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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Targets for Week 11
11/16/18
Dak Prescott

Pair Dak Prescott this week with Amari Cooper in what could be the top GPP tandem of the week.


Note: Salary amounts are Draftkings pricing

Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Drew Brees vs. Philadelphia - $6,500

With the Chiefs and the Rams playing on Monday Night Football the main slate of games is not as robust as in previous weeks. Both Patrick Mahomes and Jared Goff would be excellent plays, along with pretty much all of the skill position players on both sides of the ball. Instead, DFS players should consider targeting players in the game between the Saints and the Eagles, as it too could be a high scoring contest filled with multiple strong daily players.

For a quarterback in cash games I am sticking with Drew Brees at home. In four home games this season in the comforts of the Mercedes Benz Superdome Brees is averaging just under 30 fantasy points per game, including 34.4 points two weeks ago against the Rams. Running the ball against the Eagles is far more difficult than passing, and I anticipate Brees and head coach Sean Payton will draw up a pass-heavy scheme for Sunday.

Other options to consider - Matt Ryan vs. Dallas & Philip Rivers vs. Denver

GPP - Dak Prescott @ Atlanta - $4,300

Prescott’s two best games in terms of completion percentage have come over the past two weeks since Amari Cooper joined the team. Although Dak has not thrown for more than three touchdowns in any game this season, the Falcons are a much more dangerous offense at home and should force the Cowboys to put up a high point total on offense to win the game. Pair Dak this week with Cooper in what could be the top GPP tandem of the week.

Other options to consider - Eli Manning vs. Tampa Bay & Marcus Mariota @ Indianapolis

Fade - Matthew Stafford vs. Carolina - $5,400

Stafford has not reached 20 fantasy points since Week 4, and the Detroit offensive line has struggled this season in pass protection. Although the Panthers defense ranks in the middle of the pack in points allowed to quarterbacks and wide receivers, I am avoiding Stafford this week based on his inability to stay upright and the fact that Marvin Jones is out with a knee bruise.

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - David Johnson vs. Oakland - $7,500

The volume for David Johnson has been there all season but without the results under former offensive coordinator Mike McCoy’s uninspired and elementary offensive scheme. The move to Byron Leftwich has proven to be exactly what Johnson and his fantasy owners needed, with the consensus top-5 pick posting his first 30-point performance of the season. With Johnson a lock for at least 20 touches at home against a Raiders team that has all but given up on the season, Johnson is a moderately priced stud running back that should be a staple in all cash games this week.

Other options to consider - Christian McCaffrey @ Detroit & Melvin Gordon vs. Denver

GPP - Giovani Bernard vs. Baltimore - $4,200

Joe Mixon was limited in practice on Thursday with a knee injury. Although he is slated to play this week against the Ravens and the Cincinnati Enquirer's Paul Dehner reported on Friday that he is a full go at practice, Baltimore allows the fewest points to opposing running backs on the ground, with only three players reaching the end zone this season. Look for Bernard to be more active this week in a game that will likely require receiving work in the second half as the Bengals chase points. And if Mixon does suffer a setback with his knee, Bernard could be a cheap value for GPP formats.

Other options to consider - Saquon Barkley vs. Tampa Bay & Alvin Kamara vs. Philadelphia

Fade - Tevin Coleman vs. Dallas - $5,500

Coleman has not topped more than 15 carries in any of his last five games and only finds fantasy relevance if he hits on a long scoring play in the passing game, with Ito Smith eating into his value in the red zone. Dallas has allowed a receiving touchdown to a running back in two of the last three games, but it is a risk not worth taking in a week with excellent options at the running back position.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Michael Thomas vs. Philadelphia - $8,800

With 20 catches in his last two games and a whopping 78 receptions in nine games in 2018, Thomas has been the quintessential high-floor cash game wide receiver that all cash game players love to target. Although his salary is high and can make pairing him with one of the cash game running backs a difficult task, there is no other wide receiver on the slate with the guarantee of at least 12 targets. It also helps that starting cornerback Ronald Darby is out with a knee injury making an already skeleton crew in the Eagles secondary even more questionable.

Other options to consider - Odell Beckham Jr. vs. Tampa Bay & Alshon Jeffery vs. New Orleans

GPP - John Brown vs. Cincinnati - $5,900

Brown has been missing in action as of late with fewer than ten points in four of his last five games. The one game that Brown did deliver was a seven-catch 134-yard game against the Saints. I only play players like Brown in GPP formats when they have a home matchup against a downright awful opponent. With the No.32 ranked Bengal defense coming to town and the Ravens looking to avenge their blowout loss to Cincy Week 2, I am all in on Brown this week to have a monster game.

Other options to consider - Christian Kirk vs. Oakland & D.J. Moore @ Detroit

Fade - Devin Funchess @ Detroit - $5,100

DFS owners may want to target Panthers players this week in what could be a get right game for Carolina after getting smashed by the Steelers last Thursday. I do like Newton, McCaffrey, and Moore this week, but I am avoiding Funchess at all costs. The Lions should have Darius Slay back after missing last week’s game against the Bears, and Funchess has struggled with 45 yards or less in his previous three games.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Zach Ertz @ New Orleans - $6,600

This is not rocket science. Ertz’s volume and production relative to other tight ends on the slate makes him a must play in a matchup that carries the second highest over/under on the week behind the Chiefs and Rams. I’d much rather pay up for Ertz and his lock for 10 targets at $6,600 and pair him a lower cost wide receiver than try to make do with a cheaper tight end option in cash.

Other options to consider - Austin Hooper vs. Dallas & Jared Cook @ Arizona

GPP - Ricky Seals-Jones vs. Oakland— $2,900

Seals-Jones is an inexpensive way to get exposure in the Arizona game at home against the Raiders if you don’t want to pay up for David Johnson. Seals-Jones is coming off a season-high nine targets last week against the Chiefs and continues to build rapport with Josh Rosen. If you are feeling ballsy, pairing Rosen with Seals-Jones and Johnson in GPP could give you a ton of money left over to round out your roster with studs.

Other options to consider - Jonnu Smith vs. Indianapolis & Vernon Davis vs. Houston

Fade - C.J. Uzomah @ Baltimore — $3,400

I’m not going to fall for the Uzi again until he starts putting up consistent production. You would think that with A.J. Green out of the lineup he would have been excellent last week against the Saints, but he managed just three catches for 23 yards in what should have been a game script conducive for big points.

Defense & Special Teams

High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Ravens ($3,200) vs. Bengals

Well Priced with Upside: Panthers ($2,900) @ Detroit