Prediction: Chiefs 21, Patriots 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 16 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 250, 1 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 13 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 75, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
RB 25 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 35, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
WR 21 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 8-85, 0 TD |
WR 63 |
Kenbrell Thompkins |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
WR 72 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
TE 2 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 7-65, 1 TD |
TE 35 |
Tim Wright |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
K 10 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 8 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
Kansas City Chiefs |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 13 |
Alex Smith |
Pass: 210, 2 TD Rush: 25, 0 |
RB 10 |
Jamaal Charles |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 4-25, 0 |
RB 37 |
Knile Davis |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 45 |
Dwayne Bowe |
Rec: 3-50, 0 TD |
WR 50 |
Donnie Avery |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
WR 76 |
Junior Hemingway |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
TE 10 |
Travis Kelce |
Rec: 5-50, 1 TD |
TE 20 |
Anthony Fasano |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
K 25 |
Cairo Santos |
FG: 0/0 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 6 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Patriots QB Tom Brady has won 4 of 5 career starts vs. KC, passing for 1,283 yards with 8 TDs for 92.4 rating. Has 42 career TD passes on MNF, tied with HOFer STEVE YOUNG for 3rd most all-time. Brady (49,781) needs 219 pass yards to become 6th QB in NFL history with 50,000 career... Since 2012, RB Stevan Ridley ranks 1st in AFC with 20 rush TDs. Averages 4.4 yards/att. (2,653 yards, 607 att.), highest avg. in club history (min. 500 att.). RB Shane Vereen had rush TD in last meeting... WR Julian Edelman aims for 10th in row with 6+ rec. In past 4 at home, has 34 catches for 323 yards & 3 TDs. In only career meeting, TE Rob Gronkowski had 4 catches for 96 yards (24 avg.) & 2 TDs. Has TD catch in 6 of past 8... Defense is tied for 1st in NFL with 6 INTs... DT Vince Wilfork had 3rd career INT last week. CB Kyle Arrington had 2 INTs in last meeting.
Chiefs QB Alex Smith has won 10 of past 14 starts in Sept., passing for 2,888 yards & 18 TDs with 90.3 rating... In past 7 at home, RB Jamaal Charles averages 118 scrim. yards per game (826 total; 571 rush, 255 rec.) & has 7 rush TDs. In last game on MNF (11/12/12 vs. Pit.), rushed for 100 yards & TD. Since entering NFL in 2008, leads league with 5.6 rush avg. average (min. 500 att.). Last week, RB Knile Davis had career-high 132 rush yards & TD. Has 5 rush TDs in past 4... WR Dwayne Bowe (6,473) needs 73 receiving yards to surpass HENRY MARSHALL (6,545) for 3rd-most in Chiefs history. In 2 career meetings, has 12 rec. for 136 yards & TD. In 10/26/08 meeting (with Colts), WR Donnie Avery had career-high 163 yards on 6 catches (27.2 avg.) & TD... LB Justin Houston has 4.5 sacks in past 5 at home. LB Tamba Hali had sack in last meeting.
Results and Schedule
New England Patriots |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
MIA |
A |
L 20-33 |
-13 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIN |
A |
W 30-7 |
+23 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
OAK |
H |
W 16-9 |
+7 |
4 |
2014-09-29 |
KC |
A |
|
|
5 |
2014-10-05 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
6 |
2014-10-12 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-16 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
9 |
2014-11-02 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
IND |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
DET |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
GB |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
SD |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Kansas City Chiefs |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
TEN |
H |
L 10-26 |
-16 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
DEN |
A |
L 17-24 |
-7 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
MIA |
A |
W 34-15 |
+19 |
4 |
2014-09-29 |
NE |
H |
|
|
5 |
2014-10-05 |
SF |
A |
|
|
6 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
SD |
A |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
STL |
H |
|
|
9 |
2014-11-02 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
SEA |
H |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-20 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
ARI |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
OAK |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
SD |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
NE Offense |
KC Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
22.0 |
20.3 |
22.3 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
105.0 |
124.7 |
113.6 |
KC |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.54 |
4.20 |
4.17 |
KC |
Completion % |
59.1% |
62.7% |
64.2% |
KC |
Passing yards |
196.3 |
197.7 |
234.7 |
KC |
Passing yards per completion |
8.66 |
9.27 |
10.46 |
KC |
Passing yards per attempt |
5.12 |
5.81 |
6.72 |
KC |
Interceptions |
0.0 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
NE |
Fumbles lost |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
- |
Sacks allowed |
2.3 |
3.7 |
2.0 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
38.8% |
47.7% |
41.7% |
KC |
4th down conversions |
33.3% |
50.0% |
47.4% |
KC |
Time of possession |
30:54 |
30:44 |
30:08 |
NE |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
NE Defense |
KC Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
16.3 |
21.7 |
22.3 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
104.0 |
130.3 |
113.6 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.95 |
5.08 |
4.17 |
NE |
Completion % |
56.9% |
62.7% |
64.2% |
NE |
Passing yards |
168.7 |
223.7 |
234.7 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
8.72 |
10.48 |
10.46 |
NE |
Passing yards per attempt |
4.96 |
6.58 |
6.72 |
NE |
INT return |
2.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
NE |
Fumble recoveries |
0.7 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
NE |
Sacks |
2.3 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
KC |
3rd down conversions |
43.2% |
35.9% |
41.7% |
KC |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
33.3% |
47.4% |
NE |
Time of possession |
29:06 |
29:16 |
30:08 |
NE |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
NE |
KC |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
12.6 |
13.5 |
8.3 |
KC |
Yards per kick return |
25.8 |
22.7 |
23.2 |
NE |
Yards allowed per punt return |
8.9 |
2.3 |
8.3 |
KC |
Yards allowed per kick return |
20.7 |
32.0 |
23.2 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
NE |
KC |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
10.0 |
4.7 |
6.9 |
KC |
Penalty yards |
107.3 |
36.7 |
60.3 |
KC |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 3 of the 2014 season with no adjustment. Once
more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 weeks results and deduct the
best and worst value from the data set.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
14 |
2000-12-04 |
KC |
NE |
24-30 |
NE |
2002 |
3 |
2002-09-22 |
KC |
NE |
38-41 |
NE |
2004 |
11 |
2004-11-22 |
NE |
KC |
27-19 |
NE |
2005 |
12 |
2005-11-27 |
NE |
KC |
16-26 |
KC |
2008 |
1 |
2008-09-07 |
KC |
NE |
10-17 |
NE |
2011 |
11 |
2011-11-21 |
KC |
NE |
3-34 |
NE |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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