Live from parts unknown, it’s Tuesday Morning! That means
it’s time for our weekly dissection of what took place on
the field from last Thursday evening until late, late Monday night.
Scoring was down this week across the board, so you may have won
some games with totals that look less than stellar. What caused
the down-tick in production? Let’s examine…
Didn't see that coming: Devonta Freeman
is the top running back in fantasy football after four weeks.
The Diminutive, Dynamic Devonta
On a week where no huge individual performances took place, the
second week of tremendous production from Falcons RB Devonta
Freeman deserves top billing at the Buzz. And, as high as
Freeman’s value has risen, it’s even higher in PPR leagues where
he simply dominated on Sunday. It’s amazing how much better the
Falcons’ offensive line is blocking this season and Freeman now
forces defenses to respect the run in Atlanta. That change should
continue to give Julio
Jones big opportunities in the passing game despite his quiet
Week Four performance. It also makes life easier for Matt
Ryan, but could cut into his yardage numbers some as the Falcons
are now more balanced. Look for Freeman to be spelled more when
Tevin
Coleman returns, but there’s no mistaking his potential in
this dynamic offense. If you got him off the waiver wire after
Week 1 or 2, you have found your diamond for this season. Congrats.
Don’t Give Up On Us, Baby
Three weeks does not a season make. And yet, sometimes, we fantasy
owners panic when a proven player gets off to a slow start and
looks like they’re not going to be a contributor all year long.
Such was the case with Justin
Forsett and Vincent
Jackson coming into Week 4. Forsett ran for 150-plus yards
and Jackson caught 10 balls for 147 yards and a touchdown. And
both did that while sitting on a lot of fantasy benches. Truth
be told, matchups determine a lot of what you see in September,
so you have to be careful about sitting or even dropping a player
too soon. Granted, there’s always a situation like Andre
Johnson’s where you can see all you need to see in three weeks,
but for the most part, if you draft a player coming off a very
productive year, stick with him into October. That statement begs
the question, however: What do I do with DeMarco
Murray and C.J.
Anderson? Answer: Both have very low trade values, so hang
tight for another week or two at least. Murray is begging for
the ball and Philly is 1-3. My guess is that he gets it in spades
in Week 5. As for Anderson, he remains a low-end RB2 who just
needs a goal line carry or two to get going.
The Great Awakening
I thought about mentioning the putrid St. Louis Rams offense last
week, but decided that it was ultimately a waste of space. No
offense had looked worse through three weeks and not much was
expected in Week 4 in the desert. But, Todd
Gurley turned into the Todd Gurley who played at Georgia,
Nick
Foles turned into Nick Foles, Touchdown Maker, and Tavon
Austin flashed the kind of skill that made him such a high
first round draft pick a couple of years ago. What does it all
mean going forward? Well, the Rams’ offensive line is still one
of the league’s worst, so don’t expect these type performances
to become the norm. What you can expect is some high volume work
for Gurley, who is clearly the Rams’ best option at running back
and continued involvement from Austin, who soaked up some of Chris
Givens’ old snaps on Sunday. Greatest Show on Turf, they are
not…but at least there’s a steady pulse to be found in an offense
most had written off prior to Sunday.
I Have Recently Been Placed in Charge
of Garbage…
If you’re old enough to remember Coming to America, those
were the words spoken by Eddie Murphy’s royal character, Prince
Akeem. Garbage time in the NFL means very little in the real-world
NFL, but it something that must be analyzed by fantasy analysts
each and every week. And no one is benefitting more from garbage
time than WRs Jeremy
Maclin and DeAndre
Hopkins. Combined, both wideouts are averaging over 100 yards
and a TD per game, but almost all of their production is coming
when the outcome of their game is no longer in doubt. It’s the
same reason you don’t want RBs on teams that fall behind early
(see Miller, Lamar). Really talented wide receivers on bad teams
are able to easily carve up prevent defenses and pad their stats
in spite of the quarterback throwing them the ball. As such, the
better the opponent, the better the stat lines from Hopkins and
Maclin are going to be. I know that defies common logic, but it
is what it is and it cannot be ignored when analyzing lineup decisions
from week to week.
Did All The Top Wide Receivers Conspire
to Disappear in Week 4?
Probably not, but it sure seemed that way. The Falcons scored
40-plus points on Sunday, but Julio Jones only had three fantasy
points? At least Antonio
Brown had an excuse with Michael
Vick throwing him the ball as he failed to eclipse the five-point
barrier in standard scoring leagues for the first time in nearly
three seasons (2012). Odell
Beckham Jr.? Randall
Cobb? Under five points. Several big names did bust through
for better yardage totals, but no TDs. That list included Demaryius
Thomas, A.J.
Green, Larry Fitzgerald, and Calvin
Johnson whose omission from the TD column was the cruelest
of them all. So, was this an anomaly or a sign of things to come?
It's the former. As was noted previously, the touchdown makers
in Week 4 had their day. Beckham, Brown, and Thomas have especially
good matchups in Week 5 and should help to restore order to the
universe.
Jeremy and Ivory...Together in Perfect
Harmony
After Week 1, it appeared that Jeremy
Hill and Chris
Ivory were both headed for top-five seasons at the RB position
after combining for four touchdowns and solid yardage totals.
Then, Chris Ivory got hurt and Jeremy Hill couldn't hold on to
the ball. Coming into Week 4, both were considered a risk, but
if you stuck with them, they rewarded you on Sunday. Hill is barely
averaging 3 yards a carry this season on exactly 50 attempts through
four games. But, he has five touchdowns. Meanwhile, Ivory is averaging
5 yards a carry and doesn't have Giovani
Bernard stealing touches. If Ivory can stay healthy, a career
season is still very much within his grasp as he is running with
reckless abandon. Hill's outlook doesn't look as rosy, but the
Bengals are definitely a run-first team in the red zone, which
keeps his value stable. All of this just goes to show how quickly
things change in fantasy football. Week 4 saw Hill and Ivory benched
for the likes of Joseph Randle and Chris
Johnson. I doubt that will be repeated again this week.
If We Don't Give A Little Love to
a Kicker…
We probably never will at the Buzz, at least this season. Anybody
start Cairo
Santos on Sunday? SEVEN field goals later, he got you more
points than Aaron
Rodgers did. I don't know if we should laud Santos as the
next great thing in fantasy football or indict the Chiefs red-zone
offense. Or maybe a little of both. Honorable mention goes to
Chandler
Catanzaro of Arizona who kicked five field goals. Ditto on
the Arizona red zone offense. So, there you go kickers. Your one
Buzz mention of 2015. If it had been a more dynamic scoring week,
we never would have thought of you. Just sayin'.
That's a wrap for the Buzz. Can Devonta Freeman keep up his amazing
run? Does the return of Brady and Gronk mean more points across
the board in Week 5? And, will the biggest name wide receivers
in the game figure out where the end zone is this week? Tune in
next Tuesday and find out. We'll be right here waiting.