Although Ryan has not topped 20 fantasy points in a game in nearly
a month, it is hard to pass up his salary in a home matchup against
Tampa Bay, a team that gives up the second-most points to opposing
quarterbacks. This game has the highest over/under on the week,
and I want to try and get more than a few shares of Atlanta. Pair
Ryan with Julio or Ridley in a cash stack and reap the benefits.
Mayfield has been quietly hot for fantasy owners over the past
three weeks with the ninth-most points at the position, and the
Dolphins give up the sixth-most points to fantasy quarterbacks.
It will not surprise me if Mayfield puts up top-5 numbers this
week with a chance to be the No.1 fantasy QB. I like pairing him
in GPP with Landry, the former Dolphin, who will be looking to
stick it to his former team and continue his recent scoring streak
of three games with a receiving touchdown.
Dak has been great for both real life and fantasy football. With
the Dallas run game stalling, Dak has put the team on his shoulders
with over 800 passing yards and six touchdowns in his last three
games. While I plan on using him again in future matchups, it
makes too much sense to fade him this week against the league’s
No.1 ranked defense. I’d rather play Mayfield against Miami
or pay up and play Ryan vs. Tampa Bay.
Kamara has not been the player fantasy owners expected when he
was a consensus top-4 pick this summer in redraft leagues. Injuries
have limited him and he is not scoring touchdowns at nearly the
same rate as his first two seasons. That changes this week against
Carolina, a team that gives up the third-most points to opposing
running backs. I like Kamara to score at least one touchdown this
week with the chance of being the top back in fantasy.
Hunt’s volume in the passing game is enough to justify
paying his 5.6k salary, with anything he provides in the running
game acting as gravy. I like Cleveland big in this game, with
both Hunt and Chubb coming through with impressive fantasy performances.
If you are looking for a player with an excellent floor and a
possible monster ceiling in GPP, Hunt against Miami is your guy.
Although Carson continues to be steady, with 15 or more fantasy
points in each of his last three games, the Eagles are a stout
run defense, and teams have found far more success passing against
Philly than running the ball.
We have all come accustomed to Julio going bananas at least one
week of the fantasy season. A week where he goes hog-wild with
over 200 receiving yards and a ton of catches. I predict this
is the week for Jones to finally go nuts against a Tampa Bay secondary
that simply cannot stop the pass.
There are a ton of reasons to like Landry in this game. First,
he has been the best performing wide receiver for the Browns this
season and should continue to see at least a 20% target share.
Second, the Dolphins give up the 8th-most points to opposing wide
receivers, and Baker Mayfield has been red hot as of late. And
finally, if you buy into the revenge narrative, you have to like
Landry playing against his old team.
I am one of the biggest Lockett apologists, and I personally
believe he is one of the most underrated players in the league.
With that said, I don’t trust him in this matchup despite
it being a great one against the Eagles. Lockett has yet to put
in a full practice, and I fear he will be limited on a snap count
like T.Y. Hilton was on Thursday against the Texans.
With three games of over ten fantasy points in his last four,
including two No.1 overall performances, Griffin is clearly a
favorite option for Darnold and should be considered one of the
better DFS plays this week. This game could be one of the sneakier
high-scoring games on the afternoon, and Griffin is a fairly inexpensive
way to get a piece of the action.
Seven targets in each of his last three games are impressive.
Unfortunately, he has done diddly-squat with them, with ten combined
points in his last two games. With injuries to the wide receiving
corps and a Bengals defense that gives up the ninth-most points
to tight ends, this is the week for McDonald to smash.
Fant has been one of the focal points of the offense since Brandon
Allen took over. He is an impressive young tight end with a bright
future, but I’d rather play Griffin against Oakland or McDonald
@ the Bengals than Fant against a Bills defense that gives up
the fewest points to opposing tight ends.
Defense & Special Teams
High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Browns
($3,800) vs. Miami
Well Priced with Upside: Bills ($3,400) vs.
Denver
