 |
HOU |
Passing yards per completion |
9.66 |
9.48 |
10.46 |
HOU |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.52 |
6.82 |
6.72 |
BUF |
INT return |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
BUF |
Fumble recoveries |
0.7 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
HOU |
Sacks |
2.3 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
BUF |
3rd down conversions |
36.6% |
27.3% |
41.7% |
HOU |
4th down conversions |
25.0% |
50.0% |
47.4% |
BUF |
Time of possession |
32:31 |
28:17 |
30:08 |
HOU |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
BUF |
HOU |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
6.0 |
5.7 |
8.3 |
BUF |
Yards per kick return |
27.5 |
19.0 |
23.2 |
BUF |
Yards allowed per punt return |
2.0 |
10.2 |
8.3 |
BUF |
Yards allowed per kick return |
19.5 |
25.1 |
23.2 |
BUF |
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
BUF |
HOU |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
8.7 |
6.0 |
6.9 |
HOU |
Penalty yards |
83.0 |
56.7 |
60.3 |
HOU |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 3 of the 2014 season with no adjustment. Once
more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 weeks results and deduct the
best and worst value from the data set.
Weather
Dome Stadium
Team vs. Team History
Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2002 |
6 |
2002-10-13 |
BUF |
HOU |
31-24 |
BUF |
2003 |
11 |
2003-11-16 |
HOU |
BUF |
12-10 |
HOU |
2005 |
1 |
2005-09-11 |
HOU |
BUF |
7-22 |
BUF |
2006 |
11 |
2006-11-19 |
BUF |
HOU |
24-21 |
BUF |
2009 |
8 |
2009-11-01 |
HOU |
BUF |
31-10 |
HOU |
2012 |
9 |
2012-11-04 |
BUF |
HOU |
9-21 |
HOU |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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