If you are still reading this column it’s likely you are
in your league’s playoffs – congratulations. Now is
not the time to relax, since it’s a one-and-done situation.
Playoff waivers are still important, whether you need a player
for your lineup or blocking your opponent. Early weather forecasts
show no precipitation, though it’s going to be below freezing
in Buffalo, Cleveland, Pittsburgh and Cincinnati.
Marshawn Lynch has scored 4 TDs in his
last four games and should find success this week against
KC.
Truths
“Let the people know the truth and the country is safe.”
- Abraham Lincoln
1) Russell Wilson has the statistics
to back up a claim as 2017 MVP.
He leads all active quarterbacks with 27.3 FPts/G (Only Deshaun
Watson, who is out for the season, posted a higher number).
He leads all quarterbacks in combined passing and rushing yards
(3,688 yards). He’s tied for the lead in combined passing and
rushing touchdowns (29). He’s been responsible for 29 of his team’s
33 total touchdowns (87.9%). He must be playing with a sore back
from carrying 52 guys for three months.
2) Since throwing five INTs in Week 5 Ben
Roethlisberger has averaged 25.0 FPts/G.
Since saying "Maybe I don't have it anymore" after
a disastrous game against Jacksonville, Big Ben has righted the
ship. The home/away splits are still wide (29.0/20.6), but the
next two games are scheduled for Heinz Field (Baltimore, New England)
and in Week 16 he has a favorable matchup in Houston.
3) Don’t look now but Marshawn Lynch is
playing like a top-five running back.
Since his return from a one-game suspension, it’s a fact. Lynch
has averaged 15.3 FPts/G behind only Alvin
Kamara (24.0), Mark
Ingram (16.5), and
Le’Veon Bell (16.0) and tied with Ezekiel
Elliott. Lynch has a couple of decent matchups before the
fantasy championship in Week 16 when he would have an unfavorable
matchup in Philadelphia.
4) Todd Gurley struggles again top-five
run defenses, which makes him a poor play this Sunday, against
Philadelphia.
True. Gurley beats up on weaker defenses (as he should), averaging
more than double his average against top-five run defenses. He’s
posted 10.1 FPts/G in three meeting against the top-five and 20.7
points against the rest of the league. He’ll face the Eagles
in Week 14, who rank second in RB fantasy points allowed, behind
only Minnesota.
5) Big name running backs are short on
production.
It’s true that as the fantasy season headed down the stretch
a number of preseason elite backs failed to come through for fantasy
owners. These running backs didn’t crack the top-20 over the final
five weeks of football (average FPts/G); DeMarco
Murray (21st), Lamar
Miller (22nd), LeSean
McCoy (23rd), Melvin
Gordon (24th), Leonard
Fournette (32nd), Jordan
Howard (44th) and Devonta
Freeman (59th).
Lies
“He who permits himself to tell a lie once, finds it
much easier to do it a second and a third time till at length
it becomes habitual.” - Thomas Jefferson
1) If Aaron Rodgers returns for the
final two weeks of the fantasy playoffs, the title is mine.
Maybe, but IF Rodgers returns he doesn’t have an easy schedule.
He faces Carolina, ranked ninth in QB fantasy points allowed (18.3
FPts/G) and Minnesota ranked third (16.9). Hey, if you have been
getting by using a makeshift lineup with the likes of Jacoby Brissett,
Brett Hundley and Jimmy Garoppolo then Rodgers is certainly a
step up, but don’t expect elite totals in two tough matchups.
2) The cream always rises to the top?
If that old saying is true, why are the elite quarterbacks missing
from the top of the quarterback rankings over the past five weeks.
Behind Wilson, the following rank second through eighth; Ben
Roethlisberger, Case
Keenum, Josh
McCown, Cam
Newton, Alex
Smith, Carson
Wentz and Jared
Goff. Philip
Rivers and Tom
Brady just sneak into the top-10 taking the final two spots.
It’s been a topsy-turvy fantasy season for quarterbacks.
3) I noted back in Week 11, “unless Ben
Roethlisberger decides to force the ball to No. 84 through double
coverage, Brown’s totals could continue to be pedestrian.”
I was wrong, really wrong. Roethlisberger has thrown to Brown
more over the past three weeks (13.3 targets per game versus 9.25
the previous four games) but it doesn’t seemed forced and
Brown has shown why he’s the best receiver in football posting
414 yards and six scores over that span (25.8 FPts/G). I’m
sorry for doubting you Antonio.
4) “Gang Green's tandem of running backs
(Matt Forte and Bilal Powell) will be utilized plenty,” said writer
Tony Williams.
Surprisingly, it’s been the passing game that has led the Jets
to better-than-expected production. Forte has managed just 325
yards rushing and Powell 502 yards and they have combined for
five rushing touchdowns. That’s better than the Seattle backfield,
but it certainly isn’t the reason the Jets are 5-7 and averaging
22.2 PPG. Josh
McCown has thrown for 2,880 yards, 18 touchdowns against just
eight interceptions and, even more surprisingly, has stayed healthy.
Meanwhile, Robby
Anderson (49-821-7) and Jermaine
Kearse (51-677-5) have been viable WR2 options at wideout.
5) JuJu Smith-Schuster is appealing his
one-game suspension for the hit on Vontaze Burfict Monday night.
It is not really fantasy related but … Are you kidding me? Does
he really think he did nothing wrong? I’m tired of bad sportsmanship
ruining many of my sporting events. The hit was bad enough, but
at least that’s part of the game, the standing over Burfict (not
my favorite person by the way) and taunting him is unacceptable.
I’m not happy to lose Smith-Schuster from my lineup for a week,
but he deserves the suspension. Deal with the consequences like
a man and learn from it. You too, Mr. Gronkowski.
Steve Schwarz served as the fantasy sports editor of The Sports Network and is the 2014 FSWA Football Writer of the Year.