Auction drafting is my favorite way to build a fantasy football
team. While the general idea of this format is to allow every owner
an equal opportunity to “buy” the players they want,
it combines the ability to value a player’s potential contribution
with managing a budget, all the while testing a drafter’s
patience. Moreover, I feel it really tests the conviction an owner
has in certain players. Furthermore, I think it rewards the prepared
and punishes the unprepared. In snake drafts, it is obvious to anyone
using a draft board when a player is slipping. In auctions, owners
need to be keenly aware of who is left and balance that against
their remaining funds. Owners are forced to decide what players
they like the most and to what degree they are willing to go to
secure their services, which is perhaps the best part of auctions
- along with the fact every owner has an equal opportunity to land
each and every player.
This coming season will mark the 9th year
I have participated in The
Huddle Expert Auction League. Over the previous eight seasons,
FF Today has made the six-team playoff every year (last
year's team was a No. 5 seed, the first time I finished with something
worse than a No. 4 seed) and advanced to the championship game
in five of the last seven seasons. Suffice it to say
my approach has proven to be effective.
This year’s draft was held on August 8, so keep that date
in mind as you review the prices below (both the price each player
went for and the value at which I set for him). In case you were
wondering, this draft took place just over two days before the
Ezekiel Elliott suspension was announced and the two big trades
(Sammy Watkins and Jordan Matthews) went down.
Below, you will find the values I used to prioritize the players
and the rationale I used in selecting my team.
Pre-draft
There is something to be said about knowing your league. Almost
all of the redraft leagues I play in each year are against complete
strangers. Thus, there is no background from which to draw from,
such as Owner X loves a certain team or Owner Y is all about hoarding
receivers.
One thing I feel I can count on each season in this league is
finding some treasure on the waiver wire. By the end of last year,
12 of my 18 roster spots were filled by waiver-wire claims or
free-agent adds - a list that included Rob Kelley, Robby Anderson,
Ty Montgomery, DeVante Parker and Kenny Stills. In 2015, I landed
Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tim Hightower, Allen Hurns, Tavon Austin and
the Broncos' defense in the weeks following the draft. In 2014,
Sammy Watkins was the crown jewel of my waiver-wire pickups. An
IR stash of Michael Crabtree helped me overcome the loss of Julio Jones during FF Today's most recent championship season in 2013,
while Russell Wilson, Bryce Brown, Knowshon Moreno, Danario Alexander,
Chris Givens, Golden Tate and the Seahawks' defense helped FF
Today overcome a ton of injuries in order to win the first of
its back-to-back titles in 2012.
The point is this: After eight years in this league, I have come
to recognize I can rely on the waiver wire to build up my bench
if necessary. (Heck, as the 2012 and 2016 examples above show,
I can sometimes rely on it to build my starting lineup!) The goal
for me now is simply to build the best starting lineup possible
and trust the process when it comes to building depth. (Some might
call it the "stud-and-dud" approach, but I rarely ever
end up with someone on my team that I didn't want.) In auction
drafts, I am looking to acquire as many “special”
players (i.e. players that would otherwise cost a fortune to acquire
via trade during the season) as possible.
My pre-draft plan this year was to secure either Antonio Brown,
Odell Beckham Jr. or Julio Jones (with my eyes set on the cheapest
of the three if possible) and the best value among the top five
running backs. Beyond that, I wanted the most proven and least
expensive no-brainer picks I could find at QB and TE in order
to save as much money as possible to snag an extra $8-10 level
player if at all possible.
Each year, I also make it a point to pay less than my valuation
on just about every player, knowing the depth at receiver will
allow me to find a bargain or two. Ideally, I’ll come away
from a draft with two surefire starters at running back and another
mid-priced player I believe will be an RB2 to use as my flex,
but it doesn’t always work that way.
Although it is a complete departure from conventional auction-draft
strategy, I’ve never been a big fan of setting pre-draft
positional budgets – such as spending 40 percent of my budget
at receiver. My method: Copy-and-paste the players I want the
most at the top of my spreadsheet and keep a record of how much
a player goes for a little bit lower on the page. I stay true
to my valuations with very few exceptions and stick with that
"preferred" list of players as long as possible. A list
of 300 players can be daunting, especially when trying to research
how much players in a certain tier went for with no more than
10 or 15 seconds to make a decision, so it makes a ton of sense
to focus in on about 50.
The Draft
Players with bolded names are ones I specifically selected
before the draft as players I was targeting. The key
is picking players from several different tiers and expected cost
valuations.
Below you will find the actual prices that secured a player’s
services (Act $) and the price I valued them at before the draft
(My $). A dash in the first column reflects the fact a player
was not nominated. The yellow highlight represents winning
bids for FF Today. Finally, I will follow each position
with some brief commentary.
All values are based on a $200 cap and players are organized
by “My $”. All players that were nominated are included,
but I removed a number of players that are unlikely to go in auctions
in leagues with 12 teams and 18-man rosters or for other common-sense
reasons.
Required starters: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, 1 Flex, 1 K and 1
Defense/Special Teams unit.
Quarterbacks
Actual $
My $
Player
Tm
21
24
Aaron Rodgers
GB
21
24
Tom Brady
NE
14
22
Drew Brees
NO
13
18
Russell Wilson
SEA
12
16
Matt Ryan
ATL
8
12
Marcus Mariota
TEN
4
11
Philip Rivers
LAC
8
10
Andrew Luck
IND
9
10
Jameis Winston
TB
9
10
Kirk Cousins
WAS
4
10
Dak Prescott
DAL
4
9
Tyrod Taylor
BUF
11
9
Cam Newton
CAR
2
8
Derek Carr
OAK
4
8
Matthew Stafford
DET
2
7
Eli Manning
NYG
2
5
Ben Roethlisberger
PIT
1
3
Andy Dalton
CIN
2
3
Carson Palmer
ARI
4
2
Carson Wentz
PHI
1
2
Sam Bradford
MIN
-
1
Jay Cutler
MIA
1
1
Blake Bortles
JAC
1
1
Joe Flacco
BAL
-
1
Trevor Siemian
DEN
-
1
Paxton Lynch
DEN
-
1
DeShone Kizer
CLE
-
1
Mike Glennon
CHI
Observations: Year after year, it
is difficult for owners to resist the temptation of spending too
much at quarterback. This league has gotten better and better at
doing so in recent years, but a strong case can be made paying $21
(10.5 percent of the cap) for a starter is still too much, unless
you are 100 percent sure that quarterback is going to enjoy a record-breaking
season. It also looks bad when a comparable quarterback like Brees
($14) goes for $7 less. I prefer mobile quarterbacks in leagues
in which passing touchdowns are worth only four points, although
I am more focused on value, which usually means getting the lowest
player on the top tier, which has been Wilson ($13) in two of the
last three years for me. I set aside five quarterbacks and would
have been happy with getting two out of the three of Rivers, Prescott
or Taylor (all $4), so I overspent a bit on Wilson, although I paid
five dollars less than I had him valued pre-draft. Was it an egregious
error? Probably not. I don't consider Seattle's schedule to be all
that challenging, so as long as Wilson doesn't get injured early
like he did last year, I'll be OK. I was hoping to land Rivers as
my backup and would have been perfectly fine not drafting a second
quarterback, but Palmer ($2) and his light early-season schedule
appealed to me late in the draft.
Total spent at QB: $15
Running Backs
Actual $
My $
Player
Tm
56
54
David Johnson
ARI
52
51
Le'Veon Bell
PIT
49
45
Ezekiel Elliott
DAL
37
42
Devonta Freeman
ATL
35
41
LeSean McCoy
BUF
28
38
Melvin Gordon
LAC
25
36
DeMarco Murray
TEN
30
33
Leonard Fournette
JAC
27
33
Todd Gurley
LAR
33
33
Jordan Howard
CHI
26
33
Jay Ajayi
MIA
20
30
Dalvin Cook
MIN
19
29
Joe Mixon
CIN
25
27
Lamar Miller
HOU
19
27
Christian McCaffrey
CAR
21
26
Isaiah Crowell
CLE
18
22
Mark Ingram
NO
18
20
Danny Woodhead
BAL
25
20
Ty Montgomery
GB
16
19
Ameer Abdullah
DET
17
18
Mike Gillislee
NE
16
18
Marshawn Lynch
OAK
17
17
Carlos Hyde
SF
12
14
Doug Martin
TB
9
14
Kareem Hunt
KC
16
14
Adrian Peterson
NO
6
12
Jonathan Stewart
CAR
13
12
Tevin Coleman
ATL
13
11
C.J. Anderson
DEN
19
11
Bilal Powell
NYJ
8
11
Derrick Henry
TEN
14
11
Duke Johnson
CLE
9
11
Frank Gore
IND
8
11
Rob Kelley
WAS
12
11
Theo Riddick
DET
20
10
Paul Perkins
NYG
9
10
James White
NE
2
9
Darren Sproles
PHI
8
9
LeGarrette Blount
PHI
16
8
Spencer Ware
KC
7
8
Samaje Perine
WAS
13
8
Eddie Lacy
SEA
8
8
Terrance West
BAL
7
8
C.J. Prosise
SEA
6
8
Matt Forte
NYJ
8
7
Jamaal Williams
GB
3
6
Darren McFadden
DAL
6
6
Jonathan Williams
BUF
1
6
DeAndre Washington
OAK
5
6
Jacquizz Rodgers
TB
2
5
James Conner
PIT
4
4
Thomas Rawls
SEA
5
4
Jeremy Hill
CIN
3
4
Jalen Richard
OAK
4
4
Chris Thompson
WAS
1
3
Devontae Booker
DEN
1
3
Giovani Bernard
CIN
6
3
Latavius Murray
MIN
3
3
D'Onta Foreman
HOU
3
3
Alvin Kamara
NO
1
3
Rex Burkhead
NE
3
3
Joe Williams
SF
3
2
Marlon Mack
IND
7
2
Jamaal Charles
DEN
1
2
Shane Vereen
NYG
1
1
Donnel Pumphrey
PHI
-
1
Tarik Cohen
CHI
-
1
Jerick McKinnon
MIN
-
1
Kyle Juszczyk
SF
-
1
Robert Turbin
IND
-
1
Dion Lewis
NE
-
1
T.J. Yeldon
JAC
-
1
Aaron Jones
GB
-
1
Jeremy McNichols
TB
1
1
Charles Sims
TB
-
1
Kenyan Drake
MIA
1
1
Wayne Gallman
NYG
-
1
Elijah McGuire
NYJ
-
1
De'Angelo Henderson
DEN
-
1
Jeremy Langford
CHI
-
1
Chris Johnson
ARI
-
1
Elijah Hood
OAK
-
1
Damien Williams
MIA
-
1
Tim Hightower
SF
-
1
Zach Zenner
DET
-
1
Wendell Smallwood
PHI
-
1
Branden Oliver
LAC
Observations: Without fail, I want
an elite running back every year. As you may be able to tell above,
each of the "Big Three" went for more than what I had
them valued at, although I think you will agree I am still in better
position than most owners at the position. Bell ($51) was the first
player to be nominated overall and I didn't want to set the market
- plus I preferred David Johnson - so I stayed out of the bidding
for him. I went up to $55 on Johnson ($56) and $48 on Elliott ($49)
but thought the bidding was getting out of hand for both, so I effectively
drove up the price about $10 on both players as I was the only one
going toe-to-toe with the respective owners who ended up getting
them. Murray ($25) was the fifth running back to come up for bid
and someone I obviously misjudged (in a good way) in terms of his
valuation in this league. McCoy ($35), who is also 29 years old
and coming off the season with similar fantasy production, went
for $10 more than Murray a few minutes later. The $11 I "saved"
on Murray allowed me to feel confident about bidding into the low
40s for Freeman ($37) if necessary, and it wasn't. In short, I landed
two running backs I consider to be first-rounders for a total of
$62, which is only $6 less than what Johnson went for within the
first few minutes of the draft.
Although I preferred Cook ($20) slightly more, more value came
in the form of Joe Mixon ($19) about 10 minutes after I got Freeman
(Cook was obviously nominated later than Mixon). At that point,
any plans I had of saving up for Coleman ($13) or Henry ($8) to
handcuff my starters went out the window because making sure I
would be able to land a quality WR2 down the road became more
of a priority. It should be noted I actually had enough to spend
on Henry if necessary, but Kareem Hunt ($9) came up for bid an
hour earlier than Henry and went $5 cheaper than I expected. At
that point, I resisted adding any more running backs until I could
possibly come away with two high-upside handcuffs (McFadden and
Connor), who went for a combined $5 about 3 1/2 hours into the
draft. An added bonus: I was able to stick it to The Huddle, who
is a division rival and began the draft with Bell and Elliott.
Gordon ($28) was one of the better values, although I have started
to sour on him slightly, among other reasons, after the Chargers
lost rookie OG Forrest Lamp. I obviously like Cook's value and
thought Stewart ($6) was a good value; I had my eye on him for
at least 30 minutes and was trying to wait it out long enough
so I could guarantee myself the highest bid when he did come up
for bid. (The one owner who had a higher max bid than I did obviously
won out.) On the other hand, I was stunned by how much Perkins
($20) commanded.
Total spent at RB: $95
Wide Receivers
Actual $
My $
Player
Tm
53
46
Antonio Brown
PIT
46
44
Odell Beckham Jr.
NYG
44
44
Julio Jones
ATL
42
41
Jordy Nelson
GB
34
38
Michael Thomas
NO
40
38
A.J. Green
CIN
35
36
Mike Evans
TB
29
34
Brandin Cooks
NE
30
32
Doug Baldwin
SEA
28
32
Amari Cooper
OAK
29
28
DeAndre Hopkins
HOU
26
25
Michael Crabtree
OAK
31
26
T.Y. Hilton
IND
35
25
Dez Bryant
DAL
19
22
Keenan Allen
LAC
29
22
Allen Robinson
JAC
21
22
Sammy Watkins
BUF
15
20
Martavis Bryant
PIT
22
20
Kelvin Benjamin
CAR
25
20
Demaryius Thomas
DEN
23
19
Davante Adams
GB
25
19
Larry Fitzgerald
ARI
16
18
DeVante Parker
MIA
13
16
Willie Snead
NO
19
15
Jamison Crowder
WAS
25
14
Golden Tate
DET
16
14
Emmanuel Sanders
DEN
14
14
Brandon Marshall
NYG
19
13
Tyreek Hill
KC
18
13
Stefon Diggs
MIN
18
12
Julian Edelman
NE
11
12
Pierre Garçon
SF
9
11
Donte Moncrief
IND
10
11
Cameron Meredith
CHI
26
11
Terrelle Pryor
WAS
8
11
Jeremy Maclin
BAL
18
11
Alshon Jeffery
PHI
13
10
John Brown
ARI
6
10
Mike Wallace
BAL
8
10
Kenny Britt
CLE
7
10
DeSean Jackson
TB
22
10
Jarvis Landry
MIA
9
10
Adam Thielen
MIN
10
10
Eric Decker
TEN
9
10
Tyrell Williams
LAC
14
9
Randall Cobb
GB
4
9
Sterling Shepard
NYG
6
9
Corey Coleman
CLE
1
7
Cole Beasley
DAL
5
6
Ted Ginn
NO
8
5
Rishard Matthews
TEN
4
5
Corey Davis
TEN
2
4
Nelson Agholor
PHI
1
4
Kenny Stills
MIA
5
4
Marvin Jones
DET
3
3
Kevin White
CHI
2
3
Josh Doctson
WAS
2
3
Devin Funchess
CAR
2
3
Zay Jones
BUF
3
2
Kenny Golladay
DET
3
2
Breshad Perriman
BAL
1
2
Mohamed Sanu
ATL
2
2
Robert Woods
LAR
8
2
Marqise Lee
JAC
1
2
Tyler Lockett
SEA
1
2
Braxton Miller
HOU
-
2
Travis Benjamin
LAC
3
2
Cooper Kupp
LAR
1
1
J.J. Nelson
ARI
-
1
Brandon LaFell
CIN
-
1
Allen Hurns
JAC
2
1
Tavon Austin
LAR
1
1
Curtis Samuel
CAR
-
1
Cordarrelle Patterson
OAK
4
1
Taylor Gabriel
ATL
-
1
Laquon Treadwell
MIN
-
1
Paul Richardson
SEA
-
1
Torrey Smith
PHI
-
1
Terrance Williams
DAL
-
1
Malcolm Mitchell
NE
-
1
John Ross
CIN
1
1
ArDarius Stewart
NYJ
1
1
Chris Conley
KC
-
1
Marquise Goodwin
SF
-
1
Chris Godwin
TB
-
1
Tyler Boyd
CIN
-
1
Dontrelle Inman
LAC
-
1
Adam Humphries
TB
-
1
Russell Shepard
CAR
-
1
Chester Rogers
IND
-
1
Taywan Taylor
TEN
-
1
Chris Hogan
NE
-
1
Carlos Henderson
DEN
-
1
JuJu Smith-Schuster
PIT
1
1
Will Fuller
HOU
-
1
Seth Roberts
OAK
-
1
Chad Williams
ARI
-
1
Kamar Aiken
IND
-
1
Jaelen Strong
HOU
1
1
Anquan Boldin
FA
Observations: Jones ($44) was my primary
target at receiver because I was almost certain he would go cheaper
than Brown ($53) or Beckham ($46) and has the most favorable schedule
of the three. He was also my last opportunity to land one of the
"Big Three" at either running back or wide receiver. I
was ideally hoping to pair him up with either Cooks ($29) or Baldwin
($30), but both receivers came up for bid after I had spent $125
on my "core four" of Freeman, Murray, Mixon and Jones.
At that point, I decided to sit tight and wait for a good value
to fill my WR2 slot. My targets became Crabtree ($26), Fitzgerald
($25) and Benjamin ($22), and my hope was one would go for less
than $25. Knowing I had two IR slots I could take advantage of,
I prioritized making a well-timed $1 bid on Fuller and got him as
I had hoped. The rest of my receiver corps was more luck than skill.
I put a bid on Moncrief ($9) hoping to drive up his price a bit
- although I need to make clear I don't bid on players I absolutely
don't want - thinking there was no way I was going to get him at
that price. (Surprise!) Even if he doesn't have a healthy Andrew
Luck throwing him the ball until October, I like Moncrief for under
$10. I was sure Beasley ($1) would bring at least $5 when I nominated
him, but I'm glad I was wrong. Ditto Matthews ($2), who I obviously
thought would bring $4-5 just on name value alone (again, pre-trade).
Some of the better bargains other teams had at receiver were
the perpetually underrated Sanders ($16), Bryant ($15), Snead
($13), Maclin ($8) and Wallace ($6). Bids that surprised me in
the opposite direction included the likes of Robinson ($29), Landry
($22) and Cobb ($14). All three of the latter receivers could
easily end up being worth their bids at season's end, but I would
argue each of them have much more working against them at this
point than they have going in their favor.
Total spent at WR: $79
Tight Ends
Actual $
My $
Player
Tm
21
19
Rob Gronkowski
NE
16
17
Travis Kelce
KC
15
15
Jimmy Graham
SEA
14
13
Greg Olsen
CAR
7
12
Kyle Rudolph
MIN
12
12
Jordan Reed
WAS
11
10
Hunter Henry
LAC
7
10
Tyler Eifert
CIN
4
8
Martellus Bennett
GB
11
8
Delanie Walker
TEN
3
8
Jack Doyle
IND
5
8
Eric Ebron
DET
9
7
Zach Ertz
PHI
5
6
Austin Hooper
ATL
2
4
Julius Thomas
MIA
1
4
Cameron Brate
TB
3
3
Dwayne Allen
NE
1
3
Coby Fleener
NO
-
2
Antonio Gates
LAC
2
2
Jason Witten
DAL
-
2
Austin Seferian-Jenkins
NYJ
-
1
Evan Engram
NYG
1
1
O.J. Howard
TB
1
1
Charles Clay
BUF
-
1
Erik Swoope
IND
-
1
David Njoku
CLE
-
1
Gerald Everett
LAR
-
1
Vernon Davis
WAS
-
1
Seth DeValve
CLE
-
1
A.J. Derby
DEN
-
1
Ben Watson
BAL
-
1
Adam Shaheen
CHI
-
1
Jared Cook
OAK
-
1
Lance Kendricks
GB
-
1
Trey Burton
PHI
1
1
Tyler Higbee
LAR
-
1
Clive Walford
OAK
1
1
C.J. Fiedorowicz
HOU
-
1
Jesse James
PIT
Observations: The most important quality
for a fantasy is his ability to score touchdowns, if only because
most of them aren't going to be able to keep pace with receivers
in terms of volume and yardage. I had no interest in paying up for
Gronkowski ($21) or even Reed ($12) given their track record for
durability. Rudolph ($7) has managed to play all 16 games in each
of the last two seasons after earning the "injury-prone"
label over the previous two seasons, and it seems to fly well under
the radar that he led all tight ends (and ranked second overall)
in red-zone targets in 2016. OC Pat Shurmur does run a tight end-friendly
offense, so I like his chances of hanging with the big boys at the
position again. The second and third tier at this position are fairly
deep this year, so the odds are good if you land one of the top
10 players above, you're probably going to be OK.
Bennett ($4)
was a screaming value and a player I seriously considered bidding
up on even though I already had Rudolph. Among the other values
I liked were Hooper ($5) and Allen ($3).
Total spent at TE: $8
Kickers
Actual $
My $
Player
Tm
2
1
Justin Tucker
BAL
2
1
Stephen Gostkowski
NE
1
1
Matt Bryant
ATL
1
1
Dan Bailey
DAL
1
1
Matt Prater
DET
1
1
Mason Crosby
GB
1
1
Adam Vinatieri
IND
1
1
Wil Lutz
NO
1
1
Dustin Hopkins
WAS
1
1
Cairo Santos
KC
1
1
Sebastian Janikowski
OAK
1
1
Brandon McManus
DEN
Observations: Year after year, I look
for the same qualities in a kicker. I want someone with a strong
leg in a good offense and don’t mind paying an extra $1 to
get him if necessary. Additionally, I often target kickers who play
on teams with good or great defenses since coaches are more apt
to settle for field goals when they are confident their defense
can keep the opponent off the board. Short of that, I want a team
who I believe will have a good offense but bogs down in the red
zone because it lacks a strong running attack. Vinatieri ($1) checks
that box.
Total spent at K: $1
Defense / ST
Actual $
My $
Team
5
2
Broncos
2
2
Texans
3
2
Cardinals
1
2
Patriots
2
2
Seahawks
1
2
Vikings
1
1
Chiefs
2
1
Giants
1
1
Bills
1
1
Jaguars
1
1
Panthers
1
1
Chargers
1
1
Eagles
Observations: Streaming defenses seems
to be the preferred way to handle the position nowadays, so I guess
that makes me a bit of a contrarian. Every (serious) league I'm
in requires blind-bidding dollars to be spent on any move, and roughly
half of the teams in my leagues (right or wrong) will carry two
defenses, most of which do so to play one for the upcoming week
and the other for the following week, considerably thinning the
pool of potential streamers. I want one defense and I want to feel
confident it will be serviceable in "bad" matchups and
borderline dominant in "good" matchups. After deciding
not to bid $3 on the Texans' D/ST ($2) I nominated, I settled for
an old reliable in the Seahawks D/ST ($2).
Almost every other year it seems, someone in this league spends
$5 on a defense. I obviously value a rock-solid defense more than
most, but owners who bid that much are paying for roughly 3-4
huge weeks at most, all while sacrificing a potential handcuff
or low-end starter at another position. Unless a D/ST unit goes
on to have a truly historic year, they will most likely not bring
back a good enough return on investment to be worth that bid.
I have a pretty simple philosophy when it comes to fantasy football.
Give me at least one player that can finish in the top five at
each of the four core positions and I’ll show you a team
that has a realistic shot at winning it all. Wilson, Freeman,
Murray, Jones, Rudolph and the Seahawks' D/ST all have realistic
shots at finishing among the top five at their positions.
My biggest regret? I'm not sure I have one, because there's not
much about this draft I would take back. If I'm nitpicking, I
could have bid up on Brees. I probably should have followed my
gut and continued to bid on receivers such as Martavis Bryant
and DeVante Parker at their more-than-reasonable prices. However,
as much as I like both of them this year, we only have to look
back to each of the last two years to come up with a scenario
in which they may disappoint.
As long as I get the injury-free version of Wilson with what
should be an improved offensive line, I think I'm going to like
my quarterback selection. If Wilson encounters an early injury
setback again this year, Palmer's first-half schedule should buy
me enough time to adapt.
I'm not sure I've had a stable of running backs this deep and
this good coming out of the draft in this league. Whatever your
opinion may be on Freeman and/or Murray, most analysts and owners
would agree they are top-10 backs with 250-carry, 50-catch and
10-touchdown upside. Mixon is the wild-card here. Will the Bengals
merely have him lead a committee or will they turn him loose no
later than October? If it is the latter, I could very well have
three top-10 backs. Even if you view Hunt as nothing more than
a handcuff to Spencer Ware, you can make the argument I also have
three of the top five or so handcuffs in fantasy. Regardless of
whether McFadden ends up being the featured back in Dallas during
Elliott's suspension or not, keeping him away from a division
rival AND being able to get some instant bang for my buck puts
me in an even better position to improve my team.
In case it isn't becoming obvious, I'm a big fan of the higher-end
receivers in the NFC South this year. Jones is already one of
the game's best, but OC Steve Sarkisian's desire to utilize him
more often in the red zone and perhaps the easiest schedule for
a receiver in fantasy has me believing he has a decent chance
to overtake Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham Jr. this season IF
he can stay healthy. While I didn't plan on taking Benjamin per
se, I also have him pegged with a pretty favorable schedule. Even
if you buy into the possibility Devin Funchess is ready to break
out, KB is the clear No. 1 receiver for a Carolina team which
will throw the ball more often this season. Moncrief was the one
player in this auction who I bid on to keep the bidding alive
before the music unexpectedly stopped. As noted earlier, I was
stunned when no one went any higher. My draft "grade"
on Moncrief has fluctuated on almost a daily basis, but I certainly
think he is a worthy WR3 with low-end WR2 upside if/when Andrew
Luck is healthy. (And there within lies the rub.) I was floored
when I nominated Beasley for $1 and no one even bothered to bid
him up. I feel I lucked into Matthews as well, as Buffalo gives
him at least a decent shot to be a lead receiver.
Getting a 100-plus target tight end like Rudolph ($7) for a few
dollars cheaper than Hunter Henry ($11) and Jordan Reed when I
have Rudolph ranked higher felt like a coup. While O.J. Howard's
arrival figures to scare many owners when it comes to Brate, it
sounds as if Tampa Bay isn't leaning in that direction. A repeat
of his 57-catch, 660-yard, eight-touchdown season probably isn't
in the cards for Brate, but he's not going away either. I think
45 receptions and six scores is very much within the realm of
possibilities for him.
Critics of my draft may point to the fact I am heavily invested
in the Atlanta Falcons - a team coming off a record-breaking year
in terms of efficiency and an offense that lost its vaunted play-caller
(Kyle Shanahan) - meaning the offense as a whole is ripe for a
letdown. I do expect some regression, but as most of you know
by now, I don't talk much about last year when it comes to projections
and the like. I nabbed the two most important players (Freeman
and Jones) on a high-powered offense facing a very favorable schedule.
If Mixon emerges as the clear-cut back in Cincinnati and Murray
maintains his firm grasp on the starting job in Tennessee, my
running back group will probably be among the top two or three
in the league. It'd be nice to have one more stud at receiver,
but I struggle to find an obvious weakness with this team to begin
the season. With high-upside running backs to spare, this is yet
another team I expect to compete for a championship.
Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured
in USA Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010.
He hosted USA Today’s hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football
internet chat every Sunday in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst
on a number of national sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s
“Fantasy Drive”. Doug is also a member of the Fantasy
Sports Writers Association.