Prediction: Falcons 30, Vikings 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Atlanta Falcons |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 6 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 20 |
Steven Jackson |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
RB 49 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
WR 1 |
Julio Jones |
Rec: 7-100, 1 TD |
WR 17 |
Roddy White |
Rec: 6-75, 1 TD |
WR 52 |
Harry Douglas |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
WR 62 |
Devin Hester |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
TE 19 |
Levine Toilolo |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
K 5 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 14 |
Defense / ST |
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Minnesota Vikings |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 17 |
Teddy Bridgewater |
Pass: 225, 1 TD Rush: 25, 0 |
RB 17 |
Matt Asiata |
Rush: 65, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 44 |
Jerick McKinnon |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
WR 29 |
Greg Jennings |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
WR 31 |
Cordarrelle Patterson |
Rec: 5-70, 0 TD |
WR 78 |
Jarius Wright |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
TE 30 |
Rhett Ellison |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
TE 34 |
MarQueis Gray |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
K 22 |
Blair Walsh |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 25 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Falcons Scored 56 points last week, 2nd most in team history... QB Matt Ryan set club records with 87.5 comp. pct. (21 of 24) & 155.9 rating last week. Had 286 yards, 3 TDs & 0 INTs. Is 2-0 vs. Min. with 111 rating (4 TDs, 0 INTs). In last meeting, completed 79.4 pct. (27 of 34) for 262 yards with 3 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 128.2 rating... RB Steven Jackson had career-high 4 TDs (3 rush, 1 rec.) vs. Min. (12/31/06 with StL). Rushed for 142 yards & had 166 scrimmage yards in that game. RB Antone Smith had 38-yard rush TD last week... WR Julio Jones had 9 catches for 161 yards & 2 TDs last week. Leads NFL with 365 rec. yards. In last meeting, WR Roddy White had 10 catches for 120 yards & TD. Since 2007, White ranks 4th in NFL with 636 rec. & 8,598 rec. yards. WR Harry Douglas had 27-yard TD in last game vs. Min. WR-PR-KR Devin Hester set NFL record with 20th career return TD last week. Has 9 TDs vs. Min. (5 rec., 3 PR, 1 KR)... DE Osi Umenyiora has 4.5 sacks in past 4 vs. Min. Since 2010, S William Moore is only S in NFL with 3+ sacks (3.5) & 14+ INTs (14). S Kemal Ishmael had 23-yard INT-TD last week...
Vikings Rookie QB Teddy Bridgewater completed 12 of 20 passes (60 pct.) for 150 yards last week in NFL debut... RB Matt Asiata has 4 TDs (3 rush, 1 rec.) in past 3 home games... WR-KR Cordarrelle Patterson has TD in 6 of past 8 games (4 rush, 3 rec.). In 4 career meetings (incl. playoffs), WR Greg Jennings has 21 catches for 389 yards (97.3 per game) & 2 TDs. Aims for 5th in row vs. Atl. with 80+ yards. Jennings leads team with 12 catches. Patterson is 1st on club with 143 rec. yards & 95 rush yards. Only player to lead team in both categories... LB Chad Greenway had 16 tackles in last meeting. DE Everson Griffen had sack in last game vs. Atl. Has 4.5 sacks in past 5. CB Captain Munnerlyn ties for NFL lead with 4 INT-TDs since 2012. S Harrison Smith ties for 3rd during that span with 3 INT-TDs, incl. 81-yard TD in Week 1. Rookie LB Anthony Barr had 1st sack in Week 3.
Results and Schedule
Atlanta Falcons |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
NO |
H |
W 37-34 |
+3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
CIN |
A |
L 10-24 |
-14 |
3 |
2014-09-18 |
TB |
H |
W 56-14 |
+42 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
MIN |
A |
|
|
5 |
2014-10-05 |
NYG |
A |
|
|
6 |
2014-10-12 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
DET |
H |
|
|
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
TB |
A |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
ARI |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-08 |
GB |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
NO |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
|
|
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Minnesota Vikings |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
STL |
A |
W 34-6 |
+28 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
NE |
H |
L 7-30 |
-23 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
NO |
A |
L 9-20 |
-11 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
5 |
2014-10-02 |
GB |
A |
|
|
6 |
2014-10-12 |
DET |
H |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
TB |
A |
|
|
9 |
2014-11-02 |
WAS |
H |
|
|
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
GB |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
DET |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Offense |
MIN Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
34.3 |
16.7 |
22.3 |
ATL |
Rushing yards |
121.3 |
99.7 |
113.6 |
ATL |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.55 |
4.21 |
4.17 |
ATL |
Completion % |
68.7% |
58.2% |
64.2% |
ATL |
Passing yards |
333.7 |
170.3 |
234.7 |
ATL |
Passing yards per completion |
12.67 |
9.64 |
10.46 |
ATL |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.70 |
5.62 |
6.72 |
ATL |
Interceptions |
1.3 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
- |
Fumbles lost |
1.3 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
MIN |
Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
ATL |
3rd down conversions |
50.0% |
35.1% |
41.7% |
ATL |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
0.0% |
47.4% |
ATL |
Time of possession |
30:19 |
27:43 |
30:08 |
ATL |
|
|
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Defense |
MIN Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
24.0 |
18.7 |
22.3 |
MIN |
Rushing yards |
124.3 |
110.0 |
113.6 |
MIN |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.10 |
3.63 |
4.17 |
MIN |
Completion % |
65.7% |
71.0% |
64.2% |
ATL |
Passing yards |
262.7 |
225.3 |
234.7 |
MIN |
Passing yards per completion |
11.76 |
10.24 |
10.46 |
MIN |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.73 |
7.27 |
6.72 |
MIN |
INT return |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
- |
Fumble recoveries |
1.7 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
ATL |
Sacks |
1.0 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
MIN |
3rd down conversions |
42.5% |
43.9% |
41.7% |
ATL |
4th down conversions |
100.0% |
0.0% |
47.4% |
MIN |
Time of possession |
30:15 |
32:17 |
30:08 |
ATL |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
MIN |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
15.2 |
4.7 |
8.3 |
ATL |
Yards per kick return |
28.0 |
24.1 |
23.2 |
ATL |
Yards allowed per punt return |
8.8 |
8.7 |
8.3 |
MIN |
Yards allowed per kick return |
23.5 |
26.0 |
23.2 |
ATL |
|
|
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
MIN |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
7.3 |
6.3 |
6.9 |
MIN |
Penalty yards |
67.3 |
54.0 |
60.3 |
MIN |
|
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 3 of the 2014 season with no adjustment. Once
more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 weeks results and deduct the
best and worst value from the data set.
Weather
Dome Stadium
Team vs. Team History
Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2002 |
13 |
2002-12-01 |
ATL |
MIN |
30-24 |
ATL |
2003 |
5 |
2003-10-05 |
MIN |
ATL |
39-26 |
MIN |
2005 |
4 |
2005-10-02 |
MIN |
ATL |
10-30 |
ATL |
2007 |
1 |
2007-09-09 |
ATL |
MIN |
3-24 |
MIN |
2008 |
16 |
2008-12-21 |
ATL |
MIN |
24-17 |
ATL |
2011 |
12 |
2011-11-27 |
MIN |
ATL |
14-24 |
ATL |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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